probability

Probability | Joined since 2014-03-18

Investing Experience Not Disclosed
Risk Profile Moderate

Probability is a measure of 'likeliness' that an event will occur - there are no 100% certainty.

Followers

21

Following

2

Blog Posts

14

Threads

14,419

Blogs

Threads

Portfolio

Follower

Following

Summary
Total comments
14,419
Past 30 days
17
Past 7 days
13
Today
0

User Comments
Stock

2 days ago | Report Abuse

it may look expensive now say at 1.70...but in future with AI fast development, may look very prudent

Stock

2 days ago | Report Abuse

YTLP is behaving like a super intelligent AI....the ultimate chess player

Stock

2 days ago | Report Abuse

whatever it is....it only creates a stronger foundation to YTLP....utility is crucial for DC and future of AI

Stock

2 days ago | Report Abuse

all surely they have discussed before such announcement

Stock

2 days ago | Report Abuse

max 1.70...most likely 1.20

Posted by newbie_2018 > May 27, 2024 9:19 PM | Report Abuse

Is it related to YTL Power takeover Ranhill? What price will YTL Power pay?

News & Blogs

4 days ago | Report Abuse

thanks for the insights....i think its a no brainer to see that Sarawak has the highest growth potential, with the money flowing to the local govn and also as a green energy hub that supplies power to singapore and even west malaysia one day with the increasing power demand from DC/AI

I foresee people migrating from west cost to east cost in the near future

Stock

6 days ago | Report Abuse

you have to sell to cloud consumers first before all these can happen...and i think VSTECS having the best potential to do so with AWS

Posted by ImCK > May 23, 2024 8:06 PM | Report Abuse

AI will drive YTL grow more eletricity need for data centre

Stock

6 days ago | Report Abuse

OMG results so bad....will it drop heavily tomorrow?

Stock

6 days ago | Report Abuse

The Group’s profit before tax ("PBT") from operations was higher at RM57.26 million in comparison to PE2023's PBT of RM39.26 million.

The higher PBT was contributed by Oiltools, Road Maintenance and Property Development Division. In addition, profit contributions from associates increased by 22% to RM17.03 million from PE2023’s contribution of RM14.01 million

Stock

6 days ago | Report Abuse

PBT 57 Million, PAT 38 Million...considered fantastic?

News & Blogs

6 days ago | Report Abuse

thanks dragon328, wonder would the cloud providers like VSTECS (with link to AWS) benefit from the AI demand first before the AI DC providers like YTLP....

Stock

6 days ago | Report Abuse

the big question now is will next qtr improve or worsen? Hope to have better clarity on this...

that will decide the near term share price movement

Stock

1 week ago | Report Abuse

but Ken, PE is for future earnings...and i am not sure what is the future earnings from AWS, starlink etc...

the PE is determined based on nature of business

the nature of its future business is changing and we cant rely on past PE

Stock

1 week ago | Report Abuse

low volume despite such a spike is what makes me uncertain how far the share price may go.....insiders really dont want to sell looks like....

stocks like Frontken can have PE of 60...

really no clue how far this can go...even RM 20 within the next qtr results cannot be ruled out

that makes me wonder shall i add the shares now?

i hope they will make some briefing with analyst soon (probably by next qtr results) to provide some insights...

Stock

1 week ago | Report Abuse

Microsoft offers cloud customers AMD alternative to Nvidia AI processors

https://theedgemalaysia.com/node/711998

guess cloud providers will mint money first before the DC providers

Stock

2 weeks ago | Report Abuse

amazing..@laulau, thanks

Stock

2 months ago | Report Abuse

https://www.constructionenquirer.com/2024/03/20/in-house-contractor-ytl-construction-to-build-bristol-arena/


Posted by probability > Mar 4, 2024 9:26 AM | Report Abuse

Brabazon will benefit YTL construction arm in UK much ahead of YTLP

Stock

2 months ago | Report Abuse

Brabazon will benefit YTL construction arm in UK much ahead of YTLP

Stock

2 months ago | Report Abuse

Its because the construction work for the Brabazon property development project was undertaken by YTL Corp's construction arm there (see what dragon328 mentioned above)

Their revenue recognition is much ahead than YTL Development UK (100% owned by YTLP)

Stock

2 months ago | Report Abuse

More connected, more sustainable, more opportunities at Brabazon: Masterplan approval granted for the most exciting new city district in the South West

29th February 2024

https://www.ytldevelopments.co.uk/latest-news/masterplan-approval-for-brabazon

YTL Developments is already making good progress on delivering Brabazon. At present:

1. The Hangar District - our first phase of new homes – is due to complete before the end of 2024. A range of studio, one and two-bedroom apartments and two, three and four-bedroom houses is on sale now, with over half of the 300 properties already completed and occupied.

