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29-Apr-2019 15-May-2019 03-Jun-2019 DIVIDEND Final Dividend RM 0.17 Dividend Detail
08-Mar-2018 16-May-2018 08-Jun-2018 DIVIDEND Final Dividend RM 0.23 Dividend Detail
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Elfkone Ada apa cerita boleh kongsi moven00?
29/05/2019 9:22 AM
Kayme The US petrochemical industry is experiencing unprecedented growth with production of ethylene expected to exceed 45 million mt/year by 2025, Enterprise CEO Jim Teague said in a statement.

With Trade War going on, all US products will flood to Asian market as China will not buy more and also economy growth slow down due to trade war.

Year 2019 will be very challenging for LC with over supply and low selling price.
29/05/2019 2:53 PM
Kayme Many Petrolchemical company add more projects and building new plants expect future demand growth but didn't expect Trade War happen. In commodity market, prices are base on supply and demand.
29/05/2019 3:55 PM
Jiahui Foo Waiting 2.91
29/05/2019 4:06 PM
gsi723 China will not buy from US, will China then buy from SEA?
29/05/2019 8:22 PM
Elfkone China price good?
29/05/2019 10:35 PM
Jiahui Foo Waiting 2.87
30/05/2019 9:14 AM
Kayme To gsi723: Yes, Trade War has redraw trade flows, with tariff on, China company may buy from other markets including SEA.

China alone will see the new plants startup, India as well start to become self-sufficient as new plants that were started up in 2017 with stabilize production. New demands will be increasingly met by new plants in China, India and Iran.

Trade flows are set to change as more Middle Eastern cargoes are sold within the region instead of exported, while free trade agreements will keep supply from ASEAN member countries within the ASEAN region.

India’s exports to China will rise as the country will become self-sufficient, Taiwan will likely continue expanding its exports to China. Although China remains as importer, sellers will also have to compete with China’s increasing domestic production.
30/05/2019 10:38 AM
Kayme The year 2019 promises many significant changes in Asia’s petrochemical markets amid booming production capacity and integration of petrochemical plants and refineries across China, and the global impact inflicted by the US-China trade war.

This will be the year that opens the floodgates for massive new petrochemical capacities being brought on stream by private Chinese companies. They aim to integrate all the way upwards from their purified terephthalic acid and polyester plants to greenfield refineries.

We could see major petrochemical markets like paraxylene, benzene and styrene monomer starting to tilt heavily towards oversupply, potentially hitting global markets. But all this is happening at a time when the two most important drivers of the global economy, China and the US, are in the midst of a trade conflict. Tariffs were imposed in the East and the West with significant implications for many petrochemical markets, and there is no end in sight yet for this trade war.

How are the markets faring as the new year kicks off? Ethylene margins fell significantly in the second half of 2018, while prices for many petrochemical products shed double digit percentage points amid similar declines in feedstock prices. Benzene has struggled with slow demand in China and the US. Among the aromatics, PX seems to be the only bright spot for producers, with prices hovering at $400-$500/mt above naphtha.

However, producers have been quick to lower their 2019 term contract offers from high double digits to low single digits in a likely prelude to the volatile drama that may take place in the Asian PX market in 2019.

There is no shortage of suspense in the petrochemical world as we enter 2019, and the year could pan out as one of the most interesting in recent times.
30/05/2019 11:05 AM
Kayme Olefins
Asian ethylene supplies to increase in H1 2019
2019 term contracts seen done at lower levels than 2018
Lower margins may prompt cracker run cuts
Asian ethylene supplies are expected to increase in the first half of 2019 compared with a year earlier due to fewer steam crackers undergoing maintenance — particularly in Japan — as well as planned startups of new steam crackers and plant debottlenecking.
Of the total 12 steam crackers in Japan, four steam crackers are due to be shut in 2019 for annual maintenance, fewer than the seven steam crackers which were shut a year ago.
In South Korea, several steam cracker operators — such as Hanwha Total and LG Chem — have plans for debottlenecking of their plants next year. These companies plan to install new LPG cracking furnace, which would increase ethylene production capacity in the country by 8.7% from 2018 to 9.74 million mt/year in 2019.
Market sources also said that South Korea’s S-Oil would be contributing more ethylene to the market in 2019 following the start up of its new high-severity residue fluid catalytic cracker, or HS-RFCC, in Onsan in the middle of 2018.
S-Oil’s ethylene supplies were unstable in 2018 due to some hiccups at the plant. The HS-RFCC is able to produce 200,000 mt/year of ethylene.
Market sources said ethylene supplies may become heavier towards the end of 2019 as mega steam crackers will be due for start-up.
In Southeast Asia, Refinery and Petrochemical Integrated Development (RAPID) project is due to start a new steam cracker in 2019. The steam cracker is able to produce 1.2 million mt/year of ethylene. The impact from the project will likely be small in the first-half of next year as the plant start up is expected after the middle of the year, according to market sources.
“This is a very challenging project. The companies are building the refinery to downstream plants as well as utilities from scratch,” an industry source, who visited the construction site this year, said.
S&P Global Analytics said Asia’s ethylene supplies are seen to be increasing 3.5% in 2019, from 2018.
Due to heavy supplies, term contract negotiations for Asian ethylene for 2019 are seen to be weaker compared with 2018. Premiums were heard to have been discussed in the $30-$60/mt range compared with the $70-$80/mt premium at which term contracts were settled at in 2018, market sources said. Term contractual agreements are based on a CFR Northeast Asia-linked formula.

