Highlights
KLSE: JOHOTIN (7167)       JOHORE TIN BHD MAIN : Consumer
Last Price Today's Change   Day's Range   Trading Volume
1.22   +0.02 (1.67%)  1.22 - 1.26  553,700
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Additional Listing

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Ann. Date Date Type Units Price Total NOSH View
29-Nov-2017 30-Nov-2017 Exercise of Warrants 646,631 0.850 310,470,986 Additional Listing Detail
24-Nov-2017 27-Nov-2017 Exercise of Warrants 3,713,218 0.850 309,824,355 Additional Listing Detail
22-Nov-2017 23-Nov-2017 Exercise of Warrants 2,832,749 0.850 306,111,137 Additional Listing Detail
21-Nov-2017 22-Nov-2017 Exercise of Warrants 1,350,006 0.850 303,278,388 Additional Listing Detail
20-Nov-2017 21-Nov-2017 Exercise of Warrants 2,388,601 0.850 301,928,382 Additional Listing Detail
17-Nov-2017 20-Nov-2017 Exercise of Warrants 1,143,932 0.850 299,539,781 Additional Listing Detail
16-Nov-2017 17-Nov-2017 Exercise of Warrants 1,541,796 0.850 298,395,849 Additional Listing Detail
13-Nov-2017 14-Nov-2017 Exercise of Warrants 943,172 0.850 296,854,053 Additional Listing Detail
08-Nov-2017 09-Nov-2017 Exercise of Warrants 4,496,182 0.850 295,910,881 Additional Listing Detail
03-Nov-2017 06-Nov-2017 Exercise of Warrants 781,832 0.850 291,414,699 Additional Listing Detail
31-Oct-2017 01-Nov-2017 Exercise of Warrants 327,800 0.850 290,632,867 Additional Listing Detail
26-Oct-2017 27-Oct-2017 Exercise of Warrants 1,471,500 0.850 290,305,067 Additional Listing Detail
23-Oct-2017 24-Oct-2017 Exercise of Warrants 1,045,966 0.850 288,833,567 Additional Listing Detail
17-Oct-2017 19-Oct-2017 Exercise of Warrants 1,389,066 0.850 287,787,601 Additional Listing Detail
12-Oct-2017 13-Oct-2017 Exercise of Warrants 1,040,600 0.850 286,398,535 Additional Listing Detail
09-Oct-2017 10-Oct-2017 Exercise of Warrants 654,366 0.850 285,357,935 Additional Listing Detail
02-Oct-2017 03-Oct-2017 Exercise of Warrants 1,070,100 0.850 284,703,569 Additional Listing Detail
28-Sep-2017 29-Sep-2017 Exercise of Warrants 153,800 0.850 283,633,469 Additional Listing Detail
26-Sep-2017 27-Sep-2017 Exercise of Warrants 1,521,000 0.850 283,479,669 Additional Listing Detail
19-Sep-2017 20-Sep-2017 Exercise of Warrants 406,000 0.850 281,958,669 Additional Listing Detail
13-Sep-2017 14-Sep-2017 Exercise of Warrants 667,000 0.850 281,552,669 Additional Listing Detail
08-Sep-2017 11-Sep-2017 Exercise of Warrants 8,000 0.850 280,885,669 Additional Listing Detail
30-Aug-2017 04-Sep-2017 Exercise of Warrants 1,082,900 0.850 280,877,669 Additional Listing Detail
24-Aug-2017 25-Aug-2017 Exercise of Warrants 507,000 0.850 279,794,769 Additional Listing Detail
16-Aug-2017 17-Aug-2017 Exercise of Warrants 370,000 0.850 279,287,769 Additional Listing Detail
