Highlights

Stevent Hee

Author: StallionInvestment   |   Latest post: Thu, 16 Jul 2020, 9:18 AM

 

双油看涨-油棕和原油 - TDM,TSH,JTIASA, RSAWIT, FGV 都可留意

Author: StallionInvestment   |  Publish date: Thu, 16 Jul 2020, 9:18 AM


 

双油看涨-油棕和原油 - TDM,TSH,JTIASA, RSAWIT, FGV 都可留意

 

短视频: https://www.loom.com/share/67a46d51ce8f48b696c028ba632fd4eb

免责申明:买卖自负。以上视频纯碎做为学术性分享,不构成任何买卖建议。任何投资都有一定的风险成分,在您做出任何投资,请向资深股票经纪询问投资意见。

 

TRADE WITH WISDOM

 

FB LINK : https://www.facebook.com/stevent.hee.33/

 

TELEGRAM LINK : https://t.me/steventhee628

 

Subcribe Stevent Hee Youtube Channel :

https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCYm446mSdNPaxlSVDCVj7bA

 

 

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GLOVE - SKY IS THE LIMIT?

Author: StallionInvestment   |  Publish date: Mon, 13 Jul 2020, 12:11 PM


GLOVE FLY HIGH.. 

SKY is the limit...

 

I guess everyone enjoy the journey of becoming more wealthy during this period of covid-19 which bring oppurtunity to make us to weather the storm during this bad time for business.

Plenty of glove related counter surge up more than 400% to 1000% within this half a a year time.

I guess everyone is eyeing the glove stocks to keep on fly high. At this moment when i pen down this article, there is no single losser for glove related counters investor. This is for sure.

Let take a look what is the target price of the BIG 4 leaders of gloves manufacturer which is HARTA, TOPGLOVE, KOSSAN & SUPERMX.

 

Source obtain from https://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/stk/pt/5168.jsp

 

I guess there is no need i do further coverage on the fundamental perspective how they derive the target price as you can get it by clicking into the research report.

 

So, let me explain from my point of view.

 

Let take a look at this news.

Top Glove chairman and founder, Tan Sri Lim Wee Chai, said that expecting only locals to fill the vacancies was unrealistic, and would reduce Malaysia’s competitiveness.

 

He said they had hired 2,500 local staff and workers last year, which formed part of the company’s 19,000-strong workforce globally.

Despite their recruitment efforts, the current workforce was not sufficient to meet the demand for gloves, which has increased dramatically due to Covid-19.

"Before Covid-19, we were running (at) about 80 to 85 per cent capacity. Now we are running more than 100 per cent. Though we add in new capacity, we are still not able to cope with the demand; the demand is just too strong,” he said.

"So we hope the government will open up (the recruitment process) so that we can reduce the shortage of workers. So hopefully, by Sept 1, after the MCO is over.”

According to the company, the lead time to fulfil orders for gloves was now more than a year - which means if someone ordered gloves today, it would take over a year before the shipment arrives at its destination. Prior to the pandemic, the lead time was between 10 to 60 days.

Source obtain from https://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2020/07/12/glove-shortage-will-worsen-if-free-on-foreign-workers-continues-says-top-glove-chairman

What does it mean to me, meaning production run at maximum capacity. There is no way for TOPLGLOVE increase their earning. What ever order they secure is future order, future profit, not current order, current profit.

So, why all those glove related counters shares price surge up, because the demand for glove is strong. How can glove manufacturers increase their profit because there is no way for them to produce more glove.

1. Acquire smaller glove manufacturers at relatively higher cost price, then produce the glove. By doing so, glove manufacturers increase their capacity to produce more gloves.

2. Increase selling price if there is no way of producing more glove.

Can you guys recall when there is shortage of facemask, many manufacturers venture in to facemask business.

Let read some facemask news which happen in the past.

此前几个月,口罩俩字就是金山,只要沾上就能赚钱。但现在,有商家为去库存“赔本赚吆喝”。口罩价格下跌了超3成,熔喷布90级现货已从4月高点42.5万元/吨降至3万元/吨,口罩机打折也难卖。

  “风口下面,往往是悬崖。”上海一家口罩机厂商感叹道,他的业务因近期价格暴跌陷入停滞。

  随着国内疫情逐步得到控制,国内口罩产能也出现了供大于求的局面。卖方市场变为买方市场,被称为“生命之盾”的口罩不再“一罩难求”,价格也大幅下降,有商家为去库存“赔本赚吆喝”。除口罩机外,口罩的主要材料之一熔喷布价格也下滑明显

http://info.texnet.com.cn/detail-810169.html

Will this happen to glove when everyone is rushing for glove and pushing the glove price higher?

