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Author: qqq3   |   Latest post: Tue, 29 Oct 2019, 12:07 PM

 

some observations and some myths.

Author: qqq3   |  Publish date: Tue, 29 Oct 2019, 12:07 PM


As traders/ speculators, we make decisions based on our observations ...and here are some oservations/ myths.

 

Shares go up before results means good results coming.

 

In the case of Vitrox, price went up from $ 7 in mid Sept to $ 8.30 on 22 Oct and released disappointing results on 24 Oct...................by  now, the share back down to $ 7.40.

 

Observation.............shares up before results not always means good result.

 

Share market as indicator

 

In the case of Dow Jones it  is near record high, driven by tax cuts, US Federal deficits of $ 1 trillion for 2019 and other news flows.............

 

Observation.............most of DJ is driven by automated trading, AI , news flows, short term in nature and says little  about long term consequences. It used to be said, share market is a good predictor of economy 6 months ahead. I do not find any truth in that statement. I find stock market trading is divorced from real economy.

 

Other myths and observations?

 

 

 

 

 

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Dayang did well in 2019.............

Author: qqq3   |  Publish date: Fri, 25 Oct 2019, 9:07 PM


Dayang did well in 2019.............but so did many other shares also did well in 2019................

 

some shares that did well in 2019 that I know of................

 

Velesto, Armada, Jaks, Magnitech, MI, Salutica, MBM, HT padu, Success........many many others.  and what did not do well Jan - Oct may do well in Nov/ Dec.  The game is not over until  it is over. 

 

so what's the message/ the point?

 

The message is....Dayang is not the only share in Bursa.

 

Make money or not is the result of many factors.

 

- the more you are willing to risk, the more money is made, if right.

- the more obtacles you overcome, the more is made, if right.

- can stay the course or not? what with market uncertainties, bulls and bears, the more you know some thing, the more uncertainties and the more you don't know for sure. ....some times dumb dumb hold is best, some times, dumb dumb hold profits become losses. 

 

Like OTB/ KYY....just because Dayang is up for the year, they want you to think they are Gods. Nothing is further from the truth. Stock market has a way to even out in the long run. Make money no need to be too arrogant, lose money no need to be too sad...............Its all just part of a game. Just make sure you have a game plan.  Other people make money, other stocks make money that is not so relevant. Important is own P&L. People compare people can sure die one.

 

Be positive and happy.....not like OTB the image peddlar.....why he wants to tell you I am fake accountant, I am sacked accountant, I have no money.......Its all part of his image peddling career. He doesn't even know my name.............lol.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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cheoky You contains traces of stock wisdom... Definitely better than previous qqq. Cant believe i said such to u
25/10/2019 10:21 PM
Icon8888 Cockroaches evolve

They adapt
26/10/2019 6:22 AM

Portfolio as at 22 Oct 2019

Author: qqq3   |  Publish date: Tue, 22 Oct 2019, 3:16 PM


ranked by value invested

 

Magnitech

 

Serba

 

Elsoft

 

Teo Seng

 

OCK 

 

Foreign

 

TSMC 

 

sold Armada but much higher now....well, cannot be perfect all the time. *  same for MI.

 

Important thing is new share also make money........lol.

 

* I do not have problem know what to buy. But I always have problem staying still and maximise the gains......That is my problem but not everyone has my kind of problem...............

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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qqq3 armada 50 sen at 2.30 pm....now 44 sen....


what to make of stock market?
22/10/2019 3:53 PM
qqq3 stock market no absolute truth only got make money or not............
22/10/2019 3:54 PM
qqq3 look at armada.....is OG play over?
22/10/2019 4:07 PM
qqq3 armada 50 sen at 2.30 pm....now 38 sen....


shares struggle to go up , and all gone in an instant......
22/10/2019 4:24 PM
qqq3 emphasis on stability, not greed.
23/10/2019 9:22 AM
stkstudent "people want to invest, they want to be successful.......they need to have big dreams, and grit....and and of course, knowledge and mind set."


people need to be true and honest with themselves, have a forgiving spirit , not keep petty grievances in heart,and realise that we are the cause of our own unhappiness , not the enemy...