2. Properties in our second phase of new homes are under construction, with the first homes due to complete in 2025.

3. Boxworks – the iconic shipping container workspaces – has moved to Brabazon from Bristol Temple Meads. Tenant demand is proving very strong ahead of the opening of the very first workspaces at Brabazon in May this year.

4. The primary road network within Brabazon is currently under construction.

Stock

2 months ago | Report Abuse

@darrenliew, thanks for the info

i see from below link that the completion is quite fast tracked

www.itv.com/news/westcountry/2024-03-01/once-in-a-generation-plan-approved-for-new-south-west-city-district

The first homes at Brabazon are due to completed in 2025.

Stock

2 months ago | Report Abuse

thanks dragon328, fantastic news...

Stock

2 months ago | Report Abuse

@dragon328 or anyone, any idea how much revenue from YTL Developments UK will reflect under YTL Power, i.e what is the % ownership by YTLP?

Stock

2 months ago | Report Abuse

Thats like 30 Billion MYR...as good as HSR award! Just that the profitability would be even more guaranteed in UK...unlike malaysian HSR where the project cost is squeezed irrationally

Stock

2 months ago | Report Abuse

Brabazon: Revised plans for 6,500 Filton homes approved

https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-bristol-68434412

A spokesperson from YTL Developments said the regeneration is "a once-in-a-generation opportunity".

Originally the application included 2,500 homes, but that has now increased.

The developers said the development is forecast to create more than £5 billion of added economic value as well as more than 30,000 jobs.

https://www.ytlpowerinternational.com/our-businesses/property-development/

Interesting..it really appears to be under YTL Power!

Stock

2 months ago | Report Abuse

to me the biggest potential i see is based on these info.....with the trust NVIDIA has with YTL, and YTLP's capability...this is an area of super-growth with NVIDIA (to fill the gap in meeting singapore's NVIDIA revenue growth)

https://www.datacenterdynamics.com/en/news/nvidia-ytl-power-partner-for-43bn-ai-data-centers-in-malaysia/

Earlier this month, DCD reported that 15 percent of Nvidia's Q3 revenue came from Singapore, notably making the city-state on Malaysia's border the company's fourth biggest customer globally. Per capita, Singapore spent $600 on Nvidia chips, compared to $60 in the US and $3 in China.

It is unclear what has led to this huge demand, be it shell companies using the location, or that Singapore is developing products that will be sent elsewhere.

https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Technology/Singapore-data-centers-look-to-Malaysia-Indonesia-to-satisfy-demand

SINGAPORE -- Data center operators in Singapore are increasingly exploring alternative locations like Malaysia and Indonesia, as the city-state limits construction of new facilities due to space constraints and environmental concerns.

Stock

2 months ago | Report Abuse

MSCI investors would surely need to have an AI stock in their portfolio....else FOMO will creep in to fund managers

Stock

2 months ago | Report Abuse

https://twitter.com/tzafrul_aziz/status/1763127431706345624/photo/2

Sitting beside Tengku Zafrul is Yeoh Keong Hann, Executive Director, YTL Power

Oxford University Grad

Stock

2024-02-29 19:03 | Report Abuse

https://www.datacenterdynamics.com/en/news/nvidia-ytl-power-partner-for-43bn-ai-data-centers-in-malaysia/

It is unclear what has led to this huge demand, be it shell companies using the location, or that Singapore is developing products that will be sent elsewhere.

.....

The above statement makes me think YTLP AI DC will be likely to support SG's limitation on AI DC expansion due to RE power constraints

and the first phase will be in operation by mid 2024

Stock

2024-02-29 18:55 | Report Abuse

The world is heating up, but data centres should keep their cool

https://datacenternews.asia/story/the-world-is-heating-up-but-data-centres-should-keep-their-cool

It should go without saying, but good air conditioning should be a mainstay of all data centres. This is particularly important for data centres operating in tropical climates like Southeast Asia where the urban heat island effect is driving temperatures to new highs. In fact, cooling of data centres make up 35 to 40% of total energy consumption for data centres in Southeast Asia.

.............

Seeing the above old article in 2022, i realized DC requires so much of AC and these AC requires so much of electricity in Singapore (Note: we are not talking about the direct electricity needs of DC with higher computing load)...

The power demand will certainly go up more than estimated by the SG govn soon

Stock

2024-02-29 10:49 | Report Abuse

another interesting effect is that all these cooling of DC with water only transfers back the energy into heat form to the environment...it will only raise the ambient temperature and the world (especially singaporeans) will have to keep running AC all day...

i.e, a further rise in electricity demand. Its a two fold effect.