11-Aug-2017 14-Aug-2017 Exercise of Warrants 424,500 0.850 278,917,769 Additional Listing Detail
08-Aug-2017 09-Aug-2017 Exercise of Warrants 382,000 0.850 278,493,269 Additional Listing Detail
02-Aug-2017 03-Aug-2017 Exercise of Warrants 80,000 0.850 278,111,269 Additional Listing Detail
27-Jul-2017 28-Jul-2017 Exercise of Warrants 274,000 0.850 278,031,269 Additional Listing Detail
25-Jul-2017 26-Jul-2017 Exercise of Warrants 979,000 0.850 277,757,269 Additional Listing Detail
20-Jul-2017 21-Jul-2017 Exercise of Warrants 504,500 0.850 276,778,269 Additional Listing Detail
18-Jul-2017 19-Jul-2017 Exercise of Warrants 445,700 0.850 276,273,769 Additional Listing Detail
11-Jul-2017 12-Jul-2017 Exercise of Warrants 189,000 0.850 275,828,069 Additional Listing Detail
05-Jul-2017 06-Jul-2017 Exercise of Warrants 161,124 0.850 275,639,069 Additional Listing Detail
29-Jun-2017 30-Jun-2017 Exercise of Warrants 269,000 0.850 275,477,945 Additional Listing Detail
22-Jun-2017 23-Jun-2017 Exercise of Warrants 754,888 0.850 275,208,945 Additional Listing Detail
20-Jun-2017 21-Jun-2017 Exercise of Warrants 1,164,500 0.850 274,454,057 Additional Listing Detail
13-Jun-2017 14-Jun-2017 Exercise of Warrants 464,066 0.850 273,289,557 Additional Listing Detail
07-Jun-2017 08-Jun-2017 Exercise of Warrants 1,931,000 0.850 272,825,491 Additional Listing Detail
05-Jun-2017 06-Jun-2017 Exercise of Warrants 9,976,728 0.850 270,894,491 Additional Listing Detail
31-May-2017 01-Jun-2017 Exercise of Warrants 1,410,067 0.850 260,917,763 Additional Listing Detail
26-May-2017 29-May-2017 Exercise of Warrants 1,387,200 0.850 259,507,696 Additional Listing Detail
23-May-2017 24-May-2017 Exercise of Warrants 1,523,000 0.850 258,120,496 Additional Listing Detail
18-May-2017 19-May-2017 Exercise of Warrants 3,147,133 0.850 256,597,496 Additional Listing Detail
15-May-2017 16-May-2017 Exercise of Warrants 1,740,333 0.850 253,450,363 Additional Listing Detail
09-May-2017 11-May-2017 Exercise of Warrants 1,833,666 0.850 251,710,030 Additional Listing Detail
02-May-2017 03-May-2017 Exercise of Warrants 750,000 0.850 249,876,364 Additional Listing Detail
21-Apr-2017 25-Apr-2017 Exercise of Warrants 100,000 0.850 249,126,364 Additional Listing Detail
17-Apr-2017 18-Apr-2017 Exercise of Warrants 60,000 0.850 249,026,364 Additional Listing Detail
10-Mar-2017 13-Mar-2017 Exercise of Warrants 150,000 0.850 248,966,364 Additional Listing Detail
19-Jan-2017 20-Jan-2017 Exercise of Warrants 2,666 0.850 248,816,364 Additional Listing Detail
27-Oct-2011 28-Oct-2011 Acquisitions 4,000,000 1.000 69,979,000 Additional Listing Detail
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  10 people like this.
 
