longnian

longnian | Joined since 2013-07-08

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2016-09-12 09:49 | Report Abuse

This research report - most detail & explain i ever read for INSTACOM/VIVOCOM.
- must read & understand before invest Vivocom. Don't listen to OTHERS.

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2016-09-12 09:39 | Report Abuse

VIVOCOM KAYA MEAN WE KAYA. - only VIVOCOM's supporter OTHERS GET LOST!!!!

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2016-09-12 09:36 | Report Abuse

Refer to attachment CIMB 1st coverage on INSTACOM/ VIVOCOM - 18/11/2015.
Figure 6- CRCC (M) LIST OF PROJECTS:
Gemas -JB DOUBLE TRACK - $7500 mil let say 10% reward to VIVOCOM - $750 mil.
20% - $1500 mil OR $1.5 bil.
VIVOCOM - KAYA MEH!!!!!
http://disclosure.bursamalaysia.com/FileAccess/apbursaweb/download?id=67744&name=EA_GA_ATTACHMENTS

Stock

2016-09-12 07:27 | Report Abuse

Today i go through all the report i saved for Vivocom since 2013.
Finally i get the balance order book for NEETA GROUP ( NEETA ALUMINIUM MALAYSIA S/B & VIVOCOM ENTERPRISE S/B)
before ACQUISITION BY INSTACOM ON 6/8/15.

Please refer to below attachment. pg 10 & 11, Order book balance for NEETA GROUP - $247.352 mil + $2675.471 mil (total order book submit bursa )= $2917.823 mil. compare with $3016.184 mil (CIMB RESEARCH) different about $100 mil.
If assume NEETA GROUP could not get any order after 6/8/15.(tendered as pg 11).

I concluded $100 mil different come from the tendered.
Out of $453 mil tendered ,How much success???? before NOV 16 ( not clear & never announce )

http://disclosure.bursamalaysia.com/FileAccess/apbursaweb/download?id=67744&name=EA_GA_ATTACHMENTS

CK , any way $3.9 bil impossible , $3.0 bil - more reasonable.

Stock

2016-09-12 02:18 | Report Abuse

sweetkeledek.. Actually all the while for my OWN reference i use 3.094 bil ( 2.475 bil X5/4 ) as Q216'-
WEIGHTED AVERAGE NUMBER. not the latest NUMBER OF UNIT 3.234 bil.
Same effort for other counter. Anyway i will take your advise use the latest figure.
TQVM!!!

Stock

2016-09-12 01:06 | Report Abuse

sweetkeledek.. Sorry , After think twice i agree with you suggestion. TQ!!!
I am happy , solve my problem now!!!!

Stock

2016-09-12 00:49 | Report Abuse

sweetkeledek , you mean NA=$0.13, but this NA , for me is unfair to VIVOCOM, DUE EQUITY NUMBER ''ON THE WAY'' INCREASE FOR JULY & AUG 16' THAT WE DON'T KNOW THE ACTUAL FIGURE.

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2016-09-12 00:27 | Report Abuse

Sorry, 2587377130 = 3234221413 (as today after bonus issue) X4 /5 ( get back b4 bonus issue unit).

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2016-09-12 00:24 | Report Abuse

2587377130 = 3234221413 (as today after bonus issue X 4/5)

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2016-09-12 00:18 | Report Abuse

sweetkeledek , you mean NA=$424939000/NO. OF UNITS ON 30/8/16 ( RESULT ANNOUCE DATE).
Which one you refer to????

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Stock

2016-09-12 00:00 | Report Abuse

sweetkeledek,
mean NA=$424939000/2470807000=$0.1720. or NA=$424939000/2587377130=$0.164.
Which one you refer to. Please advise. TQ.

Stock

2016-09-11 23:44 | Report Abuse

sweetkeledek, NTA about $0.10 , how to calculation???? please explain. TQ!!!

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2016-09-11 23:28 | Report Abuse

sweetkeledek , TQ!!
base on my calculation NA = $0.172 before bonus, same with you.

NA = $424939000/2475262000=$0.1717.
Am I right????

Stock

2016-09-11 23:22 | Report Abuse

I like people discuss here with fact , figure, data . evidence & proof .
HATE PEOPLE TALK NONSENSE , ESPECIALLY : traderman & his gang.
JUST LIKE EMPTY "TONG SAMPAH"" ONLY - LOUD WHEN HIT!!!!!

Stock

2016-09-11 23:07 | Report Abuse

CK, My view , Darth ,
Can you help me?????

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2016-09-11 22:59 | Report Abuse

sayang base on what you said they adjust the figure???? Please explain with figure!!!!!
May be you know the answer.

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2016-09-11 22:54 | Report Abuse

I am not expert either accountant, may be that why i can't get the figure as report!!!
Please HELP me!!!!!

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2016-09-11 22:48 | Report Abuse

sayang, NTA is just indication , not much concern on Vivocom's performance.Please understand the whole picture, & not just complain. TQ!!!
By the way ANY EXPERT & ACCOUNTANT can HELP me!!!!

