OTB The actual Q2 2024 GDP growth announced today is 5.9%.
This high GDP growth is the highest in the Asian region.

I believe this high GDP growth announcement today will help to move up the KLSE stock market as a whole.
I believe 2H2024, KLSE will perform better than 1H2024.

Good luck.
Thank you.
16/08/2024 1:56 PM

+1 just to add Sifu OTB...

The highest point for FBMKLCI index in 1H2024 is 1,638 and today it closed at 1648. In 2013, the GDP growth was only 4.69%, the FBMKLCI index closed at 1,867.

The actual Q2 2024 GDP growth announced last week is 5.9%. Given the strong Q2 2024 GDP growth of 5.9%, which is the highest in the Asian region, the positive momentum could continue.

Historically, the stock market tends to anticipate economic performance by 6 months to a year. With the current economic indicators and investor sentiment, it’s possible that the FBM KLCI could continue to rise. Analysts often look at various factors, including corporate earnings, global economic conditions, and investor sentiment, to predict future movements.

If the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates, it could further boost global equity markets, including the FBM KLCI. However, it’s important to remain cautious as market conditions can change rapidly.

Given the current trajectory and economic conditions, it’s plausible that the FBM KLCI could aim for levels closer to its historical highs, potentially reaching or even surpassing 1,700 by the end of the year, depending on how these factors play out.

https://www.nst.com.my/business/corporate/2024/06/1060340/analysts-raise-their-year-end-targets-fbm-klci-1700-1750-points

To Our Success!

Meow

#dragon328 Rotational plays by foreign funds is one of the reasons, today they have switched to banking stocks very obviously.

Another reason for the drop in YTLP shares is likely due to rampant short selling activities. RSS on YTLP increased by another 1.1 million shares today, bringing total NSP to over 18m shares.

I expect most of these short positions to be closed out once Q4 result is out.
19/08/2024 5:16 PM

Touche dragon...

One man’s poison is another woman’s meat...

Mabel is so apy with today's collection..

To Our Success !

Meow

The_JQuestion ringgit is so bullish ...... i reckon it will reach 4.2 or even below at the END of the year. noone foresee it that good , good for cap A and its plans together with AAX. HOLD , good times and amazing FUTURE is coming !!
15/08/2024 5:18 PM

Yes Sir!!!

Now you know why our Capital A soooo steady..

The Malaysian Ringgit (RM) has been performing well against the US Dollar (USD) recently. Over the past month, it has appreciated by 6.2% against the USD and has recovered 7.79% from its low earlier this year.

If the Federal Reserve decides to lower interest rates in September, it could potentially weaken the USD, making the RM stronger in comparison. Lower interest rates in the US typically lead to a weaker dollar because investors might seek higher returns elsewhere, including in emerging markets like Malaysia. This could further boost the RM’s performance.

With the GDP Forecast being revised upward, we will get there..

To Our Success !

Meow Meow Meow

#Yezzy99108 just doesn't feel right, Mother keep going up & son YTLP keep dropping daily.
Normally Mother & Son will move parallel
19/08/2024 12:04 PM

It should follow. Mabel Yinson Mother and Son both move in tandem with each others. Both have been climbing since last week..

Haha anyway, some nice Uncles and Aunties matched Mabel's queue for YTL Power at RM 4.32,RM 4.31 and RM 4.30...

Thank you so much allowing Mabel to re-enter after locking profit in early July to buy Maybank, CIMB and BIMB shares..

Loves YTLP Operators..

Looking forward for another exciting QR!

To Our Success !

