Highlights
KLSE: KMLOONG (5027)       KIM LOONG RESOURCES BHD MAIN : Plantations
Last Price Today's Change   Day's Range   Trading Volume
1.52   -0.04 (2.56%)  1.51 - 1.54  668,200
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Active Warrants

Name Type Listing Date Maturity Date Exercise Price Warrant Price Ratio Premium Gearing
KMLOONG-WB Warrants 16/04/2018 10/04/2025 1.40 0.455 1:1 0.335 (22.03%) 3.34

Expired Warrants

Name Type Listing Date Maturity Date Exercise Price Ratio
KMLOONG-CA CALL WARRANTS 22/03/2017 16/10/2017 3.70 3:1
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  banana86 likes this.
 
ethan No problem. We share, learn and earn together.

for the OER, it is one of the best and above the national industry average.

In fact, check on quarter release on september, there are few key metrics that lead to the believe that coming quarter will be flying color one.

Page 8 of the quarter report, its CPO production (MT) is 82,260 with average selling price of RM2336. (for May, June, July).

However, the CPO production for (August, Sept ,and Oct ) = 24,610 + 25,254 +25,633 = 75947, which is about 8% drop from the May, June, July.

Source from MPOC suggest that the average of May, June, July = RM2335, which is as per listed in Kimloong Quarter release. So we use the same benchmark for August, Sept and Oct , it is RM2906.

For the CPO itself, for May, June , July (RM'000), it is 192,159 revenue, while for August, Sep, Oct (RM'000) is estimate of 220,702. This is about 15% increase of revenue on the CPO part only. So i believe the revenue increase for coming quarter will be +-3% of 15%.

So to make assumption of the breakeven cost of CPO with other income remain constant,

Revenue from milling = 231,651, profit = 32,042, so it is about 14%, backward tracing, we assume that the cost of milling per mt = RM2000

If the assumption is correct, mean coming quarter profit will be very impressive as RM2900 - RM2000 = Nett RM900 extra profit per mt CPO.

Well , if that's the case and other things remain constants, possible it's eps to be around 9 -11 eps

As i do this calculation in rush and might make wrong assumption, so reader to analyze yourself. If any mistake, appreciate the feedback and will make revision. I am still learning in investment.. cheers!

MPOC source: http://mpoc.org.my/monthly-palm-oil-trade-statistics-2020/
18/12/2020 10:22 PM
newbie2y 1 thing i like abt kmloong is the power generation with biogas, in the annual report, there will be upto 2.0 megawatt commencing 1H21, and another 1.5 pending authority finalisation...all these are additional recurring income :)
18/12/2020 10:37 PM
ooihk899 ethan, Its not that straight forward. This is because the price of FFB purchased by them will increased too. So, the EPS will be lower than your estimation.
18/12/2020 10:56 PM
ethan @ooihk899, yupe.i agree but so far they did consume and use back their own FFB, so there will be some consolidation in between. In fact, what i try to trying to put here is actually as a remarks to see how close my expectation versus the reality.

Oya.. thanks newbie2y for pointing out it is the biogas than solar that in return earn some 6 million in revenue.
18/12/2020 11:21 PM
newbie2y cant wait for the qr in a few days time! cheers!
25/12/2020 3:17 PM
trader808 3rd quarter result announcement is due today. Disappointingly it has not being announced yet.
28/12/2020 7:40 PM
ethan Hope that today the company will release quarter result to see if it match my estimation. Seem a bit late for this quarter
29/12/2020 12:25 AM
ethan too bad. My estimation seem too optimistic, but overall the performance is still impressive. Sigh, got to improve on prediction.
29/12/2020 5:29 PM
Ravin Cheema Atleast got special dividend
29/12/2020 5:31 PM
newbie2y cpo price above 3700, additional estates purchase by next qr, increased cash balances, and more importantly, management is willing to share profits with smallholders like us. thumbs!
29/12/2020 7:02 PM
trader808 The company announced 28.8m profit. This is 109% better than last year corresponding figure, but 13.05% lower compare with the current year preceding quarter. Although the average selling price of Rm2865 /M/T is high, it is not enough to mitigate the huge fall in FFB and CPO output for the 3 months ending Oct 2020. KL has a very strong balance sheet and continues to generate huge cash flow. Considering the current 9 month financial performance and the CPO and FFB output for NOV month, I would envisage the whole year EPS to be around 12.5sen.
The fair value at various reasonably acceptable PE multiples are as follow.
PE 12X IS 150
PE 13X IS 162
PE14X IS 175.

