Highlights
KLSE: PCHEM (5183)       PETRONAS CHEMICALS GROUP BHD MAIN : Industrial Products
Last Price Today's Change   Day's Range   Trading Volume
7.22   +0.02 (0.28%)  7.15 - 7.30  2,379,200
Trade this stock and receive a FREE I3investor T-shirt after 5 trades. Find out more.

Financials


Market Cap: 57,760 Million

Market Cap 57,760 Million
NOSH 8,000 Million

Latest Audited Result:  31-Dec-2018

Latest Audited Result: 31-Dec-2018
Announcement Date 29-Mar-2019
Next Audited Result: 31-Dec-2019
Est. Ann. Date: 29-Mar-2020
Est. Ann. Due Date: 28-Jun-2020

Latest Quarter:  31-Mar-2019 [#1]

Latest Quarter: 31-Mar-2019 [#1]
Announcement Date 24-May-2019
Next Quarter: 30-Jun-2019
Est. Ann. Date: 15-Aug-2019
Est. Ann. Due Date: 29-Aug-2019
QoQ | YoY   -37.59%  |    -24.69%

Annual (Unaudited) ( EPS: 62.00, P/E: 20.76 )

Revenue | NP to SH 19,576,000  |  4,979,000
RPS | P/RPS 244.70 Cent  |  4.27
EPS | P/E | EY 62.00 Cent  |  20.76  |  4.82%
DPS | DY | Payout % 32.00 Cent  |  2.49%  |  51.42%
NAPS | P/NAPS 3.81  |  2.33
YoY   19.20%
NP Margin | ROE 25.84%  |  16.34%
F.Y. | Ann. Date 31-Dec-2018  |  25-Feb-2019

T4Q Result ( EPS: 58.95, P/E: 12.25 )

Revenue | NP to SH 18,755,000  |  4,716,000
RPS | P/RPS 234.44 Cent  |  3.08
EPS | P/E | EY 58.95 Cent  |  12.25  |  8.16%
DPS | DY | Payout % 32.00 Cent  |  4.43%  |  54.28%
NAPS | P/NAPS 3.71  |  1.95
QoQ | YoY   -5.28%  |    19.48%
NP Margin | ROE 25.40%  |  15.89%
F.Y. | Ann. Date 31-Mar-2019  |  24-May-2019

Annualized Result ( EPS: 40.00, P/E: 18.00 )

Revenue | NP to SH 16,520,000  |  3,208,000
RPS | P/RPS 206.50 Cent  |  3.50
EPS | P/E | EY 40.00 Cent  |  18.00  |  5.55%
DPS | DY | Payout % -
NAPS | P/NAPS -
QoQ | YoY   -35.57%  |    -24.69%
NP Margin | ROE 19.69%  |  10.81%
F.Y. | Ann. Date 31-Mar-2019  |  24-May-2019


Hints :
Click the QoQ or YoY on table to view the QoQ or YoY Financial Result page.

Click here to modify the Visible Columns.