Meow Meow Meow

Meow Meow Meow

Meow Meow Meow

Meow Meow Meow

Moving forward…

Time for our plantation to break new frontiers to cover these 52% increase in Production cost. Beside CPO, Plantations can be potentially significant renewable energy players in mid to long to long term. Palm oil wastes to energy, vast landbank for solar energy, CPO for biodiesel like B20 and B60 etc ,

Johnzhang Plantations can be potentially significant renewable energy players in mid to long to long term . Palm oil wastes to energy, vast landbank for solar energy, CPO for biodiesel etc ,
15/06/2024 12:46 PM

+1

Moving forward…

Time for our plantation to break new frontiers to cover these 52% increase in Production cost. Beside CPO, Plantations can be potentially significant renewable energy players in mid to long to long term. Palm oil wastes to energy, vast landbank for solar energy, CPO for biodiesel like B20 and B60 etc ,

Moving forward…

Time for our plantation to break new frontiers to cover these 52% increase in Production cost. Beside CPO, Plantations can be potentially significant renewable energy players in mid to long to long term. Palm oil wastes to energy, vast landbank for solar energy, CPO for biodiesel like B20 and B60 etc ,

Moving forward…

Time for our plantation to break new frontiers to cover these 52% increase in Production cost. Beside CPO, Plantations can be potentially significant renewable energy players in mid to long to long term. Palm oil wastes to energy, vast landbank for solar energy, CPO for biodiesel like B20 and B60 etc ,

Moving forward…

Time for our plantation to break new frontiers to cover these 52% increase in Production cost. Beside CPO, Plantations can be potentially significant renewable energy players in mid to long to long term. Palm oil wastes to energy, vast landbank for solar energy, CPO for biodiesel like B20 and B60 etc ,

Malaysian palm oil exports and inventory levels in July surpassed market expectations, with robust exports contributing to a reduction in stockpiles. Exports surged by 39.9% month-on-month. This increase was primarily due to higher orders from key importing countries, such as India and China, for July shipments. Palm oil production has resumed its upward trend, rising 14.0% month-on-month in July to 1.84 million tonnes, signaling the onset of the seasonal high-production phase.

Kenanga also maintains a Neutral outlook with a strong upside catalysts, such as CPO prices surging to trade between RM4,000 - RM4,500

Let’s look at the general gross profit for Crude Palm Oil (CPO) in Malaysia and Indonesia.

Malaysia
Gross Profit: The gross profit for Malaysian CPO producers can vary, but it generally ranges from RM 1,500 to RM 2,000 per tonne. This is based on production costs of around RM 2,000 per tonne and average CPO prices ranging from RM 3,500 to RM 4,000 per tonne.

Indonesia
Gross Profit: Indonesian CPO producers typically enjoy higher gross profits due to lower production costs. The gross profit generally ranges from USD 400 to USD 600 per tonne. This is based on production costs of around USD 300 per tonne and average CPO prices ranging from USD 700 to USD 900 per tonne.

As you can see the Indonesian Farmers are happily dancing while the Malaysian Farmers will need to monitor their production cost with the 52% increase in Diesel Price in Peninsular Malaysia. Hopefully the volume in revenue can cover this cost.

Malaysian palm oil exports and inventory levels in July surpassed market expectations, with robust exports contributing to a reduction in stockpiles. Exports surged by 39.9% month-on-month. This increase was primarily due to higher orders from key importing countries, such as India and China, for July shipments. Palm oil production has resumed its upward trend, rising 14.0% month-on-month in July to 1.84 million tonnes, signaling the onset of the seasonal high-production phase.

Kenanga also maintains a Neutral outlook with a strong upside catalysts, such as CPO prices surging to trade between RM4,000 - RM4,500

Let’s look at the general gross profit for Crude Palm Oil (CPO) in Malaysia and Indonesia.

Malaysia
Gross Profit: The gross profit for Malaysian CPO producers can vary, but it generally ranges from RM 1,500 to RM 2,000 per tonne. This is based on production costs of around RM 2,000 per tonne and average CPO prices ranging from RM 3,500 to RM 4,000 per tonne.

