ongmari

chewch | Joined since 2014-04-01

Investing Experience -
Risk Profile -

Followers

0

Following

0

Blog Posts

0

Threads

2,003

Blogs

Threads

Portfolio

Follower

Following

Summary
Total comments
2,003
Past 30 days
0
Past 7 days
0
Today
0

User Comments
Stock
Stock

2017-09-20 16:51 | Report Abuse

if tabung and epf realy buy in...next 2 days, annoucement only next week....new high may appear

Stock

2017-09-20 16:47 | Report Abuse

tomorrow show time again?if today call ,close at 3.73

Stock

2017-09-20 16:04 | Report Abuse

with TP at 5, i don think director will sell anymore....dry up soon.....and the way is north ?

Stock

2017-09-20 16:01 | Report Abuse

split is good news//don think they may do it until their cash pile is well above 100 mil..another 1 year maybe

Stock

2017-09-20 15:49 | Report Abuse

vol build up to break soon...

Stock

2017-09-20 15:36 | Report Abuse

tomorrow a similar volumn will go to 3.9

Stock

2017-09-20 15:31 | Report Abuse

support 3.66 level pretty good

Stock

2017-09-20 15:04 | Report Abuse

3.65 support level

Stock
Stock

2017-09-20 13:16 | Report Abuse

yet to test previous high of 16.3+

Stock

2017-09-20 11:51 | Report Abuse

masuk a bit to hold for long term..6 months....TP 18

Stock
Stock

2017-09-20 11:41 | Report Abuse

once consolidate at this level, then only start again.....

Stock

2017-09-20 11:19 | Report Abuse

keep selling..reduce some balance ..:)

Stock

2017-09-20 10:45 | Report Abuse

sold a bit too early again...nvm...wat goes up must come down...

Stock

2017-09-20 10:45 | Report Abuse

wow..really mari 3.7

Stock

2017-09-20 10:27 | Report Abuse

short term ...TP 4

Stock

2017-09-20 08:52 | Report Abuse

full year at $ 1.02 eps..., the dream of 20 may not be far away if this year can achieve another 10 to 15% growth

Stock

2017-09-20 08:51 | Report Abuse

31.2 cents eps ....6 cents dividend...higer profit at 13.403 m this last quarter...today likely to retest 16 rm

Stock

2017-09-19 16:29 | Report Abuse

fairly good vol traded at this level...presume all contra players have changed hands

Stock

2017-09-19 13:37 | Report Abuse

the stayer will win.....hope so...

Stock

2017-09-19 11:55 | Report Abuse

should be different this time with HLB coverage..i think another institution will also soon cover this counter ....if it happens..likely to put more support to Liihen...buy at your own risk.....

Stock

2017-09-19 11:46 | Report Abuse

1 way traffic...up with the vol hiking above 1.5 m today if sustain at 3.49 to 3.5

Stock
Stock

2017-09-19 11:07 | Report Abuse

next dividend in play...6 to 8 cents depend on next qtr results

Stock

2017-09-19 10:34 | Report Abuse

still not too late to invest with 4 rm target short term 3 months

Stock

2017-09-19 10:31 | Report Abuse

long term USD may trend back 4.3

Stock

2017-09-19 10:29 | Report Abuse

hold your horse for next level 3.7

Stock

2017-09-19 10:29 | Report Abuse

buy time.. vol is surpassing 400k, easily 1.1 mil trade..

Stock

2017-09-19 09:26 | Report Abuse

trade above 1 million to 1.5 m shares will bring it to 3.6

Stock

2017-09-19 09:21 | Report Abuse

hope to break 3.5 soon

Stock

2017-09-18 13:50 | Report Abuse

We spoke with KESM’s management recently and renewed our optimism on the company’s prospects. With the recent 9M17 report card demonstrating a marked acceleration on CAPEX of RM81.2m as compared to RM30m for the entire FY16, and coupled with a faster-than-expected ramp up of prior quarters’ new testing equipment, we now believe our prior estimates are overly conservative. Post increasing our CAPEX assumptions and factoring higher utilisation rate of existing machineries, we upgrade our FY17E/FY18E NP growth to 33.0%/16.4% from 26.5%/14.1% and introduce FY19 estimates. At the same time, we roll over our valuation base year FY18 to CY18 for a higher TP of RM17.60 based on 15x PER. Impressive set of 9M17 numbers. To recap, KESM delivered a strong set of 9M17 results with revenue growing 17.5% YoY to RM248.2m and NP jumping 35.1% YoY to RM30.6m. The strong top-line results were driven by capital investments in prior quarters which allowed the Group to capitalise on the higher demand for burn-in and testing services. Meanwhile, EBIT increased by a larger quantum of 26.6% with margins expanding 1.0ppt to 14.0%. Effective tax rate also came in lower by 3.1ppt at 12.7% resulting in higher net margins by 1.6ppt to 12.3%.