All is not lost. In my opinion,the 3 sen special dividend would sustain the share price.
29/12/2020 7:15 PM
ethan agree with trader808. the expected annualize EPS will be within 12cents to 13cents, as the high CPO price is offset by the huge fall of FFP and CPO output. Considering high CPO price, good dividend payout and prudent management, based on historical PE, i believe it deserve fair PE between 15 - 18, using forecasted annualize EPS 12.5

PE 15x = RM1.88
PE 16x = RM2.00
PE 17x = RM2.13
PE 18x = RM2.25

With consistent dividend payment for this fiscal year , (4 cents + 3 cents + 3 cents (forecast) ), i believe it is could be sustain PE of 15x or 16x.
29/12/2020 9:52 PM
KPH5328 PBT for the current quarter was RM44.64 million which was 6% lower than RM47.27 million
achieved in the preceding quarter ended 31 July 2020. If the insurance compensation of RM7.62
million recognised in the preceding quarter was excluded, the PBT for the current quarter was 13% or RM4.99 million higher
29/12/2020 10:59 PM
trader808 Ethan's view and perception has logic and merits. The current 4 quarter running PE is 17x. May not be a bad idea to Stay invested and collect the dividend
30/12/2020 8:02 AM
bluelight good company to invest
30/12/2020 8:28 AM
ethan Malacca Security latest analysis:

我们重申“买入”评级,目标价从1.74令吉上调至1.91令吉,相等于明财年16倍本益比;一般中型种植股的本益比介于14.5倍至17.5倍。

Malacca Security reiterate buy call , target price revised from RM1.74 to RM1.91 with target PE of 16. The PE range for mid cap plantation should be within PE range 14.5 to 17.5.

Source: https://www.enanyang.my/%E8%A1%8C%E5%AE%B6%E8%AE%BA%E8%82%A1/%E3%80%90%E8%A1%8C%E5%AE%B6%E8%AE%BA%E8%82%A1%E8%A7%86%E9%A2%91%E3%80%91%E9%94%A6%E9%9A%86%E8%B5%84%E6%BA%90-%E4%B8%A4%E5%B9%B4%E8%B4%A2%E6%B5%8B%E4%B8%8A%E8%B0%83
30/12/2020 9:07 PM
newbie2y good read, thanks ethan!
30/12/2020 9:38 PM
ethan Trader808, great sharing. Indeed it happen all the time for those stock with many call warrant, like tnb, takaful etc. So trader808 hypothesis could be correct, and if we able to trade it factor in the risk, the reward could be very good for short period of time.
31/12/2020 12:40 AM
MNawar Thanks Trader808. Just learn something.
31/12/2020 8:37 AM
Young1 trader 808, sorry i miss your post. could you please re-post it again? thanks.
04/01/2021 3:57 PM
DTZW 1882 CPO Almost Break 4K...
04/01/2021 9:56 PM
paperplane inventory 10 yr low! wow
05/01/2021 9:59 AM
ethan It is coming again to challenge the new high. Target to break thru and may break RM1.70 before the dividend ex-date!! Gogogo.

