Foreign funds could well be playing the RM 4.00 to 1 USD by year end expectation ......

Not gradual but rather fast

Big funds very very very likely foreign funds have been selling... could be just a USD play to them or could be AirAsia is really screwed...


Forces bigger than the Wellingtons are selling...

Forced selling of contra players too??

We saw again today..................


Still..........


Create a false support for the buy queue to build up... then dump!


The selling has been very professionally done...

The American would say.... for the past 11 days AirAsia has closed down 8 days flat 2 days up 1 day.... and the up 1 day was just up 0.01 and 6 days ago..

Another day of closing lower.....

Could AirAsia be just running ahead of them...........drop 1st ??

take a look at today's Top Losers

AirAsia has lots of foreign shareholders... as such... the best counter to reflect foreign funds' sentiment.... and that sentiment is like.. Let's get the hell out of here!!!!

If this is true then you and I who have bought recently and BursaM are in big trouble.....

Foreign funds are selling other blue chips too.....................

Posted by r°Moi > Mar 18, 2015 09:33 AM | Report Abuse X


Create a false support for the buy queue to build up... then dump

Create a false support for the buy queue to build up... then dump

Create a false support for the buy queue to build up... then dump


The selling has beeen very professionally done...

The American would say.... for the past 10 days AirAsia has closed down 7 days flat 2 days up 1 day.... and the up 1 day was just up 0.01 and 5 days ago..


Statistics are not on AirAsia's side....

Forces bigger than the Wellingtons are not on AirAsia's side..

USD vs RM is not on AirAsia's side....

Time is not on contra players' side....

But.... with the prices OSKP and PJD are at now.. moving up to 2.00 and 1.60 are looking pretty decent too... for a quick gain

And.... the way the price of OSK is moving.... vis a vis OSKP... vis a vis PJD... is a good sign or a bad sign.. all depends on which side you on... depend on which side you on... of course

one.. two.. three.. bubbles.... seen surfacing lazily... any moment now

o...... looks like you have done some hedging

The American would say.... for the past 10 days AirAsia has closed down 7 days flat 2 days up 1 day.... and the up 1 day was just up 0.01 and 5 days ago..

Forces bigger than the Wellingtons are selling... are they done? are they done?

Sudden jump.... bad sign for the other sides?

There had been many many lows.... then it went lower some more

Looks like the price will be depressed for some time more.....

Forces bigger than the Wellingtons are selling.......question is.... are they done?? are they done??

Don't know ler..... but many believers sworn that they have seen a bottom... and rushed in... hopefully not for contra ler

later... foreign funds selling plus forced selling............................

AirAsia..... now everybody wont be lonely

welcome.... you would be the 3rd batch...... wish you luck....

For me as I said before.... I no keyin to queue anymore.. KIV closely though

As for competition from FlyMojo...................... ya ya

If in doubt... refer to AirAsia prior to Tony...

Selling started before Flymojo.....

The selling has beeen very professionally done... these foreign funds bent on leaving AirAsia and Malaysia

Posted by r°Moi > Mar 18, 2015 09:33 AM | Report Abuse X


Create a false support for the buy queue to build up... then dump

Create a false support for the buy queue to build up... then dump

Create a false support for the buy queue to build up... then dump


The selling has beeen very professionally done... a trap

Still..........


Create a false support for the buy queue to build up... then dump ??

(i) Forward Foreign Exchange Contracts

As at 31 December 2014, AirAsia Berhad has hedged approximately 50% of the dollar
liabilities of its aircraft and engine loans into Malaysian Ringgit (“MYR”) by using long
dated foreign exchange forward contracts. The latest weighted average of USD/MYR
forward exchange rate is 3.2377.

(ii) Interest Rate Hedging

As at 31 December 2014, the Group has entered interest rate hedging transactions to hedge
against fluctuations in the US$ Libor on its existing aircraft financing for aircraft delivering
from 2005 to 2014.

(iii) Fuel Hedging

As at 31 December 2014, the Group has entered into Singapore Jet Kerosene fixed swaps
which represents up to 50% of the Group’s total budgeted fuel consumption for year 2015.

rizerlee alphajack , please check Airasia 4th quarter report of 2014.

