THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN

NOVEMBER FCPO FUTURE NOW RM4,800! Why Calvin Tan say prices are sustainable above Rm4,000 Plus Buy Palm Oil Upstream Players, By Calvin Tan

calvintaneng
Publish date: Thu, 31 Oct 2024, 02:26 PM
calvintaneng
0 1,871
Hi Guys,

I have An Investment Approach I which I would like to all.

Dear friends of i3 investors' forum


At Rm4,800 for FCPO NOV 2024 FUTURE we are seeing Cpo prices returning to good times


See


Crude Palm Oil Futures

Crude Palm Oil Futures

4,800 MYR / TNED
+63 +1.33%
Last update at Oct 30,



And these are Some Reasons Why Palm oil prices will remain elevated


1) PRODUCTION STAGNANT FOR 10 YEARS: WHILE DEMAND KEEP INCREASING


Yes in year 2012 there was a moratorium of not allowing more forest lands to be converted to palm oil

Then they implemented RSPO. Lots more restrictions as now they are not allowed to plant near river, reservoirs or on peak soyoil


As a Result Even KLK cannot plant much (Only plant 2,000 Hectares a Year. Source of Info:

Mr. Lim Fook Hin of INNO/TSH)

So to expand KLK Bought Over IjmPlant at Rm3.10 & took over its 160,000 Acres of Palm Oil


See our Buy Call on Ijm Plant


THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN

IJMPLANT (2216) Rm1.86 Versus HARTALEGA GLOVE (5186) Rm9.98 COMPARE & CONTRAST THEIR PROSPECTS, Calvin Tan Research

https://klse.i3investor.com/web/blog/detail/www.eaglevisioninvest.com/2021-05-05-story-h1564289753-IJMPLANT_2216_Rm1_86_Versus_HARTALEGA_GLOVE_5186_Rm99_80_COMPARE_CONTRA


After IJMPLANT was taken private Next was Bplant taken private by LTAT for Rm1.55

(Buy call on Bplant was 57 sen)


While KLK took Ijmplant private it was to expand its palm oil acreage


It was different for LTAT when it took over Bplant


Tok Mat said "Too valuable to plant on goldmine lands

So after KLK took over Bplant it sold 1,200 Acres to Kulim Tech Park for Industries

Another over 500 Acres converted to Housing Enclave in Negeri Sembilan

Earlier Bplant sold over 1,500 Acres in Kulai Young Estate to Ytl Power to build Data Center (For Nvidia) & Solar Farm nearby to power the DC Center


SO WHILE PALM OIL LANDS NO LONGER ALLOWED TO INCREASE FROM FOREST CONVERSION ON THE ONE HAND

ON THE OTHER HAND MORE AND MORE PALM OIL LANDS ARE CONVERTED TO DATA CENTERS, SOLAR FARMS, INDUSTRIES & NEW TOWNSHIPS


WITH LIMITED AND SHRINKING SUPPLIES PLUS EXTRAORDINARY DEMAND PALM OIL WILL GET SCARCIER & MORE EXPENSIVE


2) INDONESIA TURNING B35 TO B40 WILL TAKE UP LOTS MORE PALM OIL & BE CONVERTED TO BIOFUEL


See


Indonesia's agriculture minister reaffirms plan to implement B40 biodiesel in January (2025)

By  Reuters
JAKARTA, Oct 22 (Reuters) - Indonesia's agriculture minister on Tuesday reaffirmed the country's plan to implement a 40% mandatory biodiesel mix with palm oil-based fuel, known as B40, starting in January.
Andi Amran Sulaiman said the government is also working toward implementing B50 in the future.


Indonesia plans widespread use of palm oil-based B40 biodiesel in 2025

JAKARTA: Indonesia is planning for the widespread use of the palm-oil based B40 biodiesel in 2025, replacing the current B35 blending, the energy ministry said in a statement.

The world's biggest palm oil maker currently has a mandatory 35% blend of palm oil-based fuel in biodiesel and is seeking to ramp up the new blend of 40% palm oil to cut its energy imports and increase consumption of the oil.

If implemented, the overall biodiesel consumption could reach up to 16 million kilolitres next year, the ministry said.


With only 48 million Tonnes Cpo produced and now a Mandatory Rule (Compulsory ) to raise conversion to 16 million kilo litres

By B50 it will be over 20 Million Kilo Litres where got enough?


So even Thailand the World's 3rd Biggest Producer of Oil Palm after Indonesia & Malaysia has banned Palm oil export


See

Thailand bans export of raw palm oil as production takes a hit

Thursday, 31 Oct 2024

BANGKOK: Thailand's Department of Internal Trade has temporarily banned the export of raw palm oil due to reduced production caused by drought and plant diseases.

The restrictions, expected to last until December, aim to stabilise local prices and ensure adequate stock levels.

