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Koon Yew Yin's Blog

Author: Koon Yew Yin   |   Latest post: Fri, 21 Jun 2019, 10:00 AM

 

Dayang: When to Buy & When to Sell? Koon Yew Yin

Author: Koon Yew Yin   |  Publish date: Fri, 21 Jun 2019, 10:00 AM


Many people asked me these 2 million Ringgit questions because they are vitally important. You cannot make money if you do not know the answers to these 2 questions.  All successful investors should know when to buy and when to sell.

All professional analysts use technical and fundamental analysis to buy and sell shares as they consider technical analysis is more important than fundamental analysis.

In this short article, I cannot tell you the details of technical and fundamental analysis. However, it is important to know the followings:

 

1 Down trend:

Never buy a down trending stock because it is most likely the price will continue to drop in the near future. Never try to catch a falling knife.

 

2 Uptrend: When to buy?

Always buy an up-trending stock because it is most likely the price will go higher in the near future.

If you have attended Mr Ooi Teik Bee’s course, you will know how to draw and read a price chart. In any case, I will tell you my simple way to draw and interpret a price chart as show on the price chart for Dayang below. I draw a red line along the slope. As you can see the price has been trading above or higher than the red line in last 2 weeks which is indicating that Dayang is on an uptrend. The price will continue to go higher and higher in the near future.

 

Temporary price corrections:

As I said before, no stock can go up or drop continuously for whatever reason. After going up for some time, many shareholders who have bought it at cheaper prices would want to cash out to take profit. You must not follow to sell. After these weak holders have completed their sales and serious long-term investors continue to buy more aggressively at higher prices, the price will continue to go higher and higher.  

 

 

When to sell?

As you all know, the price plunged when the company reported a small loss in its 1st quarter, largely due to the inclement monsoon weather. Based on Dayang’s larger contract value in hand as compare with previous year and more employment of all Perdana’s vessels, the company should report better profit for the next 2 quarters.

 

I will not sell until I see the results of the next 2 quarters. I will only sell when I see the company reports a reduced profit, bearing in mind of the monsoon season.  

 

Labels: DAYANG

Dayang: Price chart is uptrend - Koon Yew Yin

Author: Koon Yew Yin   |  Publish date: Thu, 20 Jun 2019, 8:40 PM


 

The price of Dayang shot up 10 sen to close at Rm 1.17 and at the close 1.73 million queuing to buy at Rm 1.17. Moreover, the price chart is up trending. Just based on these facts, it is most likely the price will continue to go higher and higher.

Stock prices change every day by market forces. By this we mean that share prices change because of supply and demand. Conversely, if more people wanted to sell a stock than buy it, there would be greater supply than demand, and the price would fall.

Traders usually concentrate on charts made up of daily and intraday data to forecast short-term price movements. Others might use a combination of long-term and short-term charts. Long-term charts are good for analyzing the large picture to get a broad perspective of the historical price action.

As you know, the price plunged when the company reported a small loss in its 1st quarter. It dropped to 87 sen. Since then it has been recovering gradually. Fortunately, today the price shot up 10 sen to close at Rm 1.17 and at the close 1.73 million queuing to buy at Rm 1.17. It is most likely the price will continue to go higher and higher.

I advise readers not to sell too early until you see the results for the next 2 quarters which should be very good. This is my honest opinion.  

Remember whether you buy or sell you cannot make any difference because the daily volume is tens of million shares. 

Labels: DAYANG

Huawei's own Operating System, Hongmeng will replace Android - Koon Yew Yin

Author: Koon Yew Yin   |  Publish date: Mon, 17 Jun 2019, 9:42 AM


Ever since the US President Donald Trump declared trade war with China and many other countries, like many people, I have seen so many articles and videos regarding this issue.

By deciding against a single telecommunications standard, the US fragmented its telecoms industry and has no 5G contender today. The fastest supercomputer, the largest radio telescope and the first landing on the dark side of the moon are other feathers in the Chinese cap.

China’s tech progress has already passed a turning point, its size grants it unusual abilities and its population is conditioned to be entrepreneurial; the trade war cannot derail China’s progress and development. 

U.S. companies began complying with a White House order to curb sales to Chinese telecom giant Huawei. Google said it would restrict Huawei’s access to future updates of its Android operating software, which powers many of Huawei’s phones. Other U.S. manufacturers also began suspending business dealings with the Chinese firm.

In view of the restriction, Huawei is starting to use its own operating system (OS) called “Hongmeng” which is 60% faster than Android.

The Chinese Vivo and OPPO have tested the new Android alternative and they intend to use it in some of their upcoming devices. With its own operating system, Huawei does not need Android anymore.

First, China has already reached and passed its critical mass in technological capacity. It has moved from imitator to innovator, and become a world leader in areas such as solar energy, mobile payments and high-speed rail.

