Highlights

THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN

Author: calvintaneng   |   Latest post: Sat, 15 Jan 2022, 1:26 PM

 

NASDAQ DOWN: KLSE BLOATED & FROTHY TECH GOT HIT HARD, BETTER SELL & RUN, Calvin Tan

Author:   |    Publish date:


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From Permafrost to Precipitation, Calvin Tan Research (At what stage is Glove, Steel/Aluminium & Palm Oil Stocks currently?

Author:    |    Publish date: 

 



This is a reposted article

 

The Eight  Stages  of A Hot Air Balloon Stock

NOTE: THIS ALSO APPLY TO CYCLICALS LIKE GLOVES, STEEL/ALUMINIUM & PALM OIL

 

Stage No. 1.  PermaFrost

Snow that is frozen for 2 or more years are called permafrost 

perma - as in perma-nent

frost - be freezed over

This is the stage of a really dead stock that no research house will bother. Not a single soul is interested.  The exception must be the only one in ten thousand who dare to buy any.

Stage No. 2. Thawing

Frozen Solid Ice starts to thaw or soften a little

A very slight passing glance by some value investors or deep value hunters. Only the very brave who SEE VALUE Will dare to buy some.

Stage No. 3 ICE Now Turning to Cold Water.

Some brave souls dare to venture in. Of course it's cold. Every where people pour scorn and cold water on the stock. Very few pay any attention. Remarks are usually negative. From Remisiers, fund managers, one and all. Same conclusion - the stock is not in their investment radar. So most reject it..

Stage 4. Cold Water no longer cold. It is now at room temperature.

Ha! there is a little attention paid by value investor. For the rest it is neither cold nor hot. So lukewarm response. No longer negative like before. But not positive either. A few hopeful investor  starts to accumulate.

 

Stage 5 Water starts to boil

Ha! the heat or fire cause the water to stir a little now. There is warm and movement.

Company reports a good quarter. Or some great contract awarded - real or assumed. Some by merger news. Some favourable factors due to ringgit crash and strong US Dollar translating into higher profits. Or cheap oil benefiting rubber glove, logistic stock like transport or airline. There is now a stir in the stock.

Newspapers, analysts, experts, punters and all are paying attention now. More people talk about it in internet forum and even the media reports it.

Buyers are coming in and there is a great stir at last. Things are now coming alive. Prices moving upward. Many are making   monies.

 

Stage 6. Boiling Water Turning Very Hot in the kettle. The water now churning in violent waves in the pot or kettle with steaming hot movements.

At long last the stock is very hot. Post after post by i3 forum member. All are universally drawn and sucked in. Like insects flying into bornfire at night there is a red hot wild attraction. As more people telling how they made killings in the stock market even more and more people are drawn into the red hot hot stock.

Those who made money early are now piling more and more monies into the red hot stock. Some even go into margin account to buy more.

Prices leap up to the cheers of all and sundry. Everyone is so happy. Happy in a sure winner. Emotion is now flying high. Any opposing view is slammed down in a frenzy. Reason is now overtaken by exuberance.

 

Stage No. 7. Hot Steam Rises Up The Sky As Hot Air To Form Cloud

All are now in cloud nine. Naysayers are condemned and proven wrong. The sky is the limit for the price. Can now fly to the moon or mars. More monies piled in. More suckers drawn in by greed.

This is the happiest time for all. But throwing all caution to the wind this is also now the most dangerous time to hold or buy more.

In Bursa every day the hot stock is traded in top 10 volumes

In internet forum this is the stock conversation revolves around day and night. Media reports it and tell why it should go even higher. Experts suddenly appear to tell you this time is different. The sky is the limit. Or the sky is not limit. It should fly to outer space.

See example:

Sumatech has a total of  121,603 posts

121,603 POSTS? AMAZING INDEED!

And 123 people clicked like for sumatech

All finally caught in SudaTrap

 

 123 people like this.
   Showing 10 of 121603 comments. Show more comments
SejukSam any news on this sumatec?
17/05/2016 17:31

 

Hmmm?

