The smallest bank in msia,mbsb is trading at 0.61 times book.How much would affin be worth now that sarawak may take over the driving seat? certainly it cant be as low as rm 2.5. 0.61 times of RM 4.69 is RM 2.89....that shud be affin minimum price
I believe that the purchase consideration for Affin Bank (ABB) is going to represent an average PBR of 1.3 times (with minimum 0.90). Coincidentally, BEA invested in ABB at 1.3 PBR times in 2007. It is my humble opinion. It is fine that you think it's a crazy valuation from me. We can agree to disagree. Everyone is entitled to their opinion.
Basis of and Justification for the Price Book Ratio (PBR) : precedent transactions involving the acquisition of financial institutions listed in Malaysia as below
Selected precedent transactions involving the acquisition of financial institutions listed in Malaysia PBRs ranging from 0.93 times to 2.35 times over the last 15 years from 2007 are as follows:
2013 Bank Islam Malaysia Berhad BIMB Holdings Berhad 1.88
2008 Bank Muamalat Malaysia Berhad DRB-Hicom Berhad 2.15
2018 Asian Finance Bank Berhad MBSB 1.30
2013 Hwang DBS Affin Holdings 1.28
2012 OSK Investment Bank Berhad RHB Capital Berhad 1.77
2012 ECM Libra Investment Bank Berhad Kenanga Investment Bank Berhad 1.27
2011 RHB Capital Berhad Aabar Investments 2.35
2011 EON Capital Berhad Hong Leong Bank Berhad 1.42
2008 EON Capital Berhad Primus Pacific Partners 2.21
2008 RHB Capital Berhad Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank 2.18
2007 Affin Holdings Bank of East Asia 1.30
2007 MIDF PNB 0.93
2007 RHB Capital Berhad Employees Provident Fund of Malaysia 1.76
2007 AMMB Holdings Berhad Australia and New Zealand Banking Group 1.29
Abang Jo will provide the floor support at 2.4 and this strong support level at 2.4 is highly visible on technical chart but the price action is telling more story either Sarawakian billionaires are collecting the share to beef up their control on this banking group or some other professional corporate raiders linked to top bankers such as Quek Leng Chan, Chua Ma Yu, Tong Kooi Ong also interested in this banking group so those who are late to the party it looks like the night is still young 😁
And when sarawak is in control,they will keep affin listed,in order to tap the capital market for the humongous development in RE (dams) coming up.Affin is going into the big league.
Unless PMX intervened in the free market, the takeover deal should be priced within this range 2011 EON Capital Berhad Hong Leong Bank Berhad 1.42 and 2008 EON Capital Berhad Primus Pacific Partners 2.21 because when come to hostile takeover game, no one can match Quek Leng Chan and I will be shocked if the king of M&A not interested in Affin Bank as 2.4 is a considered buy one free one as AffinHwang Investment Bank is a top brokerage in town which will give HL brokerage an immediate boost and totally in control of the brokerage landscape😁
"The Premier of Sarawak added that the process of hiring another entity, which is the transaction of increasing the state government’s shares in Affin Bank, is also going smoothly."
Abang Jo will not spend billion without taking control of the bank or else the money will be as good as throw the money to Kajang River which is the longest river in Malaysia. Abang Jo will provide the floor support at 2.4 and this strong support level at 2.4 is highly visible on technical chart but the price action is telling more story either Sarawakian billionaires are collecting the share to beef up their control on this banking group or some other professional corporate raiders linked to top bankers such as Quek Leng Chan, Chua Ma Yu, Tong Kooi Ong also interested in this banking group so those who are late to the party it looks like the night is still young 😁
Sarawak to have own commercial bank by end February, says premier.
Feb 5 — Sarawak Premier Tan Sri Abang Johari Openg today said the state government is expected to complete the acquisition of majority shares of a commercial bank by this month.
He said the state government is in the final stage of negotiation.
“Pray that we will have our own commercial bank some time this month when we will take over a commercial bank where the majority of the blocks will be owned by Sarawakians,” he said at the Centre of Technology Excellence Sarawak graduation ceremony here.
I pray the king of M&A Quek Leng Chan don't disappoint me...I would be shocked if Quek Leng Chan, Chua Ma Yu, Tong Kooi Ong or even Peter Lim don't interested in Affin Bank as 2.4 is unbelievable 😁
Just let sarawak grow this bank ,with its abundance of cheap RE originating from the many dams ,even spore is trading with the state in exchange for them setting up data centres in sarawak.
Why the outgoing CEO tipoff the market the takeover price by Abang Jo is 2.4 so is he happy or not happy with the 2.4 takeover price? The answer is clear so unless the shares is officially transferred to the CDS account of Sarawak government or else it is more likely that the CEO is trying to heat up the price war and extract the best value for the public member of LTAT. It highly out of the norm that a resignation letter will include sensitive info such as the takeover price of 2.4 sighted by The Edge so for those who is late to the party the night is still young😁
any other parties want join in the bidding also needs BNM approval,if sarawak wants this bank BNM will block all other parties to bid cos GPS is a major ally of PMX
Anyway A Jo only emphasizes on getting the commercial bank.He may want to dispose of the broking arm,in that case affin will be cash rich n a special dividend is possible.
Try to google "quek leng chan hostile takeover" today MY ARTICLE or WRITEUP will come out in the top search with a summary saying "Quek Leng Chan was trying to launch a hostile takeover of Bank of East Asia and it cannot be a coincidence that BEA is holding a big block of shares in Affin ..." Hopefully Tan Sri will google today and somehow see my message to consider to launch a hostile takeover. 😁
“Like I mentioned earlier in Kuala Lumpur, we have an interest in Affin Bank and the discussions have been conclusive. It is just a matter of formality from Bank Negara Malaysia and we are going to be the block shareholder,”
There will be pressure on Affin to expand into Sarawak. There will be huge capital layout opening new branches, setting up of ATM/Cash Deposit kiosks, moving into rural areas. Frankly, I don't like the medium term.
Block shareholders means SWK Govt going to hold 30% n above loh!
Posted by beluga > 1 day ago | Report Abuse
“Like I mentioned earlier in Kuala Lumpur, we have an interest in Affin Bank and the discussions have been conclusive. It is just a matter of formality from Bank Negara Malaysia and we are going to be the block shareholder,”
If follow banking law strictly maximum allow is 20% Swk govn can own Affin. If follow politics maybe can because without Sarawak govn support; PM-X no more PM?
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
klee
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Posted by klee > 2024-02-05 12:01 | Report Abuse
The smallest bank in msia,mbsb is trading at 0.61 times book.How much would affin be worth now that sarawak may take over the driving seat? certainly it cant be as low as rm 2.5. 0.61 times of RM 4.69 is RM 2.89....that shud be affin minimum price