Values emerge after selldown. In the wake of fizzling thematic play on Sarawak state election (7 May) and a disappointing 1Q16 results (26 May), SCABLE’s share price tumbled 15.9% from 3M high of RM1.51 to a low of RM1.27 on 24 June before closing at RM1.30 yesterday. Whilst 1Q16 results was a disappointment, HLIB retains a BUY rating (pending the release of 2Q16 results on 26 Aug) with a SOP TP of RM1.92, in anticipation of a pickup in earnings over the coming quarters.
We opine that current share price 30.5% correction from 52-week high of RM1.87 offers opportunity for LT investors to accumulate SCABLE, given its undemanding valuation of 9x FY17 P/E (against HLIB’s average 12x construction’s P/E) and 1.25x P/B (10-year average 1.7x), supported by a steady 2015-18 earnings CAGR of 11% and decent FY17 yield of 3.3%.
Pending a bullish wedge pattern. In the next 2-4 weeks, SCABLE is likely forming a bullish wedge pattern, breaking the wedge resistance (near RM1.36) and advance further towards RM1.42 (200-d SMA) and LT objective at RM1.50 (50% FR). However, in the short term, SCABLE may undergo a brief sideways consolidation with key supports at RM1.27 and RM1.23 (weekly lower Bollinger band), as share prices closed below key 10-d/20-d/30-d/50-d SMA supports yesterday. Cut loss at RM1.22.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....