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2014-01-28 16:01 | Report Abuse
Although I said jokingly that Warren love this counter, the fact is I do think he will because Wellcall has a FRANCHISE. Only company with FANCHISE can demand good payment.
CHEERS
2014-01-28 15:53 | Report Abuse
arv18, I'm Loving it. The sellers putting money in my pocket. Lol
2014-01-28 15:51 | Report Abuse
arv18, good question. I remember during my last factory visit, the mangement review to me that they demand 50% cash up front from the oversea buyer during order. Cannot remeber whether it is COD.
BTW, one of its strength is low inventory as well. They don't need a warehouse for the finished good. They manange to ship out promptly.
They are sitting on RM46mil cash. Most of the 63 sens NTA is cash.
2014-01-28 15:41 | Report Abuse
speakup & arv18, thanks.
low NTA doesn't worry me too much. Calsberg only have a NTA of 80 sens. We are more concern with its earning power.
Wellcall has taken full depreciation of its two old factory. They have zero value in the book. If wellcall is not going under, the assets will not be distributed to its shareholders as the only thing leftover.
Benjamin might not like it but I am sure Warren love this stock.Lol
2014-01-28 15:16 | Report Abuse
speakup, the only similarity between wellcall & Zhulian is high Quarterly dividend pay-out. They are very different in marketing, product line, location of factory stc.stc....
Anything I should know?
2014-01-28 14:51 | Report Abuse
mhchai, of course anything can happen. however, this share is tightly held and I don't think there will be heavy selling in this counter.
ft, share share opnion only. No sure right or wrong!
2014-01-28 14:23 | Report Abuse
With the expanded capacity, it will enter into a new era, a new ball game. They might have to do something differently in term of marketing and production.
They already have amber time to think about that in the coming 15 months
2014-01-28 14:14 | Report Abuse
ft, I use simple FA for stock selection & TA to fine tune my timing in buying & selling.
smartguy, Maybank gave a TP of 87 sens on 6/1/2014
mhchai, I agree with ft, 55 sens is a very strong support level
2014-01-28 12:05 | Report Abuse
It was a bad business decision. The management learned the lesson well.
The recent performance and dividend are commendable.
Better catch it early
2014-01-28 11:51 | Report Abuse
Sorry FT, don't believe in Scheme Cepat Kaya. If the price goes up too fast, I do take trading profit but I believe in building a strong portfolio of investment.
Leverage with share fanancing? Yes. As long as you can serve the interest and don't get yourself 'Game Over'
To me, Buy low & sell high along the trendline & exit if price > fundamental value is the safest bet. But still a BET
2014-01-28 11:44 | Report Abuse
Read Tan KW article and I agree that the PE is high.
Improving the profit margin alone is not enough. They have to raise the earning by increasing turnover. This is exactly what they planned to do by having the 3rd factory.
They paid out all the earning in dividend because there were no better use of the money in hand. This resulted in high ROE and dividend yield. The shareholders like it and willing to pay a premium for the share resulting in high PE.
They plan to borrow prudently and confident that future incomes will be higher than the on going low interest rate. Nothing wrong with it!
If they decided to have a lower dividen pay-out rate, so be it! The short term pain will only argue well for the long term.
What else can we ask for from the management? I am going to take a joylly ride on this air-cont coach well into the future. Ha ha ha Zzzzzzzzz.....
This is very similar to Superlon but a much more proven Horse
2014-01-28 11:22 | Report Abuse
Yes Wishing all a prosperous year of Horse.
Sorry, I am experiencing very bad line in my office, so the delay.
I am not closing my book for holidays. Never shun your door on the 'GOD of Prosperity' LoL.
I am still buying superlon & Wellcall today
2014-01-28 10:24 | Report Abuse
http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/company-announcements/1526225
Superlon announced its 1st interim dividend
I feel this stock has started to turn around and is heading north now
2014-01-28 08:07 | Report Abuse
Good article by Tan KW, Firebird2. The share price has dropped quite a bit from RM4. 67 sens and > 15%. The question is "Is it time to pick up the falling knife?".
Maybe it is not quite laying on the floor, I see this as a golden opportunity to buy as it is not a case of deteriorating in fundamental value. In fact, the weakening Ringgit & rubber prices still pose as a very strong tail wind to boost its earning.
I am accumulating more at current level, Ipoh boys have BIG heart and appetite. Lol
honeydream, hang on there. Don't worry, it will soon get back to the level where it belongs. Next months? AGM, EGM and next Q results & dividend?
