Last Price Today's Change   Day's Range   Trading Volume
3.50   0.00 (0.00%)  0.00 - 0.00  0
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  5 people like this.
chankp7010 This morning "Success" has actually fallen by RM0.25 or 6.25%. This is indeed very steep and I just wonder if this is the beginning for its downfall or not. Any Sifu can help? Thank you
30/05/2017 09:49
riskabsorber QoQ drop almost 40%, share price run prior to the QR released, insider started to cash out before the QR.
30/05/2017 09:57
value_trading In the current bear market, if EPS is falling, no point for you to keep. Even those company with good EPS like annjoo, choobee, petron , stock price already fall like hell. Hard to imagine what will happen to SUCCESS, which post a falling eps. Forget about the counter and look for other better company!
30/05/2017 10:00
value_trading 3.68 now(8% loss for the day) , heading towards 3.65! Good luck to those who still hold on... success is turning to failure!
30/05/2017 10:20
value_trading Touch 3.65 !!! Next heading to 3.58! Sell and keep ur capital for other better stock! Come back later if you still love success!
30/05/2017 10:24
Mohd Fahmi Bin Jaes warning sell
30/05/2017 23:44
pantor high chance of going down again.as the trading volume too thin, it may come down very fast
31/05/2017 00:31
ragingharrypotato Good good, continue hating on a solid company with cheap valuations. I love the hate. Cause mama told me, one man's thrash is another's treasure.
31/05/2017 15:05
Dolly_Chai2 haha.. well said ragingharrypotato... if not bcoz of these haters.. how could we collect at good price?
05/06/2017 12:38
Dolly_Chai2 EPS fluctuates from quarter to quarter... that we cant even predict.. but we should look at more solid fundamentals such as trailing ROIC & EV/EBIT (magic formula), CY, DCF model etc...
05/06/2017 12:40
Dolly_Chai2 Some sharing on my latest calculation on the intrinsic value of SUCCESS:

Assumption: Q4 2017 is same as Q3 (which is a very conservative estimation as Q3 is the softest among the 3Qs in 2017).

Assume EV/EBIT = 10, EV wil be: RM701.910mil
Market Capitalization (MC) will be: RM663.065mil

Intrinsic Value based on EV/EBIT = RM5.7732

Assume PE = 12, Share price = RM4.763765542

Average (PE & IV) selling price = RM5.2685

I normally take the average of PE valution & EV/EBIT... this is my own method, of course there are other methods...

But a high level view shows that the share price should be around RM4.76 to RM5.77.

Let's take the average of RM5.27. Today's price = RM3.63
margin of safety = 45%

Other valuations (trailing 3Q 2017+ estimated Q4 2017 result):
EY = EBIT/EV = 15.17% (Excellent)
ROIC = EBIT/IC = 21.47% (Excellent)
ROE = 15.64% (Great)
FCF at Mar 31st 2017 = RM54.363mil, CY = 12.83% (Excellent)
Price/Book = 1.45 (OK)
Operation cash flow/net profit = 1.31 (great)
FCF/invested capital = 16.63% (excellent)
FCF/Revenue = 13.76% (excellent)
03/07/2017 14:55
nikicheong LOL dude that's how you calculate intrinsic value? Pluck some figure out of your back and peg EV/EBIT at 10 and PE at 12? Damn that's sad.
13/07/2017 23:10
Dolly_Chai2 niki, everyone has his own way of defining intrinsic value... u sound super expert so why don't u point out to me which part of my calculation is plucked from the sky and is baseless?
and why don't you share to all of us how you do ur own calculation?
i believe many of us are very interested to know..

pls enlighten us instead of just the pure mockery...
17/07/2017 15:03
Dolly_Chai2 i do use some other methods like DCF (discounted cash flow), DDM (discounted dividend model), etc to do my valuations sometimes.. but it varies from case to case...

pls enlighten us....
17/07/2017 15:04
Dolly_Chai2 of course, that does not mean i do not look into the business and prospect of the company.. what i wanted to say is that, business must be supported by real numbers...
17/07/2017 15:17
Dolly_Chai2 most ppl are only interested in the business prospect/expansion but many have neglected the valuations that are supported by numbers. That is the purpose why I am pointing these out.
Value investment is a metric method that must be supported by actual fundamental numbers...
18/07/2017 09:54
Dolly_Chai2 nikicheong, I saw some of your comments in Prlexus forum. Though most of them are rather silly and made me feel sick/super funny, i did not bother to even comment about it bcoz i think that is your own way of investing.