9th straight quarterly revenue growth. Of note, the shift in focus towards burn-in and testing of semiconductors for the automotive industry is paying back in droves. Automotive semiconductors account for 70-80% of revenue base and provide the Group with longer product life cycles and a recurring business (3-7 year life cycles compared to the commercial segments which averaged at the lower end of the 1-7 year life cycles and with more volatile demand). The smoothened quarterly delivery has been apparent, evidenced by the 3Q17 numbers providing a ninth-straight sequential improvement to quarterly revenue.

CAPEX plans to accelerate. After a slowdown in expansion plans in FY16 due to the delayed roll-outs from its clients, KESM is poised to achieve a record year on capital investment spend for FY17. The 9M17 quarterly statements reflected RM81.2m in CAPEX which is already more than double the entire FY16 CAPEX of RM30m and exceeds our full-year expectation of RM75m. We understand from management that the current pace in CAPEX is likely to continue into the immediate quarters ahead, with focus on the addition of testing equipment (~70%) for automotive semiconductors and the balance for upgrading and maintenance of existing machineries (~30%).

Increasing estimates! We adjust our CAPEX assumptions for FY17E/FY18E to RM120m/RM80m from RM75m/RM80m, taking into account the current trajectory of expansion within the testing business. We gather that commissioning of new testing equipment takes 3-6 months with ramp-ups in production progressing in synchrony with the planned roll-outs of KESM’s clients - leading us to assume a higher combined utilisation rate of 82%/84% (+2ppt). Consequently, we raise our revenue forecasts and hence FY17/FY18 net profits by +5.2%/+7.3% to RM40.8m/RM47.5m and introduce FY19E NP of RM54.6m.

Maintain OUTPERFORM with higher TP of RM17.60. Post model adjustments and rolling over our valuation base year from FY18E to CY18E, we derive a higher target price of RM17.60 from RM15.20 based on an unchanged target PE of 15x. We continue to like KESM and believe the company is uniquely positioned to benefit from two salient trends; (i) Rising car production by global automakers, and (ii) Increased chip content within vehicles. Risks to our call include: (i) lower-than expected sales and margins, and (ii) longer-than-expected gestation periods.

Stock

2017-09-18 13:39 | Report Abuse

trade voulmn below 30k today = naik???

Stock

2017-09-18 13:37 | Report Abuse

time will tell...cheap sales 1 more round.....another 8 cents dividend in play 5 months from now

Stock

2017-09-18 11:17 | Report Abuse

turun..big boys

Stock

2017-09-18 10:02 | Report Abuse

less than 80,000 shares you can buy before next lift to 15.5

Stock

2017-09-18 10:00 | Report Abuse

another window?? grab b4 too late...long term.....16.5

Stock

2017-09-14 17:02 | Report Abuse

hope to see 15.8 soon

Stock

2017-09-14 17:01 | Report Abuse

free dividend 4 cents for many big timers....just a mater of 2 weeks...next hike ..3.5?

Stock

2017-09-14 11:18 | Report Abuse

earn less lo...next round dip buy again....

Stock

2017-09-14 11:14 | Report Abuse

sold too early again....aiya.....wait for another round

Stock

2017-09-13 16:13 | Report Abuse

holding well.....

Stock

2017-09-13 10:23 | Report Abuse

mari liao....15.4 soon

Stock

2017-09-13 10:21 | Report Abuse

consol for 1 week b4 next hike to 3.45

Stock

2017-09-12 16:28 | Report Abuse

sold by accident..miss the low yesterday...see all at 3.4

Stock

2017-09-12 16:27 | Report Abuse

going for real and just show...then end up 9 in next month?

Stock

2017-09-12 13:42 | Report Abuse

hope to see breakup at 15 soon

Stock

2017-09-12 11:13 | Report Abuse

next 3 weeks.....3.4?