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Author: MalaccaSecurities   |   Latest post: Fri, 5 Mar 2021, 9:40 AM

 

Mplus Market Pulse - 5 Mar 2021

Author: MalaccaSecurities   |  Publish date: Fri, 5 Mar 2021, 9:40 AM


Market Review

Malaysia: The FBM KLCI (-0.5%) retreated alongside with the weakness across regional peers with close to two-third of the key index components ended in the red yesterday. The lower liners also ended lower, while the broader market ended mostly negative with the technology sector (-1.9%) underperformed, following the rout on Nasdaq overnight.

Global markets: The US stockmarkets suffered another setback as the Dow (-1.1%) extended its losses or the third straight session with treasury yields continue to ascend, whilst the Nasdaq (-2.1%) erased its YTD gains. European stockmarkets finished mostly lower, while Asia stockmarkets ended on a negative tone.

The Day Ahead

The FBM KLCI settled in red in tandem with the regional peers as selling pressure in the glove stocks returned, offsetting the gains on the banking heavyweights following the unchanged Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) by Bank Negara Malaysia. Tracking the losses on Wall Street overnight, we expect the local bourse may continue to consolidate further as market players are likely to trade on a cautious tone on the broader market. Nevertheless, we expect traders to position themselves for the recovery theme as Covid-19 vaccination is taking place. Meanwhile, the Brent oil price has surged firmly above USD65.

Sector focus: Given the negative backdrop on Nasdaq, we reckon traders will shift the focus from technology stocks to O&G stocks given the firm Brent oil price. Meanwhile, recovery theme sector will be focused and we expect funds will lookout for banking, insurance, telco, transportation, construction and property sectors today.

The FBM KLCI has seen a pullback, snapping its two-day gains. Technical indicators remained mixed as the MACD Histogram extended another green bar, but the RSI is hovering below 50. Further consolidation might take place with support level pegged at 1,550 and resistance at 1,600-1,620 over the near term.

Company Brief

PPB Group Bhd plans to expand its grains and agribusiness segment especially its flour milling capacity in Malaysia and other countries in the region. As for now, the group is in the midst of constructing a new wheat flour mill in Quang Ninh Province in Vietnam which has the capacity to produce 500T/d and is slated to be completed by 3Q2021. (The Star)

Tenaga Nasional Bhd wholly-owned subsidiary TNB Renewables Sdn Bhd will buy a 39.0% stake in a 21.6MW project comprising five rooftop solar power plants in Vietnam from Singapore's Sunseap Group. The acquisition will serve as a beachhead for TNB to establish a local presence in Vietnam and expand into the rapidly growing renewable energy (RE) and utility market there. TNB's statement, however, did not specify the acquisition price and where the solar power plants are located. (The Edge)

Sasbadi Holdings Bhd has inked an RM722,400 contract with the Community Development Department (KEMAS) to publish, design, print, bind, supply and deliver the English activity book for six-year-old nursery care centre children. The period of the contract is from 1st March 2021 to 28th February 2023. (The Edge)

Sunway Bhd has set a sales target of RM1.60bn for its property division in 2021, as the group launches RM2.80bn worth of properties in anticipation of an economic recovery, amid the global Covid-19 vaccine rollout. 40% or RM1.10bn worth of the property launches will be in the Klang Valley, including Sunway Belfield in Kuala Lumpur city centre with a gross development value of RM320.0m. (The Edge)

MPHB Capital Bhd has received an unusual market activity query from Bursa Malaysia over the sharp rise in the company’s share price. The stock exchange regulator asked the company if there were any corporate developments relating to its business that had not been announced. (The Edge)

Lotte Chemical Titan Holdings Bhd sees a brighter outlook for the company, thanks to a continued uptrend in average selling prices of polymer products. The strong prices are expected to either hold or increase, mainly buoyed by brightening economic recovery prospects with global vaccination roll-outs, complemented by a sudden polymer supply shortage in the Southeast Asian region caused by ongoing shipping container issues which curtailed imported polymer supplies from other regions. (The Edge)

Source: Mplus Research - 5 Mar 2021

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Mplus Market Pulse - 4 Mar 2021

Author: MalaccaSecurities   |  Publish date: Thu, 4 Mar 2021, 9:43 AM


Market Review

Malaysia: The FBM KLCI (+1.2%) delivered a sturdy performance to extend its gains, largely boosted by bargain hunting activities in gloves heavyweights. The lower liners also rebounded, while the broader market ended finished mostly higher, anchored by the healthcare sector (+2.6%).

