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Economy to get greater financial policy support

Tan KW
Publish date: Wed, 24 Jul 2024, 07:16 AM
Tan KW
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BEIJING: China cut key interest rate benchmarks, demonstrating policymakers’ strong commitment to strengthening macroeconomic policy support and putting into effect the measures outlined last week at a key meeting of the central leadership of the Communist Party of China, say economists and analysts.

With the top-level meeting having mapped out reforms to bolster financial support for the real economy, they said China will likely take more action soon to enhance the effectiveness of interest rate adjustments and strengthen the capital market’s ability to serve innovative enterprises as well as investors.

On Monday, the People’s Bank of China, the nation’s central bank, lowered the interest rate on seven-day reverse repurchase agreements, or reverse repos, which serves as the short-term policy benchmark of interest rates - from 1.8% to 1.7%.

The seven-day reverse repo is a central bank tool to inject liquidity.

Loan prime rates, China’s market-based lending rate benchmarks, also dropped on Monday. The one-year loan prime rate (LPR) came in at 3.35%, after staying at 3.45% for 11 months.

The over-five-year LPR, on which lenders base their mortgage rates, was lowered by 10 basis points to 3.85%.

Analysts said the move will help boost investment and consumption by easing financing costs, as basic calculations indicate that Monday’s cut can save about 55 yuan in monthly payments for a new home-buyer taking out a 30-year, one-million-yuan mortgage and thus help improve home-buying demand.

The cut aligned with the call from the third plenary session of the 20th Communist Party of China Central Committee, which concluded last Thursday, to remain firmly committed to accomplishing the goals for this year’s economic and social development.

To achieve this year’s financial spending target, Zhang Bin, a senior researcher at China Finance 40 Forum, a top think tank, said that China needs to issue additional government bonds in the second half beyond its initial plan, either as central or local government bonds.

This is because local governments’ difficulties in generating adequate revenue have impeded the country’s financial spending, which has in turn exacerbated the challenge of insufficient demand, said Zhang, who is also a national political adviser.

Guo Kai, executive president of the CF40 Institute, a research institute affiliated with the think tank, said there remains more scope for interest rate cuts to counter slowing economic momentum, adding that Monday’s cut also marks a step forward in market-oriented monetary policy transmission.

The resolution adopted by the plenary session called for accelerated efforts to improve the central bank system and the monetary policy transmission mechanism, as part of wider financial system reform.

Lou Feipeng, a researcher at Postal Savings Bank of China, said reforms in monetary policy are needed to clarify the short-term interest rate corridor and its mechanism for transmission to long-term rates.

“Central bank transactions in treasury bonds are also likely to start and expand in response to market conditions to manage the treasury bond yield,” Lou said.

Capital market reform would also be a focus of the upcoming financial system reform, analysts said, especially as the resolution has called for improving the functions of the capital market to give balanced weight to investment and financing.

Yan Xiang, chief economist at Huafu Securities, said that it can be learned from the resolution that reform will be deepened in the capital market, aimed at boosting investors’ confidence, enhancing market efficiency and lowering risks in the entire economic system.

 - China Daily

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