KLSE: MFCB (3069)       MEGA FIRST CORP BHD MAIN : Utilities
Last Price Today's Change   Day's Range   Trading Volume
3.79   -0.05 (1.30%)  3.75 - 3.80  49,500
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Technical Indicators

Date: Mar 22, 2019 Price: 3.79

Simple Moving Average
10 20 30 40 50 60 90 120 200 250
SMA 3.852 3.846 3.856 3.835 3.743 3.635 3.525 3.449 0.00 0.00
Variance -0.062 -0.056 -0.066 -0.045 0.047 0.155 0.265 0.341 3.79 3.79
Variance(%) 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 4% 8% 10% 0% 0%
**Variance - Comparison between stock price and moving average.
Relative Strength Index
9 14 25
RSI 48.387 50.00 41.176
**>70 is overbought while <30 is oversold.
William %R
9 14 25
%R -76.471% -76.471% -76.471%
**>-20 is overbought while <-80 is oversold.
Money Flow Index
9 14 25
MFI 63.204 56.144 51.417
**>80 is overbought while <20 is oversold.
Rate of Change
21 63 125 250
ROC -1.558% 18.069% -2,147,483.75% -2,147,483.75%
**>8% is overbought while <-8% is oversold.
Stochastic Oscillator (Fast)
14,3 18,9
%K 23.529 23.529
%D 37.255 63.399
**%D >80 is overbought while %D <20 is oversold.
Stochastic Oscillator (Slow)
14,3 18,9
%K 37.255 63.399
%D 50.98 53.997
**%D >80 is overbought while %D <20 is oversold.
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  10 people like this.
金刚 般若 My capital started form saving, so i quite late to invest. But the goal is same to you.
4-5 mil is standard range to quit full job. Boring to my job.

Hope you guy can archive the goal.
17/01/2019 5:45 PM
xiaoxiami I started investment since I was 23
I can say I am very lucky to have friend surrounding me and influence me

Now I am 28 and have around 350k portfolio
Hope by retire can accumulate assest of 10mil
18/01/2019 7:47 AM
freddiehero wah.. u all so young dy invest in market.
18/01/2019 8:01 AM
freddiehero im just start last year january..
18/01/2019 8:02 AM
bukithot Is 200mil expected profit sustainable if this includes the construction profit which is not recurring when the laos powerplant is up and running?
18/01/2019 8:31 AM
bukithot This is what PB research says, ". Based on our earnings estimates, the hydropower project will
contribute annual sales of RM400m-RM450m and profit of RM200m-260m
during the 25 years of concession."
18/01/2019 8:35 AM
Icon8888 and PB forecast DPS jumps to 30 sen next year

18/01/2019 8:38 AM
Fabien Extraordinaire 200mil is real profit. real cash flows.

not construction profit
18/01/2019 11:11 AM
Fabien Extraordinaire Maybank predicted the powerplant to potentially contribute a minimum of USD55m of FCF p.a. over its 25-year concession. Expect good yield moving forward.
18/01/2019 11:21 AM
Fabien Extraordinaire Icon8888 and PB forecast DPS jumps to 30 sen next year


Maybank forecast 15sen next year
18/01/2019 11:28 AM
Icon8888 15 sen also very yummy
18/01/2019 7:37 PM
KL Tneoh Once Don Shahong project start operation, 50+ cents of EPS & around 25 cents of dividend is within the reach.
19/01/2019 12:13 AM
bukithot Operation
For a run-of-the-river system to be possible in a given location, there needs to be two specific geographical features. The first is there must be a reasonably substantial flow rate, either from rainfall or a melting snowpack. In addition, there must be enough of a tilt to the river to speed the water up significantly.[4] Therefore, run-of-the-river systems are best implemented in bodies of water with a fairly constant flow rate. If they are built in locations where flow rate is fairly low for a period of time and then peaks dramatically, there will be a large amount of "wasted" water during the peak flow periods as the excess water falls through the spillways. This is because these systems are built to accommodate the lowest flow rate—thus, not be able to handle significantly larger flow rates.