Indonesia
Gross Profit: Indonesian CPO producers typically enjoy higher gross profits due to lower production costs. The gross profit generally ranges from USD 400 to USD 600 per tonne. This is based on production costs of around USD 300 per tonne and average CPO prices ranging from USD 700 to USD 900 per tonne.

As you can see the Indonesian Farmers are happily dancing while the Malaysian Farmers will need to monitor their production cost with the 52% increase in Diesel Price in Peninsular Malaysia. Hopefully the volume in revenue can cover this cost.

Malaysian palm oil exports and inventory levels in July surpassed market expectations, with robust exports contributing to a reduction in stockpiles. Exports surged by 39.9% month-on-month. This increase was primarily due to higher orders from key importing countries, such as India and China, for July shipments. Palm oil production has resumed its upward trend, rising 14.0% month-on-month in July to 1.84 million tonnes, signaling the onset of the seasonal high-production phase.

Kenanga also maintains a Neutral outlook with a strong upside catalysts, such as CPO prices surging to trade between RM4,000 - RM4,500

Let’s look at the general gross profit for Crude Palm Oil (CPO) in Malaysia and Indonesia.

Malaysia
Gross Profit: The gross profit for Malaysian CPO producers can vary, but it generally ranges from RM 1,500 to RM 2,000 per tonne. This is based on production costs of around RM 2,000 per tonne and average CPO prices ranging from RM 3,500 to RM 4,000 per tonne.

Indonesia
Gross Profit: Indonesian CPO producers typically enjoy higher gross profits due to lower production costs. The gross profit generally ranges from USD 400 to USD 600 per tonne. This is based on production costs of around USD 300 per tonne and average CPO prices ranging from USD 700 to USD 900 per tonne.

As you can see the Indonesian Farmers are happily dancing while the Malaysian Farmers will need to monitor their production cost with the 52% increase in Diesel Price in Peninsular Malaysia. Hopefully the volume in revenue can cover this cost.

Malaysian palm oil exports and inventory levels in July surpassed market expectations, with robust exports contributing to a reduction in stockpiles. Exports surged by 39.9% month-on-month. This increase was primarily due to higher orders from key importing countries, such as India and China, for July shipments. Palm oil production has resumed its upward trend, rising 14.0% month-on-month in July to 1.84 million tonnes, signaling the onset of the seasonal high-production phase.

Kenanga also maintains a Neutral outlook with a strong upside catalysts, such as CPO prices surging to trade between RM4,000 - RM4,500

Let’s look at the general gross profit for Crude Palm Oil (CPO) in Malaysia and Indonesia.

Malaysia
Gross Profit: The gross profit for Malaysian CPO producers can vary, but it generally ranges from RM 1,500 to RM 2,000 per tonne. This is based on production costs of around RM 2,000 per tonne and average CPO prices ranging from RM 3,500 to RM 4,000 per tonne.

Indonesia
Gross Profit: Indonesian CPO producers typically enjoy higher gross profits due to lower production costs. The gross profit generally ranges from USD 400 to USD 600 per tonne. This is based on production costs of around USD 300 per tonne and average CPO prices ranging from USD 700 to USD 900 per tonne.

As you can see the Indonesian Farmers are happily dancing while the Malaysian Farmers will need to monitor their production cost with the 52% increase in Diesel Price in Peninsular Malaysia. Hopefully the volume in revenue can cover this cost.

Malaysian palm oil exports and inventory levels in July surpassed market expectations, with robust exports contributing to a reduction in stockpiles. Exports surged by 39.9% month-on-month. This increase was primarily due to higher orders from key importing countries, such as India and China, for July shipments. Palm oil production has resumed its upward trend, rising 14.0% month-on-month in July to 1.84 million tonnes, signaling the onset of the seasonal high-production phase.

Kenanga also maintains a Neutral outlook with a strong upside catalysts, such as CPO prices surging to trade between RM4,000 - RM4,500

Let’s look at the general gross profit for Crude Palm Oil (CPO) in Malaysia and Indonesia.