“Asian ethylene supplies are seen to be heavy in 2019, compared with 2018. The premium of term contracts would likely settle lower,” an industry source said.

Additional ethylene supplies will likely pressure spot ethylene prices lower next year, market sources said, adding that the possibility of steam crackers in the region cutting runs will be the “hot topic” for 2019.

The Asian ethylene-naphtha price spread started shrinking in Q4 due to the steep fall in ethylene prices, S&P Global Platts data showed. The price spread between ethylene and naphtha has, at times, been hovering below the $300/mt mark in Q4 — lower than a typical breakeven spread of $300-$350/mt, according to Platts data. The price spread between ethylene and naphtha averaged $650.90/mt in 2018 compared with 696.11/mt in 2017, Platts data showed. “Naphtha is relatively low in 2018 so steam crackers managed to keep their margins positive. But the margins would narrow in 2019, dragged down by bearish ethylene,” a market source said.
Market sources also said naphtha would likely be their first choice of feedstock for steam cracking amid narrowing ethylene margins. Cracking LPG increases the ethylene production yield, and LPG was a popular feedstock for steam cracker operators earlier in 2018 amid fat ethylene margins. Ethylene production yield from LPG cracking is 0.4 compared with 0.23 from naphtha cracking, industry sources said.

US ethylene exports to continue in 2019
US-origin ethylene would continue to be shipped to Asia following steam cracker expansions there, which include Shintech’s 500,000 mt/year steam cracker in Louisiana and Sasol’s 1.55 million mt/year unit in Lake Charles.
“US ethylene market would become super heavy again in 2019 due to the planned steam cracker start-ups, which would pressure Asian ethylene market sentiment, despite export quantity is the same,” a market source said. The FD USG ethylene fell to a record low of $264/mt in May.
30/05/2019 2:00 PM
Kayme Outcome of US-China trade war a priority
Supply of propylene in Asia is expected to be sufficient in the first half of 2019 as new plant startups include China’s Zhejiang Satellite Petrochemical Co. Ltd’s new 450,000 mt/year propane dehydrogenation, or PDH, plant and Fujian Meide Petrochemical Co. Ltd’s 660,000 mt/year PDH plant. Both have planned start-up dates in 2019.
Malaysia’s Petronas-Aramco RAPID project is due to start its new refinery-petrochemical plant in 2019. Their RFCC is expected to produce 600,000 mt/year of propylene by the first quarter of 2019, while its cracker, due to start up later the same year, will be able to produce another 600,000 mt/year of propylene.
Outcome of the US-China trade war are key focus. In November, both governments announced a 90-day truce where no additional tariffs would be implemented until March 1.
A major PDH producer in China said that sentiment in the downstream polypropylene markets, the major driver for propylene demand, was bearish.

US-China trade war to pressure downstream markets
Tariffs on PP were implemented in March, this dampen demand for PP and in turn affect buying interest for propylene.
30/05/2019 2:06 PM
Jiahui Foo Ghost face again......
30/05/2019 2:36 PM
Jiahui Foo Those aunties say this counter is Lai Ci Titan.......
30/05/2019 2:57 PM
Jiahui Foo 2.96 liao........
30/05/2019 3:01 PM
Jiahui Foo @signalmv. Come, dun miss it, together we wait.........!!! :-)
30/05/2019 3:06 PM
gsi723 If oversupply with little margin, will LCT halt its expansion in Indon Line project?
30/05/2019 8:40 PM
gsi723 By logic, the LC management would avoid such major expansion in Indon & trapped into huge debt..? from now comfortable nett cash position..
30/05/2019 8:42 PM
Kayme LCTitan’s Indonesia expansion plan was based on and future market growing demand in SEA region with GDP growth supported by expanding population would continue to support healthy demand for petrochemical products. But now Petrochemical industry is in the crosshairs of escalating trade war between the US and China that have spawned tariffs on hundreds of products from both countries.