If you are happy and at peace in heart, do you still need to cari gaduh ?
23/10/2019 1:35 PM
stockmanmy what is gaduh to you is happiness to me. Stay positive and happy.
23/10/2019 3:54 PM
stockmanmy https://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/rakuten/231690.jsp
23/10/2019 3:54 PM
qqq3 in this portfolio, TSMC and Teo Seng are doing well..............
29/10/2019 12:12 PM
qqq3 Teo seng is my best hope for making some fast money......
31/10/2019 8:13 PM
qqq3 today is my day...Teo Seng and Serba doing well....what I need is Magni to do well too.

FYI, I have sold Elsoft at 98 previously, and today bought Jaks at 1.07........positive and happy..............lol.
05/11/2019 2:54 PM
qqq3 I buy Magni in anticipation of continued trade war....reduced trade war caused me to lose money....Use some teo seng profits to wash away Magni............
07/11/2019 4:19 PM

my portfolio as at 7 Oct 2019

Author: qqq3   |  Publish date: Mon, 7 Oct 2019, 12:19 PM


shares listed by order of weightage

 

                                                                 Remarks ( from last time)

 

 

Magni                                                            added                                                      

 

Serba Dynamic                                               reduced

 

MI                                                                  maintained

 

Elsoft                                                             new

 

MPI                                                                 maintained 

 

Pchem                                                             maintained

 

Foreign

 

TSMC                                                               maintained

 

Cash level about 20% but  reduced serba bought elsoft and added magni

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qqq3 mpi up 50 sen today...................lol
07/10/2019 12:23 PM
qqq3 what is the market theme?

technology shares, one or two OG shares which had good results, shares benefiting from US tarifs ( Magni ).....................



u don't have themes shares, no need to see already.................lol.....
07/10/2019 1:11 PM
qqq3 buffetlology like selling ice to eskimos...........not a viable business.
07/10/2019 1:13 PM
qqq3 black cat white cat...............people knows what it means or not?


it means.....

decisions are to be based on experience, on evidence, on research, study, science not ideology, not what sifus say, not theology, not religion, not bufalo man,

and that is the basis for China's success the last 40 years............
07/10/2019 8:45 PM
qqq3 take profit on MI, Elsoft.....................as a trader, this is time to sell as market going forward is bad..............................................
08/10/2019 9:25 AM
qqq3 take profit on MI, Elsoft.....................as a trader, this is time to sell as market going forward is bad..............................................

check the time of my posting.....I have to debate with myself whether I should post it................
08/10/2019 9:58 AM

my portfolio as at 1 Oct 2019

Author: qqq3   |  Publish date: Tue, 1 Oct 2019, 12:08 PM


shares listed by order of weightage

 

Serba Dynamic

Magni

MI

MPI

Pchem

 

Foreign

 

TSMC

 

Cash level remains about 30% but have took profits on Armada ( at 34) and put into Magni, MPI, PChem. From penny stock into more stable shares. 

 

 

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Sslee Hahahaha
qqq3 glad to know you cut loss on LB and buy into the love of kcchong's magni and philip's Pchem.
01/10/2019 12:24 PM
qqq3 I am not a stubborn chap. I am a trader/ speculator ( most of the time).
01/10/2019 1:10 PM
Fabien "The Efficient Capital Allocater" surprised to see Magni and PChem.

thought you are more of thematic play?
01/10/2019 1:44 PM
Fabien "The Efficient Capital Allocater" at least your portfolio is lean and concentrated. something which i wish to achieve in the long run

i own 30 stocks at this moment. a self-made index. hahaha
01/10/2019 1:45 PM
qqq3 magni....I wrote an article about who/ what benefits from US tarifs on China..........surely clothing companies is one the major items affected.

pchem....very small position only....But P Chem is a good one for higher product prices, higher volumes and lower costs...also I think some facilities in saudi affected............
01/10/2019 2:08 PM
Fabien "The Efficient Capital Allocater" didn't know Magni benefits from trade war. though i know Nike is doing well.

what i know of trade war beneficiaries are furniture companies and EMS or contract manufacturers
01/10/2019 2:33 PM
Integrity. Intelligent. Industrious. 3iii (iiinvestsmart)$€£¥ >>>

my portfolio as at 1 Oct 2019
Author: qqq3 | Publish date: Tue, 1 Oct 2019, 12:08 PM

Serba Dynamic
Magni
MI
MPI
Pchem


Foreign

TSMC


Cash level remains about 30% but have took profits on Armada ( at 34) and put into Magni, MPI, PChem. From penny stock into more stable shares.