Malaysia
Gross Profit: The gross profit for Malaysian CPO producers can vary, but it generally ranges from RM 1,500 to RM 2,000 per tonne. This is based on production costs of around RM 2,000 per tonne and average CPO prices ranging from RM 3,500 to RM 4,000 per tonne.

Indonesia
Gross Profit: Indonesian CPO producers typically enjoy higher gross profits due to lower production costs. The gross profit generally ranges from USD 400 to USD 600 per tonne. This is based on production costs of around USD 300 per tonne and average CPO prices ranging from USD 700 to USD 900 per tonne.

As you can see the Indonesian Farmers are happily dancing while the Malaysian Farmers will need to monitor their production cost with the 52% increase in Diesel Price in Peninsular Malaysia. Hopefully the volume in revenue can cover this cost.

Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: RM0.097 (vs RM0.079 in 2Q 2023)

Second quarter 2024 results:
EPS: RM0.097 (up from RM0.079 in 2Q 2023).
Revenue: RM7.73b (up 8.6% from 2Q 2023).
Net income: RM777.0m (up 24% from 2Q 2023).
Profit margin: 10% (up from 8.8% in 2Q 2023). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue.

Revenue is forecast to grow 5.9% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 6.4% growth forecast for the Chemicals industry in Malaysia.

Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 39% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 11% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings.

Great write up. Thanks for sharing...

PCHEM has been good to me..

Meow

Previously, technical analysis-oriented investors were skeptical about YTL Power's stock price trajectory, citing the formation of a bearish Double Top pattern. This classic technical pattern usually signals the end of an upward trend, suggesting that the market could reverse from bullish to bearish.

While the Double Top pattern typically points to a potential decline, YTL Power's stock price has already accounted for this negative outlook. After breaking the neckline on August 2, this blue-chip utility stock quickly hit the Double Top's downside target within just two days ...

Looking forward, YTL Power's stock price has recently found robust support following a sharp decline, ...

In summary, after a significant drop, YTL Power has established a strong support level …

Resistance: 4.625
Support: 3.905"

Meow

Hahaha it has been a productive Friday…

Lady Sapnrg is on target to submit Regulation Plan, todays she purrr and climb 14.29%

Yinson FPSO Maria Quiteria arrived in Brazil, today she purrs and climb 7.2%

PETRONAS Chemicals registers higher net profit of RM777mil in 2Q, declares 10c div/share. Today she purrs and climbs 6.23%

Sheikh Mabel is very apy today. Well done to all our 3 National Treasures!!!.

To Our Success !

Meow Meow Meow

Hahaha it has been a productive Friday…

Lady Sapnrg is on target to submit Regulation Plan, todays she purrr and climb 14.29%

Yinson FPSO Maria Quiteria arrived in Brazil, today she purrs and climb 7.2%

PETRONAS Chemicals registers higher net profit of RM777mil in 2Q, declares 10c div/share. Today she purrs and climbs 6.23%

Sheikh Mabel is very apy today. Well done to all our 3 National Treasures!!!.

To Our Success !

Meow Meow Meow

Hahaha it has been a productive Friday…

Lady Sapnrg is on target to submit Regulation Plan, todays she purrr and climb 14.29%

Yinson FPSO Maria Quiteria arrived in Brazil, today she purrs and climb 7.2%

PETRONAS Chemicals registers higher net profit of RM777mil in 2Q, declares 10c div/share. Today she purrs and climbs 6.23%

Sheikh Mabel are very apy today. Well done to all our 3 National Treasures!!!.

To Our Success !

Meow Meow Meow

Meanwhile Lady Sapnrg is on target to submit Regulation Plan

Today she climbs 14.29%

Finally FPSO Maria Quiteria arrived at the JUBARTE FIELD.
First oil expected at 3Q24, means around September.
USD624k/day rate.

