remember 2010 to 2014, we saw O&G boom. Uzma was one of them

current situation is somewhat similar albeit driven mainly by supply disruption. but with more borders reopening, US in Nov...expect demand push as well

i believe $90-100 is within range towards end of the year

historically, Malaysian plantation average EV/ha is about $26,000 (based on actual transactions)

almost all plantation companies are being valued at depressed valuations notwithstanding the high CPO prices, thanks to ESG issues

There is greater chance of paying more than 12 sen. earnings and FCF on track to grow y-o-y

Bought some SHANG. Laggard for tourism recovery play

Malaysia's end-September palm oil stocks fell more sharply than expected as export demand surged while production stayed flat, data by the nation's palm oil board showed on Monday, supporting prices that are already trading near all-time highs.

Inventories at the world's second-largest producer dropped 6.99% from the previous month to 1.75 million tonnes, falling from a 14-month peak, data from the Malaysian Palm Oil Board (MPOB) showed.

Malaysia's end-September palm oil stocks fell more sharply than expected as export demand surged while production stayed flat, data by the nation's palm oil board showed on Monday, supporting prices that are already trading near all-time highs.

Inventories at the world's second-largest producer dropped 6.99% from the previous month to 1.75 million tonnes, falling from a 14-month peak, data from the Malaysian Palm Oil Board (MPOB) showed.

UP is top tier plantation

First half profit and FCF more than 200mil. Net cash about 7% of market cap

They are the most efficient planter with high extraction rate & oil yield

Their production cost is the lowest at less than 1,300/MT

Hence, they will enjoy huge profit margin at current elevated CPO

Luckily bought some on dip.

Put my money where my mouth is!

Fabien _the efficient capital allocator Smaller size tech is closing up the gap in valuation

Assuming a flattish q-o-q growth, annualised EPS is about 9 sen

At PER of 25x market value = 2.25

Its close peers such as Kobay is reasonably valued at forward PER of 40x

If you factor in profit growth and 10% discount to valuation multiple, WONG may fetch as much as RM4

24/09/2021 2:32 PM

Yinson has pivoted to become a energy infrastructure & GREEN TECHNOLOGY company

wait for them to unveil their green tech roadmap

6th largest FPSO company. FPSO market bound to do well as oil on upward trajectory

330MW of renewable assets already operational or under construction

major renewable energy play with 3 to 5GW pipeline

Finally moving!


Fabien _the efficient capital allocator GENP is undervalued at current valuation

on top of that, you will have recovery angle here too with re-opening of premium outlets

https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/govt-open-genting-highlands-mel...
21/09/2021 8:06 PM

3 bil market cap

congrats guys!

Brent poised to rally towards $100

3 days ago Cathie Wood warned on high oil price. back then it was $77

guess she was wrong both on the trajectory and the demand peak

oil is not dead YET. inflation is not TRANSITORY

what should you do when there is persistently high inflation

1) Energy related companies (O&G and petrochemicals)
2) Commodities producer (Plantation)
3) Cryptocurrencies (BTC & ETH)

Brent poised to rally towards $100

3 days ago Cathie Wood warned on high oil price. back then it was $77

guess she was wrong both on the trajectory and the demand peak

oil is not dead YET. inflation is not TRANSITORY

what should you do when there is persistently high inflation

1) Energy related companies (O&G and petrochemicals)
2) Commodities producer (Plantation)
3) Cryptocurrencies (BTC & ETH)

Good closing 1.19

Maybank TP pricing in potential 2 FPSO wins

FPSO Enauta - $500mil
1 large scale FPSO - $1bil capex

Both contributing SOP RM4.76/share

RM6 breaching soon

Oil will reach $90/bbl

Smaller size tech is closing up the gap in valuation

Assuming a flattish q-o-q growth, annualised EPS is about 9 sen

At PER of 25x market value = 2.25

Its close peers such as Kobay is reasonably valued at forward PER of 40x

If you factor in profit growth and 10% discount to valuation multiple, WONG may fetch as much as RM4

WONG potentially could be a multi bagger. 200+ market cap. lots of room to catch up with its peers

the various investments by MNC, Lam Research and Simmtech will benefit them in the long run

Always remember market can remain irrational far longer than you can remain solvent!

GENP is undervalued at current valuation

on top of that, you will have recovery angle here too with re-opening of premium outlets

https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/govt-open-genting-highlands-melaka-and-pulau-tioman-new-destinations-under-tourism-bubble

TG management has shown that they are as average as the averaged retailer when it comes to investing. so much money wasted at share buy back at sky high prices. they really think they can overtake Maybank as the most valued company in Malaysia. what a illusion. ever heard of mean reversion?

