drkervokian

drkervokian | Joined since 2013-09-09

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2015-02-24 11:11 | Report Abuse

Latest announcement should be pretty bad. Cause you have to take into account the low price of rubber and palm. Supply disruption due to floods. Just sold. Waiting for announcement before buying back

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2015-02-16 12:53 | Report Abuse

just checked bursa website. not updated yet. so definately insider trading leak

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2015-02-16 12:53 | Report Abuse

sad. suspect insider trading started to leak out already. suddenly drop to below 2.20. looks like no dividends with the fall

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2015-01-27 10:19 | Report Abuse

could it be that insider traders already know that they will NOT be issuing any dividends? and that Q4 earnings are not terribly fantastic although the year's performance is pretty good?

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2015-01-26 15:47 | Report Abuse

Yeah. Usually end of the month or early first week Feb.

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2015-01-15 15:10 | Report Abuse

i agree with member41. will now go back to MBSB old ding dong price of 2.10 -2.20
a) price pushed down by greedy directors who keeps on issuing ESOS and then sell off in the market.
b) price picked up again by the market in anticipation of dividend history repeating.

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2015-01-13 23:29 | Report Abuse

Am just accumulating at weakness for dividend and special dividend for Q4 around End April 2015. .

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2015-01-13 10:42 | Report Abuse

seems like for CIMB Mitsubishi UFJ is slowly reversing their sell policy.

saw the news they bought 600K shares few days ago. interesting to see their play. cause theyve been dropping half million to several million shares a day ever since announcements

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2015-01-12 20:31 | Report Abuse

i saw the sharp fall sapumalaysia. i suspect some idiot trader/fundmanager heard rumour and itchy finger sell. then got F by his boss and quickly buy back. lol

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2015-01-12 15:16 | Report Abuse

thanks sapumalaysia my TP pre-oil price drop was below 2.15.
Now with the economic uncertainty. potentially will near its NTA value of around RM1.60 (that's super worse case).

Especially if MBSB continues straetgy of rewarding board of directors through Share option listing instead of giving handsome dividend like in 2012 and 2013. So now am waiting for Q4 dividend announcements to either confirm or dispel the pattern.

it is interesting to see who is dumping the shares. if it is EPF then potentially confirm that MBSB has shown hints that theyre not gonna give dividends by Q4

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2015-01-12 09:39 | Report Abuse

ive anticipated that the deal will receive a number of bad flack. hence bought only a few shares. But will accumulate anyway not because of the potential upside of 2.82. (because even if the deal proceeds, share price has depressed so capitalization will be adjusted slightly)

but because mbsb is a good strong business from a book perspective.

Their asset to liabilities ratio is almost equivalent to Maybank's and Public Bank's. So not someting i'd be too concerned about.

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2015-01-08 21:34 | Report Abuse

the TPs will be revised downward again after Q4. there wont be any miracles for Q4.
a) no new launches
b) banjir
c) depressed palm prices.

It will be organic

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2015-01-08 21:33 | Report Abuse

the problem is KWSP is dumping now. and after that likely KWAP. KWAP tend to copycat.
So that means that KWSP is taking some percausion for the Q4 result

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2015-01-08 01:11 | Report Abuse

Q3 althug hthey make money but net profit from corresponding quarter only 38% from correspnoding quarter. plus we're in a downmarket. any fundamental trader would have just sold on the bad querter report and wait for a bottom.

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2014-12-31 17:02 | Report Abuse

Interesting. Somebody bought a good 500k to 1 mil shares during the last 10 mins.suspect window dressing to end the calendar year in an up note.

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2014-12-31 16:39 | Report Abuse

Yeah. Looking at nta value myself

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2014-12-30 11:12 | Report Abuse

Kwap joined the foray of dumping.

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2014-12-29 17:22 | Report Abuse

Saham king permanently shut up due to price drop? Lol

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2014-12-26 17:32 | Report Abuse

dammit. im still holding 5 lots. NTA is about RM1.4 net income echoes trend from Q3 2013. except even worse. so all i have is hoping that Q4 results will be a rebound.

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2014-12-23 14:35 | Report Abuse

Fgv will be shit management wise unless they introduce meritocracy and folks who know how to run the business instead of political placements

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2014-12-16 10:50 | Report Abuse

since when any chairman in GLCs have proper knowledge. all wayang placements so that they can get directorial fees. that's how politicians make money folks. the MP salary is not gonna be enough. It is actually worse in the 1980s 1990s where 1 individual could be chairperson or board of director member to multiple entities.

