Potential privatization in the cards?? Just wondering since GE is most likely to be call this year. Im sure BN would not want to lose Perak to the opposition.

MFCB future growth will be driven by its hydropower project.

Pls refer to their recent quarter report for updates of the power plants.

Liihen should achieve 40 sen full year. With such good profit growth, good dividend yield, strong cash flows generation, high return on equity, Liihen is due a rerating on its multiples. Let's take a P/E multiple of 10, this stock should be valued at 4.

There will be many challenges, obstacles...before DT can put in place his protectionist policy, even if he manages to drive ahead...it will take few years before it gets implemented.

My pick:

FLBHD
POHUAT
TGUAN
UMCCA
MFCB

All equal weightage.

Thanks.

seriously sostupid needs to brush up his england....i wonder if he is using google translate

TA's NTA around 1.80. Most of you should realised around 60-70% of profit and assets derived from its hospitality segment. Just imagine if TA were to sell its broking arm, TA will no longer categorised under the finance category but instead under the hotel. Look at Shangri-La's valuation, look at its P/BV, TA is primed for major re-rating soon.

Listen to sifu raider loh!! OSK is worth at least RM3. CIMB will pay more than RM10 for RHB shares...just do a simple calculation then u will know OSK's worth loh!!

2.8%!!

No wonder never see Raider at investlah anymore. You are starting a new thread here!!!

When is the cash payout??

Not many people realised that TA's earnings are mainly contributed by its hotel operations (60%). TA is still categorised as a finance stock as historically they started out as a broking firm. Just imagine if TA re-categorised under Hotel, do u think there will be a re-rating soon?

Right now, TA is valued as if its a pure broking firm (a sunset industry). Just take a look at Shangri-la's valuation, in terms of PE and P/BV.

There are some decent net net stocks out there. But most of the time they have a lazy balance sheet. Stocks like Oriental and Keck Seng springs to mind. Often these stocks are shuned by the market due to lack of value creation. They need catalyst like corporate exercise to unlock the value but then again not all are favourable to the minority shareholders recent case of Perakcorp as an example.

Kcchongnz why don't u have a look at Thong Guan. Thong Guan is market leader in industrial packaging in Asia pacific. Their growth outlook looks promising..strengthening of USD and expanding production capacity will drive earnings. It's profit margin are much better than Scientex. I believe thong guan will able to yield explosive returns in the future.

Thanks kcchong for ur valuable insights. After much thought, I decided against to invest in both Padini and Johotin and opted to invest in Thong Guan instead. I like Padini. I like how they managed to improve on cash conversion cycle and inventory management. It's FCF is impressive and growing hence evident by it's increasing dividend payout. However I'm slightly wary of its future performance but having said that I'm convinced Padini will able to ride out of any challenges faced as they have a very strong management team and it's business strategies are constantly changing to adapt to the market demands. I invested in Padini before and will look to add when the price is right. As for Johotin I had already invested last year at much higher price and not looking to add further.

Hi kcchongnz,

What are your views/thoughts on these stocks:
1) Padini
2) Weida
3) AeonCr
4) Johotin
5) TongHerr

Do you see any value in them? And what will be your required margin of safety if one to invests in?
Thanks.

Posted by kcchongnz > Dec 2, 2013 07:08 PM | Report Abuse

Fabien, you have to bear in mind that DCFA, or rather all valuation methods are very artistic. It all depends on your assumptions.

For PIE, let me take its average past 4 years free cash flow of 26.5m as a base, and assume it is going go grow by 5% a year for the next 10 years and 3% subsequently, and a discount rate of 10% (PIE has a healthy balance sheet with no debts and steady earnings and cash flows), the present value of its FCF is 451m. Adding back its 98.4m of excess cash, it is worth 550m, or RM8.58 per share.

Thanks kcchong!! Appreciate ur input.

From kcchongnz:

For PIE, let me take its average past 4 years free cash flow of 26.5m as a base, and assume it is going go grow by 5% a year for the next 10 years and 3% subsequently, and a discount rate of 10% (PIE has a healthy balance sheet with no debts and steady earnings and cash flows), the present value of its FCF is 451m. Adding back its 98.4m of excess cash, it is worth 550m, or RM8.58 per share.

Hikcchong...can u assist to do similar analysis/valuation on PIE? Thanks!!

Just sit back and think for a moment....Tony Tiah has been patiently accumulating TA for months..rumours has it...there's offer on the table but tony deems the offer is unattractive / undervalued...so what do u think he is doing now? consolidating his position? let's ponder....

PS: my average cost is 0.53. sometimes u want to win big...u need to have a lot of PATIENCE

Something brewing...watch this space

The Board of Directors of TA Enterprise Berhad (“TAE”) wishes to announce that TA Securities Holdings Berhad (“TASH”), a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Company has acquired 1,500,000 ordinary shares of RM1.00 each representing 30% equity interest in TA Investment Management Berhad (“TAIM”) for a total consideration of RM2,795,000.00 on 22 November 2013 (“Acquisition”).