Recent global petrochemical supply imbalance and disruption due to the US-China trade war and slowing global demand are the challenges faced by LCT in the short to medium-term.
31/05/2019 1:38 AM
gsi723 TQ Kayme... appreciate this kind of info sharing/ Q&A
31/05/2019 10:21 PM
Kayme 31 May 2019 | 03:49 UTC Singapore

Europe-Asia ethylene spread hits 6-year high as prices slide in Asia

Author: Fumiko Dobashi & Ora Lazic
Editor: Wendy Wells
Commodity: Petrochemicals

Singapore — The spread between ethylene prices in Europe and Asia widened to a six-year high Thursday as prices in Asia fell sharply amid bearishness downstream, S&P Global Platts data showed.

The spread widened $9/mt day on day to $206/mt Thursday, the highest since September 3, 2013, when it was calculated at $207.50/mt, Platts data showed.

The CFR Northeast Asia marker dived $10/mt day on day to be assessed at $930/mt Thursday, while the CIF Northwest Europe marker edged down $1/mt to $1,136/mt.

Ethylene prices in Asia are under pressure due to a fall in downstream plant operations, notably for polyethylene and monoethylene glycol, that are resulting in a surplus of ethylene in the region.

Market sources said ethylene supply was particularly heavy in Southeast Asia due to a fall in linear low density PE plant operations, while excess spot supply was also seen in Taiwan.

Taiwan's Formosa, which sells ethylene only on an occasional basis when inventory is high, has sold 20,000 mt for June and July loading -- its first sales recorded to date in 2019.

In Thailand, PTT has issued a tender to sell a 3,500-5,000 mt spot ethylene cargo for end June loading, after earlier selling 3,500-5,000 mt via tender for mid-June loading. It typically sells only one cargo each month.

On the demand side, spot buying appetite in China for ethylene was limited due to the US-China trade dispute impacting exports of downstream finished plastics products, prompting traders in Asia to hunt for opportunities to move excess cargoes to Europe.

"Northeast Asia is seen to be well-supplied and supply is likely to increase after Hanwha Total restarts its steam cracker," a market source said. "In that case, where can excess supplies from Southeast Asia go?"

South Korea's Hanwha Total delayed the restart of its naphtha-fed steam cracker in Daesan by around a month to early June due to labor strike after it was shut March 27 for maintenance and debottlenecking that will increase its ethylene capacity to 1.4 million mt/year from 1 million mt/year.

Market sources in Asia said the arbitrage window from Asia to Europe was currently open on paper but logistical constraints were likely to hamper any sales. "It usually takes around two months to move Asia cargoes to Europe; by then ethylene demand in Europe will be gone after turnarounds are completed," one market source said.

Ethylene supply is expected to remain tight in Europe amid major turnarounds into June, but ease later in the month as crackers restart.

The FD Northwest Europe spot price has averaged Eur46.38/mt higher to date in May than in April at Eur1,008.26/mt, Platts data showed.

Traders said buying interest in Europe was currently being covered by imports from the US, Middle East and Latin America, and most buyers were covered for the turnaround period.

In addition, ethylene terminals at NWE coastal ports were heard to have been full since April. "Storage seems to be quiet tight because I feel inventory pressure from customers," a trader in Europe said
02/06/2019 11:19 PM
Jiahui Foo Waiting 2.87
03/06/2019 9:30 AM
Sneakpeek Waiting @2.00
03/06/2019 2:45 PM
Kayme If you look at the chart, Feed stock+Cost price is increasing higher, Variable margin is dropping, and this is for European market. Asia market is worst than that as excess supplies.

Europe-Asia ethylene spread hits 6-year high as prices slide in Asia.
04/06/2019 10:06 AM
Kayme Platts Petrochemical
‏ @PlattsPetchems
19 hours ago

Headwinds loom for Asia's #petrochemicals sector amid signs that China's economy has started to slow down as #tradetensions with the US continue and after its manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index contracted to 49.4 in May http://plts.co/gvUN50uuYY0

Rim Energy News Asia
23 hours ago

Petrochemicals: May 27-31: Ethylene falls on perceptions of surplus supply - RIM Asia Energy Links https://eng.rim-intelligence.co.jp/news/select/category/Summary/article/15769 …
#petrochemicals #aromatics #benzene #olefins #ethylene #propylene #butadiene
04/06/2019 10:26 AM
Kayme Asian petrochemicals outlook, w/c June 3

Author Fumiko Dobashi Editor Wendy Wells Commodity Petrochemicals

Singapore — Headwinds loom for Asia's petrochemicals sector this week amid signs that China's economy has started to slow down as trade tensions with the US continue and after its manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index contracted to 49.4 in May.