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2014-12-08 09:34 | Report Abuse

Anybody know whether they got the mrt contract phase 2?

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2014-11-21 17:03 | Report Abuse

gonna be like another huayang i suspect.

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2014-11-21 17:03 | Report Abuse

dividend yield at current price 3.5% pun tak mau. darn funny. most likely folks are not promoting this counter enough.

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2014-11-21 17:01 | Report Abuse

agree with risk management. MUFJ still owns a shit load of shares. if they really wanna screw with CIMB they can drop a few million shares at one time. but they only drop few hundred thousand.

win188. u think local fund that interested in CIMB now meh. EPF wanna vote also give cold shoulder. to say that foreign fund leaving i dunnola. if u look at BNM report our M1 money still growing. so money is still in the country or BNM is printing money.

CIMB has a few things going against them.
a) The impending merger where they have to fork out a lot of cash
b) the actual value of share is up in the air for most investors. No credible analyst report on that. or kalau ada please share.
c) Q3 results although still positive is lower than Q2.
d) Not exactly a fantastic dividend payer for financial bank.

so the question is what is the "Bottom"? if i am pyschic then i'd be rich. i just follow what the charts tell me. over sold territory. if u wanna wait somemore then wait until RSI high teens low. then buy... that's like what.. 5.5X ?

So if the merger doesn't happen.
a) MBSB shares will fall to about 2.2X-2.3X; but Q4 dividend will be pretty awesome, and it will go back up
b) CIMB will go back up to 6.5X-6.8X despite the bad results
c) RHPCAP... no idea. dun really care abt the counter.

if the merger confim. Then CIMB shares will stay mix. not up not down. and just wait for the winds depending on Q4's results.

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2014-11-21 16:26 | Report Abuse

the winds of change are coming. fYI http://www.bnm.gov.my/index.php?ch=statistic_nsdp
today results out. which explains why market down.

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2014-11-21 16:24 | Report Abuse

Kian Leong's suggestion can be based on heuristic's i.e. gut feel based on personal experience. while i'm looking at the charts. prefer RSI versus moving averages for inflection points as moving averages although confirms the inflection is very latae in the game.

ALso u could derive kian leong's observation by looking at candle sticks or hi-lo chart and counting number of days down versus ups historically before inflection point is attained.

not exact science but most of the tmie history do repeat itself when lots of people believe in it.

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2014-11-21 16:03 | Report Abuse

bought CIMB at 5.78 cause RSI was already at 22. Oversold category; although historically CIMB has gone to RSI in mid teens before. but what the heck. whenever that happens, it tends to go back up again. set my TP at 6.1X - 6.2X for some chump change.

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2014-11-20 10:31 | Report Abuse

CIMB's real pricing is a bit up in the air now. need help to analyze the amount of cash and shares they need to fork out and esstimate the fair value of the price after the merger.

Then factor the earnings weaknesses on top of MBSB's strength and RHBCap's performance.
whether CIMB is now at record low is beside the point.

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2014-11-19 16:08 | Report Abuse

the part that am surprised with Q3 results is the anticipation that more folks will take AAX versus MAS. The fact that this didn't happen makes me wonder whether there's accounting hanky panky.

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2014-11-19 16:05 | Report Abuse

fair assessment on the analysis. cheaper fuel wont show up in Q3. It'll be a Q4 number. Although USD will strengthen but likely stabilize around 3.4X-3.5X with the end of US QE. Not terribly substantial from where we are now.

So theorhetically, this could be a good time to buy. RSI is barely above 30. Can pick up now if gung ho at 0.65-0.66; or wait for it to hit RSI 2X or roughly anything 0.64 cents and below and collect there... but this will be a long game. cash gonna get stuck until Q1 2014; even Q1 2015.

And with airlines industry, anything can happen when horizon too far out (war, volcano, weather). that's why it's annoying.

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2014-11-19 14:44 | Report Abuse

AAX numbers are so strange compared to AIRASIA... makes me wonder whether there's accounting magic to place all risk on AAX to make AIRASIA look good. e.g. fuel and currency hedges, the means to record profit and losses for shared routes etc...

