Wah Seong was awarded a pipe coating contract for US$39.5m or RM167m by StateOil.
The contract involved coating of approximately 439km of pipes for Johan Sverdup Export Pipeline project. Financial Impact
This contract win will increase O&G orderbook from RM458m to RM625m.
We opined that the contract win will only sustain revenue going forward but not growth.
Pros/Cons
We are positive on the contract win given it will help to sustain O&G revenue by one year given that O&G orderbook has surged from RM458m to RM625m.
The latest tenderbook is about RM5bn (versus RM4.3bn in 2Q15) with 80% related to O&G jobs. In view of the low oil price and spending cut by E&P player, we are cautious on the orderbook replenishment rate. The current O&G orderbook of RM625m is a concern as it can only sustain for about a year.
We also understand that around 92% of its borrowing is in US dollar but naturally hedged as its revenue is also denominated in US dollar. Potential exercise to spin off non O&G asset to unlock value might not materialize in the near term given current market sentiment.
Risks
Political risk, Congo Oil Palm Plantation.
Execution risk.
Forecasts
Unchanged.
Rating
Sell
Positives
Strong balance sheet and acquisition record.
Negatives
Acquisition fuelled growth - volatile in downturns.
Capex burden developing Congo oil palm.
Valuation
Given the challenging market outlook coupled with weakening results, we maintain Sell with unchanged TP of RM0.89 based on unchanged 9x FY16 P/E.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....