Global markets: The US stockmarkets extended their losses as the Dow (-0.4%) fell into the negative territory in the final trading hour as selloff in technology stocks intensified to overshadow the gains in banking stocks after the 10Y Treasury yield rose towards near 1.5%; Nasdaq plunged 2.7%. Both the European and Asia stockmarkets ended on a positive tone.

The Day Ahead

Bargain hunting activities emerged on the glove counters after more than one week of pullback, lifting the FBM KLCI and the healthcare sector higher. Market will be looking forward to the second Monetary Policy Committee meeting today to gauge market movements. However, economists anticipate an unchanged stance on the Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) amid expectation of an economic recovery. We believe the lower liners will continue to remain upbeat if the positive market sentiment persists. Meanwhile, the Brent oil price has seen a rebound.

Sector focus: Given the daily Covid-19 confirmed cases remained below 2,000 for the third straight day, we believe the traders will focus on recovery-theme sectors such as aviation, consumer products and gaming. Besides, traders may look out for oil & gas and plantation counters given the rebound in commodities prices.

The FBM KLCI advanced and closed slightly above the EMA 120 level. Technical indicators have turned slightly positive with the MACD Histogram extending another green bar, while the RSI crossed above 50. We expect the key index to move within the sideways drift, with the support level pegged at 1,560 and resistance is envisaged around 1,600-1,620 over the near term.

Company Brief

Yinson Holdings Bhd’s 80% owned Rising Sun Energy (K) Pvt Ltd (RSEK) has secured the letter of award to develop 190.0MW grid-connected solar photovoltaic power project in Rajasthan, India. The Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) is to supply 25 years of solar power generated electricity to NTPC Ltd. The contract was estimated to be valued at RM1.50bn and is scheduled to commence in April 2022. (The Star)

Datasonic Group Bhd has teamed up with a partner in Vietnam to target electronic passport and other ICT projects. The company has entered into a teaming agreement with Pham Gia Ecocon Plus Vietnam Co Ltd to work together in proposing the e-Passport and/or other ICT projects to the Ministry of Public Security in Vietnam. The agreement is for a period of five years. (The Star)

MyEG Services Bhd’s 4QFY21 net profit rose 6.7% YoY to RM75.5m, boosted by revenue from Covid-19 health screenings, and online motorcycle insurance and road tax renewal service. Revenue for the quarter increased 10.1% YoY to RM149.9m. A final dividend of 1.7 sen per share was proposed. (The Edge)

Genting Malaysia Bhd’s senior management team has taken a temporary voluntary 20.0% salary cut for three months, and the company has written to staff for them to consider a variation in their employment contract, with a suggested variation staggered depending on job grade, from 15.0-20.0% reduction in salary or one day no pay leave per week. (The Edge)

Vivocom Inernational Holdings Bhd has proposed a private placement to raise gross proceeds of up to M99.4m, paired with one-for-three bonus warrants. The placement size represents 10.0% of its total issued shares, and will be offered to third party investors to be identified later. The placement shares may be issued based on a discount of up to 10.0% to the five-day volume-weighted average market price of Vivocom shares immediately preceding the price-fixing date. (The Edge)

MISC Bhd has completed its maiden ethane cargo delivery, which is also the largest to-date in the history of ethane shipping at over 51,000 tonnes. Its first very large ethane carrier (VLEC) Seri Everest has completed the cargo discharge at Lianyungang port, Jiangsu province, China on 28th February 2021. (The Edge)