keyin This time can hit 2?
16/01/2018 23:15
pc_FA I believe raw material cost (milk, sugar,etc) at historical low and strengthen RM will benefit Johotin profit margin.
16/01/2018 23:47
pc_FA https://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/nanyang_stock_expert/144526.jsp
17/01/2018 10:08
pc_FA TA predict Johotin 2017Q4 Revenue is RM 133,701,000 and PAT RM 7.418.000. Let see upcoming QR.
17/01/2018 10:16
WaAdaLui Western Europe -International Market Prices of Skim Milk Powder
Aug 2017 x USD 2125
Sep 2017 x USD 2004
Oct 2017 x USD 1825
Nov 2017 x USD 1763
Dec 2017 x USD 1700
Jan 2018 x USD 1650
17/01/2018 10:43
ITreeinvestor 1 day show like before
18/01/2018 08:35
WaAdaLui Tuesday +19sen , Wednesday -9sen. Normal la ...
Today market RED RED, JTB still GREEN GREEN !!!

Tuesday price up support by huge volume, is real real SOLID UP !!!
Kecil MEOW like us can not buy up the price with such volume Lo...
18/01/2018 11:36
abu same pattern like Nov17 when previous analyst report out...
18/01/2018 14:57
sapurakencana Let talk about Nestle,F &N & Dlady who also milk powder manufacturer,why their price shut up almost 20%(represent investor so confident they wil earn more even previously they declare 2 quarter drop in NP 20-30%),if the coming quarter their Qtr report is good,then we can guess Johoretin also may declare good result due to all of them are strong ringgit beneficiarer
18/01/2018 21:39
John1234 Today is T+3 after the last spike. Price could move up if big players have accumulated more at current prices and after contra selling period...
19/01/2018 13:40
LuckyG today selling pressure is surprisingly low ... i think johotin will rally again soon.
19/01/2018 14:26
shpg22 SELL...next 2 quarter result will not be good.
19/01/2018 14:28
John1234 Vol traded is low today(not much contra selling). This means most players are not willing to sell at current price. Hope TA securities research house is right on its analysis...
19/01/2018 17:17
Eric6790 hope it will rebound till cny
21/01/2018 16:55
boon1515 onboard
22/01/2018 11:53
John1234 Closed at 1.33. Looks like price is pressed down after each brief spike....
23/01/2018 19:19
John1234 Ringgit has appreciated steadily against USD in the past month. From TA Securities research house, a stronger ringgit would benefit the company more.
23/01/2018 19:39
sapurakencana dont 100% base on research house recommendation,do your home work before invest even this counter is a good counter for me.
23/01/2018 21:46
keyin No more hope for this year
23/01/2018 22:49
Lew Chin Hoong dont trust research house +1
23/01/2018 23:39
John1234 Well, we shall see if the research house is trustworthy or simply the job of the operator to collect low....
24/01/2018 07:07
KYY SureWin Don't ever trust research houses. They makan and party with operators. Only release news to psycho ikan bilis
24/01/2018 07:14
sapurakencana 花莎尼进口大量奶粉,强马币将使成本大幅减低

RM/USD strong from RM4.15 to RM3.916 today,i sure this factor also wil benefit johotin for the coming 2 quarter.let wait & see
24/01/2018 21:02
John1234 Wow, F & N emerges as a top gainer this morning. When is Johore Tin's turn to go up? Do not tell me the operator is still collecting...hehe
25/01/2018 11:32
sapurakencana he test your patient,be careful.
25/01/2018 12:50
LuckyG when it go up suddenly all the 2nd seller 3rd seller 4th seller 5th seller volume dissapear .....
26/01/2018 10:37
John1234 Yes, this counter has a lot of "fake" vol. Operator wanted to push it up this morning, only to find a lack of speculative demand and pushed it back again. A real joke!

Chartwise, still trending down with some "fake" buying supports and no signs of a trend reversal yet. Cannot chase high, even when ringgit can be soaring. Need to wait for the next quarterly report out to provide clarity.

Just my observations...
26/01/2018 17:12
sapurakencana If this quarter report we expect wil improve compare with previous quarter,let check the PE- Johotin PE 11.38 ,F&N PE32.96 , Can one PE6.9 & Nestle PE41.55.
Guess who wil outperform by end of Feb2018. (in percentage increase)
29/01/2018 10:18
pc_FA http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/kianweiaritcles/145984.jsp
31/01/2018 12:48
pc_FA http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/company-announcements/5681689
02/02/2018 21:05
pc_FA “股价跌跌不休 柔佛珍路不平” Latest The Busy Weekly got an article about Johotin.
03/02/2018 23:41
mrinvestor12 http://www.mrinvestor12.com/2018/02/johore-tin-berhad-7167.html
05/02/2018 08:58
sapurakencana now seem like support at RM1.25,nowbody want to sell at this price.
05/02/2018 15:04
LuckyG i thought can drop till 1.20 for me to collect ......
05/02/2018 16:35
WaAdaLui Hi.... Everybody still OK?
06/02/2018 11:23
keyin Die
06/02/2018 11:29
Chia Foo Lim no eyes see
06/02/2018 11:55
LuckyG still haven`t bought back yet ...... hahaha i sold 40% near 1.36-1.39
06/02/2018 13:08
LuckyG for sure i will buy back . confident johotin doing better and better
06/02/2018 13:11
LuckyG no drop now nice ?
06/02/2018 16:26
WaAdaLui Aiyo. Rebound le
06/02/2018 17:13
newbie009 strong support at 1.25!
06/02/2018 17:14
LuckyG today so many sellers lolx
07/02/2018 10:17
WaAdaLui Yaya.... manyak seller, total 2248lot traded as at 11.55am... Huhuhu.....
07/02/2018 11:55
pc_FA JOHOTIN的基本面分享和Q417预测

股市近日血流成河,特地加了基本面分享让大伙儿多点专注生意,远离股市。基本面的重点的是企业的财务基础及其营运流程,所看的是它们是否健全及顺利,两者互相支撑及互相辅助。财务营运良好者即能为企业创造更多盈利,更能成长进步及回馈股东。而这一切都得取决于管理层的努力,领导及决策。

如果以上条件都符合的公司,我们会称之为优质股。优质股拥有一些特质,如冷前辈指出:有成长,强现金流,高股东回酬,合理本益比,派股息。现在让我们以这些特质从新解读今天的柔佛珍,看它是否还是一颗珍珠。

