Stock Pick 2015 - NOBY

Owner: Tan KW
Access Type: SHARED | Tag: SP2015
Stock Pick Year 2015 from NOBY
TOC - http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/stock_pick_2015/67467.jsp

Posted by NOBY > Dec 31, 2014 05:22 PM | Report Abuse

Mr TanKW,

I would like to join in this year. Stock picks below

JOHOTIN - 10%
PRKCORP - 20%
FACBIND - 10%
KUCHAI - 10%
LBICAP-WA - 10%
ADVENTA - 20%
LTKM - 10%
FLBHD - 10%

Thanks

Actually looking at the portfolio again if I were to put them in buckets, I would say the portfolio is a mix of graham net net, magic formula and potential growth types:-

Adventa :- A healthcare stock towards the end of its gestation period awaiting revenue contributions from Lucenxia. This is the type of business with very huge moat and barrier of entry.
FACBIND and KUCHAI - Deep value negative enterprise value stocks trading at discount to net cash.
PRKCORP :- Graham net net
JOHOTIN :- One of those possible turn around stories as the recent earnings have been affected by one-off non-recurring type incidents, otherwise a good magic formula stock
FLBHD :- Export based derives most revenue in USD, EV/EBIT ~4x with ROIC >15%. Can consider magic formula type with the added plus of super high dividend yield of >7%
LTKM :- Very undervalued company with EV/EBIT ~3.x and ROIC in the 30s mainly due to low feed costs due to collapse in soy bean and corn prices. Decent dividend yield.
LBICAP-WA :- Insider buying actively, the valuations are not too expensive
Total Value
73,851.85
Today's Change
-917.00 (-1.24%)

Allocation

Stock's Value 70,076.00
Current Holding 8 Stocks
All Time Holding 8 Stocks
% of Total Value 94.89%

Available Cash Balance 3,775.85
Current Cash Balance 3,775.85
Unpaid Dividend 0.00
% of Total Value 5.11%
Performance

Average Cost 103,706.50
Unrealized Gain -29,854.65
% over Average Cost -28.79%

Total Capital 100,000.00
Total Return -26,148.15
% over Total Capital -26.15%
Last Updated:

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Holding
Hints:
[1] Click the icon on table to view the stock's What If Analysis Page.
[2] Click the Shares hyperlink on table to view the portfolio's stock page.

Stock:
Cost:
Stock Last Price Change Shares Market Value % Average Cost Per Share Unrealized Gain % Day Gain %
$CASH 3,775.85 5.11%
Total 73,851.85 100.00% -917.00 -1.24%
Discussions
1 person likes this. Showing 20 of 20 comments

SS661M

Hi, Noby. Do u think value is everything in share investment. How about efficiency? Is this really your portfolio, or just for competition?

2014-12-31 20:47

NOBY

I definitely own all above stocks in real life but not in the same allocations. There are others I hold but the above are more of the beaten down ones this past year that I think hv less downside. I believe value investing is the way to go in the long term. Not sure wht u mean by efficiency...

2014-12-31 21:22

SS661M

I mean ROE & ROIC. Most of the stocks in your portfolio are value locking type. Non performing assets. Shall we pay more attention on the business?

2014-12-31 21:40

SS661M

When u say less downside. R u sure? If the market gets rough in 2015 they might drop lower. Possible?

2014-12-31 21:51

NOBY

Yea.. these are mostly graham net net types. No doibt magic formula stocks hv a role to play in the portfolio and I do own others in real life. However, my view is that these are stocks where less expectations are built into them, hence the lower downside. Of course market down all can go down, safest ia to hold cash but if I had to pick stocks based on my bearish view of next year, these would be the ones I m comfortable to hold based on tht investment horizon.

2015-01-01 00:43

lbkeat

this is my real portfolio but the amount is not same
latitud 12000 share 43800
cview 5000 share 13150
ltkm 5000 share 20900
prkcorp 9425 share 22150

total rm100000

2015-01-01 00:49

lbkeat

this four company is dark horses of the year 2015 base on the my few years research on them

2015-01-01 00:52

NOBY

Actually looking at the portfolio again if I were to put them in buckets, I would say the portfolio is a mix of graham net net, magic formula and potential growth types:-

Adventa :- A healthcare stock towards the end of its gestation period awaiting revenue contributions from Lucenxia. This is the type of business with very huge moat and barrier of entry.
FACBIND and KUCHAI - Deep value negative enterprise value stocks trading at discount to net cash.
PRKCORP :- Graham net net
JOHOTIN :- One of those possible turn around stories as the recent earnings have been affected by one-off non-recurring type incidents, otherwise a good magic formula stock
FLBHD :- Export based derives most revenue in USD, EV/EBIT ~4x with ROIC >15%. Can consider magic formula type with the added plus of super high dividend yield of >7%
LTKM :- Very undervalued company with EV/EBIT ~3.x and ROIC in the 30s mainly due to low feed costs due to collapse in soy bean and corn prices. Decent dividend yield.
LBICAP-WA :- Insider buying actively, the valuations are not too expensive

2015-01-01 01:06

paperplane

your portfolio need more than 1 yr

2015-01-06 12:26

NOBY

Mr TanKW, pls add 230 dividend for LTKM. Thanks

2015-04-18 21:31

Tan KW

Done

NOBY Mr TanKW, pls add 230 dividend for LTKM. Thanks
18/04/2015 21:31

2015-04-18 22:51

NOBY

Hi Mr Tan,

Please help to add PRKCORP dividend ex today.
Thanks

2015-06-05 14:01

Tan KW

Done

NOBY Hi Mr Tan,

Please help to add PRKCORP dividend ex today.
Thanks
05/06/2015 14:01

2015-06-05 16:50

Ooi Teik Bee

A good portfolio, gain on all stocks.
Good job.
Thank you.

2015-06-05 16:54

NOBY

Thank you Mr Ooi. Actually I admire your ability in finding long term uptrend stocks. This is where most returns can be made when combined with sound FA knowledge. Most TA practitioners I know are just hit and run types, buy and sell for quick 5-10% gain. Seeing from your portfolio, it can be seen that you have read the trend well and picked up the stocks with good mid to long term uptrend. Hope to learn from you !

2015-06-05 17:09

NOBY

Hi Tan KW, pls add johotin 3.5 sen dividend and bonus shares for LTKM 4600 shares

2015-07-01 19:01

Tan KW

Done

NOBY Hi Tan KW, pls add johotin 3.5 sen dividend and bonus shares for LTKM 4600 shares
01/07/2015 19:01

2015-07-01 23:35

paperplane2

NOBY is sharp indeed

2015-08-07 13:54

NOBY

Hi TanKW, please add

FLBHD - 0.05 sen dividend
LTKM - 0.025 sen dividend

Thank you

2015-10-01 15:59

Tan KW

Done

NOBY Hi TanKW, please add

FLBHD - 0.05 sen dividend
LTKM - 0.025 sen dividend

Thank you
01/10/2015 15:59

2015-10-01 16:39

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