I can't give you the answer, what i can do is tell you what happen to the sectors which benefit due to the spread of COVID-19.

Recently, there is 1 new IPO Glove counters go listed at Thailand.

Thai medical glove maker raises $482m in IPO to expand production

 

Sri Trang Gloves, based in the southern province of Songkhla, plans to increase annual production capacity to 50 billion gloves by 2025 and 100 billion by 2032. It now produces around 33 billion gloves annually in three factories.

Source obtain from https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Health-Care/Thai-medical-glove-maker-raises-482m-in-IPO-to-expand-production

 

 

官方网页: https://www.sritranggloves.com/zh/our-business/process/making-gloves

 

Let read another news which is relevant to glove manufacturer.

根据协议,HL Advance科技将成为首家向市场推介高密度三重前支架的手套浸胶机械制造商,一旦该技术成功商业化,将是最新的手套浸胶机械生产科技。目前,手套公司通常使用单重或双重前支架的手套浸胶机械来生产手套。

徐美君指出,该公司将使用高密度三重前支架技术,测试其商业和技术可行性,并预期未来6到12个月内研发大量生产的方式,才能进一步推广给客户。

合力科技估计,一旦正式采纳高密度三重前支架技术,手套公司能够节省20%至30%的成本,产量也有望增加约30%至50%。

资料来源:https://www.orientaldaily.com.my/news/business/2020/02/17/327207

If this is going to happen in the near time, then production speed able to increase by 30-50%, that will curb the shortage of supply to fight against the pandemic.

So, we forseen the tight supply of glove will be ease within the 2-3 months time.

On top of that, getting more and more people think this is over-value. Just check this out.

Issuer, issue put warrant for glove. Is it going to hedge their position by having put warrant。 Think it for yourself why issue issue put warrant at this price?

 

Source obtain : https://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/stk/pt/7113.jsp

I think the other two TP for the glove manufacturers can be obtain if you search at I3 website.

 

So, if the TP hit as what it stated by the research analyst. What is the next TP? 

Is it we are hoping that there is no end, no cure for COVID 19. Deep in my heart, I hope this virus will get control by this year and vaccine successful develop to save people life.

If this news came out, is it possible we are going to witness huge correction of Glove counters?

I read some article were saying even there is a cure, the hygience level to protect the spread virus will be increasing. I do agree half. Why, because every government over spend to fight this virus. When there is cure, then they should focus on the economy recovery but not the protection. If the government use this money to prevent life loss, i think this is a stupid decision. People also will lose their life if they lose their job. So, focus should be on economy growth to spur the economy and job creation. 

 

What go up , will come down. It is just the matter of time the musical chair going to stop. For me, if i have bought the shares price at low, it is absolutely fine to hold. 

But, people who going to chase, who is going to add position. Think about the upside and the downside. It is wise to add position. Probably you make more if you are right. What if you are wrong, can you take it. 

This is a not a buy/sell recommendation. It just a sentence to remind you to think before you make any decision.

Below is some of my write up or loom video.

 

30 March 2020

Adventa - FACEMASK N95 producer and surgical glove

Link : https://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/SICStockPick/2020-03-30-story-h1485701930-Adventa_FACEMASK_N95_producer_and_surgical_glove.jsp

 

3 July 2020

 

 

高盛喊话美国人戴口罩- TOPGLOVE 和 ADVENTA 都是有生产口罩的公司
资料来源:https://www.loom.com/share/da8e78a718d74465b0818d5f03276af8
 
3 July 2020
 
FACE MASK MANDATING IN US ; TOPGLOVE AND ADVENTA BOTH ARE FACE MASK PRODUCERS
 
 
 
 
 

 

 

TRADE WITH WISDOM

 

FB LINK : https://www.facebook.com/Steventheeinvestment/

TELEGRAM LINK : https://t.me/steventhee628

 

Subcribe Stevent Hee Youtube Channel :

https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCYm446mSdNPaxlSVDCVj7bA

 

 

DISCLAIMER : Trade at your own risk. Above article is merely for educational sharing purpose, it does not solicit any buy/sell recommendation. Kindly consult your dealer/remisier for any investment decision. Writer does not hold any liabilities if any financial losses occur due to your investment you have make.