Kumpulan Fima has about 18,000 hectares in Kalimantan Indonesia and is very profitable.

close at ATM 5.97

Management has been very transparent in addressing the various pain points concerning the sector

in 2-5 years time, you will find out...either the next Evergrande or Berkshire. 2 opposite tail events of a bell curve, no middle outcome

Aluminium broke above $2700

Their acquisition of SCHOKINAG in January last year allows them an immediate access to the European market. The Ivory Coast expansion is targeted to increase sales..about half of grinding capacity to be supplied to SCHOKINAG.

GCB is a proxy of post covid recovery play. With EU & US borders opening up for tourism, expect certain levels of pent-up demand to boost recovery.

GCB is 4th largest cocoa grinder in the world. Current market cap is 3bil-ish, trailing PER is around 18x.

With Ivory Coast commissioning expected in 2H2022, they are in a sweet spot to ride the recovery.

There are a few ways to hedge against rising inflation

1) Gold
2) Commodities producer
3) Energy-related companies
4) Cryptocurrencies

Aluminium is steadily hovering above 2600

Both FPI & SAM in my portfolio...has turned into 1x bagger


Fabien "The Efficient Capital Allocater" Both SKPRES & FPI announced record quarterly revenue & net profit

EMS companies are benefitting from the diversion of supply chain and reduced reliance on China

The growth story has always been there. The coming earnings announcement would validate such narratives.

SKP today have touched its year high of 1.95

I have two EMS in my portfolio, SKPRES & FPI

Watch this space

19/11/2020 7:43 PM

Both FPI & SAM in my portfolio...has turned into 1x bagger

Results would have been much better if not because of MCO restrictions. Production volume was not optimised. 1H results were still impressive nevertheless, net profit up 140% y-o-y.

Phase 3 yet to commence. 2022 will see the full benefits of the increased capacity taking advantage of increasing demand due to structural shift towards green commodities. Expect further room for aluminium prices to go higher or at least remain elevated.

2bil market cap breached. congrats guys!

PE less than 12x

Property developer Paramount Corp Bhd has completed its first fintech investment by acquiring a 30% stake in Omegaxis Sdn Bhd, the holding company of Peoplender Sdn Bhd, the operator of peer-to-peer (P2P) financing platform Fundaztic.

Paramount noted that its investment in Omegaxis is in line with its five-year (2020-2024) strategic plan to identify new sources of earnings, particularly those in the digital space, to future proof the group for long term sustainability.

My first TP RM8

@nickinvests congrats, SAM has breached 2bil market cap

pang72 the most happy saw him at Genetec too

Just enjoy the ride

SAM is catching up with Kobay. Good thing Kobay is still moving

at the very least, SAM is worth 2-3x more

Foker what r u smoking??

I don't have reddit account. only active here.

@Foker I don't see the need to constantly update here anymore. fact remains i'm still holding 50% with average cost of 6.63

the hard work has already been done. if you scroll through the old thread i have been recommending SAM when it was 6++ and 7++ and the share price has been hovering around that range for about a year

now that SAM has been re-rated and the surged in price has pique market interest...SAM is in a position of strength. A virtuous cycle ensues...

again, i would like to mention that i recommended SAM when it was at 7-ish..not when it has surged above RM10

am gonna sit on the sidelines and enjoy my gains. cheers

wow, you are more bullish than me..my 1st TP 8.00


Posted by PureBULL ... > Jul 31, 2021 4:03 PM | Report Abuse X

GREATEC looks ready to attempt ATH this week.
Once in the new.blue.sky, this is my daring guesstimate:
1st TP $8.85
2nd TP $9.90 ++

MPI never fail to amaze me

Aluminium is holding steady above $2.5k

Green commodities...both aluminium & copper are essential raw materials for renewable energy sector as the world shift to decarbonisation

demand for aluminium will remain elevated for years to come...used in power transmission lines, wind turbines, solar panels & EV

do u know that one EV can contain up to 250kg of aluminium? battery box, electric motor housing, wheels etc.

PMetal on track to record 100% growth with aluminium prices remain elevated in 2H2021

@ wallstreetrookie deletd my comment because i rather not show my average cost

yes, my comments are up because i have the free time to do so. shaking? more like calm and equanimity.

@treasurehunt

SAM has morphed into a sizable semiconductor contract manufacturer after successful diversification strategy from aerospace market. Its equipment business has outgrown aerospace in FY20. SAM has exposure in semiconductor frontend and storage devices with reputable customers (Agilent, Teradyne, KLA Tencor, Bosch, P&G and etc) in telecommunication, medical and automotive sectors.

As a comparison company, Kobay projected to make between 30-40mil net profit. currently valuing at 1.12bil market cap

SAM 80-100mil net profit. at 1.6bil market cap

im still holding 50%

@wallstreetrookie

i rather be low profile

10bil market cap within reach