cgtan2020

cgtan2020 | Joined since 2013-10-20

Investing Experience Advanced
Risk Profile Not Disclosed

Investing in KLSE since 1992, long and fruitful journey.

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Stock

2023-12-04 06:38 | Report Abuse

@calvintaneng When you have contracting UHP facilities value of several hundred million per quarter, expected to have high current liabilities, if you look at overall picture, gearing(times) actually reduced from 1.01 to current level of 0.73. Long term is increase due to the construction of 2 LCO2 plants, which will be the next cash cow.

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2023-12-03 21:38 | Report Abuse

@calvintaneng page 4 of the latest Q3 2023 result on the cash balance at end of period.

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2023-12-03 20:22 | Report Abuse

@calvintaneng with yearly revenue of nearly going to be RM1.5 Billions and with TOTAL overdue payment of RM28Millions. Impairment of RM12Milions. NOT OVER DUE amount of RM354,835,000. I think the collection is not an issues here. When Revenue growth, receivable will growth, it will take time normalize the amount to a stable value. I don't see significance increase for the last 4 quarter on the receivable side. KGB is growing at ROE of 27% now. With latest cash balances of 188,178,000, compare to 1 year ago cash balances of RM82,451,000.

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2023-12-03 15:18 | Report Abuse

These data is from section B.12 of the quarterly report.

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2023-12-03 15:16 | Report Abuse

@calvintaneng
See the data for Not Due, Past Due < 3 months, 3-6months Due, > 6 monts, > 1 years for the last few quaters.
Not Due Past Due < 3 months 3 - 6 months 6 month to 1 year > 1 year Imparied Total
Q1 2022 $128,586,000 $24,820,000 $163,000 $1,010,000 $5,020,000 $9,564,000 $169,163,000
Q2 2022 $283,487,000 $42,935,000 $1,225,000 $83,000 $2,114,000 $9,690,000 $339,534,000
Q3 2022 $289,354,000 $55,560,000 $1,127,000 $1,137,000 $1,355,000 $9,608,000 $358,141,000
Q4 2022 $323,139,000 $61,066,000 $3,139,000 $2,497,000 $9,564,000 $399,405,000
Q1 2023 $294,701,000 $37,154,000 $4,119,000 $1,771,000 $9,564,000 $347,309,000
Q2 2023 $303,981,000 $14,220,000 $1,704,000 $4,210,000 $11,115,000 $335,230,000
Q3 2023 $354,835,000 $18,962,000 $6,530,000 $2,794,000 $12,156,000 $395,277,000

The worse impairment will be the 12millions due > 1 year. When business grow bigger, revenue higher, of course there will be more receivable. As long as you can collect it without affecting cash flow, you are ok. At one point they will need to impair the 12millions.

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2023-12-01 16:37 | Report Abuse

@MrFox Yes. You are right.

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2023-12-01 16:26 | Report Abuse

@hoplanner net short position show how the market think of the current share price, if they think it is to high and it will correct, then the more they will short sell the share to gain on the price difference.

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2023-12-01 09:28 | Report Abuse

net short reduce to 9,153,464

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2023-11-29 19:50 | Report Abuse

FTSE Bursa Malaysia Index Series
Semi-Annual Review December 2023 - Preliminary Result
29 November 2023
FTSE Russell announces the following semi-annual preliminary changes to the FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI Index and
FTSE Bursa Malaysia Mid 70 Index. The changes will be applied after the close of business on Friday, 15 December
2023 and will be effective on Monday, 18 December 2023.
Constituent changes can be accessed via the attachment below:

Inclusions

Company Name Local Code SEDOL
YTL Corp 4677 6436126
YTL Power International 6742 B01GQS6

Exclusions

Company Name Local Code SEDOL
Dialog Group 7277 B00MRS2
Westports Holdings 5246 BDFM1K8

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2023-11-29 18:28 | Report Abuse

@calvintaneng kindly read AR2022 Page 134, Section 2.3.3, R6 to get a clearer picture

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2023-11-29 15:08 | Report Abuse

以下是芒格留给投资者的10大金句:

1.我这辈子遇到的聪明人,没有不每天阅读的,没有,一个都没有。

2.你想得到某样东西,最好的办法是让自己配得上它。

3.不要与一头猪摔跤,这样你会全身弄脏,对方却乐此不疲。

4.大多数人都太急躁,担心太多。成功需要很冷静和耐心,机会来临时也要有足够的进取心。

5.最重要的不是你摸到什么牌,而是你能不能把手里的牌打好。

6.多谈谈你的失败历程,少吹嘘你的成功经历,这样对你好。

7.什么事往简单处想,往认真处行。

8.要赚大钱,不是买或卖,而是等待。

9.聪明人也不能免于过度自信带来的灾难。他们认为自己有更强的能力和更好的方法,所以往往在更艰难的道路上疲于奔命。

10.很多智商高的人是不好的投资者,因为他们的性格有缺陷。我认为好的性格比大脑更重要,你必须严格控制那些非理性的情绪,需要冷静、自律,也不能被狂喜冲昏了头脑。

​芒格

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2023-11-29 11:25 | Report Abuse

Look at section 12 of last quarterly results for receivable dues.

