MIDF Sector Research

AXIS Reits - Focusing On Its Industrial Forte

sectoranalyst
Publish date: Thu, 25 Jan 2018, 04:56 PM

INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS

  • Efforts to improve occupancy rates bearing fruits
  • Continuously looking out for yield accretive industrial assets
  • E-commerce boom to support the outlook for industrial assets
  • Maintain BUY with an unchanged TP of RM1.66

Efforts to improve occupancy rates bearing fruits. We came back from Axis REIT’s analyst briefing yesterday feeling reassured of its near and long-term growth prospects. It will achieve full occupancy for its D21 Logistics Warehouse (previously BMW Centre PTP), which was vacant since 3Q17, starting February. On top of that, Crystal Plaza and Quattro West are also expected to see higher occupancy rate going forward. Management is embarking on enhancing some of its assets to retain existing tenants and to attract new tenants. For FY17, occupancy rate stood at 91.7% and we expect for it to improve to 94% to 95% in FY18 with these new tenancy agreements.

Continuously looking out for yield-accretive industrial assets. Besides the on-going acquisitions of the Shah Alam, Senawang and Indahpura assets, collectively worth RM150.7m, Axis is also exploring the acquisition of several other industrial assets amounting to about RM150m. We believe that the additional assets will be funded via debt as the private placement to raise RM178.8m had been completed quite recently. We estimate that its gearing will increase to about 38% if the additional acquisition targets were to be funded fully via loans.

E-commerce boom to support the outlook for industrial assets. Axis will continue to focus on its key strength in this segment riding on the strong demand for warehousing and logistics. Logistics make up 34% of its total NLA, followed by engineering/ building materials at 22%. Meanwhile, warehouse logistic makes up 41% of its NLA, followed by manufacturing facilities at 29%. That said, Axis may add more logistic/ warehouse related NLA to its portfolio through acquisitions and the expansion of phase 2 of the Axis Mega Distribution Centre.

Maintain BUY with unchanged TP of RM1.66 as we make no changes to our estimates. Our valuation method is unchanged based on the Dividend Discount Model (Required rate of return: 7.3%, perpetual growth rate: 1.2%). We like Axis for its niche position in the resilient industrial segment and proactive expansion plans.

Source: MIDF Research - 25 Jan 2018

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