9MFY15 gross revenue of RM82.6m (+58.6% yoy) was translated into normalised net profit of RM37.05m (+44.4% yoy), accounting for 67.9% and 72.54% of HLIB and consensus FY forecasts, respectively.
Deviations
Completion of Platinum Sentral acquisition was delayed by 3m to end of March vs our earlier assumption of end Dec.
Dividends
No dividend announcement for current quarter as it is usually done on half yearly basis. YTD dividend of 4.10 sen accounted for 49.9% of our full year DPU assumptions.
Highlights
Similar to previous quarter, contribution from PS, Plaza Mont’ Kiara and better rental rate have improved the net profit to RM15.73m (+15% qoq, +76.1 yoy). Striping off the one-off divestment gain of QB10, the normalised net profit stood at RM15.14m (+11% qoq, +69.5 yoy).
A record high 80.1% NPI margin was achieved compared to 75.6% in the previous quarter (Figure #5), due to lessor repair cost as well as one-off reversal of agency fee.
93% of the leases due from 1Q to 3Q 2015 has been secured and 73% of the remaining non-renewed space has been taken up by new lessee. This translated to only <0.27% of the total NLA (<4590 sqft) not being renewed.
We reiterate our positive view on MQREIT. Further improvement in occupancy rate was achieved in this quarter (97%; 2Q:93%). This is expected to enhance the EPU in the final quarter.
Risks
Management continuity following the entry of MRCB.
Slow rental reversion rate.
Forecasts
We fine-tuned our forecast by lowering both our top line and operating expenses, which resulted in slightly higher DPU for FY16.
Rating
BUY , TP: RM1.29
Positives
(1) higher possibility of asset injections from MRCB and EPF, following the injection of Platinum Sentral, resulting in MRCB taking control of QCM and major unitholder of QCT; (2) Resilient earnings growth with undemanding valuations – 7.1% DY (FY15E).
Negatives
(1) Small asset base; (2) illiquid; (3) lack of retail assets.
Valuation
Maintain BUY recommendation with unchanged TP of RM1.29.
Our valuation was pegged to slightly higher targeted yield of 6.94% (VS 6.9%) based on 2SD below 1 year historical average yield spread of MRCB-Quill REIT and 7-year government bond in view of high potential for yield accretive injection(s).
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....