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Koon Yew Yin's Blog

Author: Koon Yew Yin   |   Latest post: Sun, 27 Sep 2020, 10:00 PM

 

Top Glove’s 4th Q profit is 5 times its 3rd Q profit? Koon Yew Yin

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Affin Hwang Capital Research analyst, Mr Ng Chi Hoong recently pondered the possibility that Top Glove’s share price could breach Rm 100.

Many investors do not believe it. That is why its share price is not shooting up like other smaller glove stocks such as Comfort, Supermax, CarePlus etc.

The CEO of Comfort said at its AGM that he was increasing 5-10 percent of the selling price of gloves every month. Since Top Glove is the biggest glove manufacturer in the world, it should be able to increase its selling price by at 10 percent every month. 

In the 3rd quarter ending May, its revenue Rm 1,688 million – PBT 422 million = Rm 1,266 million production cost.

Assuming 10% selling price increase its revenue for June was Rm 1,688 X 1.10 = Rm 1,857 million – production cost Rm 1,266 = PBT Rm 591 million.

Assuming 10% selling price increase its revenue for July was Rm 1,857 X 1.1 = Rm 2,043 million – production cost Rm 1,266 = PBT Rm 777 million.

Assuming 10% selling price increase its revenue for Aug will be Rm 2043 X 1.1 = Rm 2,247 million – production cost Rm 1,266 = PBT Rm 981 million.

Total PBT for 4th quarter Rm 2,349 million. Assuming 25% tax PAT Rm 1,762 million

Total issued 2.7 billion shares

EPS for the 4th quarter Rm 1,762 million divided by 2.7 billion = 65 sen

Its EPS for 3rd quarter was 13.59 sen

Profit increase by 65 sen divided by 13.59 sen = 4.78 times.    

Mr Ooi Teik Bee has kindly checked and verified my calculation. That is why I posted my previous article namely “Top Glove is very much under-priced”.

Based on my calculation for its 4th quarter, all investors should be able to foresee Top Glove’s profit for the next financial year.

Now I believe Affin Hwang Capital Research analyst Mr Ng Chi Hoong’s Rm 100 as Top Glove’s target price.

 

 

 

    

    

 

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Labels: TOPGLOV

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