 

免责声明:买卖自负。以上文章视频纯碎做为个人分享观点,不构成任何买卖意见。在你做出任何投资决定,请向你的股票经纪咨询跟多详情。

 

 

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Adventa - FACEMASK N95 producer and surgical glove

Author: StallionInvestment   |  Publish date: Mon, 30 Mar 2020, 9:18 AM


Let talk about adventa . I will use print screen to tell the story.

 

 

Adventa business

 

 

What is hot demand at current situation. Glove and Face mask.

 

 

This are the products produce by the company. Let take a look at glove segment.

 

surgical glove

 

 

Disclaimer : Trade at your own risk. Above information is for your understanding. It does not solicit any buy/sell recommendation. Do take note during volatility period, price movement is drastic. Trading there is element of monetary losses.

 

如果你学了技术课程,而且无法掌握技术分析的精髓。那么,你不应该缺席这场技术课程。看起来跟一般的技术课程没两样,但是真的是如此吗?垂心自问为何已经知道了技术分析但是为何选股的时机大部分时候都是处在高位,技术分析的运用和筛选股票的理念是否掌握了吗?

 

技术分析可以分为4大核心

  1. 如何辨别真的支撑和阻力
  2. 蜡烛图型
  3. 图形
  4. 技术指标

问题是如果单一来学习,感觉是非常好。但是如何配合一起来使用和分析,个别讯号有可能一个是买入另一个是卖出讯号。那是一门学问需要经验的累积。

 

一日课程涵盖的内容

  1. 股票的种类 (从最简单来学起,什么类型的股票不能碰。为什么不能碰?)
  2. 蜡烛图型 (一根蜡烛,两根蜡烛,三根蜡烛图形)
  3. 如何辨别支撑和阻力价位
  4. 如何运用数学方程式来寻找下一个目标价位
  5. 价量分析法来辨别庄家成本价
  6. 技术指标  (非一般传统的指标
  7. 图形分析
  8. 高级混合型分析法 ( 1X4, DOJI BULLISH , DP )适用在中短线交易法
  9. 资金管理
  10. 风险管理
  11. 止亏法则

DP交易策略建立在“海龟交易理念“ 就是所谓如何捉的牢,捉的紧牛股通过技术分析。

1X4 策略是寻找短线爆发股

DOJI BULLISH 是快进快出策略

 

股市闲聊 – STEVENT HEE 老师分享

 

只需RM500,你就可以学到以上知识。只限首20位。 先到先得。

最多一堂课只容纳30位因为可以针对性教学。

最重要的是使用免费软件而不是使用付费软件。

还有很多想要跟你们分享,所以在这一日课程我们一起学习和成长。

 

日期: 4/4/2020 SATURDAY

时间:9.00am – 7.00PM

地点: online zoom meeting

语言:中文讲堂

免责申明:买卖自负。以上文章纯碎做为学术性分享,不构成任何买卖建议。任何投资都有一定的风险成分,在您做出任何投资,请向资深股票经纪询问投资意见。

 

Labels: ADVENTA
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MAGNUM, TOTO, GENM 那你会选一个?

Author: StallionInvestment   |  Publish date: Fri, 20 Mar 2020, 11:04 AM


 

现阶段,有些人手头紧,就希望中头奖(4D) 或 JACKPOT. 以下有三大选择供你投资:
1. MAGNUM (有万能,有惊喜,有快乐)
2. TOTO (齐齐买TOTO)
3. GENTING MALAYSIA (吹呀,吹啊,PICTURE, PICTURE)

During this period of time, some people may feel financial distress. So, we are hoping to strike first price 4D or jackpot.

There is 3 option for you to choose:
1. MAGNUM ( SLOGAN : got Magnum, got surprise, got happiness)
2. Toto ( SLOGAN : Together Buy Toto)
3. Genting Malaysia ( Common language : blow ah, blow ah, picture , picture )

So, do share out and create a poll to see how many will choose which one to buy. Then we shall see the response then decide what to invest..

FB LINK : https://www.facebook.com/Steventheeinvestment/

TELEGRAM LINK : https://t.me/steventhee628

 

Subcribe Stevent Hee Youtube Channel :

https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCYm446mSdNPaxlSVDCVj7bA

 

DISCLAIMER : Trade at your own risk. Author does not hold any liabilities if any financial losses occur due to your investment you have make. Do consult your dealer/remisier before you make any investment decision.

