Alpha Return Hedge

Author: sayalabur   |   Latest post: Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 9:55 AM


Green Packet - the cloud, Fintech & A.I. supremo of the digital space

Author: sayalabur   |  Publish date: Sun, 11 Oct 2020, 9:55 AM

The stars are all aligning in Green Packet's (GP) favour, putting it on the trajectory to become the cloud, fintech & A.I. supremo of the digital space in Malaysia. After recently securing a 10-year agreement with Tencent Cloud, CIMB has projected in their report dated 6/10/20 that the cloud business would contribute 30-40% of EBITDA with NPV of USD82m (RM339).


Riding on Tencent's success and its strong ties to China's big tech companies, the Government awarded the >RM5bn artificial intelligence (AI) park project to G3, an associate of Green Packet. G3 has already teamed up with China's top AI firm Sense Time, along with China Harbour Engineering Company to jointly develop the AI Park. Given the company's strong ties with Tencent and other China technology companies, we expect more China companies to come in as partners or investors in the AI venture that will drive life improving digital innovations with Malaysia as the hub for ASEAN exposure.


GP is sitting on a war chest in excess of RM80 arising from the recent private placement and conversion of warrants to drive the growth of its Tencent cloud business. As mentioned in the CIMB report, GP is planning for another placement to raise another RM63m-99m. Just by connecting the dots, the timing of the  CIMB report - AI park award - upcoming placement, we can expect big fund houses to invest in GP.

Based on GP's annual report, 2 big fund houses are already invested namely Great Eastern Life owns 30.4m share (3.3%) and Kenanga Investment Bank (1.08%).  If big fund houses with investment teams in excess of 20 fund managers and analyst can do their own analysis and see the great potential of GP, retailer like ourselves should just follow the smart money and jump on the bandwagon and ride on this growth story.

Retailers like ourselves should lock & load as quickly as tomorrow so that our entry price is close to big fund houses' cost of entry and ride the digital wave of GP, the cloud, fintech & A.I supremo of the digital space.







  GoldenShares likes this.
greedy44444 Beware...next big private share placement coming soon
11/10/2020 8:37 PM
greedy44444 GP share prices would be pushing much lower to allow the taker of private placement to buy at much cheaper price
11/10/2020 8:38 PM
faralenz77 Not a good investment stock.
11/10/2020 9:36 PM
sayalabur Greedy44444 u r wrong. New Placement price will be the same or higher than the previous placement price because funds already anchor the 1st round. This placement is for more funds to come in not retailers like ourselves
11/10/2020 10:30 PM
Bullacent Can consider great eastern n kanaga be big fund with 1%.only . Lol. U sure. Two big fund gone already.
13/10/2020 5:21 PM
calvintaneng Leave this bottomless pit that will destroy all you wealth

Get away from gpacket
13/10/2020 7:40 PM

Ekovest - Bandar Malaysia boost market value by RM4.5 billion or RM1.70/share

Author: sayalabur   |  Publish date: Wed, 16 Sep 2020, 3:16 PM

According to Tan Sri Lim Kang Hoo, Ekovest is expected to pay RM1.5bn for the proposed 40% acquisition in IWH-CREC Sdn Bhd (IWH).  Then with the appointment of CIMB and the international tranche to Chinese investors via ICBC, Bank of China and Citic, he plans to list IWH in the 1st half of 2021 to raise at least RM5bn (source: The Star).

Now the calculation. For IPO, usually 30% is raised from IPO proceeds (estimated at RM5bn) and this means IWH is worth RM15bn. 

Hence, Ekovest's 40% stake in IWH will be valued at RM6bn (40% of RM15bn). That's why no problems for Ekovest to raise financing to buy initial 40% stake in IWH as Ekovest will secure the financing (back to back arrangement) from CIMB, ICBC, Bank of China and Citic.

The 40% stake of RM6bn - cost of purchase of RM1.5bn translates to an increase in Ekovest's market value to RM4.5bn or RM1.70 per share in Ekovest.

The bottom line is Ekovest is a screaming buy at current levels and don't let anyone tell you otherwise as the numbers don't lie.

