Overview. 2Q19 core profit (pre-MFRS 16) came in flat yoy as revenue weakness was offset by efficient cost management. On qoq basis, core profit grew 12% aided by higher postpaid subs from revamped PhoneFreedom 365 (PF365).
Key highlights. 2Q19 saw both postpaid and prepaid subs respectively recorded 71k and 42k net adds bringing total subs to 11.4m and blended ARPU back to RM40 (1Q19: RM39).
Against estimates: inline. 1H19 core profit (pre-MFRS 16) were inline at 52% of estimates as weak service revenue was offset by lower interconnect rate; core EBITDA margin rose +1ppt.
Dividend. A 5.0 sen DPS was declared, implying 92.5% dividend payout and brings its total DPS to 9.3 sen for 1H19.
Outlook. Management remains focused on growing postpaid revenue by boosting usage and upgrading to higher value plans. Operating efficiency remains paramount while network upgrades are ongoing to enhance customer experience.
Our call. Downgrade to HOLD with RM5.00 DCF-derived TP as we believe fundamentals have been well reflected. We opine risk of the merger falling through remains high as regulatory approvals are still pending. Accumulate on dips.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....