Date Financial Result Financial Ratio Per Share Item Performance Valuation (End of Quarter) Valuation (Ann. Date)
F.Y. Ann. Date Quarter # Revenue PBT NP NP to SH Div Net Worth Div Payout % NP Margin ROE NOSH RPS Adj. RPS EPS Adj. EPS DPS Adj. DPS NAPS Adj. NAPS QoQ YoY EOQ Date EOQ Price EOQ P/RPS EOQ P/EPS EOQ P/NAPS EOQ EY EOQ DY ANN Date ANN Price ANN P/RPS ANN P/EPS ANN P/NAPS ANN EY ANN DY
31-Dec-2019 13-Aug-2019 30-Jun-2019 2 4,337,000 1,223,000 1,112,000 1,120,000 880,000 30,079,999 78.57% 25.64% 3.72% 8,000,000 54.21 54.21 14.00 14.00 11.00 11.00 3.7600 3.76   39.65%   -18.37% 28-Jun-2019 8.40 15.49 60.00 2.23 1.67% 1.31% 13-Aug-2019 7.25 13.37 51.79 1.93 1.93% 1.52%
31-Dec-2019 24-May-2019 31-Mar-2019 1 4,130,000 893,000 813,000 802,000 - 29,680,000 - % 19.69% 2.70% 8,000,000 51.63 51.63 10.00 10.00 0.00 0.00 3.7100 3.71   -37.59%   -24.69% 29-Mar-2019 9.16 17.74 91.37 2.47 1.09% 0.00% 24-May-2019 8.75 16.95 87.28 2.36 1.15% 0.00%
31-Dec-2018 25-Feb-2019 31-Dec-2018 4 5,062,000 1,477,000 1,299,000 1,285,000 1,440,000 30,479,999 112.06% 25.66% 4.22% 8,000,000 63.28 63.28 16.00 16.00 18.00 18.00 3.8100 3.81   2.23%   27.86% 31-Dec-2018 9.29 14.68 57.84 2.44 1.73% 1.94% 25-Feb-2019 9.13 14.43 56.84 2.40 1.76% 1.97%
31-Dec-2018 16-Nov-2018 30-Sep-2018 3 4,830,000 1,342,000 1,272,000 1,257,000 - 29,280,000 - % 26.34% 4.29% 8,000,000 60.38 60.38 16.00 16.00 0.00 0.00 3.6600 3.66   -8.38%   37.68% 28-Sep-2018 9.36 15.50 59.57 2.56 1.68% 0.00% 16-Nov-2018 9.40 15.57 59.82 2.57 1.67% 0.00%
31-Dec-2018 15-Aug-2018 30-Jun-2018 2 4,733,000 1,495,000 1,380,000 1,372,000 1,120,000 28,959,999 81.63% 29.16% 4.74% 8,000,000 59.16 59.16 17.00 17.00 14.00 14.00 3.6200 3.62   28.83%   42.32% 29-Jun-2018 8.41 14.22 49.04 2.32 2.04% 1.66% 15-Aug-2018 9.30 15.72 54.23 2.57 1.84% 1.51%
31-Dec-2018 21-May-2018 31-Mar-2018 1 4,951,000 1,336,000 1,107,000 1,065,000 - 27,360,000 - % 22.36% 3.89% 8,000,000 61.89 61.89 13.00 13.00 0.00 0.00 3.4200 3.42   5.97%   -17.76% 30-Mar-2018 8.26 13.35 62.05 2.42 1.61% 0.00% 21-May-2018 8.70 14.06 65.35 2.54 1.53% 0.00%
31-Dec-2017 20-Feb-2018 31-Dec-2017 4 4,740,000 1,322,000 1,049,000 1,005,000 1,200,000 27,840,000 119.40% 22.13% 3.61% 8,000,000 59.25 59.25 13.00 13.00 15.00 15.00 3.4800 3.48   10.08%   1.82% 29-Dec-2017 7.70 13.00 61.29 2.21 1.63% 1.95% 20-Feb-2018 8.10 13.67 64.48 2.33 1.55% 1.85%
31-Dec-2017 09-Nov-2017 30-Sep-2017 3 4,013,000 1,116,000 961,000 913,000 - 27,520,000 - % 23.95% 3.32% 8,000,000 50.16 50.16 11.00 11.00 0.00 0.00 3.4400 3.44   -5.29%   2.47% 29-Sep-2017 7.29 14.53 63.88 2.12 1.57% 0.00% 09-Nov-2017 7.37 14.69 64.58 2.14 1.55% 0.00%
31-Dec-2017 10-Aug-2017 30-Jun-2017 2 3,959,000 1,162,000 1,023,000 964,000 963,999 27,875,666 100.00% 25.84% 3.46% 8,033,333 49.28 49.49 12.00 12.05 12.00 12.05 3.4700 3.48   -25.56%   108.66% 30-Jun-2017 7.10 14.41 59.17 2.05 1.69% 1.69% 10-Aug-2017 7.03 14.26 58.58 2.03 1.71% 1.71%
31-Dec-2017 15-May-2017 31-Mar-2017 1 4,695,000 1,636,000 1,381,000 1,295,000 - 27,200,000 - % 29.41% 4.76% 8,000,000 58.69 58.69 16.00 16.00 0.00 0.00 3.4000 3.40   31.21%   118.75% 31-Mar-2017 7.70 13.12 47.57 2.26 2.10% 0.00% 15-May-2017 7.12 12.13 43.98 2.09 2.27% 0.00%
31-Dec-2016 20-Feb-2017 31-Dec-2016 4 3,947,000 1,173,000 1,033,000 987,000 960,000 27,040,000 97.26% 26.17% 3.65% 8,000,000 49.34 49.34 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 3.3800 3.38   10.77%   40.20% 30-Dec-2016 6.98 14.15 56.58 2.07 1.77% 1.72% 20-Feb-2017 7.48 15.16 60.63 2.21 1.65% 1.60%
31-Dec-2016 02-Nov-2016 30-Sep-2016 3 3,564,000 1,258,000 985,000 891,000 - 25,200,000 - % 27.64% 3.54% 8,000,000 44.55 44.55 11.00 11.00 0.00 0.00 3.1500 3.15   92.86%   -2.73% 30-Sep-2016 6.65 14.93 59.71 2.11 1.67% 0.00% 02-Nov-2016 7.00 15.71 62.85 2.22 1.59% 0.00%
