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Author: Tan KW   |   Latest post: Wed, 12 Aug 2020, 11:53 PM

 

Cold Eyed (冷眼) 42 Stocks Picks - Portfolio Simulation

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This morning, I created a simulation portfolio based on 5 Rules of Investing by Cold Eye Stock Selection by kcchongnz and the portfolio able to achieve 62.55% Annualized CAGR as of today result.

Cold Eyed pick 42 stocks during his presentation on 16-March-2013

If you would like to listen to Cold Eyed presentation, you can visit http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/kianweiaritcles/26614.jsp

And I am wonder what will be the return if I follow exactly Cold Eyed stock pick?

 

I have create a simulation to buy 42 stocks that mentioned by him with following assumption:-

  • Initial Portoflio Value - RM200K Cash
  • Allocation - Equally Allocate to each stocks - 200k/42 = RM4762
  • Transaction Commission - 0.1% with min RM8
  • Buy Transaction based on the first market date (18-march-2103) open price after the stock selected by cold eyed on 16-March-2013 (http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/kianweiaritcles/26614.jsp)
  • All dividend will be recorded during the ex-Date

 

And below is the holding as of today - 12-Aug-2013

You can found that 2 out of 42 stocks was in red and 40 stocks is in green. And 11 stocks earn > 50%. Good?

 

Ok, let's look at  the overall portfolio performance... very good...

 

Absolute return (%) 30.52%
 

 

 

 

Annualised CAGR (%) 107.70%
 

 

 

 

Montly Performance:-

 

Portoflio URL: http://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/pfs/19909.jsp

 

Further Readings:-

冷眼分享集 http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/coldeye/blidx.jsp 
新冷眼分享集 http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/newcoldeye/blidx.jsp 
冷眼分享锦集 http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/coldeyedsharing/blidx.jsp

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  8 people like this.
 
lching well done!
13/08/2013 12:41 PM
lching what is the level of KLCI on 18th March?
13/08/2013 12:51 PM
mcd123 18th March -KLCI Hi: 1627 Lo:1613, Closed :1621
13/08/2013 1:02 PM
lching as of 12th August, KLCI was 1784, up 163 point or 10%, his "portfolio" outperform arround 20% lah?
13/08/2013 3:24 PM
haikeyila again, i think timing plays a huge part in this portfolio.
13/08/2013 3:32 PM
lching haikeyila.......agree
13/08/2013 3:35 PM
lmenwe even though i don't agree with some stocks picked by cold eye but the results show that he is the best retail investor in malaysia! those so called malaysia warren buffett should learn from him!
14/08/2013 12:48 AM
super911 Again saw mr cold eye at giza mall. He stay in tropicana? Uncle ini dress like poor retired man but in actual fact, is a multi millionaire.
14/08/2013 1:31 PM
lching in actual situation where we always keep a certain percentage of cash, total return for a portfolio will be lower.
14/08/2013 1:51 PM
lching for someone like Warren Buffett or cold eye, investment is only a rich man game. like a poor student play online game, just to kill time or get satisfaction. what's the point of a multi millionaire wearing like a poor old man, to avoid kidnaping may be, hehehehe......
14/08/2013 1:56 PM
mmtalents 1. you make billions but not willing to spend it, end of the day donate all to charities, you become a legacy

2. you make billions, live to the fullness of your life, sport car, big mansions, sexy models, etc..

mana satu u mau?
14/08/2013 2:23 PM
lching i would say we can always travel the middle path.
14/08/2013 2:25 PM
mmtalents the problem is sometimes when u make your 1st billion, you are already a 60 yo "look like retired" man, how to enjoy sport car and sexy models? unless you are facebook founder or playboy founder. :P
14/08/2013 2:27 PM
lching then we should lower our target to 0.2 billion instead of 1 billion.
14/08/2013 2:29 PM
super911 Frankly, it's not easy to strike a balance. They are rich probably because of their frugal lifestyle since young. If they have 'drive sport cars, play model' mentality, they might not what they are today.
14/08/2013 2:33 PM
mmtalents that's why, unless you founded a "facebook" like Mark when you are 20 yo. ha ha
14/08/2013 2:35 PM
lching cannot own a Porsche, than buy a beemer. cannot own a $1500sqf condo, buy a $800sqf, the difference of enjoyment is very slim indeed.
14/08/2013 2:39 PM
mmtalents may be that's the different with some of us and the frugal super rich, when we make 1 mil, we want to buy a beemer where the super rich reinvest the 1 mil and keep on driving their 10 years old car. :P
14/08/2013 2:42 PM
super911 I got one close friend also the same. He is a multi millionaire now, owns few bungalows, stocks and other assets in millions. All this while, he only buy 2nd hand car until he is almost 60 years old now :D

