Reported 9MFY17 gross revenue of RM1014.7m (+1.6% yoy) which t ranslated into normalised PATAMI of RM532.4m (-0.6% yoy), accounting for 71.4% and 70.2% of HLIB and consensus forecasts, respectively.
Deviations
None as we deem results broadly in-line.
Dividends
Declared dividend of 8.6 sen (3Q17: 8.6 sen), representing a payout ratio of 93.4% (2Q16: 92.7%)
Highlights
YoY: Normalized PATAMI remained flattish (yoy: -0.3%) at RM177.7m as improved performance of hotel segment, was offset by lower contribution from management services.
QoQ: Normalized PATAMI was flattish at -0.1% as higher contribution from hotel operation and management services was offset by weaker performance from office and retail segments.
YTD: Normalized PATAMI remained flattish (-0.6% yoy) as improved performance from hotel operation was offset by lower contribution from management services.
Hotel segments: Contribution from Mandarin Oriental Kuala Lumpur (MOKL) has improved due to increased occupancy rate contributed by SEA Games and improved demand in F&B. Second phase of guestroom renovation has commenced and is expected to complete in 2018. Going forward, we expect improved contribution from the hotel segment due to completion of renovation works and growth in tourist arrivals.
Outlook: Going forward, management expects stable performance for the company primarily on the back of long term office tenancy agreements. However, we do not expect the oversupply issue in office sector to be resolved in the short term due to significant incoming supply of new office spaces over the next 2-3 years.
Risks
Prolonged weak hotel performance.
Competition from upcoming new iconic office building and hotels within Kuala Lumpur Central Business District.
Forecasts
Maintained.
Rating
HOLD ↔, TP: RM7.66↔
Maintain HOLD as we deem the yield at this level is less attractive vis-a-vis current MGS yield while growth catalyst is lacking. However, we like its Shariah-compliant status on the back of super prime assets and stable income while gearing is below industry average.
Valuation
Maintain HOLD with unchanged TP of RM7.66 based on FY18 DPU with unchanged targeted yield of 5.0% (historical average yield spread of KLCCSS and 10-year MGS).
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