  Be the first to like this.
Orlando Tis is wrong

40% in IWH not IWH-CERC

According to Tan Sri Lim Kang Hoo, Ekovest is expected to pay RM1.5bn for the proposed 40% acquisition in IWH-CREC Sdn Bhd (IWH).
16/09/2020 3:31 PM
Astartes lol. all sysndicates are working dy
what happens if got rights ar? then wont be 1.70 per share dy lo
16/09/2020 3:33 PM
Astartes u really think banks are gonna lend 1.5bil to ekovest wothout anything in return ar...no rights? no pp? no way lo
16/09/2020 3:34 PM
Astartes i suspect enlarge number of shares ..at least up to 4bil. n some borrowings.
16/09/2020 3:35 PM
Fong Kh Still early to tell maybe after this hype the price will go back as square
16/09/2020 3:35 PM
ttgipoh simply talk and unqualified calculations
16/09/2020 3:39 PM
sayalabur Orlando pls spend time to read old research to know that the listing vehicle to be IWH-CREC (IWH) because IWH & MOF own 60:40 of Bandar Malaysia. Do read and understand company structure before commenting
16/09/2020 3:47 PM
sayalabur PrimarisMarine Please check with your investment banking buddies to understand back to back deals. That’s why the brokers to help with the listing already identified.
16/09/2020 3:49 PM
sayalabur Ttgipoh perhaps you should educate us how calculations are done instead of ‘simply talk”. Ask any investment banker or corporate finance people who actually assist in listings of IPOs, they will also tell u this is how valuations are done
16/09/2020 3:52 PM
Chrisfoo So better don't buy in this share next week??the syndicate wanted to goreng right??
16/09/2020 4:25 PM
Orlando Orlando Tis is wrong

40% in IWH not IWH-CERC

According to Tan Sri Lim Kang Hoo, Ekovest is expected to pay RM1.5bn for the proposed 40% acquisition in IWH-CREC Sdn Bhd (IWH).

16/09/2020 3:31 PM
16/09/2020 5:09 PM
freddiehero good news ka?
16/09/2020 5:13 PM
sayalabur Orlando tis sad when all you need to clarify your CONFUSION is to click on bursa website for company announcement and Google the corporate structure written by various news reports in the past. I understand for some people to comprehend cross holdings at various subsidiaries can be confusing. When confused, don’t be lazy to maybe Ask a friend for help to explain the complex holdings. Sorry am not here to give tutoring
16/09/2020 6:50 PM
Orlando Saya

I say d samr to u

Don't b lazy chk it out
16/09/2020 7:52 PM
Orlando Chk it out
16/09/2020 7:55 PM
Orlando Hint to u saya

Does IWH-CREC has 4000 acres of lands in Johor?
16/09/2020 7:56 PM
Orlando Oso based on likely IPO pricing IWH is valued at 20b not 15b
16/09/2020 7:58 PM
Fong Kh Crazy 1.5b for 40% shares.
16/09/2020 8:13 PM
i3lurker https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/turkey-year-bandar-malaysia-flipflop

Posted by Fong Kh > Sep 16, 2020 8:13 PM | Report Abuse

Crazy 1.5b for 40% shares.
16/09/2020 8:25 PM
setia2u RM1.70... don't be syiok sendiri lo
16/09/2020 9:01 PM
harudin harudin read laa
17/09/2020 12:21 PM
FutureGains Now the calculation. For IPO, usually 30% is raised from IPO proceeds (estimated at RM5bn) and this means IWH is worth RM15bn.

confuse me...
17/09/2020 5:07 PM
TakeProfits Yar syiok sendiri...betul kah 1.70....LOLOL...kikikik
17/09/2020 7:38 PM
sayalabur Setia2u & take profits am sure u understand simple maths right. The estimated value of the IPO is based on quote by Tan Sri in the news article. Now the estimate value will become reality or not will depend on the actual take up when the IPO is launched. So assuming IWH is valued between RM15-20bn then the 1.70 price target is based on Ekovest’s stake that’s all. So take out your calculators and do the maths
17/09/2020 8:10 PM
17/09/2020 11:00 PM

Ekovest - Cheque Presentation Ceremony = Ini kali la (all systems go)

Author: sayalabur   |  Publish date: Tue, 15 Sep 2020, 11:24 AM

The press reported the Bandar Malaysia Cheque Presentation Ceremony at Le Meridian tonight. 

So what's the big deal many would think?

Firstly, the attendees include Menteri Besar Johor, Minister of Finance and Bai Tian, the ambassador of China in Malaysia. The significance of Bai Tian means both China and Malaysia government already 'kao dim' or iron out the details just like Bai Tian was there when Geely seal the deal with DRB for Proton. So a Government to Government initiative with backing from China loans means there is no stopping Bandar Malaysia now. Many have been concern about Malaysia's lack of funding but with China's loan life line, 'ini kali la'

Secondly, Ekovest is in talks to buy a 40% stake in the JV co to develop Bandar Malaysia. This means Ekovest more than IWCITY is the prime beneficiary enjoying immediate development earnings and also construction earnings when parcels of the project are disbursed out.