Market participants this week will also be monitoring the planned restart of Hanwha Total's petrochemical complex in South Korea after a month-long delay due to a labor strike, with its cracker slated to be restarted in early June.

Asian isomer-grade mixed xylene prices are likely to be caught in a balancing act between crude oil and paraxylene this week, with volatility expected amid anticipation of price swings both up and downstream.

With PX producers potentially cutting operating rates in coming weeks, the MX market could be negatively impacted. Mixed xylene prices fell sharply last Friday to end the week down $25/mt at $692.50/mt FOB Korea, and down $32.50/mt on week at $716/mt CFR Taiwan. PX was assessed down $23.66/mt day on day at $853.67/mt CFR Taiwan/China last Friday.

Asia benzene was assessed down $9/mt on the week and down a sharper $19/mt on the day at $617.33/mt FOB Korea Friday. Demand from the US market was heard weaker, but nonetheless still present, as market participants awaited the settlement of the June benzene contract in the US, a key indicator of US demand for South Korean material going forward.

Asian styrene monomer remained firm at $1,080/mt CFR China and $1,040/mt FOB Korea Friday, up $5.50/mt on the week. Current price levels are expected to be supported temporarily on the back of tighter supply in South Korea in June.

Asian ethylene traders will likely eye a possible arbitrage opportunity from Asia to Europe this week. This comes after the Europe-Asia ethylene spread jumped to $278.50/mt Friday, the highest since March 26, 2012, when it was $287.50/mt.

Asian ethylene supplies were seen likely remain heavy as downstream plant operations are set to remain low amid negative margins.

The CFR China and CFR Korea propylene markers are poised to receive support this week from the restart of polypropylene plants in China pushing up both the imported and domestic price for propylene. Imported supply is tight in China as Hanwha Total snaps up material in South Korea in readiness to feed its own PP plant.

Asian butadiene closed Friday up $25-$30/mt on week amid supply tightness due to Hanwha Total's ongoing steam cracker shutdown. It is due to restart soon but when its butadiene supply will return to the market remains unclear. Downstream, the emulsion styrene butadiene rubber market fared better, even though margins remain negative at minus $23/mt amid weak demand and rising raw material costs.

Asian monoethylene glycol prices were expected to remain rangebound this week. Supply is seen ample at around 1.338 million mt at the main ports in east China, while demand is waning with polyester producers operating at around 87%. Some MEG producers have trimmed production or started maintenance amid falling prices in South Korea, Japan and Taiwan and Middle East. However in China, MEG was assessed up $7/mt on week at $546/mt CFR China Friday, according to Platts data.

Asian polyethylene dived to a 10-year low last week dragged down by weak demand and was likely to remain bearish this week amid persisting concerns over US-China trade tensions.

Polypropylene market sentiment was equally bearish, with the impending restart of PP plants in China after turnaround in the near term set to add further supply to the market. PP raffia was assessed at $1,060/mt Friday, unchanged from the day before.

China's methanol market was expected to be soft this week after the release of a lackluster manufacturing PMI for May and indications that US-China trade tensions have started to weigh on the country's growth. In India, fundamentals look stable to soft, though a major Iranian producer postponing a shipment last week to June 20-30 loading has lent some short-term upside.

The acrylonitrile market is likely to see further price correction this week due to production cuts amid negative margins, and on the back of reports that Ineos' 280,000 mt/year Seal Sands ACN plant in the UK may be resuming production after it shut down earlier in Q1.

Sentiment in the Asian purified terephthalic acid market is likely to remain bearish this week amid lackluster demand. Chinese buyers are likely to continue avoiding dollar-denominated PTA imports as China's domestic PTA is cheaper, sources said. PTA was assessed at $750/mt CFR China Friday, down $20/mt on week, while inventory was forecast to increase 200,000-300,000 mt in the quarter.
04/06/2019 10:40 AM
Kayme Asian polyethylene dived to a 10-year low last week dragged down by weak demand and was likely to remain bearish this week amid persisting concerns over US-China trade tensions.

