Highlights

THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN

Author: calvintaneng   |   Latest post: Mon, 20 May 2019, 8:11 PM

 

THESE FIVE STOCKS MIGHT BENEFIT FROM ECRL SOUTH: Mui Prop, AsiaPac, MKH, L&G & Olympia, Calvin Tan Research

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THESE FIVE STOCKS MIGHT BENEFIT FROM ECRL SOUTH: Mui Prop, AsiaPac, MKH, L&G & Olympia, Calvin Tan Research

 

Hi guys,

By now every one is clear that ECRL (East Coast Rail Link)  has been shifted to Negeri Sembilan Route

And Calvin Tan Research has already mentioned Mui Prop (Bandar Springhill0 , AsiaPac (Labu & Semenyih), MKH (Kajang)

will benefit because they have Land Banks here.

Now I have added Two More as Visibility  Is Now Clear:  1) L&G (3174) 2) OLYMPIA (3018)

Both L&G and Olympia are Real Estate Stocks (for Olympia  also own a security firm)

 

FIRST: L&G (3174) Or Land & General

FROM THE MASTER PLAN OF THE RAIL CORRIDOR There Are 3 That Have Interchanges = MENTAKAB, BANGI & PUTRAJAYA

Both Mentakab & Bangi have 2 Rail Crossings With KTM  But for PUTRAJAYA THere are 3 Rail Crossings 1) ECRL 2) ERL 3) MRT

Now there is the Revival of LRT4 KAJANG – PUTRAJAYA Light Rail Transport – Making It 4 Rail Crossings in Total

See

Report: Putrajaya-Kajang link may be revived with LRT4 Malaysiakini

Works had begun on a monorail line connecting Putrajaya to Kajang, but construction was abandoned in 2004 due to cost constraints.

In contrast, the LRT3 line from Bandar Utama to Klang will cost RM15.02 billion.

“While it may take about six months to a year before project development begins, I can confirm that the government wants to proceed with the project,” a source was quoted as saying.

 

A Putrajaya-Kajang connection would complete the loop.There have been a number of proposals to revive the abandoned link over the years

The Star report said that if the LRT4 plan proceeds, it will be under the oversight of local authority Putrajaya Corporation and the Federal Territories Ministry.

Apart from the MRT2 line and the possible LRT4 line, the East Coast Rail Link will also have a station in Putrajaya, as will the Kuala Lumpur-Singapore High-Speed Rail, the construction of which is postponed until 2020.

NOW WHY SHOULD L&G BENEFIT?

ANSWER:

L&G HAS AN INVESTMENT OFFICE RIGHT IN PUTRAJAYA PRESINCT (13 STOREY TALL)

See (Please Refer to AR of L&G)

t 3, Presint 3, Town and 13-storey stratified Freehold

Age of Building = 3 

Net lettable area 132,687 sq ft *

Rm61,547,000 (Bought for about Rm70 Millions)

District of Putrajaya, office State of Wilayah Persekutuan Putrajaya

 

And another Piece of Development in Seremban

Parc Housing Land held Freehold –

69.31 Acres  –  Rm21,690,000 (About Rm21.6 Millions)  Development Project for development Balance of development land in Mukim Ampangan and Pekan Sungai Gadut, Daerah Seremban, Negeri Sembilan

A HIGHWAY, RAILLINK OR DEVELOPMENT THAT ENHANCE CONNECTIVITY WILL ALWAYS RAISE LAND VALUE. SO EXPECT L&G ASSETS TO GO UP

There are Few More Reasons to be Sanguine on L&G

L&G specialises in Affordable housing in Good Locations

With the impending reduction of interest rates plus Maybank giving more loans to housing L&G will see better Sales

L&G may or may not declare a dividend this year. It did for the last few years. So there is a possibility that it might declare another dividend soon

See

At 16 sen today Calvin Tan Research has a Target Price for L&G at 32 sen (Which is 100% upside)

OLYMPIA (3018)

OLYMPIA was highlighted to me by i3 Forum members. I missed because I only checked up on Dutaland (Dutaland has a small plot of land in Seremban) But see What Olympia has?