>>>>




Very concentrated portfolio.
Equity 70% Cash level 30%.
No gruesome companies.


Thanks for sharing.
01/10/2019 3:47 PM
qqq3 no need to thank me. Last few times, I shared my portfolio, my shares go up immediately. No exception this time.....Like that I will share more often......lol....
01/10/2019 4:40 PM
Sslee Hahahaha
qqq3 why took profit on Armada? And not dumb dumb hold?
Posted by qqq3 > Sep 3, 2019 9:19 AM | Report Abuse
agreed, just dumb dumb hold...today is a bad , still green......
Stock: [ARMADA]: BUMI ARMADA BHD
Sep 1, 2019 11:09 AM | Report Abuse
2 nd quarter...
PBT $ 100 m
add depreciation $ $ 200 m
PBT plus depreciation is $ 300 million operating cashflows for 2 nd quarter....X 4 is $ 1.2 billion a years with possibility of better performance from recovery in OMS and Kraken...............

Wonder whether Icon8888 already took profit but for sure stockraider will cut win when Armada drop from 355 to 255
01/10/2019 5:31 PM
Integrity. Intelligent. Industrious. 3iii (iiinvestsmart)$€£¥ http://www.investlah.com/forum/index.php/topic,80192.0.html

qqq3 portfolio
01/10/2019 7:59 PM
Integrity. Intelligent. Industrious. 3iii (iiinvestsmart)$€£¥ >>>

Posted by Sslee > Oct 1, 2019 5:31 PM | Report Abuse

Hahahaha
qqq3 why took profit on Armada? And not dumb dumb hold?
Posted by qqq3 > Sep 3, 2019 9:19 AM | Report Abuse
agreed, just dumb dumb hold...today is a bad , still green......
Stock: [ARMADA]: BUMI ARMADA BHD
Sep 1, 2019 11:09 AM | Report Abuse
2 nd quarter...
PBT $ 100 m
add depreciation $ $ 200 m
PBT plus depreciation is $ 300 million operating cashflows for 2 nd quarter....X 4 is $ 1.2 billion a years with possibility of better performance from recovery in OMS and Kraken...............

Wonder whether Icon8888 already took profit but for sure stockraider will cut win when Armada drop from 355 to 255

>>>

How much is the capex?
01/10/2019 8:06 PM
qqq3 Vitrox $ 8............long term investors see new high........the most innovative company in Bursa.
02/10/2019 9:31 AM
qqq3 magni $ 6.70 already......

fierce lah.....

Nike supplier, what can go wrong?
02/10/2019 9:34 AM
qqq3 vitrox $ 8 already....surely MI turn
02/10/2019 9:42 AM
qqq3 top gainers today........Vitrox, Magni, Penta, Unisem, MI...........all theme play.....all technology and apparel.................good and happy day............
02/10/2019 3:01 PM
qqq3 abien "The Efficient Capital Allocater" > Oct 1, 2019 1:45 PM | Report Abuse

something which i wish to achieve in the long run
============

can change but must do 2 things....

be prepared to take profits/ cut loss in non core counters in other words trade to keep total counters small.

trade within small number of counters like PNB trade PNB counters. too high reduce, too low increase.....or ....price keep going up, keep increasing....like kyy.



or if u are genuine investor, like Philips, then money averaging of a few selected counters, irrespective of market.
02/10/2019 7:08 PM
Fabien "The Efficient Capital Allocater" hmmm, i'm more of Peter Lynch style. many small positions in what he himself termed it as "tune in later" stocks, so that i keep it in view and follow their story. skin in the game, yo!
02/10/2019 7:49 PM
Fabien "The Efficient Capital Allocater" basically, i keep 2 portfolios la. A and B