31-Dec-2016 09-Aug-2016 30-Jun-2016 2 3,202,000 783,000 533,000 462,000 560,000 24,719,999 121.21% 16.65% 1.87% 8,000,000 40.03 40.03 6.00 6.00 7.00 7.00 3.0900 3.09   -21.96%   -17.06% 30-Jun-2016 6.61 16.51 114.46 2.14 0.87% 1.06% 09-Aug-2016 6.60 16.49 114.29 2.14 0.88% 1.06%
31-Dec-2016 09-May-2016 31-Mar-2016 1 3,147,000 896,000 671,000 592,000 - 24,159,999 - % 21.32% 2.45% 8,000,000 39.34 39.34 7.00 7.00 0.00 0.00 3.0200 3.02   -15.91%   -2.15% 31-Mar-2016 6.71 17.06 90.68 2.22 1.10% 0.00% 09-May-2016 6.11 15.53 82.57 2.02 1.21% 0.00%
31-Dec-2015 23-Feb-2016 31-Dec-2015 4 3,449,000 912,000 791,000 704,000 800,000 24,799,999 113.64% 22.93% 2.84% 8,000,000 43.11 43.11 9.00 9.00 10.00 10.00 3.1000 3.10   -23.14%   40.80% 31-Dec-2015 7.27 16.86 82.61 2.35 1.21% 1.38% 23-Feb-2016 7.07 16.40 80.34 2.28 1.24% 1.41%
31-Dec-2015 03-Nov-2015 30-Sep-2015 3 3,642,000 1,225,000 990,000 916,000 - 24,159,999 - % 27.18% 3.79% 8,000,000 45.53 45.53 11.00 11.00 0.00 0.00 3.0200 3.02   64.45%   38.58% 30-Sep-2015 6.14 13.49 53.62 2.03 1.86% 0.00% 03-Nov-2015 6.50 14.28 56.77 2.15 1.76% 0.00%
31-Dec-2015 07-Aug-2015 30-Jun-2015 2 3,305,000 853,000 638,000 557,000 640,000 23,440,000 114.90% 19.30% 2.38% 8,000,000 41.31 41.31 7.00 7.00 8.00 8.00 2.9300 2.93   -7.93%   0.36% 30-Jun-2015 6.32 15.30 90.77 2.16 1.10% 1.27% 07-Aug-2015 6.28 15.20 90.20 2.14 1.11% 1.27%
31-Dec-2015 07-May-2015 31-Mar-2015 1 3,140,000 843,000 672,000 605,000 - 22,799,999 - % 21.40% 2.65% 8,000,000 39.25 39.25 8.00 8.00 0.00 0.00 2.8500 2.85   21.00%   -19.23% 31-Mar-2015 5.64 14.37 74.58 1.98 1.34% 0.00% 07-May-2015 5.85 14.90 77.36 2.05 1.29% 0.00%
31-Dec-2014 18-Feb-2015 31-Dec-2014 4 3,901,000 778,000 570,000 500,000 640,000 22,719,999 128.00% 14.61% 2.20% 8,000,000 48.76 48.76 6.00 6.00 8.00 8.00 2.8400 2.84   -24.36%   11.11% 31-Dec-2014 5.45 11.18 87.20 1.92 1.15% 1.47% 18-Feb-2015 5.39 11.05 86.24 1.90 1.16% 1.48%
31-Dec-2014 06-Nov-2014 30-Sep-2014 3 3,549,000 899,000 732,000 661,000 - 22,079,999 - % 20.63% 2.99% 8,000,000 44.36 44.36 8.00 8.00 0.00 0.00 2.7600 2.76   19.10%   4.09% 30-Sep-2014 6.24 14.07 75.52 2.26 1.32% 0.00% 06-Nov-2014 6.11 13.77 73.95 2.21 1.35% 0.00%
31-Dec-2014 11-Aug-2014 30-Jun-2014 2 3,341,000 782,000 585,000 555,000 640,000 22,079,999 115.32% 17.51% 2.51% 8,000,000 41.76 41.76 7.00 7.00 8.00 8.00 2.7600 2.76   -25.90%   -42.07% 30-Jun-2014 6.77 16.21 97.59 2.45 1.02% 1.18% 11-Aug-2014 6.66 15.95 96.00 2.41 1.04% 1.20%
31-Dec-2014 08-May-2014 31-Mar-2014 1 3,806,000 1,092,000 839,000 749,000 - 21,520,000 - % 22.04% 3.48% 8,000,000 47.58 47.58 9.00 9.00 0.00 0.00 2.6900 2.69   66.44%   -32.22% 31-Mar-2014 6.91 14.52 73.81 2.57 1.35% 0.00% 08-May-2014 6.79 14.27 72.52 2.52 1.38% 0.00%
31-Dec-2013 10-Feb-2014 31-Dec-2013 4 3,349,000 586,000 498,000 450,000 960,000 21,760,000 213.33% 14.87% 2.07% 8,000,000 41.86 41.86 6.00 6.00 12.00 12.00 2.7200 2.72   -29.13%   -50.11% 31-Dec-2013 6.92 16.53 123.02 2.54 0.81% 1.73% 10-Feb-2014 6.75 16.12 120.00 2.48 0.83% 1.78%
31-Dec-2013 07-Nov-2013 30-Sep-2013 3 3,527,000 925,000 712,000 635,000 - 21,280,000 - % 20.19% 2.98% 8,000,000 44.09 44.09 8.00 8.00 0.00 0.00 2.6600 2.66   -33.72%   -14.42% 30-Sep-2013 6.85 15.54 86.30 2.58 1.16% 0.00% 07-Nov-2013 7.10 16.10 89.45 2.67 1.12% 0.00%
31-Dec-2013 22-Aug-2013 30-Jun-2013 2 3,872,000 1,386,000 1,059,000 958,000 640,000 21,280,000 66.81% 27.35% 4.50% 8,000,000 48.40 48.40 12.00 12.00 8.00 8.00 2.6600 2.66   -13.30%   12.05% 28-Jun-2013 6.62 13.68 55.28 2.49 1.81% 1.21% 22-Aug-2013 6.50 13.43 54.28 2.44 1.84% 1.23%