 

免责申明:买卖自负。

 

 

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EATECH - 17/2/2020

Author: StallionInvestment   |  Publish date: Mon, 17 Feb 2020, 8:43 AM


EATECH 5259

 

E.A Tech currently involved in 3 business segments

1. Marine Transportation and offshore oil and gas storage

2. The Provision of part marine services (towing, diverting and docking of vessels and ferry service)

3. Marine engineering (ship repair and repair) services.

 

News Flow:

14/2/2020

Sources at Shandong ports said while storage levels are high, they are working with refineries to move oil out and make way for more cargoes that are expected to arrive in the coming weeks.

"The pace of moving crude out from tanks is slow. So if vessels are arriving at the same time, some of them might need to wait for 2-3 days," said a source at Rizhao port in Shandong.

"We still have around 30% of space at our oil storage at this moment, which is already a lot better than the previous weeks, as truck drivers are gradually returning to work."

Manufacturing activity was paused for the Lunar New Year last month when the virus struck, preventing workers from returning to their jobs.

State-run ChemChina has diverted some crude oil cargoes which were supposed to arrive in China to floating storage near Malaysia, a source with direct knowledge of the matter told Reuters. ChemChina did not respond to an email seeking comment.

 

Source obtain from : https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2020/02/14/some-oil-cargoes-for-china-being-diverted-to-malaysia-s-korea

 

3 Feb 2020

On behalf of the board, RHB Investment Bank wishes to announce that the company had on 3 Feb 2020 submitted an application for an extension of time to complete the implementation of the proposal

 

Source obtain from https://www.bursamalaysia.com/market_information/announcements/company_announcement/announcement_details?ann_id=3020535

 

Personal Opinion : Base on my interpretation, corporation action if going to be benefit the company if the shares price rise up as they can raise more fund to reduce their existing debt level.

 

 

3 Sept 2019

EA Technique (M) Bhd, a subsidiary of Johor Corp Bhd (JCorp), is looking to expand its presence in Indonesia in the downstream oil and gas segment.

Managing director Datuk Ir Abdul Hak Md Amin said the company had penetrated the market by offering services to PT Pertamina International Shipping.

He said demand for shipping was high as Indonesia is a net importer of crude oil.

“We see Indonesia as a growth market especially in the downstream segment. We hope the Indonesian government will buy more refined products from Malaysia," he said in an interview here recently.

Source obtain from https://www.nst.com.my/business/2019/09/518199/ea-technique-expand-further-indonesias-oil-and-gas-market

 

3 July 2019

E.A. TECHNIQUE (M) BHD  has proposed to undertake a debt settlement exercise owed to its major shareholder, Sindora Bhd, totalling RM57.16mil via the issuance of 121.62 million new shares at 47 sen a piece in the company .

The share issuance might result in the company’s public shareholding spread decreasing below 25%, the marine transportation provider said in a filing with Bursa Malaysia yesterday.

E.A. Technique has also proposed a private placement of up to 106.36 million new shares, representing approximately 17% of its enlarged total number of issued shares.

Source obtain from https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2019/07/03/ea-technique-to-issue-new-shares-to-settle-debt

 

Personal Interpretation : Major Shareholder would not happy to see if the shares price keep on fall below the propose debt settlement exercise at 47 sen. 

FINANCIAL RESULT

 

 


 

Financial earning for Eatech might be release 28 Feb 2020 base on historical result release date. Consecutive 3 quarter mark positive earning but on declining growth which telling investor that company facing profit margin squeeze.

 

 

RISK TO TAKE NOTE 

https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/ea-technique-plans-file-application-court-set-aside-claim-mmhe

 

 

Generally, there were mix news from EATech meaning business seem to be on the recovery path but at the same time there is court case which approximately 21 million USD which equivalent to about RM 82 million ringgit. So, till then we would not know what is the outcome yet. Beside that, company debt level remains high and this is not a good sign. Therefore, I would classify this as trading grade stock instead of investment grade stock. I will explain further from technical perspective.

 

 

 

Weekly Chart

 

 

DAILY CHART

 

 

TRADE WITH WISDOM

 

FB LINK : https://www.facebook.com/Steventheeinvestment/

TELEGRAM LINK : https://t.me/steventhee628

 

Subcribe Stevent Hee Youtube Channel :

https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCYm446mSdNPaxlSVDCVj7bA

 

DISCLAIMER : Trade at your own risk. Above article is merely for educational sharing purpose, it does not solicit any buy/sell recommendation. Kindly consult your dealer/remisier for any investment decision. Writer does not hold any liabilities if any financial losses occur due to your investment you have make.

 

 

 

Labels: EATECH
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Trend Trading for stock do work, Trend trading for daily chart for futures may not work.

