Wah Seong announced that it has secured a sub-contract worth approximately RM189m for the supply and delivery of coated steel pipe for the Pengerang Deepwater Petroleum Terminal Project.
The sub-contract is expected to be completed by 3Q16. Financial Impact
The contract win will increase O&G orderbook from RM710m to RM900m (circa 1.5x of FY15 O&G revenue).
This will be part of and in line with our assumption on orderbook replenishment.
Pros/Cons
We are positive on the contract award as this will help to replenish depleting O&G orderbook amidst weak oil price environment.
The latest tenderbook is about RM5bn with 80% related to O&G jobs. In view of the low oil price and spending cut by E&P player, we are cautious on the orderbook replenishment rate.
Potential exercise to spin off non O&G asset to unlock value might not materialize in the near term given current market sentiment.
Plantation division still in gestation period and will remain in the red over the next few years before breakeven. This is mainly due to initial start-up cost. The company plans to plant another 7,500 hectare in 2014-2016.
Risks
Political risk, Congo Oil Palm Plantation.
Execution risk.
Forecasts
Unchanged.
Rating
HOLD
Positives
Strong balance sheet and acquisition record.
Negatives
Acquisition fuelled growth - volatile in downturns.
Capex burden developing Congo oil palm.
Valuation
Maintain HOLD call with unchanged TP of RM1.39 based on unchanged 9x FY16 P/E.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....