Second, the size of the Chinese domestic market provides important advantages when it comes to innovation.

Inside Huawei's secret research HQ, China is shaping a future that's less reliant on U.S. tech.

Inside Huawei’s Shenzhen headquarters, a secretive group of engineers is toiling away heedless to such risks. They are working on what is next — a raft of artificial intelligence, cloud-computing and chip technology crucial to China’s national priorities and Huawei’s future. As the trade war drags on, China’s government has pushed to create an industry that is less dependent on cutting-edge U.S. semiconductors and software.

The company is investing massive resources in next- generation technology, seeking to replicate the success it has had in other areas. Over the past decade, the closely held firm has quietly emerged as a titan in networking and telecom gear, now second only to San Jose, California-based Cisco Systems Inc. Then Huawei entered the smartphone market, and in a surprise to most observers toppled Apple Inc. in market share earlier this year.

Huawei’s technical expertise, combined with its ties to China’s blue-chip firms and government, could let it engineer another surprise in what many see as the critical backbone of future have technology.

I come to the conclusion that Trump is a big bully. 

China is using its Yuan, the most powerful weapon to replace US$ - Koon Yew Yin

Author: Koon Yew Yin   |  Publish date: Sun, 16 Jun 2019, 1:54 PM


By Fareed Zakaria | Columnist | June 13
 
This week we watched an unusual spectacle. The foreign minister of Germany, one of the United States’ closest allies, went to Tehran and announced that a European payment system, designed as an alternative to the dollar-based one, would soon be ready. This visit was made in coordination with Britain and France, both of which helped create the new payment mechanism, called INSTEX.
 
INSTEX will probably fail or prove to be wholly inadequate in the short term. The dollar’s dominance in global transactions — which has been a huge benefit for the United States — will be hard to displace, but INSTEX is a warning sign, the canary in the coal mine. The United States’ closest allies are working hard to chip away at a crucial underpinning of U.S. global power.
 
Why? It’s simple: the Trump administration’s abuse of this power. The United States sits atop the world for now, but there are forces eroding that lofty status. Some of these are deep structural shifts, such as the rise of China. But as the Economist points out, others are reactions to a pattern of hegemonic abuse. 
 
Consider the trigger for this search for an alternative to the dollar. Britain, France and Germany are all signatories to the 2015 Iran nuclear deal. When the Trump administration unilaterally reneged on the pact last year — even though Iran had abided by it — the United States reimposed sanctions, using its dollar power to prevent other countries from doing business with Iran (because most international transactions use the dollar for convenience). Furious at this misuse of authority, the Europeans have set about trying to create a new payment system.
 
They are not the only ones. The Chinese, Russians and Indians have also been trying to create mechanisms that would allow them to escape the hegemony of the dollar. So far, these efforts have been largely ineffective. But if so many major trading nations, including key European ones, set out to subvert the dollar, they will eventually have some impact. Once upon a time, the British pound was the dominant international currency, but it was supplanted by the dollar. There is no iron law that says the dollar will be king forever.
 
Or look at the way the Trump administration has been wielding the threat of tariffs. In many cases, the administration has invoked “national security” concerns. The law that allows the president to levy such tariffs was passed during the Cold War to enable the country to preserve critical industries that might be needed to sustain the geopolitical contest with the Soviet Union. Canadian aluminum and Japanese-made SUVs don’t fit the bill, even if President Trump thinks otherwise. As Jennifer A. Hillman, the former general counsel to the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative, wrote in the New York Times: “If the United States can justify tariffs on cars as a threat to national security, then every country in the world can most likely justify restrictions on almost any product under a similar claim.” 
 
The United States has legitimate complaints about China’s trade practices. Beijing will often follow the letter of the law but find clever ways to undermine its spirit through loopholes and exceptions. But that is precisely what the Trump administration is itself doing. By misusing the national security exemption, it is weakening the very trade rules and international laws that it is asking China to follow. If I were a Chinese negotiator, I would simply explain that I would follow trade rules just as much as Trump does.
 
Or consider Trump’s efforts to crush Chinese tech behemoth Huawei. So far, very few countries have followed the United States’ ban, but almost all are surely noting that if they remain reliant on crucial U.S. technologies, Washington could suddenly cripple them on a whim. The result will be a greater desire for technological self-reliance and a shift away from U.S. companies.
 
The United States still occupies a unique position in the world. But it is clear that we are moving into an era in which more players will have more power. Twenty years ago, China accounted for 3 percent of global gross domestic product; today its share is 15 percent and rising. In such a period, it is all the more important that Washington act with restraint, use international institutions and try to establish consensus. As I write in the current issue of Foreign Affairs, “The rule for extending liberal hegemony seems simple: be more liberal and less hegemonic.” Trump appears intent on doing the opposite.
 