Polypropylene market sentiment was equally bearish, with the impending restart of PP plants in China after turnaround in the near term set to add further supply to the market. PP raffia was assessed at $1,060/mt Friday, unchanged from the day before.
04/06/2019 10:57 AM
signalmw So tp 2.5?
04/06/2019 11:35 AM
Jiahui Foo Waiting 2.87
04/06/2019 11:37 AM
Kayme GPS 2019 preview: Plastics market faces historic challenges, evolves sustainability strategies

The worldwide plastics market is facing “historic challenges” after a record period of growth, with headwinds developing that could substantially impact the market's future, according to Nick Vafiadis, IHS Markit vice president/plastics. “While plastics markets have always been dynamic in nature, we believe the market is currently facing historic challenges as it responds to geo-political developments, shifting supply/demand conditions, and evolving environmental priorities,” he says.

The market is in transition mode, after “a stellar two years relative to demand growth,” Vafiadis says. Legitimate questions have been raised as to whether that momentum and profitability trend can be sustained, with some “significant headwinds developing,” he adds.

Polyethylene (PE) demand has always been closely tied to GDP performance and the plastics industry is currently caught in a worldwide economic slowdown, according to Vafiadis. “We’re beginning to see sustainability-related issues trim demand growth. China is contending with internal and external issues that are affecting demand and profitability, which can have a global ripple effect,” he says. A reduction in China’s PE demand growth is significant because the country accounts for about half the worldwide growth rate, Vafiadis says.

Key areas of focus for IHS Markit include “closely monitoring developments associated with the ongoing trade dispute between the US and China,” says Vafiadis. “The trade war is affecting demand for PE in China and around the world. We believe the tariffs, and the loss of access to the China market for US PE producers, has had—and could continue to have—a significant impact on global PE prices and margins,” he says.

He also describes the sustainability issue as “a rapidly developing story that could have major implications on growth and profitability for plastics-industry participants throughout the value chain for many years to come.”

A new IHS Markit study on the potential impact of sustainability on key commodity resins concludes that sustainability-related market dynamics “could conceivably cut historical growth rates by as much as 50% for polyolefins,” Vafiadis says. Sustainability also represents opportunities for those willing to invest in technology and circular infrastructure, with the industry’s response to the challenge to “affect its social license to operate,” he adds.

IHS Markit experts and industry leaders representing plastics producers, processors, and brand owners will provide the latest perspective on sustainability trends and key industry issues at the Global Plastics Summit, in Houston, Texas, on 4-6 June.
07/06/2019 1:17 AM
Kayme Tariffs push new US PE production out of China, into Europe and SE Asia

Whereas total US PE exports surged 2.2 MMt to more than 7.4 MMt in 2018, only about 0.6 MMt of that went to China, and much of that volume required steep discounts.....
07/06/2019 1:18 AM
Patrick13 美国制裁伊朗最大石化企业



声明称,伊朗石油部去年向伊斯兰革命卫队的经济发展和工程部门Khatam al-Anbiya,授予10个石油和石化业项目,价值220亿美元(约900亿令吉),是伊斯兰革命卫队官方预算的4倍。






09/06/2019 3:31 PM
Kayme Petrochemicals 07 Jun 2019 | 21:57 UTC Houston

US May ethylene contract down alongside record-low spot levels

Author Brian Balboa Editor Richard Rubin Commodity Petrochemicals

Houston — The US May ethylene contract price has been confirmed at a decline, trade participants said Friday.

Trade sources said initial May ethylene settlements emerged at 24.25 cents/lb on Wednesday, down 0.75 cent from April. Additional confirmation emerged on Friday, but one contract buyer confirmed it has declined the offer of 24.25 cents/lb. The declines thus far were in line with market expectations as trade sources have cited a continued decline in spot prices, and amply supply ahead of additional ethane cracker startups this year.

The decline in the May ethylene contract comes the same week that ethylene spot prices dropped to an all-time low of 11.75 cents/lb FD USG, according to S&P Global Platts data on Monday. The spot market rebounded on Wednesday to 12.125 cents/lb FD USG, where it remained early Friday.

May ethylene spot levels averaged 12.97 cents/lb FD USG, according to Platts data, which was down from the April ethylene spot average of 13.51 cents/lb FD USG.

Looking ahead, trade participants said they expected another decline for the June ethylene contract.

"Fed stocks are super bearish, and ethylene supply would be flat, so contract will be down again for June, I would guess," said one US olefins trader earlier this week.

