We maintain our HOLD recommendation on Salutica with a lower fair value of RM1.66/share (previously RM1.70/share) after lowering our FY18F-FY19F net profit forecasts by 2-3% for housekeeping reasons. Our FV is based on FY19F PE of 15x.
Salutica's 4QFY17 net profit more than doubled to RM2.4mil from RM0.9mil in the previous quarter due to low base effect as well as seasonality.
YoY however, the quarterly profit plunged 68% on the back of a 28% decline in 4QFY17 revenue. This was attributed to a delay in the launch of a new product, which had also affected operating efficiencies — high fixed overheads as a % of revenue due to underutilised facilities. The product is expected to be launched in the following quarter (1QFY18).
Cumulatively, the group's FY17 net profit was 12% below our full-year estimate, dipping 20% YoY to RM19.4mil despite a 2% YoY expansion in revenue. Management said the contraction in NPM (from 10% in FY16 to 8% currently) resulted from costs incurred for several new product developments.
Salutica declared an interim dividend of 0.6 sen this quarter, bringing total dividends for the year to 2.4 sen. This is in line with our projection. The group maintains a minimum dividend payout ratio of 30%. For FY18FFY20F,dividend yield is forecast at 2-3% annually.
Moving forward, the company may benefit from: i) accelerated uptake of wireless Bluetooth earphones sparked by the removal of headphone jacks and the availability of near-field communication (NFC) technology; ii) pickup in AirBar orders as consumers upgrade to Windows 8 or 10; iii) replacements of expensive touchscreen solutions (eg. capacitive) with Neonode's zForce technology; and iv) rising adoption of Salutica's in-house tyre pressure monitoring system (FOBO) to ensure safety of drivers.
Although prospects appear bright for Salutica, valuations are uncompelling. Salutica currently trades at a CY18F PE of 16x, while SKP Resources, PIE Industrial and VS Industry are trading at 12x, 13x and 16x respectively.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....