Lastly, brokers in town use to value Ekovest with price targets >RM1.00 before the change to PH government brought the project to a halt. With the resumption of Bandar Malaysia, we can expect brokers to once again increase their price targets to above RM1.00.  

At the point of writing of 11.20am, volume traded is 129m shares with strong collection seen. I believe the many fund managers who will be in attendance at tonight's events are slowly collecting. So now is the time to load on Ekovest with your cost at around the same levels as the big funds. Switch out of IWCITY into Ekovest as the prime beneficiary of Bandar Malaysia.


  Be the first to like this.

Green Packet – Lock & load

Author: sayalabur   |  Publish date: Sat, 15 Aug 2020, 10:34 AM


This event marks the culmination of GP’s journey into digital innovations 

With YB Khairy in attendance, we expect the event to include the signing of an exclusive contract with a Top 3 largest internet company in China to provide cloud services in Malaysia.  Cloud services in combination with e-KYC and digital services would drive GP’s turnaround into profitability. Management is so confident that it was presented into slides for potential investors of it’s private placement.




Once the deal is inked with the Chinese party, this should be closely followed with the company taking a stake in Green Packet via the proposed private placement.

Lock & load ladies and gentleman as share price of GP will sky rocket after this.










  2 people like this.
chan8 thanks for sharing...i alr in...
15/08/2020 10:57 AM
sayalabur chan8 add more as you are unlikely to see this levels after the signing ceremony
15/08/2020 3:11 PM
abang_misai Sayur, abang sudah beli banyak gpacket-w @ 0.250.
15/08/2020 3:15 PM
Allan2112 Nobody trust gpacket..so the company cannot go up
15/08/2020 9:27 PM
sayalabur Allan2112 You must be a newbie because you missed when GP skyrocketed above RM1. Never mind just don’t miss this round. Of course u might then reply that it came down thereafter. Then I would reply to u that all glove stocks are also coming down. That’s the way the market goes. Investors just wanna make the quickest double digit returns....but then again all season investors know that
15/08/2020 10:29 PM
aa88 good article
16/08/2020 12:07 AM
signn newbies always think they know everything. be humble n ppl will teach u
16/08/2020 9:09 AM
signn lol
16/08/2020 9:10 AM
sayalabur Samurai there is a signing its on the Tuesday schedule. Some others in I3investor have named the CHinese company. I rather leave it on the day itself to confirm. There are more than 150pax invited to the event comprising techies & bankers so one of them will text out who the Chinese party & it will spread like wild fire.
16/08/2020 9:46 AM
aa88 hurray
16/08/2020 9:54 AM
sayalabur Samurai rising i think gloves have been oversold. I personally would look to reload Top Glove and Supermax. Not writing anything on it since so many analysts out there have written on it
16/08/2020 2:16 PM
crawler we cannot just look at GP alone. We need to look at the synergy that GP and G3 will bring together as the sister company is securing major national 5G and IoT deal that GP will be part of the journey. The difference in share price just show GP share price is super depressing
16/08/2020 3:22 PM
sayalabur Crawler it would be good if you could write an analysis on G3
16/08/2020 4:46 PM
RedEagle RM2
16/08/2020 9:58 PM
17/08/2020 3:55 PM
Plantermen Everyone is saying ten cent! But why ten cent needs G3 5G tech now?. Malaysia expect to roll out its own 5G platform in the next 5 years { 2022-2025} . If Malaysia exclude Huawei { pressured by Donald Trump} by US to exclude Huawei. Both Nokia & Ericsson is lobbying hard to the government. Anything is possible.
17/08/2020 4:12 PM
fluffyclouds @sayalabur where did you get your information on this ? Share price dived from 0.74 to just under 0.585, after the signing. I am pretty sure if I had not read your article I would never have invested. Revenue to double in 2020 ? They are saying it may contribute 30% in 2022!
18/08/2020 5:09 PM
JXnotJAX do your own due diligence!
18/08/2020 5:42 PM
sayalabur Fluffyclouds Slides info all from GP management presentation to investors for private placement. If u read my article which was posted on Sat, you would have bought on Mon 0.60-0.63 on average for the 1st 2 hours at opening trade. Then you sell on day of signing. It’s called ‘buy on rumour sell on news’. Being greedy u have no one to blame but yourself. Even after lunch share price was still above 0.65, huge volume so lots of exit opportunity. I have over 10k views for this article, am sure most of them bought on Monday and sold today
18/08/2020 10:04 PM
fluffyclouds @ sayalabur the wonders of hindsight. Completely my fault as you say I just had not equated you statement, 'Lock & load ladies and gentleman as share price of GP will sky rocket after this.' to falling sens 20 in one day!
18/08/2020 11:11 PM
sayalabur Fluffyclouds like your sense of humour and sarcasm
18/08/2020 11:21 PM