AI growth seems exponential and similarly the electricity demand..we humans are designed to process linear growth factors only and will usually fail to realize exponential effects

Stock

2024-02-29 10:24 | Report Abuse

Apple to disclose AI plans later this year, CEO Tim Cook says

https://theedgemalaysia.com/node/702817

Cook said that the iPhone maker sees "incredible breakthrough potential for generative AI, which is why we're currently investing significantly in this area. We believe that will unlock transformative opportunities for users when it comes to productivity, problem solving and more."

...


I wonder how the data center going to cope with such computing demands...and later the RE power supply itself (i still miss BPlant)

YTLP has proven to Singapore its reliability, when you have demanding deadlines..i think Singapore govn will keep coming for YTLP

Its such a blessing for YTLP to get the 600MW CCGT plant award...

odds are very high that the margins will be fantastic with such significant power demand from AI DC

Stock

2024-02-28 20:12 | Report Abuse

Just an update on my previous comments, to give an idea how fast things are developing...the below video just came:

https://supercarblondie.com/elon-musk-shares-new-video-of-tesla-optimus-robot-strolling-around-lab/

with this 'thing' having access to all the information and processing power from AI data center...i really feel there is nothing so special about interacting with real humans than these ones which will be way more fascinating (intelligent & knowledgeable)...sad, but this appears the reality forward.

They can easily make genuine human facial expression with emotions with sora (with an LCD on its face or physical face like Sophia-robot)

all these robots, EV cars like tesla, cryptocurrencies will only be guzzling more & more power.....the whole world is going to function purely on ELECTRICITY

Just valuing YTLP power generation segment would need PE of 15 at least (not considering NVIDIA collaboration AI data center)



Posted by probability > Feb 26, 2024 12:24 PM | Report Abuse

guys, think of NVIDIA and YTLP as industry in the making of 'humans'....the software is what forming now with SORA and ChatGPT likes (and later hardware will be designed by this AI itself...much better than boston dynamics Atlas)

when you are able to make humans (infact superhumans), you have basically conquered the supply side of the economy ...you can make & produce anything..any services and goods..whatever industry you want...name it..

all investments will be pouring on this industry


on the demand side (the ordinary human consumer) that will be normal initially...my prediction is that it will also change as it will lose its relevance in the far future (having less or no children) as the whole purpose of human creation will be missing...but this is not important for our discussion here

the above is life shattering..existential crisis development thats taking place now and its taking place very very fast...and many dont even realize it...just like animals in the farm which has no clue they are all bred for slaughtering...

suggest stop entertaining those with half brains (or half balls missing) and learn about the this AI developments...

this has staggering implications to our immediate future & requires our serious thoughts and focus..keep searching and you will finally understand this is no joking matter

I myself still havent got a grasp on what is to come...

even i am thinking of buying NVIDIA including its potential competitors at current PE....

Stock

2024-02-28 19:02 | Report Abuse

already cut loss..not worth the long wait....all these net cash, below EV valuation is no certainty to push the share price up...

its best to never touch Insas...unless you can wait another 10 years

Stock

2024-02-28 18:59 | Report Abuse

@TheContrarian, agree with most of your points ther3...you are really in tune with Insas

Posted by TheContrarian > Feb 28, 2024 6:18 PM | Report Abuse

Most people didn't sell Insas before CNY because they expected a post-CNY rally, and when this didn't happen they still didn't want to sell because they expected a rally after release of its quarterly results. But why was there no rally but instead an immediate free fall?


Posted by TheContrarian > Feb 28, 2024 6:35 PM | Report Abuse

Insas share price never follows Inari.


Posted by TheContrarian > Feb 28, 2024 6:36 PM | Report Abuse

Tomorrow there will probably dead cat bounce of Insas share price.

Stock

2024-02-27 17:52 | Report Abuse

what happen here? I bought a little earlier now in paper loss

Stock

2024-02-27 10:38 | Report Abuse

interesting..looks like singapore has the strategic location advantage

Posted by sultan > Feb 27, 2024 10:30 AM | Report Abuse

Data center requires fiber optic cable. Refer to https://www.submarinecablemap.com/ for submarine cable map.

Stock

2024-02-27 10:08 | Report Abuse

DC providers need to use RE in order to comply...and its crucial that RE is obtained from the most competitive environment...cheapest land with ample reliable sunlight (near equator), and cheap abundant water

Sad that YTL could not buy out BPlant earlier

Stock

2024-02-26 18:22 | Report Abuse

AI is exploding data centre energy use

https://www.thestar.com.my/tech/tech-news/2024/02/26/ai-is-exploding-data-centre-energy-use-a-google-created-technique-may-help#openShareModal

The climate risks sparked by AI-driven computing are far-reaching – and will worsen without a big shift from fossil fuel-based electricity to clean power. Nvidia Corp chief executive officer Jensen Huang has said AI has hit a ‘tipping point”. He has also said that the cost of data centres will double within five years to power the rise of new software.

