Jaks jumped to Rm1.20 (Up 200%). Now people still think Jaks can move up. Are they crazy?
I also called for a buy on Prestar at 46 cts. After Prestar crossed 92 cts (more than double or up 100%) & people still chasing.
Calvin also called for a buy on RceCap (the legalized Ah Long) at 27 cts before consolidation & cash pay out. Now RceCap already up 100% & people still going GaGa!!
So you tell me. In future will Dutaland cross Rm1.00 and people still chase Dutaland like they chase Jaks, Prestar and RceCap?
What I mean this stock is extremely cheap n worth buying. To go back to historical level is not possible anymore. But more than a dollar I think it is possible.
So at 45.5 cts we are getting almost 60% discount.
These are the assets of Value
Property, plant and equipment............ 431,758,000 Biological assets................ 261,689,000 Land held for property development.............. 240,074,000 Total Assets of PPE, Biological Assets (Oil Palms) Lands for Development : Rm933,720 ,000
So its Assets are Rm933 Millions.
And its borrowings?
Rm4,358 & Rm645 = Rm5,003,000 (Debt of only Rm5 millions?)
So deducting Assets from liabilities = Rm928 millions.
Then there is Investments in Olympia worth Rm39.9 millions
So Rm928 mil & Rm39.9 mil = Rm967.9 millions
So we are paying pennies for a company with almost no debt PLUS almost Rm1 Billions in REAL ASSETS AND INVESTMENTS.
Dutaland?
Sounds like "JUTALAND"
Sure Kaya Longer Term!
Now I know why Warren Buffet said, "I know I will be rich"
Calvin Tan, don't you think that a company who has RM1 billion assets, but only can generate RM13 mil revenue, and RM1 mil profit per quarter is very lousy?
Compare with Inno, that company only have around RM400mil assets, but can generate RM41 mil revenue and RM13 mil profit per quarter.
Posted by Albukhary > Feb 18, 2017 06:57 PM | Report Abuse
Calvin Tan, don't you think that a company who has RM1 billion assets, but only can generate RM13 mil revenue, and RM1 mil profit per quarter is very lousy?
Compare with Inno, that company only have around RM400mil assets, but can generate RM41 mil revenue and RM13 mil profit per quarter.
Calvin replies:
I see things from TOTALLY DIFFERENT ANGLES
Dutaland is priced at 45.5 cts with NTA of Rm1.10 (Almost 60% discount with a margin of safety) Of course its earning is little.
INNO is Rm1.37 with NTA of Rm1.28 but more revenue & growth = higher visible profits.
Lately INNO share price surged a lot while Dutaland share only up slightly.
Buy INNO rather than DUTALAND?
Yes for 80% to 90% of the people.
No no for Calvin. Why?
Let me explain my position.
There are 3 reasons:
Reason No. 1
1) DUTALAND at 45.5 cts Has a Big 60% Discount to NTA. So it gave me a Big Margin of safety. INNO has no margin of safety at Rm1.37
Now if there is a disaster like unforeseen disease that strike all oil palm trees that wipe off everything in totally (this is a supposition only - a black swan event)
Then both DUTALAND & INNO will have zero income from plantations. How will the market react to both their share prices. INNO will collapse more than DUTALAND. Will INNO survive? Maybe. Will DUTALAND survive - I think definitely! As DUTALAND has other sources of Income from Kenny lands, shops in Seremban, building of 6 Star Duta Grand Hotel & its investments in Olympia shares at a value of 39.9 millions.
Extra Rm39.9 millions will sustain DUTALAND operations for some years.
Then DUTALAND's 6 STAR GRAND DUTA HOTEL When ready will give support and generate constant revenue like a Reit. Or if Duta Yap wants to cash out there will be Immense Unlocking of Further liquidity.
1) Future Wealth is represented by a young graduate fresh from School. Usually a young man in his mid twenties.
He is still young and yet to buy his own house. He might own an affordable car or just a motorbike.
What his he got? HE HAS HOPE. HE IS FULL OF DETERMINATION TO SUCCESS & FULL OF IDEAS!! But he has yet to make any real monies. His Wealth is Yet in The Future!
This is represented by a very young company. Management is full of ideas, ventures & mergers. Full of energy & hope. Lots of enthusiasm during IPO. See how many write up to promote this newly listed company. Gullible people are chasing. But the stock is yet untested. Business yet to prove itself. All hype and hope for Wealth still in the future!
Calvin rarely invest in this type of company. Better avoid.
2) Present Wealth. Represented by Growing Companies with Proven Income. Usually healthy PRESENT Growth that is visible. This is like a mature man in his 30s to 40s. He has bought his house & car. But the bulk of his monies still invested in his growing business.
So his wealth is still being generated in the present.
This is popular growth stocks.
Calvin will buy some. On one condition. He looks for a fair price to enter. Best is during a market crash or overlooked by the market.
Stocks like kimlun at Rm1.28, Masteel at 65 cts, Insas at 65 cts & Prestar at 46 cts or Jaks when it was only 40 cts.
BUT CALVIN WON'T PAY A HIGH PRICE FOR THEM WHEN PRICES ARE INTO OVERVALUATION. IF YOU OVERPAY FOR ANYTHING. CHANCES ARE THEY WILL UNDERPERFORM THE MARKET FOR A LONG TIME TO COME LATER.
3) Past Wealth.
