Supercomnet has three major business segments – medical, automotive cables, and industrial wiring and cables. The medical segment is the largest revenue contributor – c.64% last year. The company manufactures medical devices and special tubing for delivery systems. The automotive cables contributed c.6% of FY22 revenue. The division started supplying fuel tanks and wire harnesses to Peugeot from 2H22. The industrial wiring and cable segment makes up the remaining 30% of revenue. This segment includes wires and cables for automotive, safety sensor products, electrical appliances, and other general usages
Growth in medical device segment to resume in 2H23. Despite the temporary hiccup in demand and production late last year, we believe the growth for the medical segment will gear up again in 2H23. The loss in volume for endoscopy video cables for Ambu A/S is compensated by a new order of medical tubes (Vivasight) from March, as well as gastroscopes and colonoscopes, which will be delivered beginning mid-2023. Meanwhile, the company will also continue delivering 540 units of declotting devices to MerMaid Medical until August after securing enough stainless steel components for production (the manufacture was halted temporarily due to raw material supply issue). As for the IHS Syringe Infusion System – initially scheduled to start production in 3Q22 – management expects to kick off by June as the company is now sorting out quality issues with the raw material supplier.
Wire harness and fuel tank orders expanding to newer car models. The automotive segment should be the key growth driver in 1H23, given the new orders from Stellantis. We understand mass production of fuel tanks began in 1Q23, with the number expected to rise from 360 units per month now to 500 in the next few months. The production of fuel tanks and wire harnesses for another vehicle model is in the pipeline.
Solid balance sheet to support acquisition opportunities. The company is in a net cash position with MYR163m in available funds. Although management has yet to acquire a target company successfully, it has been evaluating a number of potential candidates over the past one year. Provided the valuations are reasonable, we believe the potential acquisition will likely accelerate the company’s earnings growth, on top of its existing organic growth.
Transfer to Main Board to boost investability. The company’s listing switch to the Main Market from ACE Market should take place in mid2023, following numerous documentation issue delays. Despite the hold-up, we believe the stock will be more investable when it is listed on the Main Market, while its growth momentum will pick up further in the coming quarters.
Results highlight. The medical segment experienced slowdown in 4Q22, largely because of the quality of raw material supply – delaying IHS Syringe Infusion System production. Other factors for the slowdown include Ambu’s pullback in demand due to inventory adjustment and reduction in order volume for the endoscopy video cable used in COVID-19 treatment. The implementation of the Minimum Wages Order 2022 also affected bottomline during the quarter.
In net cash position. Supercomnet currently has zero debt, with MYR36m in cash and term deposits as well as MYR127m in financial assets. The company paid for its expansion entirely with internal funds.
Dividends. Supercomnet does not have a fixed dividend policy. The company has consistently paid out 40-50% of its earnings as dividend. Last year, it declared a 2 sen dividend (vs 1.5 sen in FY21), representing a 46% payout ratio
Management. Lim Eng Chuan is the company’s executive director. During his 22 years tenure, he has held various positions in Supercomnet – R&D, sales and marketing, overall development, and implementation & review of quality management system.
We continue to like the stock for its niche exposure as a medical and automotive components supplier. We believe demand for healthcare products and services will remain strong, while technology breakthroughs and product inventions will lead Supercomnet’s growth over the medium term.
2H23 earnings will likely play catch-up until the medical division’s raw material issues are resolved. We estimate a net profit growth of 16% for FY23
There is no comparable peer for Supercomnet. Given the stock’s historical PE range of 27-38x over the past one year (average 32.5x), we derive a fair value range of MYR1.63-1.75, based on 28x and 30x PE of our estimated FY23 earnings. We are of the view that the recent share price correction represents a good opportunity to accumulate. Note that Supercomnet’s 5-year historical PE is rather volatile, with a range of 11-75x.
Key risks include further increases of raw material price, possible delay in US Food and Drug Administration approvals and hence commencement of production, unexpected termination of contracts, and high reliance on a limited number of customers.
Source: RHB Securities Research - 16 May 2023
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