Sometimes, when you think of it, even though you are making 20k a month, is it worth to practically burn RM3K a month, just for the sake of a beemer car?
14/08/2013 2:49 PM
lching 样样都从投资着眼,这个人一定很乏味,不知道何谓人生。
14/08/2013 2:54 PM
mmtalents 人生 = 60 years? 70 years? 100 years?
14/08/2013 2:57 PM
lching 生命的意义吧,每个人都可以有自己的诠释。
14/08/2013 2:59 PM
super911 If we use Robert Kiyosaki theory as a guideline, we shouldn't buy luxury car until our passive income is enough to pay for that car. An entry bmw 3 series cost around 250K, installment would be RM3K for 9 years loan. Passive income of RM3K= RM36K/yr. Assuming a yearly 6% return on the asset, you would need an asset worth RM36K/0.06 = RM600K.

So without an asset worth 600k generating 6% yield, you shouldn't buy a beemer. LOL.
14/08/2013 3:03 PM
mmtalents assumed it is spare cash to me.. I will keep invest till the day I really need the money
14/08/2013 3:05 PM
lching not even a millionaire yet so i prefer a 2nd hand beemer,hehehe.
14/08/2013 3:07 PM
mmtalents super911, what is within that 9 years ur property yield dropped? sell ur beemer? ha ha
14/08/2013 3:08 PM
super911 Then you shouldn't use ngam ngam 600k & 6% yield. Buffer it higher to 800K yielding 8%. Then you are officially 'qualified' to own beemer cost RM250K ! LOL
14/08/2013 3:18 PM
mmtalents i wait and take MRT. ha ha
14/08/2013 3:21 PM
lching ok, from super911 culculation, now i know i will never ever own a new 3 series.
14/08/2013 3:22 PM
mmtalents be frugal :P
14/08/2013 3:25 PM
lching Tan KW....i think can afford a 10 years beemer, hahaha
14/08/2013 3:25 PM
mmtalents from the dividend? or u simple divide by 12?
14/08/2013 3:28 PM
lching i wonder what car cold eye drive....
14/08/2013 3:29 PM
super911 2nd hand 3 series, is quite 'cheap'. beemer depreciate around 10%/yr for the first 3 years. Now a 3 years old beemer is around 150K. So installment would be around 1700, means yearly is around RM20K. So a portfolio of RM340K yielding 6% is enough for this LOL
14/08/2013 3:30 PM
mmtalents that if u keep trading on monthly basis, if you holding on it, it will not give u passive income on monthly basis
14/08/2013 3:30 PM
super911 Bear in mind, if you buy a 3 years old beemer, get ready to budget another 20K/yr to repair it once it reach 5-6 years old.
14/08/2013 3:31 PM
pharker Today's money is just fiat money made of paper with low intrinsic value...and the govt keeps printing them like no tomorrow

The full potential value of money can only be unlocked once it is SPENT either thru consumption or investment, otherwise the value got trapped in a piece of paper
14/08/2013 3:32 PM
lching Tan KW, very true, we cannot compare with cold eye.
14/08/2013 3:48 PM
super911 Tan, what you want me to ask him? He got son or daughter not married?
14/08/2013 5:07 PM
lching what car he drives, maybe?
14/08/2013 5:30 PM
Xt Peter Lee kancil
14/08/2013 11:54 PM
Xt Peter Lee kancil
14/08/2013 11:54 PM
lching hahaha
19/08/2013 2:39 PM
mmtalents drive kancil out, but many beemers at home leh
19/08/2013 2:41 PM
lching i like this. any accident happened, multi million will gone with the kancil. in fact Perodua should use him to advertise, Viva sure sell,hahaha .
19/08/2013 2:45 PM
mmtalents drive kancil less risk on kidnap and robbery ma, as long as u drive slow and steady and not go far far, he drives from Tropicana to giza only, accident risk lower
19/08/2013 2:58 PM
super911 Jimmy,
Enough of not very much depends on 2 things:

1. What's your average return that you can get from the 200k. 3% is 6k, 5% is 10k. Can you consistently make that profit margin?

2. What's your lifestyle now. It would be different if you have a fixed commitment of RM3k vs RM10k.
12/10/2013 11:34 AM
kentg03 Last time i drive kancil also kena hijack :'(
19/11/2014 9:32 AM


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