Said another US olefins trader: "Continued pressure in anything could mean another 0.75-1.00 cent down."
10/06/2019 9:11 AM
Kayme Europe June benzene contract falls $88/metric ton

Decline reflects spot price movements, easing supply in northwest Europe, drop in oil price.
10/06/2019 11:59 AM
Asia BPA prices slump on fragile market climate

07 June 2019 04:07 SINGAPORE (ICIS)--Asia’s bisphenol A (BPA) markets faltered in the wake of dwindling downstream demand, while the US-China trade war could generate further pressure on sentiment in the near term.
Asia EPDM downtrend on eighth month; demand may not pick up soon

07 June 2019 03:48 SINGAPORE (ICIS)--Asia's ethylene-propylene-diene monomer (EPDM) prices have been falling since October 2018 because of a supply glut and slowing demand, which may not pick up in the near future.
INTERACTIVE: Singapore May manufacturing activity deteriorates

06 June 2019 11:56 SINGAPORE (ICIS)--Singapore's factory activity deteriorated in May, with its official purchasing managers’ index (PMI) falling into a contraction mode for the first time 32 months, amid increasing concerns about the escalation of trade tensions between the US and China.
India central bank cuts key lending rate by 25 basis points

06 June 2019 09:47 SINGAPORE (ICIS)--India’s central bank on Thursday cut its key interest rate by 25 basis points to 5.75% with immediate effect to shore up its economy amid a slowdown in investment activity and consumer spending.
Asia ABS retreats on weak demand amid trade war

06 June 2019 08:50 SINGAPORE (ICIS)--The Asia acrylonitrile-butadiene-styrene (ABS) market weakened further as demand in the region is soft and is likely to stay that way in the near term especially as US-China trade war is keeping buyers away.
Asia MEG slumps on heavy overnight losses in upstream crude market

06 June 2019 07:17 SINGAPORE (ICIS)--Asia’s monoethylene glycol (MEG) spot discussions slumped on Thursday, following heavy losses in upstream crude market overnight and amid ongoing concerns over the US-China trade spat.
IMF forecasts China growth to slow to 6.2% in 2019; 6.0% in 2020

05 June 2019 10:06 SINGAPORE (ICIS)--The International Monetary Fund (IMF) said on Wednesday that economic growth in China is expected to moderate to 6.2% in 2019 and 6.0% in 2020, as uncertainty around trade tensions remain high and risks are tilted to the downside.
Asia polyacetal slumps to two-year lows; demand to stay subdued

04 June 2019 08:56 SINGAPORE (ICIS)--Asia’s polyacetal (POM) prices have slumped to their two-year lows after eight consecutive months of downtrend largely due to the US-China trade war, with demand expected to remain subdued.
East Asia 2-EH faces further pressure from weak demand

03 June 2019 10:22 SINGAPORE (ICIS)--East Asia’s 2-ethylhexanol (2-EH) market may come under further pressure in the near term due to weak demand from downstream plasticizers, especially the dioctyl phthalate (DOP) sector in China.
Asia's factory activity in May remains weak as escalating trade war fans worries

03 June 2019 08:47 SINGAPORE (ICIS)--Asia’s manufacturing activity broadly weakened last month with export markets expected to remain weighed down in the near term by the escalating trade war between the US and China.
10/06/2019 12:06 PM
Kayme Asia petrochemicals outlook, w/c June 10

Asian ethylene would likely remain bearish this week after hitting a four-year low last Friday. Selling pressure would likely continue this week amid lower downstream plant operations and negative margins. Despite this, the steam cracker operations in Asia would likely remain high this week due to a healthy ethylene/naphtha spread.

Domestic China propylene price was under pressure with a polypropylene producer lowering operating rate amid falling margins. However, imported material was supported amid tight supply in Northeast Asia due to a delay in Hanwha Total's cracker restart.

The Asian butadiene market closed on a firmer note Friday amid tighter supply, with delivered prices to Northeast Asian markets up $35/mt on week to $1,095/mt Friday, particularly due to short supply in South Korea. This was due to South Korea's LG Chemical shutting its 170,000mt/year butadiene unit Wednesday, as well as its 160,000mt/year styrene butadiene rubber and 180,000mt/year polybutadiene rubber unit in Daesan, leaving only its SSBR and NBR units open. The market is expected to be firm to stable in the days ahead, depending on the cracker situation with South Korean plants.

Asian linear low density polyethylene was assessed down $20/mt last week at $920/mt CFR Far East Asia Tuesday. Actively-traded September LLDPE futures on the Dalian Commodity Exchange fell Yuan 285/mt over the same period to Yuan 7,630/mt ex-warehouse Tuesday. The outlook was bearish for the third quarter as downstream applications such as cable and infrastructure demand have been weak, although packaging demand has been relatively stable, participants said.