HIL (8443) - Quietly producing face mask & face shield for a month now

Author: sayalabur   |  Publish date: Mon, 10 Aug 2020, 6:25 PM

HIL - an undiscovered gem as it has quietly started producing face mask and face shield.  Unlike other listed companies who are in the process of buying equipment to install after making announcement to Bursa of their plans, HIL has been producing face mask and face shield for a month now.  As a family run company, they have not gone out to aggresively market their products but have registered their masks with Medical Device Authority (MDA).  WIth MDA, their products can be sold throughout Malaysia.

Even with minimal marketing efforts, the masks receive good response thanks to their corporate clients such as Perodua.  Manufacturing of face mask is easy for HIL as it currently also manufactures auto parts for the likes of Perodua. It currently has one machine to produce face masks now.  It intends to triple capacity by adding another 2 machines based on the almost 100% take up currently.

Apart from corporate clients, management is also targeting government schools.

Margin is good depsite the stiff competition. This is a new product to HIL and management is expected to improve the quality, supply & cost further.

Not content with just local sales, they have submitted and now awaiting results from Singapore on the mask efficiency.  They are also in ealy stages of securing a client in India and thats why the need to triple capacity.

HIL is debt free with net cash of RM89m (as at Mar'20), which means 30% of market cap is in cash. HIL's other businesses are plastic manufacturing and property. Both are profitable  with 2019 revenue split at 56% (plastic) and 44% (property).

Given the many annoucement of companies venturing into face masks, HIL stands head and shoulders above the rest given its track record in plastic manufacturing, net cash company and face mask manufacturing business that has already started.  Expect a pick up in earnings in the coming quarters.





Labels: HIL
  Be the first to like this.
Ymchan any evidence ? why no announcement made by mgmt ?
11/08/2020 1:18 PM
sayalabur Ymchan management will disclose it in their upcoming results commentary on Bursa
15/08/2020 10:39 AM
sayalabur Ymchan this company is run by a media shy family and thats why despite the continuous profitable track record of its original business, not many people heard of them. They are unlike the many companies who have made announcement on gloves/ masks eg related with no manufacturing track record. They prefer the results will show for itself.
15/08/2020 10:42 AM

XOX - Momentum is set to breach the 52-week high

Author: sayalabur   |  Publish date: Sun, 9 Aug 2020, 12:57 PM

XOX- Positive news news flow from China parties paved by a new Hong Kong investor with links to Li Ka Shing has push share price briefly above RM0.30 last week.  This momentum will take share price to new 52-week high as Daniel Tan(the Hongkie) just mopped up more shares from the market last fri bringing his stake to 8.06%. This confidence in further increasing his stake is a prelude to the actual signing of a push to provide 5G services in Malaysia.  

The confidence is XOX is also shared by Anzo' Datuk Chai Woon Chet (who also recently became a major shareholder in Overseas) who announced on Bursa he bacame a major shareholder with 5.35% stake in XOX.

Follow the smart money and you will always be right

  Be the first to like this.
VenFx Careful with Anzo's k.k. Chai(same clan to Raymond Chan)
Where ever he go or touch ... smelly pond
10/08/2020 7:40 AM
VenFx Avoid Anzo at all mean
10/08/2020 7:40 AM
10/08/2020 10:18 AM

I3 Messenger
Individual or Group chat with anyone on I3investor
MQ Trader
Earn MQ Points while trading with MQ Traders Group
MQ Affiliate
Earn side income from MQ Affiliate Program

214  861  482  609 

Top 10 Active Counters
 KGROUP-OR 0.005-0.005 
 MLAB 0.02-0.005 
 AT 0.080.00 
 LAMBO 0.030.00 
 IRIS 0.265-0.04 
 LUSTER 0.175-0.015 
 DGSB 0.20+0.015 
 DAYA 0.015+0.005 
 MAHSING 1.04-0.10 
 DSONIC-WA 0.23-0.03 


1. The Equity Market Index Benchmark in Malaysia CMS
2. Trading Scenarios of Derivatives Bursa Derivatives Education Series
3. Derivatives 101 Bursa Derivatives Education Series
4. Why Trade FKLI? Bursa Derivatives Education Series
5. MQ Trader - Introduction to MQ Trader Affiliate Program MQ Trader Announcement!