Highlights

MIDF Sector Research

Author: sectoranalyst   |   Latest post: Thu, 21 Nov 2019, 10:58 AM

 

Daibochi - Let the Dust Settle First

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INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS

  • Huge makeover underway
  • Change in strategy for Daibochi Myanmar
  • Acquisition of MPP expected by 3QCY19
  • Maintain SELL with an unchanged TP of RM1.55

Huge makeover underway. During Daibochi’s 5QFY19 results briefing, Scientex management has shared some of its imminent plans for its 62%-owned subsidiary. Among others, it is reviewing Daibochi’s raw material costs and inventory management framework as well as disposing off its non-core assets. They opined that Daibochi’s operating costs can be further reduced through the enhancement in efficiency particularly for its Jasin plant. Management has allocated an additional capex of RM6.6m to expand its extrusion capacity. On top of that, they have also identified possible solutions to reduce wastage by about 6ppt. While we are positive on the measures taken to boost Daibochi’s operating efficiency and eventually profitability, we expect possible write-downs arising from the restructuring that could negatively impact Daibochi’s earnings in the near-term.

Change in strategy for Daibochi Myanmar. Management has also shared that it will relook into the growth plan for Daibochi Myanmar. Previously, Daibochi planned to serve its local pricesensitive customers by importing semi-finished products from Myanmar but after a review, they think that Daibochi Myanmar could focus on serving the local market there and other neighbouring countries such as Thailand and Cambodia. Currently, they are looking to expand the capacity in Myanmar to better serve the MNC customer there.

Acquisition of Mega Printing & Packaging (MPP) expected by 3QCY19. Management feels upbeat about the prospects of the enlarged company once MPP is integrated into the group. Currently 84% of MPP’s revenue is derived from local sales compared to about ~50% for Daibochi. Management has also shared that MPP will be able to serve the more price sensitive customers in Malaysia. We are positive on this acquisition due to the synergy and earnings accretion. However, we have not factored in contribution from MPP pending the completion of the deal.

Maintain SELL with an unchanged TP of RM1.55. We keep our DDM-derived TP at RM1.55 as we make no changes to our earnings estimates. Our SELL recommendation is maintained due to recent run-up in its share price. We also think that investors should wait out until the dust settles, i.e. completion of the restructuring activities. Moreover, dividend yield is unattractive at 1.6%.

Source: MIDF Research - 16 May 2019

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