Jaycorp Bhd has announced it has voluntarily decided to halt operations at its 60.0%-owned joint-venture company Honsoar Jaycorp Cabinetry Sdn Bhd for 10 days for sanitisation purposes. This was after 28 employees were tested positive for Covid-19, from 137 employees screened in Kawasan Perindustrian Sri Gading, Batu Pahat, Johor. (The Edge)

Nexgram Holdings Bhd has proposed to cancel RM142.6m of its issued share capital, in a move to reduce the group’s accumulated losses. The exercise will enable it to reduce its accumulated losses via cancellation of the share capital which is lost or unpresented by available assets of the group. (The Edge)

Greatech Technology Bhd is erecting a second factory building at Batu Kawan Industrial Park to relocate its Kedah manufacturing and assembly operations to a single location at Batu Kawan Industrial Park in Penang. Its wholly-owned subsidiary Greatech Integration (M) Sdn Bhd has awarded the letter of award for the construction of the main building works today. (The Edge)

Minetech Resources Bhd has registered as a solar photovoltaic (PV) investor with Sustainable Energy Development Authority Malaysia under the Net-Energy Metering (NEM 3.0) Programme. As a registered PV investor, the group is now allowed to sell electricity via the renewable power purchase agreement under the NEM 3.0 programme to government agencies, businesses and individuals. (The Edge)

Source: Mplus Research - 4 Mar 2021

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Mplus Market Pulse - 3 Mar 2021

Author: MalaccaSecurities   |  Publish date: Wed, 3 Mar 2021, 9:26 AM


Market Review

Malaysia: The FBM KLCI (+0.2%) managed to hold onto its gains after coming off from its intraday high as close to two-third of the key index components ended higher yesterday. The lower liners, however, extended their losses, while the broader market ended mixed with the energy sector (-2.5%) taking the heaviest beating after crude oil prices retreated.

Global markets: The US stockmarkets retreated overnight as the Dow slipped 0.5% after enduring a choppy trading session amid concern over the stretched valuations, particularly in technology shares. European stockmarkets ended mildly higher, but Asia stockmarkets finished mostly downbeat after the People Bank of China may consider deleveraging to contain the risk of assets bubble.

The Day Ahead

Bucking the downturn across the regional markets, the FBM KLCI ended modestly higher as continued selling in glove heavyweights were offset by buying support in IHH and selected banking heavyweights. We believe the local bourse should trade in an upward bias tone following the change of MCO status for Selangor, Johor, Penang and KL. Meanwhile, the number of Covid-19 confirmed cases daily has dropped to year-to-date low. However, note that the negative sentiment on Wall Street overnight could cap the upside potential on the local front.

Sector focus: We believe the news on the easing of travel restrictions would continue to attract buyers in the recovery theme stocks; traders may focus sectors such as consumer, poultry, and retailing as well as construction sector. Meanwhile, technology stocks may be lifted by UWC’s result.

The FBM KLCI declined for the third session and the technicals indicators were still slightly negative; MACD Line is still below zero, while the RSI remained below 50. Given the technical reading remained on the negative side, we expect the key index to further rangebound between support and resistance of 1,550-1,620, respectively.

Company Brief

Tenaga Nasional Bhd's subsidiary TNB Renewables Sdn Bhd has entered into a collaboration with Singapore-based Sunseap Group to tap into the renewable energy (RE) and corporate power purchase agreement market in Singapore. The partnership represents its first foray into Singapore's RE market and is an important milestone in the expansion of its international RE footprint into Southeast Asia. (The Star)

UWC Bhd’s 2QFY21 net profit jumped 104.7% YoY to RM27.2m, due to higher revenue recorded amid strong global demand in the semiconductor industry. Revenue for the quarter gained 41.6% YoY to RM77.8m. (The Edge)

Grand-Flo Bhd which has proposed to change its name from Grand-Flo to NCT Alliance Bhd is planning to buy two properties in Genting Highlands — the land and project development rights of an ongoing mixed development known as Grand Ion Majestic (GIM), and the adjacent serviced apartments and commercial lots of a completed project known as Grand Ion Delemen (GID) for RM422.9m. At the same time, it has proposed to undertake private placement exercises to raise over RM75.0m to fund its current and upcoming property development projects. (The Edge)