Atlanta only US$210,000/day.

https://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/home/shipid:8803162/zoom:10

The next big pay is Agogo at USD726k/day, first oil expected at 1Q26. Which is a long way, unless they managed to complete the conversion 5 or 6 months ahead like Maria, then maybe first oil at mid or end of 2025.

Well Done Yinson, today she climbs 7.2%

PETRONAS Chemicals registers higher net profit of RM777mil in 2Q, declares 10c div/share

Well Done PCHEM, today she climbs 6.23%

Sheikh Mabel is very apy today...

Meow Meow Meow

https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2024/08/16/petronas-chemicals-registers-higher-net-profit-of-rm777mil-in-2q-declares-10c-divshare

In the second quarter ended June 30, 2024, PETRONAS Chemicals registered a net profit of RM777mil, an improvement from RM628mil in the same quarter a year earlier.

The group reported higher revenue of RM7.73bil, up from RM7.11bil in 2QFY23, while earnings per share rose to 10 sen from eight sen in the comparative quarter.

The board of directors announced a first interim dividend of 10 sen per share, representing a payout of RM800mil or 55% of 1H24 profit after tax and non-controlling interests.

Life is so beautiful

Meow

PETRONAS Chemicals registers higher net profit of RM777mil in 2Q, declares 10c div/share

Meow Meow Meow

Thank you for sharing DividendGuys!

For the 1st time, Chart is looking good...hihihi

It's looking good guys...

Meow Meow Meow

Meow Meow Meow

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cVWCn6bGj0A

Watch how this beautiful 22 years old Yaroslava Mahuchikh Erased A 37-Year-Old World Record Out Of NOWHERE and here’s the best part. .. Yaroslava Mahuchikh also Breaks High Jump World Record! Paris 2024

Meow

Touche bro...

Let's hope for the best!

Hopefully it will not happen this time as many Asian economies have strengthened their financial systems since the 1997 crisis. They have built up foreign exchange reserves, improved regulatory frameworks, and adopted more flexible exchange rate policies.

In 1997, Malaysia’s GDP growth rate was 7.3%. This period was indeed marked by strong economic performance, although it was followed by the Asian Financial Crisis, which significantly impacted the region’s economies.

Meow Meow Meow

Well done !

Today Mabel unload from 2.66 to 2.68 and retain another 60 %...

Thank you BIMB

Meow

All 3 Singapore-listed banks have also released their financial results for the 2nd quarter, and for the 1st half of FY2024 – starting with United Overseas Bank (SGX: U11), on 01 August, followed by Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (SGX: O39), the following day on 02 August, and then DBS Group Holdings Limited (SGX: D05), on 07 August.

‌*Dividend Payout to Shareholders*:
The management of UOB pays out a dividend on a half-yearly basis – once when it releases its results for the 1st half of the year, and once when it releases its results for the 2nd half. ‌For the 1st half of FY2024, a dividend payout of 88.0 cents/share was declared – this represents a 3.5% improvement from its payout of 85.0 cents/share declared last year. The amount also represents a payout ratio of about 51%. Dividend payout: 23 August 2024

Similar to UOB, OCBC’s management also announces dividends to shareholders bi-annually – once when the bank releases its results for the 1st half of the year and again for the 2nd half. For the 1st half of FY2024, a dividend payout of 44.0 cents/share was declared – a 10.0% increase from its payout of 40.0 cents/share last year, and representing a payout ratio of 50%. Dividend payout: 23 August 2024

‌Unlike UOB and OCBC, the management of DBS declares a dividend payout to the shareholders on a quarterly basis. Similar to the first quarter, a payout of 54.0 cents/share was declared for the 2nd quarter. Hence, for the 1st half of the year, a total payout of $1.08/share was declared – a 20.0% improvement from its payout of 90.0 cents/share last year. Dividend payout: 26 August 2024

Let's hope Maybank, CIMB and BIMB can beats the 3 Singaporean Princess!