It wrote that whole year 1st to 4th quarter of 2015 , 50% of Fuel Hedged at average USD 88.


rizerlee... can kindly copy and paste here the exact statement by AirAsia on this ???

AmSecurities says buy

RHB says buy

I know... just telling others

Don't do contra here....

But.........

AirAsia has lots of foreign shareholders... as such... the best counter to reflect foreign funds' sentiment.... and that sentiment is like.. Let's get the hell out of here!!!!

If this is true then you and I who have bought recently and BursaM are in big trouble liao.....

r°Moi AirAsia has dropped about 13% upon the release of its Q414 result..

I am in.. for the low oil prices play


And.... the low prices play would look something like this...



According to results.... Aircraft fuel expenses

2013: 2,212,199,000
2014: 2,254,237,000

Say, fuel consumption remains more or less the same and say, the average jet fuel price for..

2014 = 105
2015 = 65 (assume just 38% drop)

Low oil prices play means for 2015 the jet fuel cost would be cheaper by and the PBT will be more by 858,000,000 (2,254,237,000 × 38%) roughly.... roughly.... before say 58,000,000 for the effect of removal of fuel surcharge



You go calculate yourself how much that is in term of EPS.... and use a PE of 9x to see how much this low oil prices play will push up AirAsias price
14/03/2015 11:37

Whether it is the low or not.... is entirely upto the foreign funds

We can only buy and wait...

Average jet fuel price at 65 for 2015 may be fair given only 50% is hedged...

AirAsia hedges 50% of its USD loans....

In this regard... it is a permanent headache as its doesn't have natural hedge against the USD

Create a false support for the buy queue to build up... then dump

Create a false support for the buy queue to build up... then dump

Create a false support for the buy queue to build up... then dump

The selling has beeen very professionally done... a trap

2.24 done.... 2.10 ??

AIRASIA made a major Wave 2 high of MYR2.85 (14Jan2015) with grossly overbought and bearish signals. All its negative chart signals above suggest an imminent downward decline. It is likely to break into lower territory, as it breached its key supports in a bearish downward Wave 3 and 5 move.

TAKE PROFIT (TECHNICAL) on rallies for AIRASIA, with weaker support and clear downward target areas of MYR2.24, MYR2.10, MYR1.64and MYR1.44.

Source: Maybank Research - 11 Mar 2015

Well all good points.... somemore like what I have said oil price maybe lower later even just buying spot... the other airlines are pricing rationally etc blah blah blah

So how much do you reckon the PBT for 2015 will be more by ????

OK so lower by about 30% upto 1Q15... maybe lower still later


According to results.... Aircraft fuel expenses

2013: 2,212,199,000
2014: 2,254,237,000

Say, fuel consumption remains more or less the same and say, the average jet fuel price for..

Low oil prices play means for 2015 the jet fuel cost would be cheaper by and the PBT will be more by 670,000,000 (2,254,237,000 × 30) roughly.... roughly.... before the effect of removal of fuel surcharge

david.. morning.. well nothing beats getting it from the horses mouth

do you happend to know how much was the actual average jet fuel price for the whole of 2014?

AirAsia has lots of foreign shareholders... as such... the best counter to reflect foreign funds' sentiment.... and that sentiment is like.. Let's get the hell out of here!!!!

If this is true then you and I who have bought recently and the whole BursaM are in big trouble liao.....

Flymojo coming in as part of MAS restructuring... to take care of the government's social responsibilities part??? The part which has dragged down MAS some what... can it do well??

bombardiers-cs100-plane.... jet or the military looking type that uses propellers???

Price low... buy.. hold around two months to see if AirAsia could make amend for the screw up in forex by doing the low oil prices right

clear downward target areas of MYR2.24, MYR2.10, MYR1.64and MYR1.44.


clear....

AIRASIAmade a major Wave 2high of MYR2.85(14Jan2015) with grossly overbought and bearish signals. Allits negative chart signals above suggest an imminent downward decline. It is likely to break into lower territory, as it breached its key supports in a bearish downward Wave 3 and 5 move.

TAKE PROFIT (TECHNICAL)on rallies forAIRASIA, with weaker support and clear downward target areas of MYR2.24, MYR2.10, MYR1.64and MYR1.44.

Source: Maybank Research - 11 Mar 2015

Foreign funds are throwing away the bathwater with the AhJib's baby...