The administration is acting to achieve some short-term gains in limited transactions with other countries. But by abusing its power to do so, it is putting at risk the structure of the international system in which U.S. power is so deeply embedded. It is a bad trade and one for which all Americans will pay the price in decades to come.
 

The US trade war can’t derail China’s development - here are three reasons why - Koon Yew Yin

Author: Koon Yew Yin   |  Publish date: Tue, 11 Jun 2019, 6:23 PM


Michael Tai is professor of development studies at the Beijing Institute of Technology and author of US-China Relations in the 21st Century: A Question of Trust

Published: 5:00am, 8 Jun, 2019

  • China’s tech progress has already reached a turning point, its size grants it unusual abilities and its population is conditioned to be entrepreneurial; the trade war won’t change any of this

Illustration: Craig Stephens

 

If the US trade war aims to hold back China’s development, it may already be too late. Regardless of the outcome of tensions, China will almost certainly continue its present trajectory. Here’s why.

First, China has already reached critical mass in technological capacity. It has moved from imitator to innovator, and become a world leader in areas such as solar energy, mobile payments and high-speed rail.

In 2011, the Royal Society saw the landscape changing “dramatically” when China overtook the UK to become the second-leading producer of research publications.

Kai-Fu Lee, former president of Google China and an expert on artificial intelligence, believes China is rapidly becoming a global leader in AI and may surpass the United States – 5G is only one of several crucial technologies where the US has fallen behind due to policy missteps.

By deciding against a single telecommunications standard, the US fragmented its telecoms industry and has no 5G contender today. The fastest supercomputer, the largest radio telescope and the first landing on the dark side of the moon are other feathers in the Chinese cap.

Second, the size of the Chinese domestic market provides important advantages when it comes to innovation.

China has the world’s largest fintech market, where digital payments are 50 times larger than the US, while its three biggest internet companies – Baidu, Alibaba and Tencent – are investing in machine learning and artificial intelligence.

AI is built on big data, and because of its vast number of internet users, China has caught up to the US at an unexpected pace.

Economies of scale allow quicker recovery of R&D and tooling expenditure, translating into a cost advantage over rivals, especially in sectors requiring heavy front-end investments such as hi-speed rail, nuclear power plants, solar panels, power turbines, electric vehicles and drones.

China's advantage is no longer low-cost labour but its enormous pool of hands-on technicians and engineers able to turn blueprints into prototypes, sometimes in a matter of days.

 

China’s 10 goals for 2025

China has an ambitious plan to lower its dependency on imported technology by developing its own. Click an icon below to see more about each part of the Made in China 2025 plan.

Nevertheless, there is nothing original or unique about the Chinese development model.

China is essentially replicating many of the policy features of Japan, South Korea, Taiwan and Singapore at an earlier developmental stage when the state steered the economy and controlled key sectors such as banking, telecommunications, steel and energy.

Indeed, this state-led model was practised by the United States, Britain, France and Germany, too, during the 19th century and first half of the 20th centuries, as Cambridge economist Ha-Joon Chang points out.

Consider president Franklin D. Roosevelt's New Deal programmes to spur the US economy in the 1930s or French state ownership of and intervention in key industry sectors up until today.

Even China's authoritarian, one-party rule is nothing extraordinary; Taiwan, South Korea and Singapore were equally authoritarian.

How does Beijing plan to lead the world with 'Made in China 2025'?

South Korea saw rapid economic growth under presidents Park Chung-hee and Chun Doo-hwan, both military men who restricted civil liberties and controlled the judicial system, while Taiwan's economic miracle happened under one-party rule and martial law was not lifted until 1987.

Singapore has effectively been a one-party state since 1965 and the same could be said of Japan, under the Liberal Democratic Party since 1955 (except for brief hiatuses in 1993-1994 and 2009-2012).

One-party rule with a competent bureaucracy can enable stable, long-term policy planning and execution.

This advantage is starkly illustrated by Taiwan, whose economy has floundered since the mid-1990s as frequent changes of government and policies deter investors and undermine the morale of civil servants no longer certain if their work will have any lasting effect.

But China's rise, in tandem with the Asian tigers, is also powered by cultural character, a factor often overlooked by economists. If England is a nation of shopkeepers, to quote Adam Smith, China is a nation of entrepreneurs

Chinese business sense first caught the attention of Europeans in the colonies of Southeast Asia.

British colonial officer Francis Light observed that “they possess the different trades of carpenters, masons, and smiths, are traders, shopkeepers and planters … [and] are the only people of the East from whom a revenue can be raised without expense and extraordinary efforts of Government…”

American anthropologist and explorer David P. Barrows considered the way “their keen sense for trade and their indifference to physical hardship and danger, make the Chinese almost a dominant factor whenever political barriers have not been raised against their entry”.