Meow Meow Meow

All 3 Singapore-listed banks have also released their financial results for the 2nd quarter, and for the 1st half of FY2024 – starting with United Overseas Bank (SGX: U11), on 01 August, followed by Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (SGX: O39), the following day on 02 August, and then DBS Group Holdings Limited (SGX: D05), on 07 August.

‌*Dividend Payout to Shareholders*:
The management of UOB pays out a dividend on a half-yearly basis – once when it releases its results for the 1st half of the year, and once when it releases its results for the 2nd half. ‌For the 1st half of FY2024, a dividend payout of 88.0 cents/share was declared – this represents a 3.5% improvement from its payout of 85.0 cents/share declared last year. The amount also represents a payout ratio of about 51%. Dividend payout: 23 August 2024

Similar to UOB, OCBC’s management also announces dividends to shareholders bi-annually – once when the bank releases its results for the 1st half of the year and again for the 2nd half. For the 1st half of FY2024, a dividend payout of 44.0 cents/share was declared – a 10.0% increase from its payout of 40.0 cents/share last year, and representing a payout ratio of 50%. Dividend payout: 23 August 2024

‌Unlike UOB and OCBC, the management of DBS declares a dividend payout to the shareholders on a quarterly basis. Similar to the first quarter, a payout of 54.0 cents/share was declared for the 2nd quarter. Hence, for the 1st half of the year, a total payout of $1.08/share was declared – a 20.0% improvement from its payout of 90.0 cents/share last year. Dividend payout: 26 August 2024

Let's hope Maybank, CIMB and BIMB can beats the 3 Singaporean Princess!

Meow Meow Meow

All 3 Singapore-listed banks have also released their financial results for the 2nd quarter, and for the 1st half of FY2024 – starting with United Overseas Bank (SGX: U11), on 01 August, followed by Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (SGX: O39), the following day on 02 August, and then DBS Group Holdings Limited (SGX: D05), on 07 August.

‌*Dividend Payout to Shareholders*:
The management of UOB pays out a dividend on a half-yearly basis – once when it releases its results for the 1st half of the year, and once when it releases its results for the 2nd half. ‌For the 1st half of FY2024, a dividend payout of 88.0 cents/share was declared – this represents a 3.5% improvement from its payout of 85.0 cents/share declared last year. The amount also represents a payout ratio of about 51%. Dividend payout: 23 August 2024

Similar to UOB, OCBC’s management also announces dividends to shareholders bi-annually – once when the bank releases its results for the 1st half of the year and again for the 2nd half. For the 1st half of FY2024, a dividend payout of 44.0 cents/share was declared – a 10.0% increase from its payout of 40.0 cents/share last year, and representing a payout ratio of 50%. Dividend payout: 23 August 2024

‌Unlike UOB and OCBC, the management of DBS declares a dividend payout to the shareholders on a quarterly basis. Similar to the first quarter, a payout of 54.0 cents/share was declared for the 2nd quarter. Hence, for the 1st half of the year, a total payout of $1.08/share was declared – a 20.0% improvement from its payout of 90.0 cents/share last year. Dividend payout: 26 August 2024

Let's hope Maybank, CIMB and BIMB can beats the 3 Singaporean Princess!

Meow Meow Meow

Historically, biting down gold coins was common practice among traders for checking the authenticity of the metal. Genuine gold, being soft, would leave dents on the coins.

However, the question of authenticity no longer applies in the Olympics, since the International Olympic Committee stopped awarding pure gold medals in 1912.

As modern-day investors, it can be easy for us to get caught up in the day-to-day fluctuations of the stock market.

The advent of the 24-hour news cycle, up-to-the-second trading platforms, and low-commission trading (or commission free in many instances) can make your head spin and make matters worse in many instances.

However, if there is one lesson stock market history has taught me, it's that a short-term crisis often makes way for longer-term opportunities.

