HLBank Research Highlights

Wah Seong - Orderbook Replenishment

HLInvest
Publish date: Wed, 19 Aug 2015, 10:33 AM
HLInvest
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This blog publishes research reports from Hong Leong Investment Bank

News

  • Wah Seong announced that it has secured a sub-contract worth approximately RM189m for the supply and delivery of coated steel pipe for the Pengerang Deepwater Petroleum Terminal Project.
  • The sub-contract is expected to be completed by 3Q16. Financial Impact
  • The contract win will increase O&G orderbook from RM710m to RM900m (circa 1.5x of FY15 O&G revenue).
  • This will be part of and in line with our assumption on orderbook replenishment.

Pros/Cons

  • We are positive on the contract award as this will help to replenish depleting O&G orderbook amidst weak oil price environment.
  • The latest tenderbook is about RM5bn with 80% related to O&G jobs. In view of the low oil price and spending cut by E&P player, we are cautious on the orderbook replenishment rate.
  • Potential exercise to spin off non O&G asset to unlock value might not materialize in the near term given current market sentiment.
  • Plantation division still in gestation period and will remain in the red over the next few years before breakeven. This is mainly due to initial start-up cost. The company plans to plant another 7,500 hectare in 2014-2016.

Risks

  • Political risk, Congo Oil Palm Plantation.
  • Execution risk.

Forecasts

  • Unchanged.

Rating

HOLD

Positives

  • Strong balance sheet and acquisition record.

Negatives

  • Acquisition fuelled growth - volatile in downturns.
  • Capex burden developing Congo oil palm.

Valuation

  • Maintain HOLD call with unchanged TP of RM1.39 based on unchanged 9x FY16 P/E.

Source: Hong Leong Investment Bank Research - 19 Aug 2015

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