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2014-11-17 10:29 | Report Abuse

Q3 results are pretty fantastic! Year to date already blew last year in the water. Looking forward to dividends in Q4

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2014-11-12 21:23 | Report Abuse

finally going up... duhhh... waiting forever for it to bounce again.
but overall sentiment of the entire market is a slow slide. probably stabling at 1700.
Cause Q4 is where the cold front will hit and US, Japan, Europe tends to slow down except for energy counters.

so am targetting RM3.70 unless somebody insider knows that their Q3 results is getting better

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2014-11-11 14:41 | Report Abuse

waiting for Q3 results. and more dividends hopefully. price is very close to tangible book value per share of 1.55. No reason to languish at 1.8X for so long.

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2014-11-10 15:35 | Report Abuse

SUpermx Q3 slightly weak compared to same period last year. I support market is selling in anticipation that TOpGlov will be the same.

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2014-11-10 00:16 | Report Abuse

decided no. Q3 will likely be red cause ipcore recognition will probbaly only be in Q4 versus Q3 results. so we're gonna see a red quarter. hopefully fewer losses than q2. But from the looks of it, hard decisions to reduce cost of goods sold have not been made looking at the ratio between Q1 and Q2 this year.

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2014-11-10 00:03 | Report Abuse

ibhd quarterly result within next two weeks. should i or should i not buy somemore... sigh... decisions

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2014-11-10 00:01 | Report Abuse

Q3 results about to come out. will it turn green finally. or will it languish at negative for another quarter.

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2014-11-04 09:44 | Report Abuse

I will hold anyway. As I've mentioned i will buy back at 2.55.
even if merger don't go through they will announce dividendS.

board and major shareholders are also greedy people. Just wait.

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2014-11-04 09:42 | Report Abuse

All part of merger trick la. If you give dividends you reduce assets I'm balance sheet.
Now they can say 2.80 not enough. My forward earnings forecast is stellar. Please pay 3.00

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2014-10-28 09:37 | Report Abuse

contra 3 times already. 3.01 - 3.2; 3.03 - 3.25; 3.3 - 3.46;
doing it cause am not celebrating as yet. market currently too closely linked to US. super weird.
Plus US needs to breach SP500 and NASDAQ shoulder resistance level before the fall to signal to the rest of the world that they should invest.

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2014-10-27 16:16 | Report Abuse

they are connected yes. To Khalid the preview MB.
now Khalid out, the only connection left is Sultan Selangor. But note that the chairman is darn close to previous Sultan Selangor. Whether still close to current son... anybody's gues

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2014-10-24 17:00 | Report Abuse

whether it goes back to 3.00 will depend on few factors.
a) price of commodities. If this still goes down, it is an indicator of fewer demand
b) price of gold. if this goes down, it double reinforces that economy is slowing down.
c) US DJIA and SP500 as a signaler to Bursa. The correlation right now is very strong. haven't diverged yet due to local issues.

Anyhow, i've sold for friday. cause i dunno what's gonna happen tonight in the US and over the weekend globally with Russia/ISIS/Ebola situation.

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2014-10-23 17:04 | Report Abuse

anyway, i dun mind collecting if it drops back to 2.2X.
Cause MBSB has a history to be a great dividend collector. And those Arab boys have held back on dividend payout to bolster balance sheet.

Also resorted to Share Option Scheme to give out shares directly to themselves rather that giving dividnd out blankly in the market.

if deal don't go through likely this year's Q4 dividend will be about 16-20 cents per share cause have held back for 2 quarters. if there greedy, probably announce 8-10cents on q3 dividend, but that depends on the deal.

IF it is a wayang; i'll play the script like this. Kasi drama and make a killing in the market.
a) During nego. someone will leak out ARab fellas want 2.5X NTA. at RM3.25
b) Upon which CIMB says need few days to think.
c) Next day market go crazy. Arab boys and big players sell off shares.
d) The say ok, nego back to 2.9X. Everyone wins. TWICE!

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2014-10-23 08:47 | Report Abuse

DecisionS... decisions.. is this just wayang? To push the share up for bit shareholders. And they're dumping now. Or the other way around.

to push the shares down before big boys pick em up.

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2014-10-23 08:40 | Report Abuse

Pre market price just fell almost 10 percent

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2014-10-20 16:40 | Report Abuse

jsut sold 3 lots. waitng for it to go down further once US corrects itself. The darling stock for rubber is now KOSSAN. 2nd SUperMX and 3rd TOPGLOV. the market will react to Q3 results from TOPglov. so if anyone has insider info. do share ;)

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2014-10-17 17:06 | Report Abuse

is the Analysts from Kenanga and PBBank on drugs ka. 4-4.20 TP?