Booms and Busts are Nothing New

Long before Wall Street was even conceived of, history was littered with boom-and-bust periods.

In fact, unless you're hundreds of years old, the first instance happened long before you were born.

During the Dutch Golden Age of the 1700s, tulip speculation ran wild.

Even though there was little real-world value or use around tulips, the price soared to the equivalent of ten times the annual salary of a skilled artisan!

The Extremes of the .com Craze

Fast forward to 1999, and a similar phenomenon occurred with the burgeoning internet sector.

Investors began to realize that the internet would change how we take in information.

However, just like the Tulip Bubble before it, investors suffered from irrational exuberance.

Though most internet stocks had yet to turn a profit, investors piled into any stock with a .com in the name and sent it into the stratosphere.

One extreme example was Netscape. Netscape soared from $28 to nearly $75 a share on its first day of trading!

Many other names went on to have price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of over 300x earnings - numbers that would wake Warren Buffett up at night.

2008's Global Financial Crisis

The housing crisis of 2008 was yet another example of excesses in one direction leading to excesses in the opposite direction.

Large banks' excessive risk taking and over-lending aimed at low-income home buyers led to a speculative bubble.

You guessed it! Like the dot com craze and Tulip Mania before it, this didn't end well.

First, rampant real estate speculation led to unsustainable prices. Then, the devastating crash came which sparked the demise of large banks such as Lehman Brothers and Bear Stearns.

Learn from the Market's Past to Understand the Future

You may be wondering why I am taking you down this random walk-through memory lane.

One of the primary reasons why crisis equates to opportunity in the stock market is the occurrence of "black swan" events.

Black swan events are rare and unexpected events that significantly impact the market and can cause a rapid decline in stock prices.

The events I walked you through above are all examples of black swan events.

However, black swan events can be a product of things outside of the economy that ultimately impact the economy (think the 9/11 terrorist attacks or the COVID-19 pandemic).

While these events are often devasting to the world and investors caught on the wrong side of the trade, they also pave the way for opportunities for those who have dry powder (cash on hand) and are prepared to take advantage of them.

*Like a weed sprouting its way through a cracked driveway, ultimately markets "heal*".

Meow

Historically, biting down gold coins was common practice among traders for checking the authenticity of the metal. Genuine gold, being soft, would leave dents on the coins.

However, the question of authenticity no longer applies in the Olympics, since the International Olympic Committee stopped awarding pure gold medals in 1912.

As modern-day investors, it can be easy for us to get caught up in the day-to-day fluctuations of the stock market.

The advent of the 24-hour news cycle, up-to-the-second trading platforms, and low-commission trading (or commission free in many instances) can make your head spin and make matters worse in many instances.

However, if there is one lesson stock market history has taught me, it's that a short-term crisis often makes way for longer-term opportunities.

Booms and Busts are Nothing New

Long before Wall Street was even conceived of, history was littered with boom-and-bust periods.

In fact, unless you're hundreds of years old, the first instance happened long before you were born.

During the Dutch Golden Age of the 1700s, tulip speculation ran wild.

Even though there was little real-world value or use around tulips, the price soared to the equivalent of ten times the annual salary of a skilled artisan!

The Extremes of the .com Craze

Fast forward to 1999, and a similar phenomenon occurred with the burgeoning internet sector.

Investors began to realize that the internet would change how we take in information.

However, just like the Tulip Bubble before it, investors suffered from irrational exuberance.

Though most internet stocks had yet to turn a profit, investors piled into any stock with a .com in the name and sent it into the stratosphere.

One extreme example was Netscape. Netscape soared from $28 to nearly $75 a share on its first day of trading!

Many other names went on to have price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of over 300x earnings - numbers that would wake Warren Buffett up at night.

2008's Global Financial Crisis

The housing crisis of 2008 was yet another example of excesses in one direction leading to excesses in the opposite direction.