Since you wanted to openly discuss this, let me ask you back...
you acted and sounded like a "prediction expert" in predicting how low prlexus price can go to...
i guess u must have a crystal ball in front of u... but what is funny is.. u kept revising/lowering your target entry price (for you to buy)... haha... how did u derive that target entry price? pluck from sky? why keep lowering (just bcoz u see it drops more so u lowered it)?

u may end up not buying any share as you think you can time the best price and bottom fish...
that is super funny... a value investor will buy a share when it is trading below its intrinsic value and has room for safety margin. It is impossible to time the bottom price.. as long as it is undervalued, we can still buy if we still have bullets... and then sit there and wait for it to realize its value..
18/07/2017 10:01
ragingharrypotato A hedge fund manager with impeccable track record once said, if i do good valuation work, he guarantees that the market will agree with me. He just doesn't tell me when.

So to the naysayers, enjoy the victory while it lasts. The market will prove eventually by investing in Success, I will be right and you will be wrong.
18/07/2017 16:08
Dolly_Chai2 well said ragingharrypotato...
20/07/2017 12:28
ttluck its moving......time to get some...
28/08/2017 12:45
chankp7010 Still no news on QR this afternoon. Do you think QR is bad? I would think so as most companies would do so if the QR is bad and push till the last day of the permitted time to release its results.
30/08/2017 16:09
ginvin Superb! This is so undervalue now!
30/08/2017 19:51
nocindycat wow, super good profits and operating cash flow
31/08/2017 11:47
ginvin Net cash company soon to be! Wohoo.... bottom line will further improve with no interest charges
31/08/2017 13:28
Harold Huong Fly High...
31/08/2017 20:23
03/09/2017 21:30
Dolly_Chai2 wow... superb quarterly results but today the price goes down?
haha.. too fishy... must be some operators purposely pulling it down to collect...

EPS of over 40sen a year.. and look at how much they paid back the bank loan this quarter.. and the strong operating cash flow... now cash at hand almost catch up with the total short + long term loan... going to be net cash soon maybe next quarter...

so u can understand now why operators keep pushing the price down despite the excellent result...

i am still holding it tight.. not to let go a single share yet.. hehe
05/09/2017 11:36
ttluck i think due to market sentiment.....North Korea missile issue....but good....keep more dropping...then can enter more....
05/09/2017 12:45
ttluck nice drop....time to accumulate....yum yum..
05/09/2017 15:25
ginvin me too, collect collect, bargain bargain!
05/09/2017 16:18
ttluck good.....get some first....
06/09/2017 15:42
Alibabah Dropped again...
07/09/2017 10:20
ttluck time to get more...slowly...
07/09/2017 11:27
Dolly_Chai2 an intentional suppress on the price is quite obvious, especially after the release of superb result...
something super fishy now.. haha... interesting...
07/09/2017 14:51
Kays The calling price spread is wide, can't figure why this company doesn't attract investors, even though its a good company.
08/09/2017 12:35
ttluck this comp need time to be SUCCESS!!!
will be rewarded soon...
12/09/2017 10:17
ginvin http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/company-announcements/5542005
13/09/2017 09:45
ginvin 5c div declared
13/09/2017 09:48
ttluck good....comp tried to reward shareholders...
13/09/2017 10:14
ginvin comp tried hard to reward, but the share price somehow work the other way round ^^p
13/09/2017 10:24
Kays Still can't figure out what's wrong with this stock, every day ending red!
27/09/2017 11:31
monkeyinvestor drop more buy more hold until rich
03/10/2017 17:29
Dolly_Chai2 glad to see that the price is finally picking up steam now, after the release of superb results
04/10/2017 15:00
Dolly_Chai2 per my calculation based on an average value of EV/EBIT & PE, the share price should be worth at least RM5. This has not even taken into account of the bright future of SUCCESS in its particular industry.
04/10/2017 15:03
lilu Agree. That growing sales, margin, and minimal capital expenditure make it so attractive
04/10/2017 20:37
Mc_Wei Now makes sense why price was pushed down last month. To set reinvestment price at RM3.10.
07/10/2017 10:18
sklyte Share split! 3.80 tomorrow!
09/10/2017 20:39
ginvin good qr, good dividend, share split..... but no price movement! what is going on?!?!?
11/10/2017 21:36
apolloang good one mostly no up,except for the bad apples.rotten stocks only up,maybe nowdays non education people only trade in bursa is it?
11/10/2017 22:20
Desirees operators no goreng .
13/10/2017 15:18


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