https://www.businessinsider.com/recession-us-economic-outlook-bill-gross-bond-king-job-market-2023-11


'Bond King' Bill Gross says the US economy headed for a recession as more indicators flash in the 4th quarter

US consumers are falling behind on auto payments. That could be an omen for the US economy, "Bond King" Bill Gross said. REUTERS/Jim Young

The US could be sinking into a recession by the fourth quarter, Bill Gross said.

Higher Rate Regime Not Fully Priced In: BlackRock…:
https://youtu.be/QroD6ZJP320

Bagus 👏👏

👏👏👏

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/11/01/fed-meeting-today-live-updates-on-november-fed-rate-decision.html

Fed leaves rates unchanged, Powell discusses December decision

Powell said, inflation is strong with oil price above 90...
there is no way to cut rates

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting will be held on 12-13 Dec 2023. This is one of the key dates that investors, economists, and policymakers mark on their calendars Many experts expect the Fed to hold rates steady at a target of 5.25%-5.50%.

So..., how is the decision of the FR affects the bond market and the flow of fund between the equity and bond market arrr?
Eg. Even if the FR increases the interest rate at the next sitting, the bond market may not move its needle 😄 ... as this will signal the end of the interest rate hike cycle.

https://www.theedgesingapore.com/capital/right-timing/straits-times-index-rebounds-oversold-low-treasury-yields-could-lose-momentum

Some economists believe that the Federal Reserve (FR) is likely to raise the Fed Funds Rate (FFR) one more time this year, during the December Federal Open Market Committee meeting.

Equally, other economists have the view that there will be no
more rate hikes this year, with either stable rates in 2024, or possibly a cut by 2H2024.

The prospect of a cut in 2H2024 sounds unlikely as market behaviour isn’t pointing to the extreme dovish outlook currently. Instead, the path is likely to be somewhere in the middle with possibly no more rate hikes, but with the likelihood of rate cuts a low probability..

Most banks are technically near insolvency, and hundreds are already fully insolvent,’ Roubini says..

Lai..lai, buy GenB

More companies in Asia, including S’pore, headed for bankruptcy and restructuring

https://www.straitstimes.com/business/more-companies-in-asia-including-s-pore-headed-for-bankruptcy-and-restructuring

Persistently high interest rates are putting stress on corporate balance sheets and leaving increasing numbers of firms here and across the region at risk of bankruptcy, according to a new report and experts...

With the rapid return of the tourists, the worst is over for GenB

As usual, the bear will try to trap the bull, and now the bull (we) will try to trap the 🐻 ... 😀

Enjoy the ride up!
as market cycle down...it must cycle up again

All onboard the Genting cruise.. Cheers! 🍻

Today shortists kena squeeze... Covering back at higher price

Pinky ..still waiting at 380 😀

wow! Good closing..horsay liao

Genting back in the driver seat..

Should not lose face mah...dont let the shortist call the shot!

CHEONG Up back to 450 and beyond..

Former Malaysia PM Mahathir advocates currency peg with ringgit lowest since crisis

https://www.straitstimes.com/business/former-malaysia-pm-mahathir-advocates-currency-peg-with-ringgit-lowest-since-crisis

Need to carefully consider the de-risking of the currency peg

https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-outlook-sp500-buying-opportunity-economy-bull-market-profits-2023-10

The stock market is approaching a 'once-in-a-generation' buying opportunity as profits are about to take off almost everywhere, investment firm says..

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/asia/malaysia-singapore-leaders-retreat-anwar-lee-hsien-loong-3877801?cid=internal_sharetool_androidphone_29102023_cna

PM Lee, Malaysia PM Anwar to hold leaders’ retreat in Singapore, first to be held since 2019

Temasek and GIC investment fund coming soon..

...至少可以避免下行風險。

我们不能肯定380, 但可以肯定的是. ..中国經济将要触底反弹了。

这是否意謂鬼佬要...降息了 👍

https://seekingalpha.com/article/4644426-china-equities-bottoming-ahead-of-us-equities-technical-analysis

China Equities Bottoming Ahead Of U.S. Equities..

鬼佬爱吃韭菜，為了不給割韭菜...忍了几年，現在中国也要推自己的QE。

https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/international/flights-china-increase-34-above-pre-covid-levels

Flights in China to increase 34% above pre-Covid lev

Buy China's growth story, buy GenB 😀

https://youtu.be/lWvgbSijLD0?si=ypuW8krg6AiHw-Z8

重塑中的中国經济
3萬亿...中国版的QE要耒了!

https://www.thesundaily.my/business/neutral-to-bullish-outlook-for-the-ringgit-next-week-on-improving-sentiment-anticipation-HO11680465

The outlook for ringgit next week is expected to be neutral to bullish on improving sentiment anticipation following major central banks’ decisions..

外资將蜂涌而耒..

https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2023/10/28/good-time-for-equities

Good time for equities..

