CBIP received a letter of award from United Plantations to design, supply and fabricate a 60mt FFB/hr palm oil mill in Ulu Bernam for a contract sum of RM49.8m. Financial Impact
The latest contract will boost CBIP’s unbilled sales for the palm oil mill engineering division by circa 10% to RM530m, equivalent to 1.3x of the division’s FY14 revenue.
Pros/Cons
Positive but not unexpected. This is in line with our view that CBIP is on track to secure more contracts (underpinned by the still-strong demand prospects for palm oil mill). Earnings
Forecasts
Maintained. In our earnings forecasts, we have assumed CBIP to secure RM400m worth of contracts for the palm oil mill engineering division.
Risks
Downside risks-
Sharp increase in steel plate prices, which may in turn affect CBIP’s engineering division’s profitability;
A slowdown in demand for palm oil mills, which would affect CBIP’s engineering division’s fortunes;
Lower-than-expected FFB production and oil extraction rate at the JV and associate levels; and
Foreign currency exposure.
Rating
HOLD
Positives
(1) Proven track record; (2) Favourable demand outlook for palm oil mills; and (3) Strong balance sheet.
Negatives
Low share liquidity.
Valuation
SOP-derived TP maintained at RM2.13. We continue to like CBIP for its strong earnings visibility (arising from the bright demand prospects for CPO mill, witness by the strong orderbook) and balance sheet. However, we believe further share price upside will likely be capped by its current valuation. Maintain Hold recommendation on the stock.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....