Again please refer to Olympia AR

NATURELLE SDN BHD PT 632 to 633, 636 to 640, 642,

Mixed Leasehold 1,429.00 Acres –

Rm40,474,000 (About Rm40.5 Millions)

9/9/2014 646 to 808, 872 to 888, 891, development for 99 years 893 to 924, 983 to 1,025, land expiring on 1,639 to 1,640 26/6/2091 Mukim of Kenaboi District of Jelebu Negeri Sembilan Darul Khusus

JELEBU HAS AN ECRL RAIL STOP

AND OLYMPIA IS BOUND TO BENEFIT AS THESE 1,429 ACRES OF MIXED DEVELOPMENT LANDS CAN NOW BE USED FOR HOUSING, COMMERCE OR INDUSTRY AS THEY ARE MIXED DEVELOPMENT LANDS

Let us Calculate Its Current Value In PSF

Land Size: 1,429.00 Acres

Book Value: Rm40,474,000

Let us convert 1429 acres to sq ft by X 43,560 = 62,247,240

Let’s divide Rm40,474,000 by 62,247,240 = 65 Sen PSF

WOW! That is Less than One Ringgit PSF

If Land Prices just revalue at Rm2.00 Psf

The RM40.5 Millions Value will be RM124.6 Millions

AT CURRENT PAID UP CAPITAL OF 1 BILLIONS SHARES THAT EQUAL TO 12.5 SEN PER SHARE

THAT IS THE TRADED PRICE CURRENTLY

THAT MEANS THAT THE SECURITY FIRM & ALL OTHER CASH & ASSETS OF OLYMPIA ARE ALL “FREE”

WHAT THEN WILL BE THE INTRINSIC VALUE OF OLYMPIA?

A FAIR ESTIMATE WOULD BE 25.2 SEN (A 30% of 36 Sen NTA)

And Surprisingly The Top Holders of OLYMPIA = SAVVY INVESTOR LIM PEI TIAM (A BANKER WITH OVER 20 YEARS EXPERIENCE & LIM KOK THAY (Genting Boss)

are also Top Holders of DUTALAND

Since Duta Yap after disposing Sabah Plantation Lands have given out 2 Special Dividends of 5 sen each (2018 & now currently 2019 = still in time for dividend if you buy Dutaland now)

Duta Yap being Top Holder of OLYMPIA Might Also Do a Similar Move

SELL OR DEVELOP THOSE LANDS IN JELEBU. EITHER WAY THERE IS A FORTUNE AWAITING

BEST REGARDS

 

Calvin Tan Research

 

Please buy or sell after doing your own due diligence

Btw

Calvin Tan Research opines that AsiaPac Offers the Best Value of the 5 Stocks that will benefit from the NEW GROWTH ZONE OF BANGI, KAJANG & PUTRAJAYA.

At 14.5 sen AsiaPac NTA 97 sen it is selling At Huge Discount (not withstanding it has warrants/iculs)  Labu land has a book value of only Rm3 psf. Plus Imago Mall will benefit from new influx of China Tourists in year 2020 VMY (Visit Malaysia Year) as well as Strong Brunei dollar shoppers. Oil & Gas rise also boost purchasing power of Sabahans

FURTHER NOTE:

AS NEWS OF ECRL ALIGNMENT HAS SHIFTED SOUTH TO PUTRAJAYA RAIL CORRIDOR EXPECT THESE STEPS  TO TAKE PLACE

  1. SAVVY INVESTORS WILL BUY UP STOCKS WITH LANDBANKS HERE
  2.  EXPECT REAL ACTIVITY SOON. HUGE MACHINERIES AND WORKERS WILL MOVE IN FOR ACTUAL CONSTRUCTION.
  3. ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES WILL THEN BE VISIBLE. AND GETTING MORE AND MORE VISIBLE BY THE DAY, MONTHS & YEARS
  4. EARLY INVESTORS WILL THEN COME TO CHECK, SURVEY AND BUY UP LANDS AND ASSETS
  5.  BUILDING OF NEW INDUSTRIES COMMENCE. AS WELL AS HOUSING, SHOPS, OFFICES & OTHERS
  6. SOON THIS PLACE WILL CHANGE FROM A QUIET CONTRYSIDE TO A BOOMING METROPOLIS
  7. BY THEN WHEN EVERYTHING IS VISIBLE AND CLEAR MANY WILL TURN BULLISH
  8. AND PRICES WON’T BE CHEAP ANY MORE

IF YOU HAVE A LONGER TERM VIEW THEN BEST TIME IS TO INVEST NOW.