31-Dec-2013 27-May-2013 31-Mar-2013 1 4,455,000 1,651,000 1,236,000 1,105,000 - 21,440,000 - % 27.74% 5.15% 8,000,000 55.69 55.69 14.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 2.6800 2.68   22.51%   8.44% 29-Mar-2013 6.41 11.51 46.41 2.39 2.15% 0.00% 27-May-2013 6.48 11.64 46.91 2.42 2.13% 0.00%
31-Dec-2012 25-Feb-2013 31-Dec-2012 4 4,379,000 819,000 988,000 902,000 1,120,000 20,319,999 124.17% 22.56% 4.44% 8,000,000 54.74 54.74 11.00 11.00 14.00 14.00 2.5400 2.54   21.56%   22.72% 31-Dec-2012 6.40 11.69 56.76 2.52 1.76% 2.19% 25-Feb-2013 6.25 11.42 55.43 2.46 1.80% 2.24%
31-Dec-2012 27-Nov-2012 30-Sep-2012 3 3,935,000 1,030,000 795,000 742,000 - 20,079,999 - % 20.20% 3.70% 8,000,000 49.19 49.19 9.00 9.00 0.00 0.00 2.5100 2.51   -13.22%   -35.42% 28-Sep-2012 6.40 13.01 69.00 2.55 1.45% 0.00% 27-Nov-2012 6.09 12.38 65.66 2.43 1.52% 0.00%
31-Dec-2012 28-Aug-2012 30-Jun-2012 2 3,896,000 1,235,000 933,000 855,000 640,000 19,360,000 74.85% 23.95% 4.42% 8,000,000 48.70 48.70 11.00 11.00 8.00 8.00 2.4200 2.42   -16.09%   16.01% 29-Jun-2012 6.47 13.29 60.54 2.67 1.65% 1.24% 28-Aug-2012 6.53 13.41 61.10 2.70 1.64% 1.23%
31-Dec-2012 31-Mar-2012 1 4,389,000 1,466,000 1,121,000 1,019,000 - - - % 25.54% - % 8,000,000 54.86 54.86 13.00 13.00 0.00 0.00 - -   0.00%   9.33% 30-Mar-2012 6.74 12.29 52.91 0.00 1.89% 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00%
31-Dec-2012 28-May-2012 01-Jan-2012 1 4,389,000 1,466,000 1,121,000 1,019,000 - 18,733,923 - % 25.54% 5.44% 7,838,461 55.99 54.86 13.00 12.74 0.00 0.00 2.3900 2.34   38.64%   - % 30-Dec-2011 6.20 11.07 47.69 2.59 2.10% 0.00% 28-May-2012 6.70 11.97 51.54 2.80 1.94% 0.00%
31-Dec-2011 27-Feb-2012 31-Dec-2011 4 3,904,000 1,139,000 826,000 735,000 653,333 20,498,333 88.89% 21.16% 3.59% 8,166,666 47.80 48.80 9.00 9.19 8.00 8.17 2.5100 2.56   -36.03%   -15.90% 30-Dec-2011 6.20 12.97 68.89 2.47 1.45% 1.29% 27-Feb-2012 6.90 14.43 76.67 2.75 1.30% 1.16%
31-Dec-2011 22-Nov-2011 30-Sep-2011 3 4,638,000 1,700,000 1,272,000 1,149,000 656,571 20,517,857 57.14% 27.43% 5.60% 8,207,142 56.51 57.98 14.00 14.36 8.00 8.21 2.5000 2.56   55.90%   128.43% 30-Sep-2011 5.56 9.84 39.71 2.22 2.52% 1.44% 22-Nov-2011 5.94 10.51 42.43 2.38 2.36% 1.35%
31-Dec-2011 26-Aug-2011 30-Jun-2011 2 3,345,000 1,058,000 814,000 737,000 - 20,799,777 - % 24.33% 3.54% 8,188,888 40.85 41.81 9.00 9.21 0.00 0.00 2.5400 2.60   -20.92%   - % 30-Jun-2011 7.09 17.36 78.78 2.79 1.27% 0.00% 26-Aug-2011 6.03 14.76 67.00 2.37 1.49% 0.00%
31-Mar-2011 26-May-2011 31-Mar-2011 4 4,353,000 1,298,000 1,160,000 932,000 1,475,666 19,106,000 158.33% 26.65% 4.88% 7,766,666 56.05 54.41 12.00 11.65 19.00 18.45 2.4600 2.39   - %   5.79% 31-Mar-2011 7.24 12.92 60.33 2.94 1.66% 2.62% 26-May-2011 7.16 12.77 59.67 2.91 1.68% 2.65%
31-Dec-2011 01-Jan-2011 1 - - - - - - - % - % - % 728,333,349 - - - - - - - -   - %   - % 30-Dec-2010 5.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00%
31-Mar-2011 24-Feb-2011 31-Dec-2010 3 3,898,000 1,275,000 999,000 874,000 - 1,704,299,975 - % 25.63% 0.05% 728,333,349 0.54 48.73 0.12 10.93 0.00 0.00 2.3400 213.04   73.76%   159.35% 30-Dec-2010 5.52 1,031.40 4,600.00 2.36 0.02% 0.00% 24-Feb-2011 6.21 1,160.33 5,175.00 2.65 0.02% 0.00%
31-Mar-2011 29-Nov-2010 30-Sep-2010 3,170,000 704,000 572,000 503,000 - 14,155,857 - % 18.04% 3.55% 7,185,714 44.12 39.63 7.00 6.29 0.00 0.00 1.9700 1.77   - %   -8.88% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00% 29-Nov-2010 5.40 12.24 77.14 2.74 1.30% 0.00%
31-Dec-2010 30-Jun-2010 - - - - - - - % - % - % 7,341,666 - - - - - - - -   - %   - % 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00%
31-Mar-2010 31-Mar-2010 4 3,996,000 1,322,000 963,000 881,000 - 17,179,499 - % 24.10% 5.13% 7,341,666 54.43 49.95 12.00 11.01 0.00 0.00 2.3400 2.15   161.42%   - % 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00%

