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HLBank Research Highlights

Author: HLInvest   |   Latest post: Fri, 15 Feb 2019, 05:02 PM

 

Frontken Corporation - Attractively priced after recent rout

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Following a robust 3Q18 results, our analyst remains confident of an encouraging 4Q18 results (albeit external headwinds), mainly driven by strong semiconductor divisions amid encouraging outlook (+15.9% to US$478bn 2018; +2.6% to US$490bn 2019; Source: WSTS Nov 2018) while O&G division continues to exhibit resiliency (IEA expects stable global oil demand growth at 1.4m bpd from 1.3m bpd in 2018). Downside risk is limited (-24% from all-time high at RM0.995), as sentiment is boosted by weak RM and a strong 16% FY18- 20 EPS CAGR coupled with solid balance sheet (net cash 10sen/share). At RM0.755, Frontken is trading at 14.5x FY19 P/E (15% discount to 1Y average of 17.1x). Ex-cash, the stock is trading at 12.5x P/E (27% below 1Y average).

HLIB institutional research has a BUY rating with TP at RM1.05 (+39% upside). Frontken is expected to experience multi-year growth ahead on the back of (i) bullish global semiconductor market outlook with the Asia Pacific region (contribute c.16% to revenue) is projected to expand 16% and 3.1% in 2018 and 2019, respectively, boding well for Frontken who services all major foundries in this region; (ii) robust fab investments by major foundries and migration to the 7nm/+ nodes (in the Dec release, SEMI said global sales of new semiconductor manufacturing equipment are projected to increase 9.7% to all-time high of USD62.1bn in 2018 (2017: USD56.6bn), and easing 4% to US$59.6bn in 2019 before growing 20.7% in 2020 to reach USD71.9bn) (iii) leading edge technology; (iv) resilient O&G; and (v) strong balance sheet.

Poised for a relief rebound after building a base near RM0.72. Despite prevailing headwinds, we opine that Frontken’s 24% correction from all-time high of RM0.995 (18 Oct) has grossly discounted the concerns over mid to long term earnings uncertainty. Excluding its net cash with RM108m or 10sen/share, valuation is even more compelling at 12.5x P/E (27% below 1Y average). However, current wobbly sentiment may witness a sideways consolidation before a meaningful rebound later, with key supports at RM0.70-0.72 (30 Oct low). A decisive breakout above RM0.79 (10d SMA) is likely to lift share prices higher towards RM0.825 (30d SMA) before heading towards our LT objective at RM0.89 (18 Nov high). Cut loss at RM0.69

 

 

 

Source: Hong Leong Investment Bank Research - 14 Dec 2018

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