CB Industrial Product Holdings Bhd (CBIP) wholly-owned PalmitEco Engineering Sdn Bhd (PESB) has shut its manufacturing facility in Selangor until 11th March 2021, after 45 of its employees tested positive for Covid-19. The 14-day temporary closure of the manufacturing facility in Telok Panglima Garang started on 26th February 2021. (The Edge)

Advancecon Holdings Bhd wholly-owned unit Advancecon Infra Sdn Bhd (AISB) has been appointed a subcontractor for ground treatment works for Section 4 of the East Coast Rail Link (ECRL) project for RM14.6m. It is the second ECRL subcontract announced by AISB this year, and the fourth one since September 2020. (The Edge)

TH Heavy Engineering Bhd (THHE) has announced that the settlement amount agreed between the group and PTTEP Sarawak Oil Ltd (formerly known as Murphy Sarawak Oil Co Ltd) was about RM16.0m. (The Edge)

Techfast Holdings Bhd is proposing to diversify into the trading of petroleum products, oil bunkering, and other related businesses. The business diversification will reduce the company's sole reliance on its existing manufacturing business. (The Edge)

Kanger Holdings Bhd has bagged a contract to build two blocks of serviced apartments totalling RM478.0m in Genting Highlands. Its subsidiary Kanger Ventures Sdn Bhd, which has entered into a collaboration agreement with Vegetta Champion Sdn Bhd will be responsible for the entire project management, financial and entire administration of this development. The project is expected to commence in June 2021 and will take approximately 48 months to be completed. (The Edge)

Mieco Chipboard Bhd has proposed a 3-for-5 bonus issue which entails the issuance of 315.0m shares in the company. As at the last practicable date prior to the announcement, Mieco had an issued share capital of 525.0m shares amounting to RM215.9m. (The Edge)

Source: Mplus Research - 3 Mar 2021

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Mplus Market Pulse - 2 Mar 2021

Author: MalaccaSecurities   |  Publish date: Tue, 2 Mar 2021, 8:54 AM


Market Review

Malaysia: Selling pressure, particularly from gloves heavyweights sent the FBM KLCI (-0.7%) to close lower as the key index underperformed the mostly positive performance across its regional peers. The lower liners extended their losses, while the broader market ended mixed with the healthcare sector (-1.9%) underperformed.

Global markets: The US stockmarkets staged a sharp recovery as the Dow jumped 2.0% as investors brushed off the concern over the rising Treasury yields, coupled with the strong Institute for Supply Management PMI data at 60.8 in February 2021; the strongest expansion since February 2018. Both the European and Asia stockmarkets also ended higher yesterday.

The Day Ahead

The FBM KLCI ended the first trading session of March in red amid continued selling pressure in glove heavyweights following further developments on Covid-19 vaccine. Although the arrival of the Covid-19 vaccine has dented the sentiment on healthcare sector, the local bourse was supported by the positive sentiment on the recovery-theme sectors. Meanwhile, we also expect 5G and tech stocks to trade firmer following overnight Nasdaq performance.

Sector focus: Following the gradual reopening economic activities, we believe traders will focus on recovery theme sectors such as tourism and gaming as well as aviation stocks. We noticed market participants have been trading actively on construction, property and O&G stocks as they are perceived to be playing a catch up in the short to mid-term. Besides, traders may look out for technology stocks tracking the gain in US.

The FBM KLCI ended below the EMA120 level with milder volume. Technical indicators have turned red as the MACD Histogram formed a red bar, while the RSI remained below 50. We expect the key index to trade sideways with the support pegged at 1,570, and the resistance level envisaged around 1,600-1,620.