TAIM was incorporated on 17 April 1995 as a public limited company in Malaysia (Company No. 340588-T) pursuant to the Companies Act, 1965. The authorized share capital of TAIM is RM10,000,000.00 divided into 5,000,000 ordinary shares of RM1.00 each and 5,000,000 preference shares of RM1.00 each. The issued and paid-up capital is RM6,001,000.00 divided into 5,000,000 ordinary shares of RM1.00 each and 1,001,000 preference shares of RM1.00 each. Its principal activity is licensed fund manager managing unit trust and private funds. Currently, TASH is holding 70% equity interest in TAIM. Pursuant to the Acquisition, TAIM shall be a wholly-owned subsidiary of TASH and TAE shall be the ultimate holding company of TAIM.
None of the Directors, substantial shareholders and/or persons connected with them has any direct or indirect interest in the aforesaid acquisition.
This announcement is dated 22 November 2013.

The Board of Directors of TA Enterprise Berhad (“the Board”) wishes to announce that the Company has acquired 2,145,000 ordinary shares of RM1.00 each representing 30% of the equity interest in TA Futures Sdn Bhd (“TAF”) for a total consideration of RM4,905,000.00 on 22 November 2013 (“Acquisition”).

TAF was incorporated on 14 April 1995 as a private limited company in Malaysia (Company No. 340271-W) pursuant to the Companies Act, 1965. The authorized and issued share capital of TAF is RM10,000,000.00 divided into 7,145,000 ordinary shares of RM1.00 each and 2,855,000 Cumulative Redeemable Preference Shares of RM1.00 each. Its principal activity is licensed futures and options broking. Currently, the Company is holding 70% equity interest in TAF. Pursuant to the Acquisition, TAF shall be a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Company.
None of the Directors, substantial shareholders and/or persons connected with them has any direct or indirect interest in the aforesaid acquisition.
This announcement is dated 22 November 2013.

Calvin: When is the 6 acres of ShahAlam's factory starts its production?

Pehaps good quarter coming?

Calvin: When will the new plant be ready?

Pls dont compare PMCORP with Nestle. In a same way, it feels like comparing U.S. with Myanmar.

PMCorp Operating cash flow is always in the negative even though it reported net profit.
No revenue growth
The positive cash flow is from divestment
Marketing expenses is consistently 20% of revenue for an established brand and no new products.

On the positive side, a lot of turnaround opportunities.

WEIDA

A key player in providing integrated environmental solution from provisioning of materials, construction and consultancy services such as waste treatment, renewable energy and other green initiatives. The barriers of entry into this industry are high: substantial capital investment, intensive research and development programmes and specialist technological expertise developed in-house over the years. This industry is generally capital intensive for big scale manufacturers.

It is now trading around 1.70 below its NTA of 2.91 with a cash per share of slightly below Rm1.00. It achieved an EPS of 7.91 per share.

Strength of company.

Strong recurring income from waste treatment plant concession and telecommunication tower
Manufacture base material and products required for water and waste treatment industry, which is good potential growth
Very strong financial and trading at a forward P.E of 6 times. The share price has a potential upside of 75%.

Risks

New technology unlikely but possible
Poor market sentiment may temporary be a damper to the share price. Not a concern for long term investor.
Freeze on local infrastructure project but unlikely as these are essential infrastructure which is very much lacking in east Malaysia.

Latest venture in property quite successful – Urbana at Ara Damansara soft launch at 700 per sq ft; 80% sold !

2012
PBT 1.17m
CFO -5.3m
NetCFO -5.2m
Proceed from sales of investments 7.1m

2013
PBT 0.8m
CFO -1.0m
Net CFO -1.1m
Proceed from sales o investments 5.4m

The company's operations are not profitable and burning up cash at the rate of > 1 m or more per year.

It is presently kept afloat by proceeds raised from disposal of investments.

Congrats kevin!!!

The Board of Directors of SKP is pleased to propose a final tax exempt (single-tier) dividend of 0.90 sen per ordinary share of RM0.10 each for the financial year ended 31 March 2013, subject to shareholders' approval at the forthcoming Thirteenth Annual General Meeting of SKP.
The details of the entitlement date and payment date of the proposed final tax exempt (single-tier) dividend will be announced in due course.

This announcement is dated 2 August 2013.

Finally!!!! $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

Market cap not even half a million, which research house want to cover?

You have analysed the historical financials well. But what is their growth story in the coming years? Is the growth sustainable? How wide is their moat? Is big holders selling down their stakes a concern to u?

What is the PV of their earnings in 10 years time? How would it look like? I believe 10 years are more than enough to observe the incremental earnings contribution from their venture in South Johor. What is their RNAV then? How much discount should you accord to their RNAV? Stocks are not priced based on historical results. Price is what you pay to enjoy the benefits from their growth in the future. So how optimistic are you in Benalec's growth story?

I don't think there's any bad news. I believe the news on project awarded have been priced in the recent run up. Anyway, wait for tomorrow 4Q announcement. Results will be better than next year and hopefully they'll declare a good final dividend since they have zero debts?

Its from CIMB's calendar on corporate action.

profit taking activity? results due on tomorrow. as of now, drop 7 sen