成长:管理层的扩充计划已经在上一篇列出。除了内部努力,外在的因素如人们对产品的需求也是重要一环。Diaries消费品可以说是很稳定的一门生意,如今Johotin已经越过了dairies的生产门槛,接下来的努力应该是积极维持和提高质量及品牌。看每一季的季报,管理层都会提及dairies的high demand和growing,如果继续把握商机,必能蒸蒸日上。

现金流:强劲现金流必须要有多余的净营运现金,那才能让企业有空间发挥。一般来说管理层有三项选择来运用多余现金:扩充,还债,派息。Johotin在这方面是三管齐下。扩充上篇有提到,努力不曾间断。还债更是积极,尤其是这两年,债务单单在2016即从107.5mil减至66.4mil。而20173Q里继续降低至46.3mil。手持现金则在这期间从36.9mil增至57.6mil,晋升为净现金企业。除此以外,它也不忘年年派息。

股东回酬:此指标用作衡量管理层如何利用股东们的每一份钱及资源。
2015年 = 17.3/194.8 = 8.8%
2016年 = 36.1/225.1 = 16.0%
2017年 = 预计12~15%
以上%解释说管理层能将你投入的每10块,每年创造80cent ~ 160cent的价值。

本益比:以今天计算大约10~11,算是合理。
股息:每年2~4cent股息。预计债务进一步降低后股息会随着稳定或进一步提高。

Q417 业绩预测
对我来说这一季的业绩有两个不确定性:
1. 马币升值带来的影响
2. 管理层是否还会拨备坏账

对于汇率,有人说Johotin是出口股(大部分USD),马币强会影响盈利。有者则说升值可以降低它的原料进口成本,有利。谁是谁非?我们还是看数字吧,以下是过去7个季度的汇率波动,gross profit margin以及外汇盈损的数据。

Gross Profit是营业额减去成本(原料及人力)的金额,观察此数字或许可以给我们成本影响盈利的方向。从以下数据看,不难发现在马币走强期间,GP margin普遍都很稳定于14~14.5%,虽说成本减低但利润也随着外汇走低。但如果在单季内马币转弱,尤其是低于上个季度很多时,那margin会升高至18%,这可能是低买高卖的原理(Q316和Q416)。但如果马币长期处于弱势,那margin就会因高成本而下降,就如Q117只有12.5%。

至于外汇盈损,johotin有自己的自然缓冲。管理层会将receivables及payable (大多数是USD)的差额做short term foreign currency forward contract来降低外汇风险。最近几季来看都做得蛮好的。个人对Q4还是有点期待,营业额应该会继续升。但基于最近世道不好,保守估计140mil。

在没有坏账拨备的情况下:
Gross profit ~ 20mil (14% margin)
Expenses ~ (4 + 3.5) = 7.5mil
PBT 保守估计 ~ 12.5mil
PAT 大约 9.5mil (EPS 大约3cents)

Gross Profit Q116 to Q317
Note: Gain on disposal Of PPE is deducted

Q116 USD 4.28 to 3.96
GP 13.4/91.58 = 14.6%
Foreign Ex = 0.23mil

Q216 USD 3.96 to 4.06
GP 16.6/115.35 = 14.4%
Foreign Ex = 3.05mil

Q316 USD 4.05 to 4.13
GP 21.6/115.8 = 18.65%
Foreign Ex = 0.15mil

Q416 USD 4.11 to 4.48
GP 22.3/118.7 = 18.7%
Foreign Ex = 0.09mil

Q117 USD 4.48 to 4.41
GP 12.9/102.6 = 12.5%
Foreign Ex = 0.89mil

Q217 USD 4.41 to 4.28
GP 18.0/123.4 = 14.5%
Foreign Ex = 0.13mil

Q317 USD 4.28 to 4.20
GP 18.75/132.9 = 14.1%
Foreign Ex = 1.27mil

声明:本人所有帖文均是为个人投资功课做记录以方便将来跟进,所有分享皆属个人观点。读者请自行检测数据及分析。

***取自<小商人>FB专页
07/02/2018 12:43
LuckyG anyone got news to share ? look at the transaction should have something
08/02/2018 10:04
WaAdaLui Dun no wo. Good or Bad?
08/02/2018 10:56
LuckyG Should be good news
08/02/2018 11:10
husky88 Need hold another one or two year .
19/02/2018 10:14
mrinvestor12 http://www.mrinvestor12.com/2018/02/johore-tin-berhad-7167.html
19/02/2018 10:57


 

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