1Q16 sales of RM56.0m was translated into a core net profit of RM17.3m which came in above expectations, accounting for 38% and 29% of HLIB and consensus full year estimates, respectively.
Deviations
Higher-than-expected sales in a seasonally weak quarter.
Dividend
None. (1Q15: none).
Highlights
Strongest 1Q ever where 1Q16 revenue of RM56.0m (+16.6% qoq and +68.5% yoy) came in stronger than guidance of circa RM51.5m in the last analyst briefing.
Sales from all product segments grew in 1Q16 led by MVS with 148% yoy, followed by ABI and ECS with 39% yoy and 26% yoy, respectively.
Sequential revenue growth was also assisted by all product segments with MVS, ABI and ECS increased 26%, 10% and 32%, respectively.
One-off tax refund of RM5.5m associated with pioneer status in 2H15 was recognized.
ViTrox is optimistic on the business prospect in FY16 with focus on market expansion activities, customer relationship building and product innovation.
Analyst briefing will be hosted this morning which we expect to grasp better understanding of the company outlook and tax treatment under the new pioneer status.
Comments
SEMI’s Apr 2016 preliminary semiconductor equipment industry’s book-to-bill ratio was 1.10, 5th consecutive months with reading above parity.
3 mohth average of worldwide bookings in Apr 2016 was USD1.59bn (15.6% mom and 1.3% yoy). While, 3 mohth average of worldwide billings in Apr 2016 was USD1.46bn (21.5% mom and -4.0% yoy).
SEMI believes that the data reflect strong investments in 3D NAND and China.
Risks
FOREX, downturn in semiconductor demand and equipment spending, labour shortage, patent infringement and technology imitation.
Forecasts
Unchanged pending analyst briefing.
Rating
Under Review
Positives
- undisputed 3D-AOI and AXI technology leader, great potential in winning more market share in the advent of global semiconductor growth.
Negatives
- MVS-S sales is dependent on single customer, majority of sales are non-recurring, highly competitive 2DAOI market and prone to rapid advances in technology.
Valuation
Our HOLD call and TP of RM3.16 are under review with upward bias pending analyst briefing. Our fair value is pegged to 1SD above 5-year historical average P/E multiple of 16.0x of FY16 EPS.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....