As refer back Annual Report 2015, "Further investments into new and more advanced production machineries were also undertaken in the year. One of the more pertinent acquisitions in the last quarter of 2015 was the acquisition of an additional unit of advance metalizing machine to enhance our production capabilities in producing our own raw material of metalized film. As a result of such initiatives and investments, we were able to increase in our production capacity from 16,000 metric tons per annum to 19,000 metric tons per annum of packing products, without having to undergo major revamp in our production facility in Tampoi."
Revenue in 2016 is around RM 210,942,000. Around 9% profit margin. eps 13.28. Assume everything go smooth in 2017. new machine can boost 20% of revenue. eps should have 15.33. Assume PE 15, I believe Tomypak can reach RM 2.30 by end of year ^.^
I think your numbers adds up and it was the high point of Tomypak, which is the minimum that I will aim unless the FA of the company changes.
My tendency is don't look at price but the value of the company. This is one great company by relaxing you will ripe the fruits when it is fully bloom.
Hi abangadik, "I think your numbers adds up and it was the high point of Tomypak, which is the minimum that I will aim unless the FA of the company changes. " might to share more what you think for Tomypak? Kindly correct me if anything I misunderstanding :( Thanks in advance ^.^
I think the company is quiet good with cost control. By expanding in 2015, I think they are in tune with the business and economy cycle. the DY at around 4% during price of 1.6x support is a good investment. If you are patience to hold 3-5 years. This is a sound investment with great prospect and good management. I like to keep things simple, They are very specific with what they do and they have a good client base that are popular brands in Malaysia. Current price action if questionable because I think people are rushing in already. :D
Thanks a lot for your well explanation, abangadik. My enter price is around 1.75++. What I see is the director of Tomypak also hold position at other well known listing company (eg. Topglove, karex. Johotin, etc). I do agree with you Tomypak do well at cost control and good management ^.^ I think only few company give dividend every quarter. Luckily Tomypak is one of it :)
Interesting company, with a heritage of near 40 years and a participant in the (approx) 600 billion worth more value and less waste flexible packaging industry which account for (about) 15% of global packaging industry, with some expected global annual growth of 4.5%, foreseeably driven by the increasing global appeal for less waste, conservation of Mother Earth and the environment that we live in.
The management probably recognise the further business potential and decided to increase the company's production capacity, and through enhanced production capacity help to manage increased production costs via possible economies of scale over time and potentially improve business competitiveness.
Let's hope the successes of the company bring back, or conquer its 5-year peak of 2.94.
On Point 2: It is indirect holding via New Orient Resource if I read it correctly (?).
Just share my research about Tomypak: 1. 7 Major Director hold around 50.41% Up-to-Date; 2. Mr Yong is still the biggest share holder (around 25.48%) and followed by Mr Lim (around 16.35%); 3. Top 30 SHAREHOLDERS Hold around 70.29%; Around 30% is at public market now;
@pc_FA: no worries. Mere sharing some findings while exploring the company. The peak price could be viewed by a mere click of the stock chart above. Cheers.
Just aware that Mr Yong indirectly hold Tomypak share from 28M to 42M and Mr Lim from 17M to 26M. Both of them have fully subscribe right issue on 5 July 2016. It seems good to me as director confident towards the company as well :)
As refer back the quarter report individual, below is the eps: Q1: 3.21 (109,467) Q2: 4.01 (127,712) Q3: 2.66 (127,712) Q4: 3.84 (164,260) Total: 13.72 Share Price: 1.95 PE: 14x
Assume new plant can increase 10% revenue at Q2 onwards etc. It might be able to deliver around 4.2 sen per quarter and total eps might increase up to 16.40. If PE 15x, share price should be around RM 2.46.
This is just my assumption if everything is run smooth and optimize situation. ***I expect new plant might reflect financial report at Q2 onwards.
Raw material of plastic is crude oil. The cost of imported raw material will reduce due to lower oil price. At FY2016, export sales contribute around 53% revenue. Strong USD will increase foreign exchange gain, especially at FY2015Q3 :) USD jump from 3.80 to 4.40. At the same quarter, Tomypak record RM 2 million foreign exchange gain. Highest in its historical record.
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pc_FA
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Posted by pc_FA > 2017-03-06 08:51 | Report Abuse
As refer back Annual Report 2015, "Further investments into new and more advanced production
machineries were also undertaken in the year. One of the more pertinent acquisitions in the last quarter of 2015 was the acquisition of an additional unit of advance metalizing machine to enhance our production capabilities in producing our own raw material of metalized film. As a result of such initiatives and investments, we were able to increase in our production capacity from 16,000 metric tons per annum to 19,000 metric tons per annum of packing products, without having to undergo major revamp in our production facility in Tampoi."