Company Brief

AMMB Holdings Bhd’s (AmBank) 3QFY21 net profit fell 31.0% YoY to RM263.8m, due to higher allowance for impairment on loans, advances, and financing. Revenue for the quarter slipped 11.8% YoY to RM2.09bn.(The Star)

Heitech Padu Bhd has secured a RM33.9m contract to maintain and service the Immigration Department’s Malaysian Immigration System (myIMMs). The contract is for a period of 36 months commencing from 18th February 2021 to 17th February 2024. (The Star)

Advancecon Holdings Bhd's 30.0%-owned Advancecon Sarawak Sdn Bhd has accepted a letter of award from Wenan Steel (Malaysia) Sdn Bhd to be the main contractor for the earthworks of an iron and steel production complex in Bintulu, Sarawak, for RM153.5m. The contract shall commence from 15th March 2021 to 14th March 2022. (The Star)

Pharmaniaga Bhd has appointed Datuk Seri Mohamed Shazalli Ramly as the non independent non-executive chairman of Pharmaniaga Bhd effective 1st March 2021. Meanwhile, Boustead's executive director of group business development Izaddeen Daud has also joined the board of Pharmaniaga as a non-independent and non-executive director. (The Edge)

Top Glove Corporation Bhd’s executive chairman Tan Sri Dr Lim Wee Chai has purchased more shares of the group, as the counter fell to an eight-month low. Lim has raised his direct shareholding in the group to 26.4% or 2.11bn shares, after he acquired 4.0m shares at RM4.93 each. Lim also has an indirect stake of 8.7% or 692.2m shares in Top Glove. (The Edge)

Sime Darby Plantation Bhd has established an Expert Stakeholder Human Rights Assessment Commission, and appointed Impactt Ltd as a third-party assessor to conduct a comprehensive evaluation of the group’s labour practices across its Malaysian operations. For the stakeholder panel, the members include Shift (the leading centre of expertise on the UN Guiding Principles on Business and Human Rights), migrant worker rights activist and human rights researcher Andy Hall, and a representative of the National Union of Plantation Workers (NUPW). (The Edge)

Uzma Bhd is acquiring stakes in two renewable energy (RE) companies for RM5.4m, in a bid to enter the RE sector with a primary focus on solar energy. Uzma said it has entered into a conditional share sale agreement with Mohd Syahrul Nizar Abdul Ghani to acquire a 49.0% stake in Suria Infiniti Sdn Bhd and a 100.0% stake in Mahendran Surya Innovations Sdn Bhd. (The Edge)

Source: Mplus Research - 2 Mar 2021

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Serba Dinamik Holdings Bhd - Another record breaking year ahead

Author: MalaccaSecurities   |  Publish date: Mon, 1 Mar 2021, 10:17 AM


Summary

  • Serba Dinamik Holdings Bhd’s 4QFY20 net profit climbed 43.5% YoY to RM202.1m, underpinned by higher contribution across all business segments. Revenue for the quarter rose 33.4% YoY to RM1.82bn. For FY20, cumulative net profit added 27.2% YoY to RM631.7m. Revenue for the year gained 32.8% YoY to RM6.01bn.
  • The reported earnings came slightly above our forecast, accounting to 107.5% of our full year net profit forecast of RM587.8m and 110.1% of consensus forecast of RM573.7m. The reported revenue also came slightly above expectations, amounting to 110.5% of our full year estimate of RM5.44bn and 114.0% of consensus revenue of RM5.27bn.
  • Net gearing level in FY20 stood at 0.9x (unchanged since 3QFY20) as the group continues to hinge on external borrowings to cater for business expansion. Albeit that, the recent completion of private placement is expected to pare down the net gearing to 0.6x in FY21f and improve net margins by approximately 1.0% per annum. A fourth interim dividend of 1.6 sen per share, payable on 30th March 2021 was declared.
  • We opine that the latest bulk of contract wins in January 2021 reinforced our views on Serba Dinamik’s capabilities in securing recurring and new projects within the oil & gas industry. At the same time, the recent recovery in crude oil prices, coupled with the acceleration of Covid-19 vaccine rollout bodes well with major oil & gas players are potentially looking towards an upward revision in their CAPEX plans for 2021.
  • While the oil & gas business segment will continue to anchor the overall earnings growth, Serba Dinamik is gradually shifting towards other business segments, particularly the ICT business segment. For the time being, the ICT segment orderbook of approximately RM2.2bn (close to 12.0% of total orderbook of RM18.7bn) will sustain earnings visibility over the foreseeable future.