PBT = Profit before Tax, NP = Net Profit, NP to SH = Net Profit Attributable to Shareholder, Div = Dividend, NP Margin = Net Profit Margin, ROE = Return on Equity, NOSH = Number of Shares, RPS = Revenue per Share, EPS = Earning Per Share, DPS = Dividend Per Share, NAPS = Net Asset Per Share, EOQ = End of Quarter, ANN = Announcement, P/RPS = Price/Revenue per Share, P/EPS = Price/Earning per Share, P/NAPS = Price/Net Asset per Share, EY = Earning Yield, DY = Dividend Yield.


NOSH is estimated based on the NP to SH and EPS. Div is an estimated figure based on the DPS and NOSH. Net Worth is an estimated figure based on the NAPS and NOSH.

Div Payout %, NP Margin, ROE, DY, QoQ Δ & YoY Δ figures in Percentage; RPS, EPS & DPS's figures in Cent; and NAPS's figures in Dollar.

All figures in '000 unless specified.


Analyze this stock with MQ Trader system
  8 people like this.
 
jellyfish why the klci index need to be above 1600?
16/08/2019 4:19 PM
titus 1600 is KLCI index psychological level......
16/08/2019 4:40 PM
mobidick If must defend 1600 it wont be by using pchem with pricing 7++ they will go use other cheaper counter, like dialog only 3, mid cap company.
16/08/2019 4:51 PM
mobidick ok i take that back, i saw that 7.15, 17000 bid qty, yep someone defending.
16/08/2019 4:53 PM
titus Mob...can use dialog as well but Pchem or dialog still same. Pchem is 2x more expensive than dialog but Pchem is also 2x the weightage of dialog in KLCI. Meaning buy 1 pchem = buy 2 dialog. In terms of valuation, pchem cheaper coz dialog pe very high leh
16/08/2019 4:57 PM
risktransformer Too bad..... defending also drop: PCHEM dropped back to RM7.15 & KLCI dropped below 1,600 at 1,599.22!
16/08/2019 5:00 PM
titus oppss.....me wrg....close 1599.22.....below 1600........me bad...hehe....but close enuf to 1600???/hehe
16/08/2019 5:01 PM
titus Okla...session end......have a good weekend la everyone. Let see tonight any explosive news from US market or not......lol
16/08/2019 5:03 PM
kingb There will always be 'the day'. Usually after it stables for few days.
16/08/2019 5:49 PM
titus Shell Petrochemical complex in US will come online early 2020. Meaning less than 6 months. This this give more pressure to the average selling price of some pchem product?

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shell_Pennsylvania_Petrochemicals_Complex
19/08/2019 9:16 AM
titus Wow...Pchem on viagra today ah? Price rose up so strong.....ada momentum oh.....
19/08/2019 3:05 PM
mobidick Revival, but its still chemical co, so fast in fast out people.
19/08/2019 3:14 PM
KK93 分析:https://mao-kid.blogspot.com/2019/08/pchem-5183.html
19/08/2019 9:41 PM
Kayme Petrochemicals 16 Aug 2019 | 07:09 UTC Singapore

Analysis: China's faltering car sales crimp petrochemical, gasoline demand

Singapore — Chinese gasoline and petrochemical demand growth is under pressure from decelerating automobile sales that are expected to worsen this year, exacerbated by a slowing economy, and the currency and trade dispute with the US.

The slowdown threatens the margins of key petrochemical producers in China and other parts of Asia, and paves the way for a growing glut of gasoline supplies flooding regional markets, weighing down on prices and refining margins.

Chinese motor vehicle sales in the first half of 2019 plunged 14.35% year on year to 12.18 million units, according to China's National Bureau of Statistics, reigniting worries of a second consecutive year of falling sales.

China's wholesale car sales dropped 7.8% on year to 1.73 million units in June, despite retailers offering discounts of up to 30% to destock inventories of cars with old emissions standards. Sales are expected to fall 11% on year in 2019, according to S&P Global Platts Analytics.

"As such, we estimate passenger vehicle wholesales will continue dropping by 13% year on year in 3Q19. The decline will likely ameliorate to -2.7% year on year in 4Q19 on the back of year-end discount offered by retailers," Platts Analytics said in its latest China oil market forecast.

"There is no sign of recovery in the Chinese car industry anytime soon amid the US-China trade war, which has extended into the currency war now," Eun Young Lee, equity research vice president, at DBS said.

The International Energy Agency said that while worldwide car sales could drop by 5% this year as the economy slows, the decline will be particularly pronounced in China, which represents a third of global car sales.

The bleak outlook for Chinese car manufacturers is having a direct impact on gasoline and petrochemical demand.

BEARISH ABS AND SBR MARKETS
"Together with a strong increase in production capacity and a general slowdown in economic activity, the sharp drop in automobile sales explains part of the difficulties currently experienced by the petrochemical sector," the IEA said in its latest monthly report.

It added that carmakers use a lot of plastic and petrochemical products, and petrochemical feedstock demand has been particularly weak in recent months, with global naphtha demand under pressure since March and LPG/ethane demand barely recovering to last year's levels.

There is a bearish impact on Asian acrylonitrile-butadiene-styrene (ABS) and styrene butadiene rubber (SBR) markets, both of which are used for car manufacturing, and prices have already fallen.

ABS prices hit a three-year low of $1,370/mt CFR China August 7, while prices for SBR for the 1502 grade -- commonly used in passenger vehicle tires -- also dipped to an eight-month low of $1,290/mt CFR SEA August 8, according to Platts assessments.

Should car sales dip further, ABS demand over one year could shrink by around 768,000 mt, market sources said.