B is concentrated. just 5 stocks. comprising of big blue chips. defensive portfolio, passive investing

it's like following Benjamin Graham advice la.
A is portfolio for enterprising investor...comprised of many small mid cap stocks, rebalance every half yearly
02/10/2019 7:53 PM
Integrity. Intelligent. Industrious. 3iii (iiinvestsmart)$€£¥ >>>
Icon8888
Stock: [ARMADA]: BUMI ARMADA BHD

Sep 26, 2019 2:44 PM | Report Abuse

Today 36 possible

Dumb dumb hold wait for 60
>>>

>>>>

Posted by Sslee > Oct 1, 2019 5:31 PM | Report Abuse

Hahahaha
qqq3 why took profit on Armada? And not dumb dumb hold?
Posted by qqq3 > Sep 3, 2019 9:19 AM | Report Abuse
agreed, just dumb dumb hold...today is a bad , still green......
Stock: [ARMADA]: BUMI ARMADA BHD
Sep 1, 2019 11:09 AM | Report Abuse
2 nd quarter...
PBT $ 100 m
add depreciation $ $ 200 m
PBT plus depreciation is $ 300 million operating cashflows for 2 nd quarter....X 4 is $ 1.2 billion a years with possibility of better performance from recovery in OMS and Kraken...............

Wonder whether Icon8888 already took profit but for sure stockraider will cut win when Armada drop from 355 to 255
>>>


:-)
Apple polisher
02/10/2019 9:30 PM
qqq3 magni fierce.....dow down 500 still green.............
03/10/2019 9:40 AM
qqq3 Dow was priced for perfection.....


surely Dow has more risk than bursa............
03/10/2019 9:43 AM
qqq3 themes.............the themes now are apparel and technology ...watch out for weakness in ringgit.............
04/10/2019 9:24 AM
qqq3 Stock: [MAGNI]: MAGNI-TECH INDUSTRIES BHD

Oct 3, 2019 8:38 PM | Report Abuse

I will not consider selling magni without $ 7.50, in fact smarter still is keeping for a few quarters...............
04/10/2019 9:25 AM
qqq3 TSMC, got at 44...now also 48 already...thanks to icon888.....
04/10/2019 4:51 PM
qqq3 how to make money? u make money when u have the right shares at the right time.................


recently, when u have the following shares, u make money.........

OG Dayang, Carimin

Apparel Magni

Eggs Leong Hup

Technology MI, Elsoft, Penta, Vitrox


if u didn't margin and sailang, u make less. If u margin and sailang, u make more....................



https://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/qqq3/227684.jsp


https://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/qqq3/226123.jsp


how to make money? Focus on shares benefiting on US tarifs on China..............
07/10/2019 9:18 AM
Icon8888 Oh I am still holding armada

Looking for reasons to sell

But so far can't find one yet
07/10/2019 11:48 PM
Icon8888 qqq3 tsmc results will be announced on 17 October
07/10/2019 11:49 PM
value88 Should not sell Armada, i think it still has long way to go.
I also have MI and MPI.
MI is also a stock to hold, its potential is huge.
08/10/2019 12:00 AM
qqq3 ed by Icon8888 > Oct 7, 2019 11:48 PM | Report Abuse

Oh I am still holding armada
=======

not just armada...many shares u have I no longer have.
08/10/2019 12:33 AM

If You Want To Get Rich, Invest Like Google, Not Warren Buffett

Author: qqq3   |  Publish date: Sat, 28 Sep 2019, 5:47 PM


If You Want To Get Rich, Invest Like Google, Not Warren Buffett

 

https://www.forbes.com/sites/oliviergarret/2019/09/27/if-you-want-to-get-rich-invest-like-google-not-warren-buffett/#59f9e1344ce0

 

 

Too bad,  Bursa got no such companies.............How?

 

Or even if Bursa got, we would not know.........

 

Now you know why Bursa like dead?

 

Bufalology is dead.....welcome to Googlelology......................

 

 

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