Confucian virtue can be compared to the Weberian Protestant ethic. The Chinese language is full of maxims exhorting learning and hard work, and anyone who has been to China will not fail to notice the way hardship is accepted as a normal part of life.

Barbers are on their feet 12 hours a day while the repair of shoes and clothing to mobile phones and computers is easily and affordably available.

To stay ahead of the competition, some companies practice a “996” work regime (9am to 9pm, six days a week) – the subject of vigorous debate on Chinese social media recently.

 

Hong Kong tycoon Robert Kuok calls the Chinese the “most amazing economic ants on Earth” but their success draws both admiration as well as envy and angst, and not unlike the Jews, the Chinese often face discrimination, expulsion and violence.

In 1882, Congress passed the Chinese Exclusion Act which effectively barred Chinese from the United States for several decades.

The act was repealed in 1943 but quotas remained in place until 1965. President Donald Trump's tariffs and entity list represent the latest round of exclusion which may succeed in delaying – but not derailing – China's development.

Michael Tai is professor of development studies at the Beijing Institute of Technology and author of US-China Relations in the 21st Century: A Question of Trust

 

Cancer Patients Have 4 Commonalities You Should Know - Koon Yew Yin

Author: Koon Yew Yin   |  Publish date: Sat, 8 Jun 2019, 12:07 PM


Many people would have seen the 15 minutes long video by Dr Luke Coutinho about cancer prevention. I wish to summarise the whole story for you because cancer is such a frightening disease.

Dr Luke is a Holistic Nutritionist specialising in the field of Integrative and Lifestyle Medicine. 

Luke along with his team of qualified Doctors and trained nutritionists design wellness plans with a holistic approach towards prevention, weight and disease management with expertise in cancer care. 

Luke is a motivational health, wellness & lifestyle speaker with advanced certifications from Australia and New York and is tied up with leading hospitals in New York and London.

Why pharmaceutical companies do not research on cancer prevention?

It is against their interest. Their aim is to sell medicines to cancer patients.   

Statistics

Luke and his team interviewed hundreds of cancer patients and most of them have the 4 following commonalities:

1. Frequent constipation

Most cancer patients have frequent constipation which means that the excreta (shit) is retained in the body longer than usual and some of the poison can travel back into his blood stream.

2. Acidic

Most cancer patients’ digestive systems are too acidic.

3. Lag of sleep

Most cancer patients do not have 8 hours of sleep every night. As a result, their bodies cannot produce enough of melatonin which helps to control your body temperature.   

4. Stress

Most cancer patients are having too much of stress due some difficulties or unresolved problems.  

My advice

I am 86 years old and in the last 20 or more years, I have only seen a doctor once for a prolong cough. Although I am not a doctor, I think I am qualified to offer my advice. 

When I wake up in the morning, I drink 2 glasses of water and eat about half a pineapple which is very fibrous. I drink a cup of black coffee without sugar. I do not eat anything until lunchtime.

The water and pineapple are literally washing and brushing my digestive track which is about 27 feet long. As a result, I absolutely do not have constipation. 

Throughout the day, I drink more water than I actually require. As a result, I go to toilet quite often. I avoid sugar and I eat small amount of rice. I eat vegetables, fish and chicken. I try to avoid eating red meat.

I have covered the first 2 items constipation and acidic.

To encourage sleep and reduce stress I need to do some physical and mental exercise with the right attitude. 

Physical exercise:

At my age, I cannot do vigorous exercise. I just walk about for about 10 minutes, swing my hands and do deep breathing exercise. Fresh air is free and plentiful. I do this routine quite frequently throughout the day. I do not sit down for more than 1 hour.

Mental exercise:

I watch the stock market during trading hours. Besides this, I write articles to criticise the corrupted BN Government. Since Pakatan Haprapan (PH) has won control of the government, I write more on share investment and useful pieces to benefit all my readers. I am writing this piece is a good example.    

Right attitude:  

Every morning when I wake up, I should feel happy because I did not die the night before. I am lucky to be alive to do good things and enjoy my life. 

I must forget all my difficulties in the past, I must enjoy the present and look forward to enjoy my remaining days.

I believe education and wealth alone cannot make me a better person. I must have the right attitude to enable me to live a happy and useful long life.

Studies have shown that education, wealth, right attitude and happiness can prolong life.    

My advice is to stop worrying. Time will change everything. The key to happiness is contentment. Be satisfied with what you have and don’t compare yourself with others because you don’t know what they have gone Get a good sleep to improve your immune system.  

My advice for those who have too much stress is to remember time will change everything. Always look at the bright side of any problem. If they still have too much stress, they should see a psychologist to change their mindset.  


 

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