Some SBR producers, such as China's Zhejiang Transfar Chemicals Group, China Shenhua Energy Co. Ltd. and Thailand's Bangkok Synthetic Co., have already announced plant maintenance shutdowns in response to the negative margins.

With July's SBR margins averaging minus $105.53/mt, basis CFR China, several SBR sources have also warned of more cuts in following months should negative margins continue.

GASOLINE EXPORTS SHRINK
Lower car sales are also stifling gasoline demand growth and worsening the already persistent domestic oversupply in China, prompting higher exports in coming months.

"China's gasoline demand growth has been on a slow decline. Year-on-year growth for 2019 is expected to be around 75,000 b/d, down 29% from the previous year," Anthony Tso, senior analyst at Platts Analytics, said.

"Dampened domestic demand may become more apparent in 2H19, which will encourage more gasoline exports, up to 400,000 b/d (approx. 1.4 million mt) on average for the rest of the year," he added.

China's gasoline exports in May and June were at a relatively low level of 848,000 mt and 998,000 mt, respectively, but analysts said exports in July and August could top 1 million mt/month, with at least one Singapore-based analyst projecting exports of 1.5 million mt.

Oil companies only consumed 42.7%, or 6.78 million mt, of their year-to-date gasoline export quotas in H1, leaving at least 9.11 million mt quota available for rest of the year, Platts data showed.

Fundamentals in the Chinese domestic gasoline market have been weak as large-scale private refineries, like the 400,000-b/d Hengli Petrochemical (Dalian) Refinery have flooded the market, even as China works on a long-term shift away from internal combustion engine or ICE vehicles to electric vehicles.
20/08/2019 12:03 PM
risktransformer Looks like EPF started acquiring PCHEM for some time now. I'll just follow EPF .....bought some at RM7.16, hehehe!
20/08/2019 4:08 PM
Chokhmah Probably, it is time for me to all in also
20/08/2019 4:30 PM
mobidick If want to all in better wait exdiv date, at that price would be 7.05+-, then u can know if its heading down or return up.
20/08/2019 4:36 PM
Chokhmah @mobidick, thanks for your advice. Will wait for that day then. It is just a week away from now.
20/08/2019 4:38 PM
risktransformer I won't all in now..... the price has not rebounded yet despite EPF's continuous buying.
20/08/2019 4:38 PM
titus in my opinion, epf in because need to support the index. Most probably you will see epf selling announcement in few days time. Today it went down because index close at 1600. So no need support and sell some to adjust back their holding.....i guess only la..
20/08/2019 4:53 PM
risktransformer If the KLCI were to start moving up from here (now at 1,602.75) then usually most stocks (including PCHEM) will follow to move up (hope this will be the case).
20/08/2019 5:01 PM
titus If KLCI move up and market is bullish, of course overall bluechip will move together. So i guess, KLCI must break 1625 to show solid uptrend. Else, pchem will be just a float to use to support when it goes down 1600 and toss away when it is above water of 1600. Already 7.11. If ex date div....6.99? ....hehe....or already ex date?
21/08/2019 9:45 AM
risktransformer Hehehe! Whether PCHEM move up or drop lower from my entry at RM7.16, I won't be too wrong since I'm just starting to collect bit by bit. I have spaced out my buying all the way down to RM6.40 (if ever that happens).
21/08/2019 9:56 AM
Ncm88 Up 1 day down 7 days...
21/08/2019 9:57 AM
risktransformer Later, when it reached the bottom already (let's say at RM6.40) then it will be down 1 day up 7 days...... hehehe!
21/08/2019 10:28 AM
risktransformer Hehehe.... the whole day red, only down 1 sen (not bad).
21/08/2019 4:53 PM
dlau8899 Waiting rm110 of dividend ,price up down up between 7.18 to 7.28
21/08/2019 6:01 PM
titus Wah lau eh. China seem to mass produce everything. From steel to textile to everything la. Market will be flooded with surplus of supply. Jiak lat ..

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-petrochemical-analysis/chinas-petrochemical-expansion-to-overwhelm-japan-south-korea-producers-idUSKCN1VA0US
21/08/2019 7:21 PM
KooSan Don't fret...we have EPF to support
21/08/2019 10:58 PM
Kayme Petrochemicals 19 Aug 2019 | 21:30 UTC Houston

Americas petrochemicals outlook, w/c Aug 19


US OLEFINS
August propylene contract discussions are expected to start this week, according to trade participants. Direction was unclear, however, as the propylene spot market had been moving higher last week, because of falling inventory levels. But sources have also said the market remains well supplied. Meanwhile, US ethylene sources said uncertainty remained about the startup timeline of the closed cracker at ExxonMobil's Baytown, Texas, olefins complex.

US POLYMERS
Trade participants said producers were seeking increasing prices for polyethylene, but thin demand and ample supply were still keeping pricing pressure on the market. US polypropylene sources began discussing the pending monthly polymer-grade propylene contract, with at least one source anticipating that it will settle flat at 38 cents/lb. Negotiations should begin in earnest this week, with the settlement impacting spot PP pricing.