2014-01-25 11:45 | Report Abuse
Thank again Firebird2, I think we all share the same philosophy of investing. Perhaps the only difference is stock selection in some instance. As long as we play within ourself and level of competence. We are OK!
2014-01-24 14:12 | Report Abuse
Hi Firebird2, can you please post TanKW article here. Thanks
2014-01-21 10:12 | Report Abuse
Modrian is a big factor. It was quite amazing how they manage to accumulate so many shares. If they put a higher valuation to the stock, the price will go up and stay high.
At this juncture, I am happy to collect 5 sens (2 sens after split) dividend a quarter until the 3rd factory is up & sunning. I am confident that they can do it at ease.
It is a pity that no more selling below 3.55.
2014-01-20 15:27 | Report Abuse
firebird2, we are on the same page
2014-01-20 15:18 | Report Abuse
I am gald I receive such prompt support from 2 sifu.
If you beleive the share still on its uptrend then now is a wonderful time to buy.
For this wonderful counter, we are paid well in dividend to wait for its expansion plan to bring us to a higher earning platform.
Good to talk to you again firebird. 1 or 2 NVM Lol
2014-01-20 14:52 | Report Abuse
Alex Lu posted this
http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/nexttrade/45115.jsp
I cannot agree with him. In fact, I think now is the last chance to get in before it take off to a much higher level.
2014-01-03 10:09 | Report Abuse
http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/kianweiaritcles/44252.jsp
TP : 80 sens
Interestingly, this article mention Lim Chai Beng, Major shareholder of CBIP (another of my favorite counter). I understand that Jessica & CB LIm are close business assocaite.
I am more interested in quality shareholder like Kirby International Private LTD which rank 8th in the Top 30 shreholders list of superlon
2014-01-03 08:45 | Report Abuse
Firebird, yes superlon has taken off sooner than what I would like. I was buying at 52.5 on 31/12.
Look like a GAP start today
2014-01-03 08:38 | Report Abuse
Firebird, I don't hv oldtown. I like the fundamental and its businness model but I don't invest in very young company and still skeptical about its management. Perhaps, they can prove me wrong later.
pillay15, not all biscuitcompany are good. Stay clear from London.
Investing in consumer product counter is a good way to beat inflation!
2014-01-02 15:11 | Report Abuse
By nature, I am a very lazy person. I stay put in Ipoh most of the time but I make it a point to attend all the AGM of my investment if possible.
Sorry, Pwroot & Johotin not in my watch list. I can only handle < 15 counters
2014-01-02 12:35 | Report Abuse
Firebird, Thanks. I attended Hup Seng AGM in Johore last year (2013). My observatioon is they are very good in production by lacking in marketing. Slow but solid growth.
2013-12-31 16:46 | Report Abuse
I will be in Melbourne at that time. I bought Hupseng some time ago. It ia a good 'buy & forget' counter. The price just up too fast for my to buy more
2013-12-31 16:37 | Report Abuse
Firebird, Great to see you here. Unfortunately, I think I have to miss Wellcall AGM in February.
2013-12-30 15:01 | Report Abuse
Number 4, Yes
Firebird, so secret Meh? You see me too high. Ha ha
I jusy bought because their core business is good and they have exited the loss making steel pipes venture. Earnings will return to a more satisfactory level. Only thing I am not sure is their dividen pay-out policy
2013-12-30 14:29 | Report Abuse
Firebird, can you tell me more on Superlon?
2013-12-30 12:49 | Report Abuse
No hoarding. Only piles of sand and boundary (red) pegs on the ground. Agree, I will also start construction works after CNY. However, they still can complete the necessary piling b4 CNY. I understand that they already working on the factory layout and purchase of machinery way back in March.
Firebird, I attended the last 2 AGMs as well. Didn't notice any fireworks, can't recognise you. Just joking....
I agree that they are modest, hard working and down to earth businessmen. I do have a lot of condident on them.
? are you expecting something new? How can they have more goodies ?
2013-12-30 12:35 | Report Abuse
Thanks Number4, I shall let you know when I see any commencement of construction works.
2013-12-30 12:27 | Report Abuse
Yes Firebird, it is delayed. Their original plan is to complete inJuly 2014. I guess nothing will roll out of factory 3 in 2014.Maybe 2nd half of FY2015.
How are they going to cope with the higher production capacity (70%?)?
We can only sit and look pretty with the handsome dividends (5 to 6 more Q) before it is unveiled.
