Memory semiconductor industry is a very tough industry. Oversupply will cause the memory semiconductors suppliers like Samsung, SK Hynix, Micron and etc to cut price in order to clear the inventories. They will start to layoff employees and reduce the output of the production in order to survive the downcycle. The good news is, once the inventory level in the industry is back to normal, the suppliers will start to increase the price of the products. Hence, their margin will slowly back to "normal".
Actually this memory industry upcycle is predicted since Q3'23. Nothing is so special since everyone in the market already acknowledge the trend. For instance, you may refer to NAND/HDD suppliers like WDC, STX, and Micron share prices.
The market is inefficient, and our job is to discover the inefficiencies and make money from them.
Samsung results doesn't affect Dufu. But Seagate n Western Digital will affect Dufu earnings as they are mainly HDD manufacturers. Looking at Seagate n WD latest results are still on downtrend, maybe we next to see their next quarterly reports
According to company website, Dufu specializes in manufacturing precision machining parts and components primarily in HDD-hard disk drive component. Thus, graphic cards are not related to it's biz.
However, more data centres built in the country would require more components for HDD. This will have limited effects on Dufu revenue and earnings coming from a low base since 2022-2023. At best, recoveries back to 2020-2021 revenues and earnings, then it should normalise back as there's only less than 10 data centres to be built from 2023-2030 as published in the news.
Lol, that's why I said hopefully although not really possible. They have metal stamping division as well, and they serve more than one industry other than semiconductor. Yes, newbie8080, you're right. HDD TCO is lower than SSD in the data centre, that's why almost all the hyperscaler are still using high capacity nearline HDD as their primary memory storage device.
But it really depends on which part of the componeny a company is making for HDD business, the capacity is trending higher and higher thus the amount of HDD required is going down.
nowaday high capacity hdd can use up to 12 plates hence more spacers are needed. That is why dufu can still make good money while other hdd players like notion jcy suffer from the rise of ssd.
Of course competitive in the AI era. HDD will still be the primary source for cold storage, and the content can be either texts or videos. Demand for high capacity HDD will soar once we start to use AI to generate contents. This is a multiple years of investment for me, and I have the same opinion as the CEO of Seagate, that this recovery is only the early stage, we are still far from the top.
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EngineeringProfit
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