LATIN POLYETHYLENE
Latin America continues watching a downtrend in polyethylene pricing following the same trend in the US market, sources said. Pricing of HDPE film remains under pressure due to healthy availability and soft global demand. But some market participants said US-origin LDPE is less available for exports after the steam cracker was shut at the ExxonMobil Baytown olefins complex. The Brazilian polyethylene market is expected to start another week with pressure from international prices, which could continue triggering CFR prices to lower levels -- the lowest since S&P global Platts started its assessments. Currency exchange volatility is starting the week less favorable to the Real at Real 4/$1, putting less pressure on domestic prices, still unchanged. In Argentina, domestic prices were expected to be flat after a $50/mt increase last week. The polyethylene market has been under uncertainty after Dow Chemical's Bahia Blanca complex suffered an explosion in its ethylene cracker BB 2 plant in Dow Argentina at the end of June. The company said the complex would be offline until the end of the third quarter. The lack of availability was a driver for the hikes, but market sources said it was softened by the latest currency devaluation of around 30% last week after the recent presidential primary. General interest rates increased to 74%. Therefore, credit is almost unavailable, and activity is expected to slow down in the country.

LATIN POLYPROPYLENE
The Latin America polypropylene market is expected to start the week under continued pressure from international prices, sources said. Market participants will continue monitoring the US fluctuating polymer-grade propylene prices, as they influence prices for US PP, sources said. Macroeconomic concerns are also rising as currency depreciation in most Latin America countries against the US dollar continue to affect buying interest. One trader said that market participants had switched their thoughts to September order books, as August demand continued weak. Brazilian polypropylene homopolymer and co-polymer markets were unchanged, seeing less volatility in CFR prices lately.

US VINYLS
US export polyvinyl chloride prices were expected to remain in a range of $765-$775/mt FAS Houston this week, where producers settled August pricing, as market participants look toward September pricing negotiations. A deal for H2 September loading to India was heard done at $790-$800/mt FAS Houston, but market participants were skeptical of whether sluggish demand elsewhere would support that pricing level. Indian demand was seen strengthening as buyers were seeking to stock up on PVC volumes ahead of the end of the monsoon season. In addition, last week Asian producers announced fresh September offers up $30/mt from August levels, and one provided less volume than normal with a turnaround planned next month, and volumes designated for India sold out quickly. However, market sources noted that India's decision in July to lift anti-dumping duties on PVC from various countries, including Japan, the European Union, Indonesia and Malaysia, opens the door to more competition to supply that market. Last month, India reduced anti-dumping duties on material from some US producers but did not eliminate them. Upstream, market participants saw little change to ethylene dichloride and caustic soda pricing amid sluggish global demand.
22/08/2019 2:34 AM
Kayme US AROMATICS
Prompt benzene prices in the US are expected to remain firm after an uptick in buy interest as sources anticipated tightness in the near term. Domestic production is expected to remain curtailed despite recent improvement in toluene conversion margins, while benzene demand was expected to remain firm. Demand was bolstered by talk of an outage downstream at Innova's facility at Triunfo. Details and confirmation were unavailable, but sources said the outage spurred 18,000-20,000 mt of styrene exports, and this had lent support to higher styrene prices. These dynamics were not expected to change, and styrene demand was expected to remain firm amid anticipated outages by multiple European producers. In toluene, prices were expected flat to lower as pricing continued to trace declining blend values. Lower toluene pricing was expected to support toluene conversion margins but was unlikely to lead to an increase in run rates. In xylenes, mixed xylenes pricing was expected to continue tracing blend values after a recent jump in pricing. Participants said that buy interest had increased ahead of planned maintenance by Suncor, though this was not confirmed at time of publication. Paraxylene was expected to see continued pressure from global length. Pricing was talked at $790-$800/mt FOB USG, though discussions were purely academic amid a dearth of spot activity.
22/08/2019 2:34 AM
Kayme 2019 2nd half Outlook: Global propylene supply to remain healthy on extra capacity, strong inventories

US inventories establish records in 2019
US-Europe arbitrage under pressure, but outlook mixed
Asia likely to stay stable-to-soft as a result of additional PDH plants

Global propylene markets will continue to see healthy supply availability in the second half of 2019 as fresh capacity comes online in Asia and US inventory levels remain strong.
As supply improved, alongside a slowdown in derivatives demand, global propylene spot prices fell this year from the multi-year highs seen in 2018, and the US market has taken the steepest dive.
US propylene supply has recovered in the first half of 2019, as production from propane dehydrogenation units has improved. This was in line with expectations for the front half of the year, and eventually led to record high inventory levels of 6.459 million barrels in March, according to the US Energy Information Administration.

Trade participants have said this is something they expect to continue for the remainder of the year.
The overall increase in inventories has pressured US propylene spot prices, leaving them well below 2018 levels. Polymer-grade propylene spot prices hit a low of 32 cents/lb ($705/mt) FD USG in late February before rebounding and then receding again to 32 cents/lb FD USG in mid-June.
US EXPORTS INCREASE, BUT ARBITRAGE TO EUROPE CHALLENGED IN H2
As supply length pushed spot prices to levels not seen since the end of 2016, US propylene exports have increased through the first four months of 2019, according to data from the US International Trade Commission. Volumes mainly headed to Latin America, and market participants have said they expect this to continue throughout 2019.

Europe has also seen an increase in shipments of US molecules as players anticipated supply tightness amid a heavy steam cracker turnaround schedule in the second quarter.
According to Eurostat data, imports from the US in the first four months of 2019 averaged 13,600 mt/month, compared with 920 mt/month in the same period in 2018. Meanwhile, imports reached an all-time high in February of 63,760 mt, the data show.
Since the beginning of 2019, Europe polymer grade propylene has traded at a premium to other regions before falling below $1,000/mt FD NWE, close to levels in Asia and narrowing the gap with the US.