2013-12-30 11:29 | Report Abuse
Firebird, yes, I live in Ipoh. No piling work on site. The imported sand I guess is for filling the pond at the back portion of the land.
2013-12-28 12:26 | Report Abuse
I like Tomypak - solid business & earning. Very generous in dividend. 4 time a year like Wellcall
Any comments?
2013-12-28 11:11 | Report Abuse
ipomember, I like Tomypak - solid business & earning. Very generous in dividend. Any comments?
2013-12-28 11:08 | Report Abuse
I remember the management has indicated that the production line does not consume a lot of electricity.
After the split, 10 sens a year => 2.5sens per quarter is 0.5 sens more than what we are getting now. It will make me very very happy.
I went to check the site last week and pity that no work has started. They were only piling up the sand for more filling? We will not see any contribution from the new factory in FY14.
However, it is not bad being paid well (>5.5%) while waiting.
2013-12-27 11:00 | Report Abuse
yuanomiyuki, welcome to the club
2013-12-26 16:46 | Report Abuse
Firebird, you are good. I am in superlon
2013-12-26 15:56 | Report Abuse
Mondrian buying is one big factor.
High US$ & Low rubber prices --> good quarterly earnings & dividend
Phase 3 expansion argue well for growth.
Shares split is a Bonus.
It has everything going at the moment.
Let's enjoy the ride.
2013-12-24 10:18 | Report Abuse
http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/kenangaresearch/43811.jsp
Well, I know Kenanga was selling lately but I do feel confident about its mid & long term prospect.
2013-12-20 03:19 | Report Abuse
ipomember, I am a great fan of Wellcall. It has treated me well.
Pintaras is the only construction counter in my portfolio.
They are the top two in my portfolio. I am selling down on Pantech after 2 years of good run.
Are they in your portfolio?
2013-12-19 14:39 | Report Abuse
I agree that this stock is not a 'Rocket'.
I am trying to build a solid portfolio of steady growth and yield stocks. This counter is a good choice.
2013-12-19 12:16 | Report Abuse
aunloke, I am glad you are keeping faith with the stock.
whkwoon, Will you buy the stock, if EPS continue to maintain about 12sens for the next 2 years and dividend growing steadily, say 4-4.5 FY14 4.5-5 FY15............????
2013-12-19 11:12 | Report Abuse
whkwoon, the prospect of YOCB looks good for the next 2 years.
Ipomember, is the earning or growth sustainable? A good question to ask but we can only guess at this juncture.
I hope the hotel clients will provide some stable revenue but the management only indicate that they account for 8% of the revenue.
My take is I hope the market will give the stock a more reasonable valuation in the near future. i.e. PE 8 TP > 1.20. consistance dividend growth. 4-4.5 sens for FY14.
Where is our economy heading? fingers crossed!
2013-12-19 10:44 | Report Abuse
I feel that Quality of Management is very important. Their attitude, mindset and vision are what driving the company forward.I make it a point to attend AGM & Chat with them whenever possible.
In the case of YOCB, the four brothers are having major controlling stake in the company. They have the experience and are hard working. Above all, they have the shreholders' value in mind.
They are down to earth people and I am happy with their achievable target of 10-15% growth for FY2014.
Honestly speaking, I don't pay much attention to cash flow management as long as they are within reasonable boundaries. If I have confident with the management, I feel that they are the best person to be in charge of that.
Let us concentrate o finding the right stock that possess a good business and provide us with the best possible shareholders' value.
2013-12-18 15:37 | Report Abuse
Earnings Summary
FYE 31 Dec (RMmn) FY12 FY13 FY14F FY15F FY16F
Revenue 153.9 178.6 205.4 230.0 264.6
EBITDA 27.0 31.6 36.1 40.8 46.9
EBITDA margin (%) 17.5 17.7 17.6 17.7 17.7
Pretax profit 23.5 27.7 31.7 35.8 41.2
Net profit 17.3 20.5 23.4 26.5 30.5
EPS (sen) 10.8 12.8 14.6 16.5 19.1
EPS Growth (%) (5.6) 18.2 14.5 13.0 15.3
PER (x) 8.4 7.1 6.2 5.5 4.8
GDPS (sen) 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 6.0
Div Yield (%) 3.8 4.4 4.9 5.5 6.6
ROE (%) 14.7 15.5 15.9 16.1 16.5
Stock: [SUPERLN]: SUPERLON HOLDINGS BHD
2014-02-20 11:24 | Report Abuse
http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/company-announcements/1543113
Directors planning some move?