In run-of-the-river systems, running water from a river is guided down a channel or penstock. There can be some change in altitude at this point (from a small dam or the natural landscape) so there may still be some contribution from "falling water." The diverted water is brought to an electricity generating house. In this house, the running water drives a turbine, running a generator and generating electricity. After being used, water is fed to the river downstream.[3]

Although run-of-the-river systems rely primarily on the flow rate of rivers to generate electricity and not a significant amount of water storage, some a small-scale dam or weir to ensure enough water enters the system itself. Pondage (a small amount of water stored behind the dam) is occasionally used, making them generally more reliable as they compensate for any discrepancies in water flow. This stored water isn't like a reservoir because it stores enough for "same day use" not future uses.[4][2]

19/01/2019 2:11 PM
Fabien Extraordinaire quietly moving up
29/01/2019 4:23 PM
Icon8888 Why ah ?
29/01/2019 4:23 PM
Fabien Extraordinaire no idea, just hold and watch

29/01/2019 4:46 PM
pang72 Thank you for sharing mfcb to me.
I am attracted by its forward earning.
29/01/2019 6:42 PM
pang72 My fix deposit.
29/01/2019 6:42 PM
shpg22 Liquidity deteriorating fast, may need another round of right issue.
Prepare for more cash
31/01/2019 7:47 PM
KL Tneoh Ha ha ha......

So funny !!
31/01/2019 10:05 PM
Fabien Extraordinaire sphg22

31/01/2019 10:20 PM
Fabien Extraordinaire dare u to show me evidence of liqudity drying up
31/01/2019 10:21 PM
Icon8888 Next year I will need to exercise my warrants at 2.22

Mfcb will get new cash
31/01/2019 10:24 PM
shpg22 MFCB remind me of JAKS rosy story that end up in drain.
13/02/2019 11:01 AM
linjie @shpg22 when u said something like this compare with JAKS, it show that you never really study
13/02/2019 12:53 PM
shpg22 When JAKS is at its peak, those that invested in it think they had study a lot and have confident in it. Yet still end up in drain.
13/02/2019 12:55 PM
tipumakan Because jaks keep on cash call, lawsuit, drag down by property arm. But mfcb not
16/02/2019 3:37 PM
xiaoxiami The edge weekly got report this company this week

Overall is quite high risk
Mfcb intent to pay off the loan for the first 3 years of hydropower construction
Means will not expect big rise in dividen

If run at full capacity
Expect to get 60million usd in first 5 years, subsequently 55mil and 50mil due to increases of tax

All of this if only the hydropower run at full capacity
Still have to depends on the water flow rate, any dry season etc

So if the hydropower did not perform as expected, might be expect lower profit

After this Mfcb still have to find other source of revenue or business opportunity as the contract only last 25 years
16/02/2019 8:21 PM
Lioncity Result will be out next Tuesday 26/2
19/02/2019 11:10 AM
Fabien Extraordinaire Analysts prediction quite consistent.

Maybank estimates at least RM200mil net profit.
Public Bank estimates RM200-RM260mil net profit.
Insider Asia estimation - US60-70mil net profit in first 5 years (RM240-280mil). Lower subsequently due to tax impact. Tax is exempted for first 5 years.
19/02/2019 2:00 PM
imlearning Should I still hold this counter ?
20/02/2019 11:21 AM
tipumakan hold until the dam come into production at least
21/02/2019 8:56 PM
lai81533 trending good.
24/02/2019 7:15 AM
shpg22 Better sell now. When start production, result will always be lower than analyst expectation. When they want to push the price up, nice story will pop up as usual.
24/02/2019 11:27 AM
lai81533 Target rm5. 50
26/02/2019 6:24 AM
lai81533 Trending
27/02/2019 12:31 AM
Fabien Extraordinaire Maybank raised SOP TP to 4.60

Public SOP TP remains at 4.74

Both estimates quite consistent
27/02/2019 3:36 PM
lai81533 trending up. Hold tight tight
27/02/2019 10:30 PM
lai81533 Market.noise
01/03/2019 5:40 AM
lai81533 将要来了
05/03/2019 6:22 AM
lai81533 Bullish
06/03/2019 5:01 AM
shpg22 Maintained STRONG SELL.
First time registered a negative FCF. Falling deeper into debt hole and liquidity crisis looming.
06/03/2019 11:16 AM
limcs shpg22 .. really ?
06/03/2019 1:20 PM
lai81533 Hold
12/03/2019 7:43 PM
lai81533 Fly to usa
14/03/2019 5:20 AM
lai81533 hold tight tight
14/03/2019 8:10 AM
Ricky Kiat https://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/investmalaysia2019/198042.jsp
15/03/2019 1:29 PM
Icon8888 Ricky Kiat must have bought very cheap
15/03/2019 1:32 PM
Ricky Kiat bought mother n warrant last years. (^-^)
15/03/2019 1:37 PM
Ricky Kiat not cheap enough , but buy on weakness. sure win stock .(^o^)
15/03/2019 1:52 PM


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