THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN

TSH RESOURCES (9059) At Long Last It has Declared Interim Dividend. Will it follow INNO example? Will Cold Eye Buy into TSH next? Calvin Tan

calvintaneng
Publish date: Fri, 22 Nov 2024, 12:13 PM
calvintaneng
0 1,881
Hi Guys,

I have An Investment Approach I which I would like to all.

Dear friends of i3 Forum


We are indeed very happy to see the Latest Good Results of TSH. We are even more excited that TSH has declared an Interim dividend of 2.5 sen (Making it a total of 5 sen in one year) This shows what we learnt from a post in Bumitama Forum Singapore


See


This was posted in year 2014

Now 2023 CPO crossed Rm4500

AND TIME FOR AUTO PILOT DIVIDEND CASH PAY OUT FOR NEXT DECADE

See

kelvin_ik4u Plam oil is always like that, start plant require cash/fund/debts to build empire. Once it empire steady and cash generated machine, it will be an auto-pilot for next 18yrs. This counter will be the next shine palm oil for this year.. it's CAGR 21% compounding for next 3 yrs, now Bumitama just sit and collect money as all it palm tree is 6-7yrs now with FFB nucleus oil >24%, 107% growth vs Q1'FY13. Strongly believe this counter will start give dividents moving forward. Since CPO price is up ard ~RM2700/tan metric, I believe will share price will skyrocket this yr. Target $2.00 before end of this year 2014.


Calvin continues:


Palm oil starts with Cash/ Fund/ Debts to build empire

Yes correct. By virtue of Palm oil needs tens of thousands or hundreds of thousand acres of lands for planting

It needs lots and lots of borrowings

And many years are needed to pay off loans. After that Palm oil trees matured plus all debts paid off

For the next 18 years it will be "Cash generating Machine" on Auto-pilot"


That was why we see Cold Eye aka Fong Siling bought INNO shares

In year 2020 we Sold Off all Gloves & Ventured into Palm Oil

We bought Jaya Tiasa at 63 sen when it was still full of debts. But we saw Jtiasa balance improving

Then in year 2021 we saw Fong Siling bought 5 million shares of Jtiasa. Next year in 2022 he bought another 5 million Jaya Shares to make it 10 millions. In 2023 he owned a total of 12 million Jtiasa shares

Mr Market took notice and chased Jtiasa over Rm1.10 (he bought below Rm1.00 while Eagle Vision First Mover Group bought as low as 63 sen


See Jtiasa dividend


Refer Bursa


So far for year 2024 Jtiasa has given a total dividend of 6 sen


Now see Tsh (refer bursa)



TSH for many years used to pay A First and Final Dividend


Lately it started to pay interim dividend as well

So there will be more to come


Now see INNO


As we can see Fong Siling saw INNO started giving copious dividends in INNO he took position

And INNO share price shot to from 50 sen to Rm1.70


The time has now come for TSH

INNO is managed by TSH BOD. Tsh has 105 Million shares of Inno with 21.95%


THE TIME HAS NOW COME FOR TSH


TSH IS THE STOCK WHOSE TIME HAS COME

In Coming Years of Annual Reports will we see Fong Siling in TSH Top 30?


Yet to be seen


Now let's take a deeper look at TSH (Refer Bursa)


SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION

30 Sep 2024

INDIVIDUAL PERIOD
CUMULATIVE PERIOD
CURRENT YEAR QUARTER
PRECEDING YEAR

CORRESPONDING

QUARTER

CURRENT YEAR TO DATE
PRECEDING YEAR

CORRESPONDING

PERIOD

30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
30 Sep 2024
30 Sep 2023
MYR'000
MYR'000
MYR'000
MYR'000
1
Revenue
231,936
298,720
726,841
805,588
2
Profit/(loss) before tax
52,505
57,506
123,478
139,234
3
Profit/(loss) for the period
36,704
39,244
87,186
93,758
4
Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent
33,140
29,542
73,843
69,533
5
Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)
2.40
2.14
5.35
5.04
6
Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)
2.50
0.00
2.50
0.00
AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER
AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7

Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent
1.4203
1.4831


TSH earned 2.4 sen this qtr

But it is able to give 2.5 sen interim dividend


Why pay out more than it earned?

Management must be sanguine knowing TSH will earn much much more ahead


How come?


Let us look at TSH balance sheet


Revenue Rm231,936,000

Cost of sales (Rm145,082,000)

Gross profit Rm86,854,000


How many percent?

Rm86,854,000 divides by Rm231,936,000

= 37.4% Gross Profit Margin

(This is far better than 99 Speedmart razor thin profit of 4.2% or Dlady at 6.1%)


Where Did TSH derived its Profits

TSH Has 5 INCOME STREAMS


1) PROFIT FROM OPERATION (See Balance sheet)

Operating profit  Rm47,049,000

By sale of FFB, CPO, Rubber & Timber


2) PROFIT FROM DIVIDEND RECEIVED FROM INNO (Its Associates)

Share of profit of an associate, net of tax : Rm4,743,000


3) PROFIT FROM ITS 50/50 JV WITH WILMAR IN SABAH REFINERY

Share of profit/(loss) of joint ventures, net of tax:  Rm599,000


Due to High FFB price Refinery Business made less (That tells us Downstream Processing No Good when CPO prices are high like now)


Now

Unrecognized Profit

TSH's 105 MILLION Shares of INNO has Appreciated by How Much in One year?

Refer Chart


Market Summary > Innoprise Plantations Bhd
1.68 MYR+0.39 (30.23%)past year


YES INNO PRICE IS UP BY 39 SEN

SO THERE IS A REMEASUREMENT GAIN OF 39 PER INNO SHARE OWNED BY TSH

At 105 Million INNO Shares

It is

Rm390 X 105,000

= Rm40.95 Millions

Now this is A Gain From Price Appreciation

But Tsh did not do a Remeasurement Gain as Its Investment is very long term

But that is a Gain nevertheless



5) THE GOLD MINE LANDS OF TSH

TSH Has 13,338 Acres in Kipi Tanah Kuning, Bulugan

Book value Rm16.5K an acre

Now Industrial lands are worth Millions in Batu Kawan, Sedenak, Selangor and others

Indonesia is also industrializing

And can we expect at least Rm100,000 per acre or more if TSH should sell one day

But the Mother of All Assets are 94,700 Acres (about 1/2 of Spore landmass of 180,000 acres)

Book value as low as Rm4.5K per acre

In Bongan, Kutai West the Unbelievable asking price now is as high as Rm1 Milllion or More


WARM REGARDS


Calvin Tan


Please buy or sell after doing your own due diligence

Or consult your Remisier/Fund Manager


Discussions
Be the first to like this. Showing 3 of 3 comments

calvintaneng

COLD EYE IN INNO

COLD EYE IN JTIASA

MATTER OF TIME

COLD EYE IN TSH

2 months ago

calvintaneng

After this 2.5 sen dividend TSH still got hidden cash stashed away for more dividend

Refer Balance sheet

Investment securities NOW: Rm64,881,000......... WAS Rm28,094,000

So there is another Rm36 Millions Cash stashed in investment securities

About 2.66 sen can be cashed out to pay dividend

2 months ago

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