Beside, lately spotted 2 gems, one is petgas and amway. May discuss in the respective group.
06/01/2021 12:10 PM
aiyooo kikiki lucky taann switch here
06/01/2021 2:49 PM
aiyooo gogogoog
06/01/2021 2:49 PM
ethan Sigh, quite a huge drop compare to the CPO future. I am accumulating more and treat it as the opportunity for bigger gain.
29/01/2021 9:48 PM
ethan When the boss is buying in own share, and with FCPO future is at 3,919.00 for Feb 21, and 3,618.00 for March 21, strong believe that the price setback is just temporary.
05/02/2021 12:53 PM
paperplane kim loong so good also went south, funny mkt
05/02/2021 12:54 PM
newbie2y i think the main reason was India, being major importer, has increased their import duties on palm oil, effective feb 2021...
10/02/2021 10:44 PM
trader808 Unlike IOI which has upstream and downstream industries, KM financial performance is quite straight forward. You can track it in advance with reasonable accuracy by monitoring its monthly output performance that has been announced in Bursa.

Here are the numbers

3Q 4Q % Diff
FFB 68990 56355 (18.3% )

CPO 75497 56274 (25.4%)

PK 19187 12913 (32.6%)

profit 33.16 ???

KM will announce its 4Q result in march. Basing on these numbers, it is quite unlikely to match 3Q performance.
13/02/2021 3:58 PM
trader808 Investors are reacting and share price is reflecting to the output performance in advance of financial performance to be announced in March. My perception.
13/02/2021 4:07 PM
paperplane seems like mkt mis the PLANTATION , now reprice. all results of plantation superb
16/02/2021 10:50 AM
lcng123 Many Plantation companies posted good result this month
19/02/2021 5:51 PM
UndukNgadau Thanks trader808. Lower harvest is not good
27/02/2021 10:24 AM
ChongLeeWoon High CPO prices directly benefit plantation companies but share price laggard... look at suppliers of plantation companies, the agrochem companies such as Ancom and Hextar, all engine started and flying up!

https://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/ancom4758/2021-02-25-story-h1541264156-ANCOM_THE_NEXT_SUGAR_BABY_OF_BURSA.jsp
28/02/2021 6:56 PM
Dragon88 share price of plantation counters will eventually catch up with the CPO price.
11/03/2021 9:22 AM
lcng123 CPO future hits RM4,100
11/03/2021 9:43 AM
gankc2011 Its share price should climb higher with higher earnings which would results in higher profit. Cash rich company with low debt and dishes out good dividend yield.
18/03/2021 1:11 PM
skl_81 Q4Y20 coming soon.
22/03/2021 3:06 PM
lching Q4 result out today?
31/03/2021 11:33 AM
AHFAN84 Until now, Q4 report still not release
31/03/2021 7:37 PM
DTZW 1882 go read announcement please
31/03/2021 8:12 PM
wongck Q4 result holding back, request for extension for 1 month due to covid19 pandemic. Other company able to do meet dateline or even earlier. Unlike in this past Qtr result announced promptly. Keep the good practices to give confidence to investors to trust the company's management team
01/04/2021 2:10 AM
benlim KIM LOONG RESOURCES BERHAD ("KLRB') OR ("THE COMPANY")
EXTENSION OF TIME FOR ISSUANCE OF QUARTERLY REPORT FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 JANUARY 2021
https://www.bursamalaysia.com/market_information/announcements/company_announcement/announcement_details?ann_id=3142945
02/04/2021 1:44 PM
UndukNgadau Quarterly rpt on consolidated results for the financial period ended 31/01/2021 | https://www.klsescreener.com/v2/announcements/view/3343349
16/04/2021 6:05 PM
UndukNgadau From quarter result: Revenue of RM5.13 million has been generated from supplying power to TNB grid for the current year-to-date.
16/04/2021 6:12 PM
investortrader88 my queue buy matched at RM 1.46 just now.good luck guys.
06/05/2021 11:06 AM
sten_still booked my position
07/05/2021 4:02 PM
Johnzhang The company is very generous to pay dividend. For FY 2020 payout 100%.
10/05/2021 10:41 PM
Johnzhang FY 21 earning can easily surpass 20 sen per share . If 100% payout is practice, we can expect 20 sen dividend.
10/05/2021 10:45 PM


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