Valuation & Recommendation

  • We tweaked our earnings higher by 8.9% and 5.7% to RM674.7m and RM714.2m for FY21f and FY22f respectively, on the back of the higher contribution from the O&M segment. After taking into account of the recent completion of private placement, we maintain our BUY recommendation, but with a lower target price RM2.37 (from RM2.41). Our target price is derived by ascribing a target PER of 13.0x to its FY21f EPS of 18.1 sen.
  • We continue to like Serba Dinamik as one of the key players in the oil & gas industry, backed by its sturdy orderbook comprising of dozens of jobs from local and overseas that will provide long-term earnings visibility, coupled with the group’s on going diversification effort into businesses that generates recurring income.
  • Risks to our recommendation include failure to hit the targeted outstanding orderbook of RM18.00bn by end-FY21, while a firmer ringgit against the USD could affect the group’s bottom line as it will have a negative impact on the group’s earnings and vice versa with majority of existing orderbook derived from overseas.

Source: Mplus Research - 1 Mar 2021

Labels: SERBADK
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OCK Group Bhd - Recovery largely on track

Author: MalaccaSecurities   |  Publish date: Mon, 1 Mar 2021, 10:16 AM


Summary

  • We attended the post quarter results analyst briefing and came away feeling re assured on OCK Group Bhd (OCK) recovery moving into FY21f. FY20 was largely affected by the slowdown of sites deployment due to the Covid-19 pandemic with domestic mechanical & engineering works were halted for several months. Moving into the FY21f, we note that the re-implementation of Movement Control Order (MCO 2.0) will be less severe given the relaxation of business operations, whilst the deployment of Covid-19 vaccination may provide some relieve, particularly towards end-2021.
  • On the local front, we gather that OCK has participated on the Jalinan Digital Negara (JENDELA) that aims to increase 4G coverage in Malaysia from 91.8% to 96.9%. At the same time, OCK is well positioned to support the relatively large scale roll out for 5G, leveraging on their technical competencies with OCK eyeing on a slice from approximately new 1,600 towers valued at RM6.0bn in tender.
  • Regionally, we understand that Indonesia’s operations are well supported by more than 48,000 sites (including Malaysia) will continue to provide a stream of recurring income over the long term period. OCK remains committed to increase their tower portfolio, riding on their position as the leader for network managed services in Indonesia and Malaysia.
  • Elsewhere, Myanmar’s state of emergency will result in mild hiccup on the rollout of 200-300 towers orderbook in 2021 amid the shortened operating hours. Nevertheless, we note that majority of existing orderbook are located at 2nd-tier cities which has minimal impact from the on-going protests at larger cities. With the current tenancy ratio stagnating at approximately 1.3x in Vietnam, OCK will be deploying more aggressive marketing strategy in FY21f.
  • On the green energy & power solutions segment, the management remain committed to expand their recurring business income. We gather that the finalisation of Large Scale Solar 4 (LSS4) project is expected to come into picture in coming few months with OCK tendering for 50MW at Kelantan. Still, we think that the telecommunication network services will continue to anchor growth over the foreseeable future.

Valuation & Recommendation

  • With the recovery is largely in place and regional expansion remains on track, we made no changes to our earnings forecast and we maintain our HOLD recommendation on OCK at target price at RM0.53.
     
  • We adopt a sum-of-parts (SOP) approach as we valued its telecommunication network services and green energy & power solutions business segments on a discounted cash flow approach (key assumptions include a WACC of 9.5%, terminal growth rate of 1.5%). Meanwhile, we ascribed an unchanged target PER of 13.0x to both its fully-diluted trading and mechanical & electrical engineering services businesses, based on their potential earnings contribution in FY21f.
     
  • Risks to our recommendation include rising raw material costs. OCK’s business is heavily dependent on steel that accounts for slightly below 40.0% of the group’s costs of construction in FY20. Any project delay could also impact its income growth and cash flow as the group is operating in a capital intensive industry.

Source: Mplus Research - 1 Mar 2021

Labels: OCK
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