Large banks' excessive risk taking and over-lending aimed at low-income home buyers led to a speculative bubble.

You guessed it! Like the dot com craze and Tulip Mania before it, this didn't end well.

First, rampant real estate speculation led to unsustainable prices. Then, the devastating crash came which sparked the demise of large banks such as Lehman Brothers and Bear Stearns.

Learn from the Market's Past to Understand the Future

You may be wondering why I am taking you down this random walk-through memory lane.

One of the primary reasons why crisis equates to opportunity in the stock market is the occurrence of "black swan" events.

Black swan events are rare and unexpected events that significantly impact the market and can cause a rapid decline in stock prices.

The events I walked you through above are all examples of black swan events.

However, black swan events can be a product of things outside of the economy that ultimately impact the economy (think the 9/11 terrorist attacks or the COVID-19 pandemic).

While these events are often devasting to the world and investors caught on the wrong side of the trade, they also pave the way for opportunities for those who have dry powder (cash on hand) and are prepared to take advantage of them.

*Like a weed sprouting its way through a cracked driveway, ultimately markets "heal*".

Meow

Historically, biting down gold coins was common practice among traders for checking the authenticity of the metal. Genuine gold, being soft, would leave dents on the coins.

However, the question of authenticity no longer applies in the Olympics, since the International Olympic Committee stopped awarding pure gold medals in 1912.

As modern-day investors, it can be easy for us to get caught up in the day-to-day fluctuations of the stock market.

The advent of the 24-hour news cycle, up-to-the-second trading platforms, and low-commission trading (or commission free in many instances) can make your head spin and make matters worse in many instances.

However, if there is one lesson stock market history has taught me, it's that a short-term crisis often makes way for longer-term opportunities.

Booms and Busts are Nothing New

Long before Wall Street was even conceived of, history was littered with boom-and-bust periods.

In fact, unless you're hundreds of years old, the first instance happened long before you were born.

During the Dutch Golden Age of the 1700s, tulip speculation ran wild.

Even though there was little real-world value or use around tulips, the price soared to the equivalent of ten times the annual salary of a skilled artisan!

The Extremes of the .com Craze

Fast forward to 1999, and a similar phenomenon occurred with the burgeoning internet sector.

Investors began to realize that the internet would change how we take in information.

However, just like the Tulip Bubble before it, investors suffered from irrational exuberance.

Though most internet stocks had yet to turn a profit, investors piled into any stock with a .com in the name and sent it into the stratosphere.

One extreme example was Netscape. Netscape soared from $28 to nearly $75 a share on its first day of trading!

Many other names went on to have price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of over 300x earnings - numbers that would wake Warren Buffett up at night.

2008's Global Financial Crisis

The housing crisis of 2008 was yet another example of excesses in one direction leading to excesses in the opposite direction.

Large banks' excessive risk taking and over-lending aimed at low-income home buyers led to a speculative bubble.

You guessed it! Like the dot com craze and Tulip Mania before it, this didn't end well.

First, rampant real estate speculation led to unsustainable prices. Then, the devastating crash came which sparked the demise of large banks such as Lehman Brothers and Bear Stearns.

Learn from the Market's Past to Understand the Future

You may be wondering why I am taking you down this random walk-through memory lane.

One of the primary reasons why crisis equates to opportunity in the stock market is the occurrence of "black swan" events.

Black swan events are rare and unexpected events that significantly impact the market and can cause a rapid decline in stock prices.

The events I walked you through above are all examples of black swan events.

However, black swan events can be a product of things outside of the economy that ultimately impact the economy (think the 9/11 terrorist attacks or the COVID-19 pandemic).

While these events are often devasting to the world and investors caught on the wrong side of the trade, they also pave the way for opportunities for those who have dry powder (cash on hand) and are prepared to take advantage of them.

*Like a weed sprouting its way through a cracked driveway, ultimately markets "heal*".

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