FY15 gross revenue of RM453.5m (+6.0% yoy) was translated into normalised net profit of RM240.6m (+3.7% yoy), accounting for 96.9% and 97.3% of HLIB and consensus FY forecasts, respectively.
Deviations
Largely in-line.
Dividends
Fourth interim dividend of 2.05 sen (0.96 sen taxable and 1.09 sen non-taxable) was declared during fourth quarter with ex-date on 24th Aug 2015.
YTD dividend amounted to 8.73 sen per unit (FY14: 8.36 sen) accounting for 98.1% of our full year DPU assumptions.
Highlights
Retail segment…
Continues to deliver solid performance largely driven by higher rental rates as well as higher service and promotional charges by its crown jewel – Sunway Pyramid (+7.8% yoy) and also Sunway Carnival (11.5%). Occupancy rate for bot h the malls also improved yoy. This has largely mitigated poor performance of its office and hotel segment.
Sunway Putra Mall has contributed positively to the earnings (+405.5% yoy) since its soft launch in May. Secured occupancy stood at 82.4% and we not e that tenants are given one-month rent free period.
Hotel segment…
Poor performance was due to overall weak demand arising from uncertainties in domestic and global front. Also, it was a result of spill over from fasting month which started in 2nd week of June.
Major refurbishment at Sunway Putra Hotel is expected to be completed by 2QFY16.
Office segment…
Bleeding continues as some tenants did not renew leases after their expiries.
We reiterate our concern on office segment as SREIT may need to experience negative rental reversion in order to keep occupancy rate high.
Risks
Highly reliant on Sunway Pyramid
Intensifying competition for assets and tenants.
Forecasts
Unchanged.
Rating
HOLD , TP: RM1.60
Positives: Has the largest acquisition pipeline amongst MREITs; strong backing from Sponsor; well-diversified across various segments with low tenant concentration; and synergy with Sponsor’s townships.
Negatives
Still heavily reliant on Bandar Sunway, which will take time to change; persistent weakness in the office segment due to oversupply of new office space.
Valuation
Maintain HOLD recommendation on the equity and unchanged TP of RM1.60.
Targeted yield at 6.2% based on historical average yield spread of Sunway REIT and 7-year MGS.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....