Already, data centres and transmission networks each account for up to 1.5% of global consumption, according to the International Energy Agency. Together, they’re responsible for emitting about as much carbon dioxide as Brazil annually.

Hyperscalers – as the biggest data center owners like Google, Microsoft and Amazon are known – have all set climate goals and are facing internal and external pressure to deliver on them. Those lofty targets include decarbonising their operations.

But the rise of AI is already wreaking havoc on those goals. Graphics processing units have been key to the rise of large language models and use more electricity than central processing units used in other forms of computing. Training an AI model uses the more power than 100 households in a year, according to IEA estimates.

“The growth in AI is far outstripping the ability to produce clean power for it,” he said.

..........................

I feel Singapore would attempt again in sourcing additional RE from peninsular malaysia.....perhaps YTLP will gain from this

Stock

2024-02-26 15:50 | Report Abuse

@wkc5657

thanks for these info, interesting...yup we have to keep vigilant on any emerging technology thats competitive

Stock

2024-02-26 12:30 | Report Abuse

YTLP is a genius to be in the industry of power supply as that is a major constraint for these developments...as such power producers truly deserve high PE...

Stock

2024-02-26 12:24 | Report Abuse

guys, think of NVIDIA and YTLP as industry in the making of 'humans'....the software is what forming now with SORA and ChatGPT likes (and later hardware will be designed by this AI itself...much better than boston dynamics Atlas)

when you are able to make humans (infact superhumans), you have basically conquered the supply side of the economy ...you can make & produce anything..any services and goods..whatever industry you want...name it..

all investments will be pouring on this industry


on the demand side (the ordinary human consumer) that will be normal initially...my prediction is that it will also change as it will lose its relevance in the far future (having less or no children) as the whole purpose of human creation will be missing...but this is not important for our discussion here

the above is life shattering..existential crisis development thats taking place now and its taking place very very fast...and many dont even realize it...just like animals in the farm which has no clue they are all bred for slaughtering...

suggest stop entertaining those with half brains (or half balls missing) and learn about the this AI developments...

this has staggering implications to our immediate future & requires our serious thoughts and focus..keep searching and you will finally understand this is no joking matter

I myself still havent got a grasp on what is to come...

even i am thinking of buying NVIDIA including its potential competitors at current PE....

Stock

2024-02-25 18:34 | Report Abuse

I think we shall value YTLP like this...

1) We shall use a high PE for the AI Data Center / NVIDIA collaboration related potential earnings...and looking at the exponential growth rate expected, we shall easily use PE like Vitrox....infact this is the kind of business where such high PE is applicable

Search in the net how exponentially this industry will be growing

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q05kiN7P-eY

For a 1 billion net profit, mcap for YTLP shall be 40 billion or higher provided it has the competitive advantage (the strategic Johor location and large funding capability) and grows its good relationship with NVIDIA currently

2) secondly YTLP power business is the cash generator that would enable significant capital outlay to support such exponential growth in the initial stage....

For that & considering you have 600 MW new CCGT plant coming...we can give a PE of 15 on its power related earnings

this alone will give a mcap of about 60 billion with current proven earnings


combining both, and considering other business it has, we need to give a mcap of 100 billion

Stock

2024-02-24 09:24 | Report Abuse

is that written by you or an extract from an article? Kindly share the article

Stock

2024-02-24 09:22 | Report Abuse

well said xiaochen..this is exactly what i predict

Stock

2024-02-23 16:55 | Report Abuse

this coincides well with MSCI inclusion

Posted by cgtan2020 > Feb 23, 2024 4:52 PM | Report Abuse

after 29Feb2024, Call warrant expired date end Feb.

Stock

2024-02-23 16:54 | Report Abuse

next week to challenge new high.....lets not forget MSCI inclusion (they often suppress the price before inclusion)

i must thank dragon328 for his assurance on its earnings that made me hold on to till the results came

happy weekend guys

Stock

2024-02-23 16:27 | Report Abuse

just cannot ignore the cash generator

Posted by probability > Feb 23, 2024 9:33 AM | Report Abuse X

as usual fund buy YTL first before YTLP so that can obtain more shares of both at lower price

YTLP would never lag behind YTL's rise eventually

just another 4 months away for the AI date centre to start contributing.