DON’T PLAY CONTRA. BUY, PICK UP THE SHARES AND HOLD

 

A WORD OF CAUTION:

PLEASE TAKE NOTE

MARKET WILL BE WEAK DUE TO THESE REASONS

  1. APRIL 29TH T3 TURNS INTO T2 WILL SAP LIQUIDITY FROM PUNTERS
  2.  MAY IS USUALLY A WEAK MONTH
  3.  RAPID RECENT FIRE MIGHT DAMPEN OIL & GAS STOCKS TEMPORARILY

SO AVOID CONTRA PLAYING

BUY WITH LONGER TERM VIEW ONLY OR ELSE KEEP CASH

REGARDS

 

Calvin Tan

 

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  2 people like this.
 
Destiny88 Good analysis ! OLYMPIA is certainly undervalue GEM . Now ECRL confirm pass through Jelebu .

Dutaland owe olympia 47m , with cash rish olympia ...
It can certainly perfom well !
Investing is seeing while others cant see.

Even tan sri lim kok thay , boss of genting is top 10 shareholder for olympia
17/04/2019 11:53 AM
ahhui You sure boh???? A bunch of street hookers????
17/04/2019 9:58 PM
Veron_teo lol key word is 'might'.
17/04/2019 10:13 PM
Destiny88 Buy Olympia better choice

Now positive news will be
1) 1400 acre land at Jelebu which ECRL reroute

2) NTA 39c which is also net cash company , healthy balance sheet.

3) Dutaland owe Olympia 47m which is 5c EPS
18/04/2019 6:43 AM
Destiny88 TOP THIRTY SHAREHOLDERS
No. Name of Shareholders No. of Shares %

1. Kenny Height Developments Sdn Bhd 180,000,000 17.59
2. RHB Nominees (Tempatan) Sdn Bhd
OSK Capital Sdn Bhd for Seni Kasuari Sdn Bhd 127,841,395 12.49
3. Duta Equities Sdn Bhd 125,122,083 12.23
4. MP Factors Sdn Bhd 34,603,560 3.38
5. CIMSEC Nominees (Tempatan) Sdn Bhd
CIMB Bank for Azizan bin Abd Rahman (MY0531) 29,395,270 2.87
6. RHB Nominees (Tempatan) Sdn Bhd
OSK Capital Sdn Bhd for Duta Equities Sdn Bhd 27,550,000 2.69
7. Lim Kok Thay 14,513,765 1.42
8. Ng Eng Siong 8,970,000 0.88
9. Lim Chau Liang 6,000,000 0.59
10. HLIB Nominees (Tempatan) Sdn Bhd
Pledged Securities Account for Teng Siew Kean (MG0090-199) 5,470,900 0.53
11. Lim Pay Kaon 4,000,000 0.39
12. Lim Pei Tiam @ Liam Ahat Kiat 3,900,000 0.38
13. Vun Shui Moi @ Vun Siew Moi 3,553,300 0.35
14. Ng Soo Yong 3,400,000 0.33
15. Wong Hon Yee 3,196,821 0.31
18/04/2019 6:44 AM
Destiny88 See top 7 and top 12.

Tan Sri Lim Kok Thay who is genting boss,

Lim Pei tiam who is banker

Both buy olympia above 20c.