This is an old matured person in his 50s, 60s, 70s or even 80s
He once was a young graduate with Vision. He moved on to be a very successful businessman in his prime. So he has used his earnings to buy lots and lots of Assets like Lands, properties, warehouses, shophouses & other investments of Value. CASH OR EARNINGS CONVERTED TO REAL GOOD SOLID ASSETS - SO HIGH NTA REFLECTED IN BOOK VALUE.
As he is already old his slows down. He takes less risk. He looks for Capital Preservation First with a View to Growth. But usually things are more settled as he is no longer as hungry like he was a fresh graduate once.
In such slow dull stocks people start to lose interest. Stocks like MUI Bhd is sold down all the way from Rm24 a share in its heydays to about 15.5 cts now. IT WAS PRICED RIDICULOUSLY HIGH AT RM26 WHEN IT WAS IN GROWTH STAGE. AND IT WAS BOMBED OUT AND TOTALLY SOLD DOWN TO ONLY 15.5 CTS WHEN OLD & MATURED WITH DEEP HIDDEN VALUE. THIS IS ACTUALLY THE RIGHT TIME TO BUY. BUYING MUI BHD IS LIKE BUYING INTO PAST WEALTH. STILL ABLE TO BUY GOLD AT ONLY RM35 AN OUNCE?
But this old man stock has past wealth. Mui Bhd has 10 hotels in UK, Laura Ashley (over 400 outlets), 2 hotels & high value lands still at ancient book value.
Last time my parents bought Old gold 99% pure at only Rm35 an ounce!
So much past assets are locked up yet at Old Book Value.
DUTALAND is one of them!
And just like Mui Bhd DUTALAND has Immense Value Locked Up.
Calvin specializes in buying into DEEP VALUE ASSETS COMPANIES SELLING FOR A SONG
Bought KPS at 40 cts with NTA over Rm2.00 Bought Perak Corp at 6o cts with NTA over Rm3.00
Both were almost 10 baggars later.
So I avoid buying stocks with "future growth" hype. Selectively buying Present Growth Stock if I SEE VALUE. And love buying into PAST WEALTH STOCKS OF IMMENSE VALUE SELLING AT DEEP DEEP DISCOUNT
I avoid the young man company with hope of future wealth. I will buy some (only selectively) the mature company of present wealth if they sell at reasonable prices. I concentrate on Deep Value Stocks of PAST ACCUMULATED WEALTH SELLING AT DEEP DISCOUNT
One more word of caution.
Stocks With Deep Value & High NTA is a waiting game. Time is the essence to unlock its value.
For Perak Corp at 60 cts to cross Rm3.60 was due to the development in Lumut Port
For DUTALAND I THINK NEXT FEW GOOD QUARTERS OF HIGH CPO PRICES WILL UNLOCK ITS VALUE
AND COMING SOON TO I3 INVESTOR'S FORM
THE COMING MOVEMENT IN MUI GROUP.
THE END OF DIVORCE SETTLEMENT CASE BETWEEN KKP AND PAULINE WILL UNLOCK THE IMMENSE HIDDEN VALUE OF MUI GROUP'S ASSETS!!
Agree with Calvin.Worth to invest in Duta afterall,how much can it falls even with cpo price downtrend.Perharps,someones should examine the value and locations of Duta lands closely
Henry Chan yes, based on previous year/quater, their profit has not been consistent.. sir calvin, why is your buy call? 06/03/2017 06:24
Good morning,
Of course Dutaland's profit cannot be consistent as they have cyclical businesses.
Oil Palm growing & fruiting will only be good for 70% of the year. Perfectly alright. The fruitful months make up for those lean months. A look into Dutaland showed Rm10 million profit for the past year. The property division made loss because their is no current sales. But with Greater KL Mrt progressing the underlying land value has increased.
Grand Duta Hotel is an inspiring work in progress. This is like a giant durian plantation - so every day nearer to completion means "CONSISTENT" Income for the next 100 years. Just like Jaks going into power plant in Vietnam (Both power plant & Hotel Business have long gestation period. Why people go GaGa over Jaks' IPP & are blind to Dutaland's 6 Star Hotel?
If you look at the overall figures in Dutaland you will see vast improvement from last year
1) Revenue has increased by 40.5% from preceding quarter.
2) For current year plantation profit has increased to Rm10 millions
3) Net Assets now Rm1.005 Billion compared to last year Rm933 millions
4) Cash position this year is Rm16.3 millions compared to past year Rm8.9 millions
5) From last quarter Cash has increased by Rm4.6 millions
6) And since last year Duta Yap has bought another 32 million shares of Dutaland at much higher prices than last closing price of 43 cts.
See Calvin also called for a buy on Jaks at 40 cts when Jaks' Boss bought Jaks at 44 cts. It is always a joy for me to buy below Insiders buying price. My Johor Sifu loved buying Pintaras Jaya at Rm1.40 when Top Boss & Insiders exercised ESOS of PTaras at Rm1.90 (As it turned out later PTaras powered up to Rm7.00 & split) Up a nice 500%!
I hope you guys learn to SEE beyond "surface" accounting & LOOK AT THE REAL FIGURES.
That's why so many people missed Super Enterprize, Kulim, TMakmur & TheStore - all taken private later.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
calvintaneng
56,707 posts
Posted by calvintaneng > 2017-02-14 15:57 | Report Abuse
WHOA CBIP UP ALREADY
DUTALAND IS STILL SO CHEAP
JUST BUY WHEN NOBODY WANT.
DUTALAND IS ANOTHER JAKS OR PRESTAR IN WAITING.
BUY BEFORE DUTALAND JUMPS 100% to 200% LATER!