IFCA Also got many posts & likes

55 people like this. (IFCA)
   Showing 10 of 45505 comments. Show more comments

 

Hmmm?

Airasia also look like one now with 40,978 hot hot comments

66 people like this. (airasia)
   Showing 10 of 40978 comments. Show more comments

 

 

Stage No. 8 Precipitation - Cloud falls down and crash back to earth in torrential rain.

All caught holding high flying shares on the steep fall to earth are in despair. This is the ultimate result for those who chased hot hot stocks at the very peak = total loss and bankruptcies.

 

See from permafrost to precipitation stocks

 

SUMATEC RESOURCES BERHAD [S] (1201)

Company Website 
Annual Report 
General Meetings


SUMATEC RESOURCES BHD (1201) Chart
 
 
 
Calvin comments:
 
For Medical Gloves it is now at Stage 7 going to 8
 
For TECH STOCKS &  Steel/Aluminium at stage between 6 & 7
 
For Palm Oil now moving from Stage 3 to stage 4
 
SO FROM HERE THERE IS A CLEAR SIGN THAT GLOVES ARE OVERVALUED, STEEL/ALUMINIUM FULLY VALUED BUT PALM OIL STILL FAIR OR UNDERVALUE
 
BEST REGARDS
 
Calvin Tan Research
 
Please buy or sell AFTER doing your own due diligence. In doubt consult your remisier or Fund Manager
 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

STAGE OF PERMAFROST (ICE FORM: SOLID AND LIFELESS) NO BODY INTERESTED IN SUCH "DEAD" STOCKS

Melting Arctic permafrost could supercharge global warming - China Dialogue

 

STAGE OF A HOT STOCK (MANY PEOPLE ARE NOW HOT IN PURSUIT: HOT TOPIC AND HOT STOCK IN CONVERSATION

 

The physics of a boiling kettle – my question to the commission! | Roger  Helmer MEP

 

 

STAGE OF CLOUD NINE (ALL ARE IN EUPHORIA & CELEBRATION AS SHARES REACHED PEAK & HIGH UP THE SKY)

AND THOSE WHO STILL CHASE AND BUY ARE IN GREATEST DANGER: 90% OF THE PEOPLE NOW FULL OF CONFIDENCE

 

FOR FAR TOO LONG MALAYSIAN TECH BUBBLE STAYED AT CLOUD 9

Best 100+ Cloud Pictures [HQ] | Download Free Images on Unsplash

 

 

STAGE OF MARKET CRASHING DOWN (NOW NASDAQ DOWN PLUS FORCE LABOUR WILL PIERCE THE BALLOON)

FALLING PRICES

 

Motorists advised in the event of heavy rainfall drive with extreme caution  or stay-off road network

 

RUN EARLY FOR SHELTER IN PALM OIL STOCKS NOW THE SAFEST

OR ELSE SEE BELOW

STAGE OF LOOKING FOR SHELTER FROM THE STORM OF LOSSES

 

What Is Torrential Rain and How Forceful Is it?

 

TOP LOSERS

 

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OnTime evil be gone!
02/12/2021 2:04 PM
amateurJR when oil palm collapse? haha
02/12/2021 2:10 PM
ahbah Our klci tech stocks ... ok or not ?

still buyable or sell ?
02/12/2021 2:14 PM
calvintaneng Ahbah Ahbah

Cannot play hot air balloon Tech stock

After Burst like MPI fell 80% from Rm50 to Rm10 last time

STAY VERY VERY VERY SAFE IN PALM OIL SHARES NOW
02/12/2021 2:15 PM
calvintaneng Palm oil stocks all at stage 3 or 4

Still long way to go up

SO VERY VERY VERY SAFE: SAFER THAN THE BANKS
02/12/2021 2:17 PM
Intrinsic99 Please LISTEN :-

When promoter always so much of sweat talk so much of approach for sure this iddiot spammer (hantu @calvin) wanted to cash out from the stock purchased

Other members also buying valuable stocks but not behave like this iddiot spammer

We all feel ridiculous nonstop posting nonstop promoting

As I said earlier, if you so confidence to wait and if you so confidence what you invest why everyday need to promote, why everyday put up so many blog, why everyday go different stocks forum keep on promoting your palm oil stocks?