Author: StallionInvestment   |  Publish date: Sat, 1 Feb 2020, 5:25 PM


Why is it a person can do well in stock market using trend trading with a capital of 50k, but he is unlikely to do well in futures market with the same amount of capital. Let me illustrate the scenario when you are doing investment .

Scenario 1 :

A person bought a stock at 1.00. Assume this stock go against him 40%. Assume this is fundamental sound with good financial result but due to some unforeseen circumstances, shares price retrace from the position when he invest. The strategy he adopt is every drop of 0.10, he will buy in 10k worth of stock.

At the price 1.00 , he bought 10,000 shares at 1.00

At the price 0.90, he bought 11,111 shares at 0.90

At the price 0.80, he bought 12,500 shares at 0.80

At the price 0.70, he bought 14,285 shares at 0.70

At the price 0.60, he bought 16,666 shares at 0.60.

Total number of shares in hand is 64562 shares with average cost 0.7745.

So, when the shares price rebound from 0.60 to above 0.78. Technically speaking, investor should be break even and start to make profit. 

Scenario 2 :

A person who have capital of 50k, Assume you enter FCPO (FUTURES CRUDE PALM OIL) with a margin of 6K.

Again this particular investor, believe palm oil in long run will do doing good but unfortunately, he enter at the peak 3,000 and refuse to cut losses. Adopt dollar averaging method since long run should be trending upward looking at weekly or monthly chart. Not hourly, daily chart.

So, this person adopt strategy every 100 points drop of FCPO, add additional 1 contract

First Contract A , long 1 contract FCPO at 3,000 ( equal to buy 1 contract ), innitial margin 6k

* To add fresh position, margin call need to cover before new position is allow*

Second Contract B, long 1 contract FCPO at 2,900, to do so,margin call for contract A, 100 point x RM25 = RM 2,500

To add position, client need to put in RM6,000 (initial Margin) + RM2,500 (margin call for Contract A)

Total Amount : RM8,500

Third Contract C, long 1 contract FCPO at 2,800. To do so, margin call for contract A, 100 points x RM25 = RM2,500

margin call for contract B, 100 points X RM25 = RM2,500

Total Amount : RM11,000

Fourth contract D, long 1 contract FCPO at 2,700. To do so,

margin call for contract A, 100 points x RM25 = RM2,500

margin call for contract B, 100 points x RM25 = RM2,500

margin call for contract C, 100 points x RM25 = RM2,500

Total amount : RM13,500

Fifth contract E, long 1 contract FCPO at 2,600. To do so,

margin call for contract A, 100 points X RM25 = RM2,500

margin call for contract B, 100 points X RM25 = RM2,500

Margin call for contract C , 100 points X RM25 = RM2,500

Margin Call for contract D , 100 points X RM25 = RM2,500

Total amount : RM16,000

To do above averaging, capital require is RM6,000 + RM8,500 + RM11,000 + RM13,500 + RM16,000 = RM55,000

Which mean a person can't average down till 2,600 FCPO price, the trader will be cut off the position due to margin call.

Technically speaking, a person who look at daily, weekly chart, in order to survive in futures position trading in long run, capital less than 100k not easy to survive. So, trend trading does not make sense at all for small time trader/investor unless from the start you keep on making profit.

To trade crude oil CME, you need a capital 100k USD to do position trading.

The moral of the story is a same strategy adopt in stock, there is no margin call, but in futures trading, there is. So, a person need to understand the risk but not just pure technical. Having say that, you need to closely monitor futures market. So, a good stock investor may not neccessary success in futures investment. 90% end up lossing money. So, understand the nature of products is crucial.

 

Not to forget there is expiry date of the contract but stock dont have expiry date. Therefore, you either realise losses and roll over to the following month contract provide the current month and following month spread hopefully in your favor, what if go against you further, meaning your losses is more. Below cases, which favor the investor and able to long it at lower price.

 

 

 

 

TRADE WITH WISDOM

FB LINK : https://www.facebook.com/Steventheeinvestment/

TELEGRAM LINK : https://t.me/steventhee628

 

Subcribe Stevent Hee Youtube Channel :

https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCYm446mSdNPaxlSVDCVj7bA

 

免责声明:买卖自负。以上视频纯碎做为学术性分享。任何投资都有风险,在您做出任何投资决定,可以向你的股票经纪询问投资意见。

 

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Taehyung Futures is directional trades, don't mix up with stocks investment..
01/02/2020 9:16 PM


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