Scicom is an industry leader in business process outsourcing (BPO) services and integrated digital solutions. It offers innovative digital services in the areas of customer lifecycle management, digital, and govtech. The company also provides education services, including corporate and youth training programmes. It has operations in many countries, including Malaysia, Singapore, China, the Philippines, Thailand, Hong Kong, the UK, Indonesia, India, Cambodia, and Sri Lanka.
Diversified customers base.Scicom serves over 40 customers from multiple industries, including telecommunication, hospitality, airlines, ecommerce, education, and E&E. As it does not depend on a single industry or customer, the client-base diversity creates a natural hedge for the company. Having its own IP and in-house developed solutions allow it to be independent and cost-effective without relying on any third-party software supplier.
Moving up the value chain.The company moved up the value chain by creating new customer offerings. It started providing higher-value operations services (such as social media support, text support, fulfilment, and robotic automation) to move away from the conventional customer care offerings. The updates are believed to influence the higher earnings margin. With its wider range of services, Scicom is seen as delivering one-stop digital business operations to its clients.
Asian edge. Scicom’s multi-lingual advantage, reasonable pricing, and experience gained from operating for more than two decades, provide it a firm position in the Asian market and an upper-hand over regional competitors with higher costs. Recent geopolitical tensions have also created more opportunities for Asian BPO players to capture a larger global market share as businesses seek affordable alternatives to the European providers (Scicom’s main competitors).
Welcoming foreign students. Scicom provides back-end solutions for the Malaysian Government’s one-stop visa centre for foreign students under the Education Malaysia Global Services (EMGS) programme. This segment contributed c.25% of Scicom’s FY22 sales. The Government is continuing in its efforts to attract international students from the region with a 3-year CAGR target of 71%. China has consistently been the largest tertiary education market for EMGS (over 40% of students pa), and is set to recover strongly after the country’s borders reopened.
Strong track record of dividend payment. While Scicom does not have a dividend policy, it has consistently paid dividends every year since its IPO. In the past four years, its dividend payout ratio has ranged from 79-97%.
Results highlights.1HFY23 (Jun) revenue remain almost unchanged YoY, as the lower transactional volumes in BPO was offset by new projects secured and the increase in the education segment. Core profit increased marginally by 0.1% mainly due to higher operating profit from incremental revenue from an existing project.
Strong net cash position.The group has a healthy balance sheet with zero borrowings and net cash of MYR43.8m or MYR0.12 per share as at 2QFY23. We expect the company to stay in a net cash position for FY23F-24F.
ROE. Over the past three years, its ROE ranged between 22% and 28%. With the expected lift in FY23F-24F earnings, the company’s ROE should also increase gradually
Dividends. The group has also consistently paid dividends every year since its IPO. In the past four years, Scicom’s dividend payout ratio ranged between 79% and 97%. We expect it to continue paying dividend of at least 75% of its PATAMI going forward, which translates to over 7% of dividend yield.
Management. Scicom is helmed by CEO Dato’ Sri Leo Suresh Ariyanayakam who is responsible for overseeing the overall operational function of the group. Kelvin Loke Cheong Hian, the CFO, has over 20 years of accounting experience. They are supported by the senior management team, comprising individuals with outstanding professional qualifications and over 10 years of experience in their respective fields.
Fair value of MYR1.40-1.60. We like the stock for its market leading position in the industry. Scicom’s BPO business will benefit from strong growth of customer service and wide advancement in digital services, while its govtech business is expected to benefit from an increase in China student applications to study in Malaysia. Based on an ascribed P/E of 14-15x on 2023F earnings, we derive a fair value range of MYR1.40-1.60. We believe that our valuation is fair given it is still at a discount to the local software players’ 2-year forward P/E of 15x. Our ascribed P/E of 14-15x is also way below peer Teleperformance’s 12- month trailing P/E of 23x. A decent dividend yield of c.7% is another plus point.
Key risks include the inability to secure new contracts, non-renewal of EMGS concession, a drop in the number of foreign students studying in Malaysia, human capital scarcity, and limited brand presence.
Source: RHB Securities Research - 16 May 2023
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