With all the +ve news , olympia should go 20c soon !
18/04/2019 6:45 AM
Dickyyou Mui Prop, Asia Pac, MKH etc go Holland why cheat people? Use Jesus name can cheat people?
18/04/2019 7:28 AM
nckcm Diam la calvin destiny88 so annoying.
18/04/2019 7:31 AM
Dickyyou Agree. I3 members must pakat attack them.
18/04/2019 7:37 AM
FatRat93 How about L&G? Is it good to invest?
18/04/2019 9:30 AM
calvintaneng Good morning
L&G is good
BUT since market will be impacted by T3 to T2

Cannot contra or punt

If you buy you must hold

Or else just keep cash first and wait

These 3 things will weigh down Malaysian Markets

1. T3 to T2 will sap liquidity. Bad for day trades and contra plays

2. May is usually a slow month

3. Fire in Rapid Pengerang will delay commissioning. Will dampen oil and gas stocks

So be very cautious

If not sure then keep Cash and wait
18/04/2019 9:50 AM
enigmatic [Breaker of Speculative Investing] finally something worthwhile comes from calvintaneng.
by that, I am referring to the last line of the comment above "...If not sure then keep Cash and wait"
18/04/2019 11:54 AM
calvintaneng Enigmatic

You look like a pretty Chinese girl
With hair like an American
And wore a veil like a Muslim?

Really enigmatic
18/04/2019 12:31 PM
johnny cash thanks calvin
18/04/2019 12:40 PM
Daniel Chow Hi Calvin, what do you think is the BOTTOM price for AsiaPac? On paper, the P/E is low, price/NTA is low, IMAGO asset is good (as I travel to Kota Kinabalu often). I believe many in this forum lost money on AsiaPac.
18/04/2019 1:04 PM
deMusangking IMAGO asset is good (as I travel to Kota Kinabalu often)

r u joking?????


just came back fromm KK> Business is not tht good, crowd not there!!!!
18/04/2019 1:14 PM
calvintaneng Posted by Daniel Chow > Apr 18, 2019 1:04 PM | Report Abuse

Hi Calvin, what do you think is the BOTTOM price for AsiaPac? On paper, the P/E is low, price/NTA is low, IMAGO asset is good (as I travel to Kota Kinabalu often). I believe many in this forum lost money on AsiaPac.

Yes Daniel

I picked up my Asiapac shares which I bought averaging just below 15 sen

Short term it might be affected by selling just like so many other stocks. Longer term the value will surface one day

For now must be cautious as I repeat

1) T3 to T2 on April 29th will sap liquidity and bad for contra plays

2) May is also a weak month

3) Fire in Rapid Pengerang will dampen OnG stocks

So can only buy, pick up & hold longer term

If uncertain then keep more Cash and wait
18/04/2019 1:22 PM
pussycats My support to Guru Calvintan.
All the best to all here.
Follow Guru Calvintan to riches
18/04/2019 1:56 PM
enning22 out dated holland stock,only calvintan interested in them,controlled by notoriously bad managewment
18/04/2019 4:05 PM
3iii >>>


pussycats My support to Guru Calvintan.
All the best to all here.
Follow Guru Calvintan to riches
18/04/2019 1:56 PM

enning22 out dated holland stock,only calvintan interested in them,controlled by notoriously bad managewment
18/04/2019 4:05 PM


>>>>



Two diagonally opposite opinion of Calvin.

Calvin, who is neare the truth?
22/04/2019 6:28 AM
3iii Nearer the truth ...
22/04/2019 6:29 AM
3iii >>>

(2.6m shares buyback April ) Philip Just ignore icon8888 he is a big time troll. He acts as if he is very good in investing with 160% returns in his portfolio, but his actual long term returns are very poor ( he thinks bursa is a poor performing stock exchange) and his actual portfolio is actually very small.

No difference between him, Calvin tan and choi yi kit capital.

Add his long term winners and his long term losers, all you get is a very bitter old lady.

His views are actually very harmful especially because like Calvin tan (who hides his losers under the rug and promotes his winners) he actually has a few followers who read his "beliefs".

>>>>



The ECRL is back in play. Bandar Malaysia project is revived

Calvin is excited. He is so knowledgeable and must predict how his related companies will be impacted and their stock prices are going next.

He has written profusely , as he has always done before in many similar situations, on who maybe benefitting from these revived projects or are getting the contracts and so on.

My advice is to stay away from Calvin's "red hot" new set of stocks. Always do your own homework and analysis. A bird in hand is better to have than the two in the bushes, unless you know for certain there are ywo in the bushes and also that you will definitely possess them at a certain time. Never let go of what you have for something else less certain unless you have great conviction and understanding of the investment.
22/04/2019 6:30 AM


 

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