Asian polypropylene prices fell last week amid lackluster demand and ample supply. Market participants adopted a wait-and-see approach amid recent slides in Chinese PP futures, which dampened sentiment. Some traders pointed out that homopolymer PP production was being taken over by the coal and PDH-based producers, while naphtha-based producers were switching production to copolymer based for better netbacks.

Asian purified terephthalic acid prices tumbled $40/mt week on week to $710/mt CFR China Friday amid weak PTA fundamentals in China, despite a spate of unplanned shutdowns for PTA for this week. There were a total of four unscheduled shutdowns of PTA plants in China last week, resulting in around 40,000 mt PTA production loss, according to sources. Still, the unexpected production loss failed to support Asian PTA prices amid ample supply and tepid demand in China.
11/06/2019 4:34 AM
Kayme Petrochemicals: Ethylene falls further on slack supply/demand
2019/06/10 07:00


FOB Korea benzene prices and CFR Northeast Asia paraxylene (PX) prices softened in the first half of the week along with a fall in crude prices but after that, the market was firm. Since profitability of aromatics decreased, some makers reduced production of benzene and PX. As a result, perceptions of surplus supply receded and this supported the market.


CFR Northeast Asia ethylene prices fell further. Since demand for derivatives was low, demand for ethylene was also subdued. Some petrochemical makers reduced production of derivatives or conducted maintenance of derivative facilities and kept selling ethylene. Under these circumstances, supply/demand was perceived to be slack. A cargo for delivery to China in July was reportedly traded at $810/mt during the week. On the other hand, in Korea, a naphtha cracker was reportedly experiencing troubles. This might affect shipment of spot and term cargoes from the facility but prices had not rebounded. Players only tried to check the situation. Movements had been few since the middle of the week due to holidays in Singapore, Korea, China and Taiwan.

The Asia propylene market fell slightly. In Northeast Asia, with the China domestic market on a downtrend at the beginning of the week, buying interest from end-users for imported cargoes was thin and the market softened. But later in the week, the market rebounded as buying interest from Korea was seen due to reports that operations at naphtha crackers in Korea were unstable. In Southeast Asia, few bids and offers were heard and activity was muted.

The Asia butadiene market declined. In Northeast Asia, deals were done at $1,050/mt for June delivery and at a discount of $15/mt to CFR Northeast Asia quotations for July delivery. Amid uncertain market directions ahead, some players wanted to negotiate based on market quotations. While supply was ample, derivative demand was not strong. As a result, market sentiment was weak.
11/06/2019 12:15 PM
Jiahui Foo Red2 again!
11/06/2019 4:08 PM
MamakKutty Roti chemical
12/06/2019 10:24 AM
richboy Foreign fund coming in now! Bottom up confirmed! :))
13/06/2019 10:08 AM
Calvin882 Crude oil going down. Definitely good for LCtitan
13/06/2019 1:01 PM
Mr Jho Sailang Petron & GCB Just received my big dividend yesterday.
13/06/2019 1:02 PM
Smart Beginners it's time to show you are the market titan !
13/06/2019 4:26 PM
nckcm Which means what ooo..?
13/06/2019 9:38 PM
Pen6 Go Holland one way mah ! RM 2. Cheap Cheap jual, Lari Kuat Kuat Lah !
18/06/2019 10:34 AM
Junichiro Probably nothing will come out of G20 meeting. China has already said accepting Trump's demands means that the whole system of government have to be dismantled.
18/06/2019 2:25 PM
gsi723 Trump wanna sell high, and buy low later,,, nothing so special...
18/06/2019 11:09 PM
Kayme Petrochemicals 17 Jun 2019 | 09:00 UTC Singapore

Asian petrochemicals outlook, w/c Jun 17

The Asian petrochemicals markets face a mixed outlook this week. While some products are expected to remain bearish amid weak demand, styrene monomer and butadiene may see support from tight supplies.

Demand for Asian benzene is expected to continue West-bound towards the US market, with August DDP USG discussions heard at 232-237 cents/gal, or $693.68-708.63/mt, sufficient to cover spot freight between South Korea and the US Gulf Coast heard at approximately $55/mt. Despite an open arbitrage, actual demand for August material may be limited, with supply tightness for prompt material supporting prices in the forward months, a source said. The domestic East China prices have gained steadily last week, following firm crude price and falling import volumes.