This is very obvious you desperately want to cash out your share bought and treat other members as waterfish.

Now all open your eye and see this iddiot spammer sold all MHC stock since this iddiot spammer so confidence about the palm oil sector earlier and keep on promoting to all members everywhere.


https://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/forum/600571451.jsp

>>>

I so pity members here listen to this iddiot end up you can burn you hard earned money and this iddiot laughing at you later.


In the real world, no free lunch to people unless you want to take advantage from others

I don't know why 3iii administrator didn't take any action to suspend this iddiot account to avoid further keep on spamming everyday and every way

I pegging administrator need to take proper action against this spammer in order to strengthen protection more and more victim investors.
02/12/2021 2:22 PM
warrenchok90 good work Calvin. long live palm oil stock!!
02/12/2021 2:23 PM
ahbah Thanks.
02/12/2021 2:35 PM
gladiator Next collapse is D&O PE=69 extreme high is a time bomb. OSRAM Licht AG a German company doing led for EV forward PE=24 only
02/12/2021 2:57 PM
calvintaneng yes correct

of the whole world tech stocks only Malaysia Tech got the highest P/E

even higher than those of USA
02/12/2021 3:01 PM
calvintaneng USA tech stocks level only at Gunong Tahan

Malaysia Tech stocks with the Strong backing of IB banks and Analysts have reached Mt Everest height

Now many will lose everything when they start bursting one by one like Ataims
02/12/2021 3:09 PM
gladiator IB give D&O TP=RM8 despite poor quarter results out plus some so call telegram sifu still ask people buy at this price point giving reasons D&O involves in global business. Yes EV is global business but can D&O LED compete with US LED, Ltd. in getting business from Tesla?
02/12/2021 4:08 PM
gladiator US LED was recognized as one of America's fastest-growing private companies, making the Inc. 500/5000 list six times. US LED was also awarded a spot in the list of Top 100 Manufacturing Companies several times.
02/12/2021 4:09 PM
calvintaneng Good

In ancient time gladiators fought against men and beast in arena

Now modern gladiator must fight against false guru and false IB bankers

wrong advise

always valiant for the truth
02/12/2021 4:16 PM
calvintaneng no. palm oil not the same with Tech
palm oil has good real solid earnings

tech has little or no real earnings
02/12/2021 9:10 PM
gladiator Not all plantation is the same, I will choose plantation company with the best combination of near 52 week low, Low PE and high dividend yield. From klse screener search I get SOP (52 week low) Taann (Highest dividend) and MHC (Lowest PE) share price selected from 10 sen to RM5.00
02/12/2021 10:52 PM
stockraider Not true loh!

Insas has the very good earnings , best tech exposure & the best net cash per share margin of safety exposure exceeding its share per share of Rm 1.00 loh!

This unlike some of calvin weak pick of substandard weak palmoil stock which has poor balance sheet & high gearing mah!

Posted by calvintaneng > Dec 2, 2021 9:10 PM | Report Abuse

no. palm oil not the same with Tech
palm oil has good real solid earnings

tech has little or no real earnings
02/12/2021 11:01 PM
gladiator Flat steel counter also has good real solid earnings. In the US hedge funds are snapping up United States Steel Corporation (NYSE) Steel Dynamics, Inc.(Nasdaq) Commercial Metals Company (NYSE)
02/12/2021 11:06 PM
gladiator https://finance.yahoo.com/news/united-states-steel-corporation-x-030759676.html
02/12/2021 11:09 PM
gladiator https://finance.yahoo.com/news/top-10-stock-picks-jacob-105145303.html
02/12/2021 11:12 PM


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