Big chunk, Not past due amount is 354,835,000.
So not much to worry yet.

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2023-11-29 11:11 | Report Abuse

@dragon328 agree with you on comparing TNB and Malakoff which is more sectorial comparison then general comparison. I think a better comparison will be among the FBMKLCI counter once it is in the index. No matters how you compare, it is still undervalue. hahaha. Local investment bank make a lot of money on these call warrants to cater for "certain needs". Based on Yahoo finance DCF model, YTLP should be at what fair price?

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2023-11-29 09:34 | Report Abuse

@dragon328 PCHEM and PMETAL is under utilities sector?

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2023-11-28 16:34 | Report Abuse

reach ATH of 1.89!!!

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2023-11-27 17:28 | Report Abuse

@feiloh that are the risk, but it quite low unless liquidity is an issue. if not included price will move south till next quarterly result.

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2023-11-27 15:43 | Report Abuse

@dragon328 you are most welcome @Plantermen yes, consolidation usually happened post earning, another 9 days most likely will be announced inclusion into FBMKLCI. Post inclusion might see some movement. Most local index fund will need to mimic their portfolio accordingly.

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2023-11-27 09:24 | Report Abuse

https://theedgemalaysia.com/node/691420

Jordan explores alternatives to Israeli gas amid supply concerns

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2023-11-26 07:06 | Report Abuse

come Q4, KGB net profit for FY2023 will hit RM100 Millions, with higher net margin of 8% and cash above 188 Millions. Lot of interest will be draw onto it.

https://www.tradingview.com/x/OPXBwGG2/

Moving towards adjusted ATH of 1.81

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2023-11-25 12:42 | Report Abuse

@slts TP 4++ is for FY2025 not FY2024, when all the earning coming in.

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2023-11-24 18:26 | Report Abuse

@5354_ today purchase at 89 cents. overall still below 0.622 cents

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2023-11-24 18:22 | Report Abuse

@xiaochen look like Ranhill is the clear target to be taken over. Today purchase is @ RM0.89

Name YEOH TIONG LAY & SONS HOLDINGS SDN BHD
Address 33rd Floor, Menara YTL
205 Jalan Bukit Bintang
Kuala Lumpur
55100 Wilayah Persekutuan
Malaysia.
Company No. 197901000671 (44947-D)
Nationality/Country of incorporation Malaysia
Descriptions (Class) Ordinary Shares
Details of changes
No Date of change
No of securities
Type of Transaction Nature of Interest
1 23 Nov 2023
37,397,791
Acquired Deemed Interest
Name of registered holder SIPP POWER SDN BHD
Address of registered holder 33rd Floor, Menara YTL 205 Jalan Bukit Bintang 55100 Kuala Lumpur Wilayah Persekutuan
Description of "Others" Type of Transaction

Circumstances by reason of which change has occurred Acquisition of shares
Nature of interest Deemed Interest
Direct (units)
Direct (%)
Indirect/deemed interest (units) 280,727,137
Indirect/deemed interest (%) 21.77
Total no of securities after change 280,727,137
Date of notice 24 Nov 2023
Date notice received by Listed Issuer 24 Nov 2023

0 seconds ago

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2023-11-24 15:59 | Report Abuse

@xiaochen give it a few days for market to digest the news, once it is in FBMKLCI, price will be more stable. Where to get components stock with FY2024 FPE of below 6.0

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2023-11-24 10:46 | Report Abuse

Now RM 2.33
TA CIMB TP Rm 2.40
RHB TP Rm 2.72
AmInvest AffinHwang TP RM 2.70
Kenanga TP RM 2.82
MIDF TP RM 2.99
HLIB TP RM 3.90

RHB new TP 2.72

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2023-11-24 08:57 | Report Abuse

@dragon328 well done!!!

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2023-11-24 08:55 | Report Abuse

HLB Analyst so fast upgrade!!!

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2023-11-24 08:54 | Report Abuse

@probability @dragon328 thank you so much. Look like will gap up instead of gap down.

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2023-11-24 06:21 | Report Abuse

@dragon328 any reason for such a good margin for SG power generation this Q1'24 compare to Q4'23?

Q1'FY24
Power generation
Revenue 3,796,295,000
Profit 1,025,142,000

Q4'FY23
Power generation
Revenue 5,246,420,000
Profit 1,067,262,000

News & Blogs
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2023-11-23 22:14 | Report Abuse

Q11FY24
Power generation
Revenue 3,796,295,000
Profit 1,025,142,000

Q4'FY23
Power generation
Revenue 5,246,420,000
Profit 1,067,262,000

Comparing the major earner Power Generation in SG, Q1'FY24 is seeing better margin for power generation business, this should be sustainable thru-out FY24 and FY25. This is something very positive, as long as SGD is strong at current level.

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2023-11-23 20:18 | Report Abuse

@MrFox it is better than good.

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2023-11-23 19:39 | Report Abuse

@MrFox It is above most analyst expectations.

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2023-11-23 19:39 | Report Abuse

@OnTime 1.1B is referring to the Q4 result.