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2016-09-11 22:38 | Report Abuse

The figure i get big different with the report!!!

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2016-09-11 22:35 | Report Abuse

Base on Vivocom's Q216' RESULT REPORT, NTA = $0.33.( before 1:4 bonus issue)
How to get this figure???? i totally no understand & can't get the figure!!!
Base on what formula???? Anyone can HELP me????
Please explain & teach me with formula & figure base on Q216' Result report!!!
TQ in advance!!!

Stock

2016-09-11 21:06 | Report Abuse

Sorry, wrong paste for VIVOCOM GROUP STRUCTURE - earlier comment.
Please refer below:
http://www.vivocomgroup.com/groupstrucutre.htm

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2016-09-11 20:43 | Report Abuse

Sorry, typing error before 12/11/15 not 12/11/16 for earlier comment.

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2016-09-11 20:25 | Report Abuse

CK , AGREE WITH YOU!!
I hope so. that Vivocom will get another @ $2.4 bil by year end = $5 bil +++.

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2016-09-11 20:08 | Report Abuse

CK , Just my opinion - I not prefer Vivocom become GORENG stock, I prefer Vivocom = steady stock.
I STILL BELIEVE - STOCK'S PRICE WILL REFLECT OR EQUAL TO THE PERFORMANCE!!!!

Stock

2016-09-11 19:58 | Report Abuse

CK. you miss out $100 mil - 19/8/2016 - GREEN VENTURE PROJECT.!!!

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2016-09-11 19:53 | Report Abuse

Darth, Base on my study,For seen Vivocom Q316's revenue around $180 mil, Q416"s revenue $260 mil ( include $600 mil HoA which not yet finalize) . due to Vivocom add. contract $856 mil on Aug 16' & $600 mil on Sept 16' might only start Q316 OR Q416.- ( which vivocom never stated start project date - as i mention & request earlier )

Any way Q316 & Q416 ' SHOULD BE MUCH BETTER THAN $141.5 mil (Q116' ) & $121.6 mil (Q216'). - FOR SURE.

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2016-09-11 19:29 | Report Abuse

Darth, i only invest for long term. Conservative - old man style, don't dare to try for short term. Ha.. Ha..

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2016-09-11 19:22 | Report Abuse

CK, is ok. I just want to share my homework.

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2016-09-11 19:14 | Report Abuse

Darth, My target price $0.50 by 2017' as today ( PE 12) . If that say $1.8 bil order get by end 2016.
$0.70 (PE 12).

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2016-09-11 19:07 | Report Abuse

CK , Actually i am VIVOCOM's supporter also. Been invest Vivocom SINCE 2013, with small qty. & keep on top up same as you ,AFTER INSTACOM TAKE OVER NEETA ( BEFORE CHANGE NAME)!!
Here i just want to share my analysis & study on Vivocom with all here.

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2016-09-11 18:57 | Report Abuse

CK please don't trust CIMB & MIDF 100%. TRUST YOUR SELF ( DO YOU HOME WORK).

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2016-09-11 18:53 | Report Abuse

CK, please total up, ALL THE VIVOCOM's ORDER BOOK that you said ( include NEETA & INSTACOM ) at Bursa malaysia in Vivocom page ( from begining to today)!!!
I been TOTAL UP & make a data =$2675471000. ($2.67547 BIL) not $3.9 BIL. Where MISSING $1.2 BIL ????
THAT i said before 12/11/16, book order NOT CLEAR!!!!
IF I WRONG PLEASE CORRECT ME.

Stock

2016-09-11 17:42 | Report Abuse

Sorry , Miss out $0.1 bil ( Green Venture project - 18/8/16 ) . Outstanding ORDER Vivocom :
CIMB RESEARCH = $2.8 Bil & MIDF =$3.94 Bil.

CK - Yes, announcement at bursa malaysia in Vivocom Page only after 12/11/16. How about before that ????? Before INSTACOM take over 78.6 % NEETA ( 35% -2/10/14 @ 43.6% -6/8/15). Please refer below link.

http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/company-announcements/1080973
http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/company-announcements/4821869

Please refer to attach attachment the group structure also for more detail: Vivocom Enterprise Sdn Bhd sub NEETA
http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/company-announcements/4821869

So i said, you cannot get any book order for Vivocom S/B at bursamalaysia Vivocom page before 12/11/16. ( BEFORE COMPLETE ACQUISITION.) Neeta no need to annouce to bursa order balance before that

That is what i KNOW for Vivocom , IF WRONG PLEASE CORRECT ME.

Stock

2016-09-11 14:41 | Report Abuse

Doesn't matter $2.7 bil or $3.84 bil order book balance.
I AGREE WITH CKNYAM79 & MYVIEW . VIVOCOM WILL PERFORM WELL NEXT YEAR.