With that recent relative weakness, market players have started questioning if arbitrage opportunities still exist, already anticipating a decline in imports from the US.
The premium of the European PGP spot price over its US equivalent was calculated at between $150/mt and $200/mt at the beginning of July, meaning the arbitrage was closed on paper.
"The arbitrage has been challenged, but from a volume perspective there is enough propylene for August," one European player said.
However, more planned maintenance is expected in Europe between August and October, meaning supply could turn tighter if the current trend continues.

ATTENTION IN ASIA TURNS TO NEW CAPACITY
Meanwhile, the Asian market will focus on startups, with more than 1.2 million mt/year of extra propylene production capacity expected to come online in China by H2.
This includes China's Fujian Meide Petrochemical's 660,000 mt/year PDH plant in September and Dongguan Juzhengyuan's 600,000 mt/year PDH plant by the end of H2. The additional capacity could reduce Chinese reliance on imported cargoes and exert pressure on spot price.
"We imported 600,000 mt of propylene feedstock for our two 500,000 mt/year polypropylene plants last year and will reduce the imports by 400,000 mt once our PDH plant is operating at full rate," said a company source at Fujian Meide Petrochemical.

As for the rest of Southeast Asia, Northeast Asia and South Korea, there will be less turnarounds in H2 compared with the front half of the year, ensuring a relatively stable supply of propylene, especially in the final three months of the year. Three steam crackers in the region with a total propylene capacity of over 1.5 million mt/year were heard to have plans for turnarounds in the current quarter. Chandra Asia, the major player in Indonesia, is expected to shut down its cracker for turnaround by August 1, while Formosa Petrochemical's No. 2 steam cracker unit will carry out scheduled maintenance by mid-August. Lotte Chemical is scheduled to shut its Daesan cracker by October 14.

Other market participants were keeping a close watch on the Malaysia's Petronas-Aramco RAPID project, which has experienced delays in the startup of the cracker and refinery. The complex's RFCC is now scheduled to produce 600,000 mt/year of propylene by the end of Q3, but is only due to produce on-spec propylene in Q4, according to a source with direct knowledge of the matter.
22/08/2019 2:34 AM
Kayme https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-petrochemical-analysis/chinas-petrochemical-expansion-to-overwhelm-japan-south-korea-producers-idUSKCN1VA0US
22/08/2019 2:35 AM
titus will be further pressure on Pchem? if yes, very likely to break rm7. With oversupply and low average selling price, it definitely a double whammy for pchem. Similar to the steel industries and would it share the same faith as the steel counter? Time will tell.....
22/08/2019 8:02 AM
risktransformer Don't worry too much about the long term future la (let the future takes care of itself)...... see, the price is RM7.20 now. Just take advantage of the current price movement la.
22/08/2019 10:55 AM
untong no one knows how the price will go, suggest to buy abit now before the ex date for 11sen dividends, if after the ex-date the price drop excessively to below 7, just add more then you can get another set of dividends in 6months time
22/08/2019 1:20 PM
untong as for over supply, soft demand etc i think there always had these kind of news every year, price of petrochemicals goes up and down. IMO for PCHEM the effect is not as severely impacted from these due to 70% of their Revenue comes from SEA where they are having the logistic advantage, 68% of revenue are Term customers means the effect of price will be more or less smoothen throughout the term contracts. Also there are so many different petrochemicals products, prices of some products soft doesnt mean all products price are low. For the most recent quarters, the price of O&D are very bad but it was somewhat mitigated by good price of F&M, F&M profits was 35% now become 50% of profits contributed.
22/08/2019 1:26 PM
untong More so when RAPID commence its operations, they will have more flexibility on product mix ; e.g if the price of one petrochemicals product is not good, they will just sell more on other petrochemicals product that have better price.less concern on feedstocks supplies too.
22/08/2019 1:29 PM
risktransformer Hehehe..... I "untong" a bit already.
22/08/2019 4:33 PM
bjaya Unbreachable 7 i suppose. Time to get in .
22/08/2019 11:33 PM
kingb These few days, the big force is not so aggressive to press the price.
23/08/2019 12:26 PM
AhHuat50 PCHEM is currently undervalue. It worth at least 7.80. Buy before you regret
23/08/2019 12:38 PM
ValarCuniasia https://www.reuters.com/article/us-asia-petchems-demand-idUSKCN1VD099?utm_campaign=trueAnthem%3A+Trending+Content&utm_content=5d5f6f8257819f0001690366&utm_medium=trueAnthem&utm_source=facebook&fbclid=IwAR1kxXZSekb3XOsxM-c-Gj5rd4eHKou36iItZGPoerVFgTR26t_QlQWC77Y
23/08/2019 12:59 PM
ValarCuniasia Good luck
23/08/2019 12:59 PM
risktransformer Hope the price will drop lower so can buy some more.
23/08/2019 1:27 PM
titus Looking at the chart in the reuters report, it seems like the average selling price has dropped 20% from January. This is before rapid come online by end of this year, Shell US petrochemical by 1H of next year and China petrochemical by 2H'20? Very similar to steel industry.
23/08/2019 1:38 PM
Chokhmah i can't draw proper technical trend line for PCHEM, so weird
23/08/2019 1:39 PM
AhHuat50 Faster buy before you regret
23/08/2019 1:49 PM
AhHuat50 Buy before it shoot up to the sky
23/08/2019 1:51 PM
mobidick Looking to follow lctitan -50% price. Oversupply issues and demand cuts keeping pressure on price. rm6 or rm5? who knows.. i guess i can remove pchem from watchlist for now.
23/08/2019 4:14 PM