Will Fed raise rates again in 2023?
Fed Chair Powell emphasized at his September 20 press conference that the Fed will “proceed carefully” while looking at “the totality of all the data” as the “risks become more two-sided”. A further 2023 rate increase hangs in the balance.
20 Sept 2023

Will Fed lower interest rates 2024?
The majority (or 94 percent) of economists say the Fed could begin cutting interest rates in 2024, while a smaller share (or 6 percent) expect the Fed to cut rates in 2025 or later, according to Bankrate's Economic Indicator poll for the third quarter. No expert projects that the Fed will cut rates this year.

10 Oct 2023

How long will interest rates stay high?
The Fed now...
....expects to keep interest rates over 5% through 2024, meaning rates for mortgages, personal loans, and credit cards will stay near their current high levels. If the forecast comes true, savers would benefit from continued high returns on certificates of deposit and high-yield savings accounts.
20 Sept 2023

Will interest rates increase again?
However, some financial analysts expect the base interest rate to rise a little more. It is widely forecast to peak at either its current level of 5.25%, or a little higher at around 5.5% by the end of 2023.

How soon after this interest rates will fall will depend on how quickly inflation cools.
3 days ago

What is the date of the next Fed meeting 2023?
November 1-2.
December 13-14*


Will the Fed raise interest rates in November?
The central bank is expected to hold rates steady at its November 1 meeting, according to economists surveyed by FactSet. That comes as credit cards are now charging the highest interest rates on record, and many home buyers have been priced out of the real estate market due to loan costs.
12 hours ago

https://www.scmp.com/economy/economic-indicators/article/3239159/chinas-1-trillion-yuan-sovereign-debt-plan-offers-positive-growth-implications-beijing-eager

China’s 1 trillion yuan sovereign debt plan offers ‘positive growth implications’, Beijing eager to strengthen down the road

wow! 1 trillion...Buy China's growth story, buy GenB 😀

The low is 380... Never say no...a drop below 4 is highly likely..., but it could occur after the announcement of the Q3 results.

https://www.dhakatribune.com/financial-markets/328991/genting-singapore-sgx-g13-shares-up-4%25

Genting Singapore (SGX: G13) shares up 4% - Rival’s results boost hopes

Let's find some motivational words: Ahhh... investment for the long term mah。。 the world only changes in years, not weeks

耐❤等待收割..

大师指点，早上人賣我買。。😀

青年问禅师：大师，为什么大多数散户都亏钱？
禅师：皆因一个“贪”字。

青年：我不贪，为什么还是亏？
禅师：不知道离场，本质就是贪。

青年：如何做到不贪？
禅师：把赚钱机会留给别人。

青年：愿闻其详。
禅师：卖出大家认为会涨的标。

青年：有钱不赚？
禅师：大多数人是错的，只需反着操作即可。

青年：大师高明！
禅师：大多数人不愿离场时空仓，大多数人不愿意进场时满仓，所谓人弃我取，人取我与！

青年：交易真是一门学问。
禅师：交易是哲学，是对人性的把握，交易也是艺术，时机要恰到好处。

青年：跟着大师有肉吃！
禅师：大师吃素，爱吃韭菜！

静如止水, 波澜不起...耐心耐心..再耐心

https://youtu.be/K6Hvg_2BDoA?si=NIfcJeskhaXZDKnM

What if the Ringgit Goes Up?

外资蜂涌而耒..?

Ang moh's economy ...showing gangbuster growth in the q3. Tetapi will it last kah?

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/10/26/us-gdp-grew-at-a-4point9percent-annual-pace-in-the-third-quarter-better-than-expected.html


U.S. GDP grew at a 4.9% annual pace in the third quarter, better than expected..

aiyo.. 伤 脑 筋 啊!

拍馬屁就是: 迎合别人，竭力向人讨好... 去到那兒，馬屁拍到那... 難道他處處有恩人?

收敛一点...，只是死性不改，还在拍馬屁。

How long will interest rates stay high?

The Fed now expects to keep interest rates over 5% through 2024, meaning rates for mortgages, personal loans, and credit cards will stay near their current high levels. If the forecast comes true, savers would benefit from continued high returns on certificates of deposit and high-yield savings accounts.

20 Sept 2023


What is the interest rate forecast for 2024?

Mortgage rate predictions 2024

Fannie Mae's forecast suggests that 30-year mortgage rates will fall into the 6.7% to 7.1% range in 2024, while NAR believes rates will stick closer to 6%. The MBA forecast predicts that 30-year mortgage rates will drop to 6.1% by the end of 2024.

16 Oct 2023

Will interest rates go down 2023?

Mortgage Rate Projection for 2023...

In their latest forecast, Fannie Mae researchers predicted that 30-year fixed rates will trend down throughout 2023 and 2024.

3 days ago


When can I expect interest rates to go down?

The bank's forecasting group predicts that rates will fall below 6% in the third quarter of 2024, with the Federal Reserve keeping monetary policy tight until it's confident that inflation is back to the 2% annual target.