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2023-11-23 18:20 | Report Abuse

@OnTime sorry which post?

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2023-11-23 18:04 | Report Abuse

EPS 0f 4.91 this Q. very good

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2023-11-23 18:03 | Report Abuse

@slts which analyst or where you get market expectations of 1.1B per quarter?

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2023-11-23 17:52 | Report Abuse

most analyst projected profit is RM500 to RM550. 850Million or EPS of 10.47 is consider very good. It show stabilize and normalized profit post TPC implementation. Mobile sector show good revenue and reduce losses. Annualized PE of 5.51 which is below average. Hopefully it will move higher tomorrow. It will be upgraded by analyst very soon, and include into FBMKLCI soon. Hold tight.

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2023-11-22 16:12 | Report Abuse

Good news!!! USEP for Oct go up to 221.30. Supply at SG still very tight.

2023 221.0 222.0 339.26 324.0 492.1 305.2 167.5 158.8 208.6 221.3

https://www.ema.gov.sg/content/dam/corporate/resources/statistics/files/pdf/Average-Monthly-USEP.pdf.coredownload.pdf

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2023-11-22 15:47 | Report Abuse

net short seller further reduce to 12,137,930 as of yesterday night before earning.

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2023-11-22 15:35 | Report Abuse

Most analyst projected earning for this Q1 2024 is about 500-600Millions, Most know the fact that it will be hard to hit 1.1 Billions profit this Q1'24, if it can hit 750-800Millions this Q1'24 with quarterly dividend to support YTL bigger dividend this year, it might not gap down/huge gap down. If profit 900-950 Million and above, it will be exceptional. In the end, it is continuous increase in profit that ensure stable and uptrend price. For those who has sold of course you will be praying for it to gap down. There is nothing wrong with that. You just make the decision to take profit into your pocket. For those decided to hold over earning, you have the long term view and faith in the company growth. CEO appear on CNBC/Bloomberg is NOT a major selling indicator. We don't know how it happened and the whole purpose of it. Let's cross your finger and see how the earning come in tomorrow after market close. If you want to know more on the company, attend the AGM on 05-Dec-2023. On 06 Dec 2023, it will be propose to be part for FBMKLCI, take effect on 18-Dec-2023. Good luck to all short short term investor, Mid Term and long term investor.

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2023-11-20 12:42 | Report Abuse

@probability thank you so much for the video link

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2023-11-20 12:41 | Report Abuse

Anyone know the date of the quarterly result announcements?

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2023-11-17 10:34 | Report Abuse

at 22 and 24 position this morning. 06-Dec-2023 is the announcement date for revised FBMKLCI.

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2023-11-17 10:32 | Report Abuse

Code Stock Last M-Cap L4Q P/E
1 MAYBANK 9.15 $110,351,164,816.80 12.12
2 PBBANK 4.23 $82,107,226,039.05 12.3
3 CIMB 5.77 $61,537,665,128.16 9.75
4 PCHEM 7.22 $57,760,000,000.00 16.27
5 TENAGA 9.96 $57,641,825,435.16 19.33
6 IHH 5.96 $52,489,669,119.48 23.05
7 CDB 4.26 $49,976,224,028.88 51.2
8 HLBANK 19.08 $41,360,064,858.72 10.83
9 PMETAL 4.87 $40,126,938,578.86 27.27
10 PETGAS 17.16 $33,955,039,661.40 18.36
11 MISC 7.34 $32,764,241,376.02 13.62
12 MAXIS 4.08 $31,954,874,608.80 27.2
13 SIMEPLT 4.38 $30,290,829,952.38 19.28
14 NESTLE 122.5 $28,726,250,000.00 44.56
15 IOICORP 3.97 $24,952,240,010.15 22.08
16 RHBBANK 5.63 $24,132,139,808.63 7.92
17 KLK 22 $23,782,391,270.00 17.49
18 PETDAG 22.9 $22,750,096,600.00 22.5
19 AXIATA 2.42 $22,213,384,688.44 2.34
20 PPB 14.72 $20,940,656,382.08 11.49
21 TM 5.22 $20,027,044,065.60 15.08
22 YTLPOWR 2.39 $19,498,118,883.82 9.62
23 HLFG 16.98 $19,484,836,792.20 4.63
24 YTL 1.6 $17,636,899,744.00 8.6
25 GENTING 4.35 $16,864,498,030.65 19.84
26 SIME 2.41 $16,425,590,160.57 10.86
27 GENM 2.54 $15,082,633,405.92
28 MRDIY 1.58 $14,916,847,927.36 28.94
29 QL 5.63 $13,701,489,692.57 36.21
30 AMBANK 3.93 $13,024,746,436.92 7.91
31 KLCC $12,673,438,242.66 13.21
32 GAMUDA 4.65 $12,549,448,681.20 6.26
33 AIRPORT 7.46 $12,447,416,062.72 24.37
34 DIALOG 2.18 $12,308,090,518.76 22.68
35 WPRTS 3.51 $11,969,100,000.00 14.81
3034 HAPSENG 4.75 $11,825,987,519.25 8.05
166 INARI 3 $11,234,385,897.00 34.56