Stock

2016-09-11 14:32 | Report Abuse

That is why i request Vivocom publish their report MORE CLEARLY & TRANSPARENT. (refer my earlier comment).
I believe this problem happen before INTRACOM take over NEETA ( Vivocom was neeta's sub) & change name to Vivocom end of 2015".
Order book balance NEETA for 2015 unclear. (main causes different figure different research firm)
Research firms & we only "CLEAR" THE ORDER BOOK after 12/11/15,( Vivocom announce to BURSA MALAYSIA as requirement every contract bid)
Anyone can assist on this issue???? Ask the 31/12/2015 Vivocom"s order book balance ACTUAL FIGURE. ??/

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2016-09-11 14:08 | Report Abuse

MIDF not as detail as CIMB , ONLY stated there $3.5 bil + $0.6 bil (HoA 1/9/16) - $0.26 bil ( 1H16 revenue) = $3.84 bil.(order book balance )
Pls refer attach MIDF report 19/8/16 for detail.

http://www.midf.com.my/images/pdf/research-Report/Equity-Beat/2016/Vivocom-Higher%20orderbook%20from%20project%20award%20in%20Perak-MIDF-190816.pdf

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2016-09-11 14:00 | Report Abuse

Different research house with different figure.
CIMB research =$1724 mil + $600 mil (2015 balance) + $600 mil (HoA 1/9/16) - $220 mil (1H16's revenue, actual $263.1 mil) = $2704 mil OR $2.7 Bil

Please refer attach CIMB report 31/8/16 for detail,( figure 2: Vivocom out standing order book.)

https://brokingrfs.cimb.com/A5XGZutVYudoP0oe8EsdfCjUouKt_kMJJZbFtek2qrW0IVPGKccDGn9L66FO5xtT23_5yNSP9ygq6B8W0.pdf

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2016-09-09 20:53 | Report Abuse

Agree with bruce!!
My principle is simple , Before buy any share , you must study & analysis yourself.
This will built your OWN confident on the particular counter. No matter share price drop or not for short term,
i don't care. i will hold for long term & only sell once achieve my target price!!!!

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2016-09-09 15:31 | Report Abuse

Sorry 1H16 -$263.1 mil

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2016-09-09 15:30 | Report Abuse

As 1/9/2016, include $600 mil HoA which not yet finalize, Vivocom's order book balance =$2751 mil ( order book balance 2015 + order book 2016 - 1H16' revenue).

Let say $2751 mil need 3 years to complete according contract ( Average base on contract) Mean Vivocom's revenue at least $917 mil++ yearly for next 3 years.
Equal +67% ~100% compare 2016 revenue ( 1H16-$261 mil, estimate $550 ~$600 mil -2016).

Above order book not yet +++ $1800 mil order might get end 2016 according Mr Choo & estimate
$3000 mil 2017s order book.

If all the projects Vivocom run smoothly and able to get the projects as planning.

My target price for Vivocom = $0.70+++

REVENUE UP= PROFIT UP= SHARE PRICE UP

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2016-09-09 14:16 | Report Abuse

My opinion if vivocom do the same thing ( like Matrix ), we will more confident on Vivocom.
and clear all the doubt.

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2016-09-09 14:01 | Report Abuse

spy008 , that is why i request Vivocom do the same thing, up to now we don't have clear picture on projects progress.
Since vivocom order book $3 bil ,( grow too fast for me ), i worry Vivocom can complete on time or not???

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2016-09-09 13:50 | Report Abuse

manstar : difficult to explain to you but please refer to attachment for the detail, hope can help you.
http://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/callwarrant.asp

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2016-09-09 13:35 | Report Abuse

Actually i have SOMETHING need to request from Vivocom .
More transparent & presentable report to shown ALL the project progress.
For Example : 1. WHEN START THE PROJECT (INDIVIDUAL PROJECT)
2. HOW MANY % BEEN COMPLETE FOR EACH PROJECT
3. WHEN CAN COMPLETE THE PROJECTS ( INDIVIDUAL PROJECT ) & ETC
So that as investor we can monitoring Vivocom progress & performance!!!

Sorry, attach the report style from MATRIX , Just as example .
Can get all info in detail for ALL project progress such as pick up rate & others

http://www.mchb.com.my/wp-content/uploads/Matrix_1Q17_ResultsPresentation_Final_160826.pdf

This report can get from Matrix homepage, but not Vivocom homepage.
Any one can help me request Vivocom do the same thing???
Actually i been e mail to Vivocom IR last week but no respond!!!

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2016-09-09 12:24 | Report Abuse

CKNYAM79 : For me WC & WD much better compare with WB.
WB premium % 4 X WC & WB . Some more WB Maturity date 8/9/2018, WC & WD - 2020.

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2016-09-09 11:58 | Report Abuse

ngch WB premium% 40.91% compare WC =9.09% & WD =9.09% , that is why WB drop a lot.

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2016-09-09 07:37 | Report Abuse

Latest CIMB research report. Please study & do your own judgement b4 invest.