Commerce Minister Pichai Naripthaphan highlighted that current market conditions reflect a significant decrease in oil palm output, necessitating measures to protect both farmers and consumers from inflated prices.


https://www.usdebtclock.org/


They create Fiat (Fake) Monies out of thin Air (Just like those Banana Japanese Currency during 2WW) Backed by Japan in power. After Japan lost the war the banana currency became worthless. In similar vein is the US Dollar until its time is up


Meanwhile People FLEE TO REAL ASSETS (Cannot be printed) like

GOLD

SILVER

Real Estate

Art

Farm Lands (Jeff Bezos & Bill Gates both major owners of farmlands in USA)

And of course! Palm Oil Lands & Palm oil


And so we stay safe in Palm Oil especially now it has crossed Rm4,600 a ton

For Downstream their cost has gone up to Rm2,800 - Rm3,000 range per Metric Ton

For Upstream cost still manageable at Rm2,200 to Rm2,500 MT

For very efficient upstream players cost can be Rm2,000 and below Per MT

Just call up all Palm oil companies & ask them



Now in a world of panic due to Trump going to impose Tariff if he is re-elected

It will be a universal tax of 10% for all & for China? A punitive 60% Tax

So that is why we foresee danger earlier and told all to avoid Tech (Hdd/Ssd excepted as exports go to Thailand Seagate & Western Digital & to Philippines Toshiba) then re - exported worldwide to over 10,000 DC Centers



And to Buy Palm Oil

As Palm oil Main Export Market is INDIA & CHINA (Combined a huge population of almost 3 Billion Consumers.


There are 42Palm Oil & and palm oil related listed companies in KLSE

WE SELECT THESE 4 WITH THE BEST IMMINENT POTENTIAL:


1) RIMBUNAN SAWIT

In year 2016/7 we bought Bplant & Thplant at Rm1.10, bought Jtiasa at Rm1.20 & Bought Rsawit at 60 sen

Both Bplant & Thplant share prices did not go up much. But we received excellent dividends


See


BPLANT VERSUS THPLANT: THEIR DIVIDEND HISTORY & ITS RESUMPTION DUE TO HIGH INFLOW OF CASH BY VERY HIGH CPO PRICES, Calvin Tan

LET US SEE TWO: BPLANT VERSUS THPLANT DIVIDEND HISTORY

 

BPLANT

 

 

AS YOU CAN SEE FROM THE ABOVE WE HAVE GIVEN COLOR BANDS FOR EACH YEAR

 

FOR YEAR 2017 WHEN CPO PRICES WERE GOOD BPLANT GAVE DIVIDEND 4 TIMES PLUS ONE TIME IS SPECIAL DIVIDEND

 

FOR YEAR 2018 IT GAVE OUT 4 TIMES PLUS A BONUS ISSUE

 

 

THPLANT

 

FOR THPLANT IT GAVE LESSER TIMES BUT ITS DIVIDENDS ARE MORE SUBSTANTIAL

 

SEE IN YEAR 2008

 

IT GAVE OUT 22.1 SEN DIVIDEND

 

IN YEAR 2009

 

IT GAVE ONE FOR ONE BONUS ISSUE

 

SO FROM HERE WE SEE BPLANT GAVE MANY SMALL DIVIDENDS AND SMALL BONUS ISSUE WHEREAS THPLANT GAVE BIGGER DIVIDEND AND BIG BONUS ISSUE

Production figures for current quarter compared with immediate preceding quarter
Current Quarter
Immediate Preceding Quarter
Changes

(Amount / %)

30 September 2024
30 June 2024
PLANTATION
Crude Palm Oil (MT)
										69,463.00

										47,293.00

										47.00

Fresh Fruits Bunches (MT)
										343,397.00

										233,135.00

 47.00%

Palm Kernel (MT)
										15,878.00

										9,948.00

										60.00

TIMBER
Log Production Volume (Cubic Metres)
										28,281.00

										20,884.00

										35.00

 

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Discussions
1 person likes this. Showing 7 of 7 comments

calvintaneng

Last night in Usa soyoil up by 2.57% to cross us 46 sen a lb

Looks like Cpo target 🎯 of Rm5,000 MT now reachable again

1 month ago

calvintaneng

whole world in bull run


Nigeria , Ghana , Thailand, Singapore 🌴🌴🌴 already in bull run for 2 years yet Malaysian Research houses still give neutral call on palm oil ?


only reason is they have issued too many palm oil call warrants to BET AGAINST PALM OIL

AS SUCH THEY ARE STUCK

SO?

JUST TAKE UP CHEAP TSH, JTIASA AND OTHERS THEY DO RSS SHORT SELL


THE TIME HAS COME FOR 🌴🌴🌴

LET NOT THE PALM OIL BULL BE HELD BACK ANYMORE BY MANIPULATIONS AND DISTORTIONS

4 weeks ago

calvintaneng

Fcpo future for Nov 2024 now Rm4,976 I see

4 weeks ago

calvintaneng

looks like Fcpo is now the hottest and fastest theme again ?



better get in while many palm oil stocks are still at laggard stage


best go for those that haven't move up much yet rather than chase those already up alot


Act early and act fast as the early birds catch the best worms

4 weeks ago

calvintaneng

HS PLANT (5138) EXCELLENT RESULTS CONFIRM BUYING PALM OIL UPSTREAM SHARES IS THE BEST WHEN CPO PRICES ARE HIGH, Calvin Tan

https://klse.i3investor.com/web/blog/detail/www.eaglevisioninvest.com/2024-11-21-story-h474695872-HS_PLANT_5138_EXCELLENT_RESULTS_CONFIRM_BUYING_PALM_OIL_UPSTREAM_SHARES_

HS PLANT RUN FIRST!!!

1 week ago

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