The CFR Taiwan/China benchmark paraxylene marker was down $42/mt to $817.67/mt last Friday, week on week. PX prices had regained some momentum towards the end of May, prompting Asian PX producers to defer any cuts in production rates. There were a few PTA plant turnarounds reported towards the end of the week, including a reduction in operating rates for the Yisheng Dalian facility, however, demand would not be very highly impacted, said market players. Some market players said some July demand may bleed into early August, since it may not be fulfilled on time, but August was not as tight as the previous month and traders felt that there was still some room to buy cargoes.

Demand in the downstream markets remained weak amid a lack of clear price direction as the market moves into the traditionally weak demand in the third quarter.

Asian ethylene would likely remain bearish this week, after falling to a 10-year low last Friday. The market would likely be pressured by weak demand as well as a falling global ethylene market. Last Friday, the CIF Northwest Europe ethylene price dived $139/mt week on week to $1,059/mt, S&P Global Platts data showed.

The Asian butadiene market closed the week up $45-50/mt Friday amid active spot trading. Platts assessed the CFR China and NEA markers at $1,140/mt and FOB Korea at $1,090/mt. South Korea's Hanwha Total continued to experience technical issues at its Daesan cracker, as it was unable to restart by the end of last week. Should South Korean cracker issues continue, prices may strengthen. Raw material butadiene prices rose, downstream styrene butadiene rubber prices inched up $5/mt to $1,400/mt CFR SEA and $1,350/mt CFR China due to weak demand and ample supply, causing SBR margins to fall further.

Methanol prices in India and China will likely be bearish as a number of cargoes from Iran are expected to arrive in July. Iranian methanol plants were heard to be running at high operating rates. CFR India was assessed at $260/mt last Wednesday, down $2/mt week on week, while CFR China fell $5/mt to $265/mt Friday.

Asian monoethylene glycol prices will likely remain stable this week amid weak supply-demand fundamentals and support from upstream feedstock. MEG prices were rangebound between $531-534/mt CFR China last week. MEG inventories remained ample with around 1.35 million mt at the main ports of east China, typically enough to meet demand for a month, sources said. Still, there was little room for MEG prices to fall sharply as most Asian MEG producers were incurring losses, sources said. The profit margins were calculated to be minus $12/mt and minus $97/mt for naphtha-based and ethylene-based MEG respectively.

The Asian purified terephthalic acid market lacked direction amid a volatile upstream PX market. Feedstock PX soared $21/mt from June 7 to be assessed at $880.67/mt CFR Taiwan/China last Monday, and subsequently tumbled $63/mt to $817.67/mt CFR Taiwan/China last Friday. Demand was healthy with downstream polyester sector operating at 88% of the overall capacity in China, despite a seasonal lull in June.

The acrylonitrile market is expected to trend lower this week as buyers were waiting for a price correction. Some acrylonitrile-butadiene-styrene producers in Asia have cut operating rates and said the Asian ACN price will need to slip to the low-$1,800s/mt before buyers can make further purchases. Asian ACN was assessed down $40/mt at $1,880/mt CFR Far East Asia last Tuesday.

Asian polyethylene would likely remain soft this week during a seasonal lull.

Market participants are also closely monitoring the restart of Malaysia's Pengerang Refining and Petrochemical steam cracker. According to sources close to the company, it will restart the unit in July. The cracker supplies ethylene to its downstream PE units.

Asian polypropylene would likely come down this week, after falling $10-$60/mt week on week last week. PP supplies in China were seen to be heavy, which triggered exports from China to Southeast Asia and India.
20/06/2019 2:48 PM
Kayme Petrochemicals: Jun 10-14: Ethylene falls further on weak demand
2019/06/17 07:00

FOB Korea benzene prices temporarily decreased along with movements in crude prices but strengthened in the second half of the week. Paraxylene (PX) prices decreased sharply in the middle of the week. A fall in crude prices and PTA futures pressured the PX market. Further, supply was perceived to increase owing to restart of PX facilities in India and Vietnam. This was also cited as a bearish factor.

CFR Northeast Asia ethylene prices fell further. On the demand side, profitability of derivatives was improving but demand for derivatives was weak. For this reason, buying interest was not likely to strengthen. On the supply side, some petrochemical makers reduced production of derivatives and sell ethylene. In the middle of the week, July delivery cargoes were traded at $800-810/mt. Some end-users aimed to buy at a bottom price but supply/demand had not tightened and prices seemed not to have bottomed out.
20/06/2019 3:08 PM
7300 with pasir gudang vomiting ,limit down?
24/06/2019 8:53 PM
26/06/2019 2:31 PM


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