CEO Morning Brief

South Korean Central Bank Hikes Rates by 25 Bps, Slows Tightening Pace

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Publish date: Fri, 25 Nov 2022, 09:13 AM
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TheEdge CEO Morning Brief

SEOUL (Nov 24): South Korea's central bank raised interest rates by a more modest 25 basis points (bps) on Thursday (Nov 24), slowing the pace of policy tightening as it tries to tame inflation without choking off economic growth.

The Bank of Korea (BOK) raised its benchmark policy rate to 3.25% on Thursday, the highest level since 2012, after delivering a half-percentage point hike in October.

It also significantly downgraded its growth projection for 2023 to 1.7% from 2.1% previously, while sticking to this year's 2.6% growth forecast. Its inflation forecast for next year was cut to 3.6% from 3.7% previously.

The BOK is in the midst of its most aggressive policy tightening on record, having been a front runner in withdrawing pandemic-era stimulus in the region when it started raising interest rates in August 2021.

Since then, it has raised rates by a total of 275 bps, delivering bigger 50 bps rate hikes for the first time since the current monetary framework was introduced in 1999. It hiked rates by that amount in July and October.

Policymakers are trying to balance the need to curb above-target inflation — running at 5.7% — with building debt, easing property prices and falling exports. The central bank aims to keep inflation at 2%.

South Korean consumers are among the world's most-indebted. Property prices fell at their sharpest rate in at least two decades in October, while exports suffered their biggest drop in over two years.

The slowdown in the tightening pace has also been facilitated by a rebound in the local currency. As aggressive US monetary tightening buoyed the dollar this year, many central banks in Asia have sought to hike rates in step with the Fed to avoid local currencies from weakening too much against the greenback, risking causing capital outflows.

The won has rebounded more than 7% from a 13-year low against the dollar touched in late October.

The BOK's 25 bps hike was smaller than recent moves by some of its regional peers, with central banks in the Philippines and New Zealand pressing ahead with outsized rate hikes after the Fed's four consecutive 75 bps rate increases.

Median forecasts of analysts in a Reuters poll showed the terminal rate of the current tightening cycle would be 3.50% by end-March.

Governor Rhee Chang-yong will hold a news conference at 0210 GMT.

Source: TheEdge - 25 Nov 2022

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